HOF Voting Contest -- Guess Bagwell's Percentage

scotgreb

As a baseball HOF collector, I anxiously await the BWAA voting each year. It looks like Blyleven and Alomar are locks this year but after that it's anyone's guess.

The Bagwell vote should be particularly interesting. I thought I'd have some fun and run a contest around his voting results.

The closest to Jeff Bagwell's BWAA voting percentage wins this;



Please make your prediction below to two decimal places (I'll round if otherwise). One vote per ID and you may change by editing your post prior to the deadline. The contest ends 24 hours prior to the announcement (last year it was January 6).

Also feel free to make your case for/against within this thread. Personally, I think he will ultimately get in (year 2 or 3) and set the under/over for this year's voting at 62%.

Enjoy.

PowderedH2O

I'll go 67.2%. I think he might fall a bit short.

yankeeno7

26%
Not even McGwire could break the 30% mark his first, second, third, or even fourth years! There will be probably the same sentiment toward Bagwell.

Sportsamerica

15.23%.. I don't think he will ever get in the HOF.

swartz1

43%

Smuggo

I would be surprised as well if Bags ever makes the HOF.

larryallen73

50.00

thenavarro

18.47%

hhmag70

33.33

mknez

I'll be Debbie Downer. 8.47%

brendanb438

12.69%

wrestlingcardking

21.08

MDCook

43.25

pclpads

52.25% Bags was a solid player, IMO a career like the Garv. But neither is HOF worthy. FWIW, neither is Roberto the Spitter. Blyleven is long overdue.

FFStinger

35%

csmtampa

21.2%

OAKESY25

32.75

sportscardtheory

55% Thanks for the contest.

CubsFan41

39.50

54topps

i'll go 27%

byronscott4ever

37.75

firstbase23

I'll say 36.5%.

Matt

jivan

6%

mrmint23

14.23%

Thanks for the contest

jeffcbay

38.88%

Thanks!

MantleMarisFordBerra

27.50

Steroid allegations will hamper his chances, he may never get in. Alomar not being voted in last year because of one isolated incident is a joke; he makes it this year. Maybe Bert too?

VitoCo1972

41.50

Jmhockey23

13.50%

digicat

<< <i>26%
Not even McGwire could break the 30% mark his first, second, third, or even fourth years! There will be probably the same sentiment toward Bagwell.
>>



McGwire get humiliated in front of the nation with the "Don't want to talk about the past" thing. Bagwell did not.

Bagwell didn't fail a PED test, lie under oath, plead the 5th, or get named in a Federal investigation.

I'm interested to see what happens. I say 45+%.

WalterSobchak

58.75%. Thanks for the contest!

shagrotn77

31.10%

JasP24

17.63%

jimrad

33.3333%

fkw

Mickey Mantle....4 X 100+ RBIs in 18 seasons, 29.77 HRs/season, .298 career average, 344 2Bs, 1509 RBIs, 8102 ABs, 1710 SOs, 153 SBs
Jeff Bagwell........8 X 100+ RBIs in 15 seasons, 29.93 HRs/season, .297 career average, 488 2Bs, 1529 RBIs, 7797 ABs, 1558 SOs, 202 SBs


Id say 51.67% first year, but he gets in within 4 years.

hookem

Without looking at the others: 56.69%

pdub1819

18.18

illinifan912

43.68

Mickey71

30%. To close to the "ROID" issue. May never get in.

jlzinck

28.65 % Thanks!

Yankees001

The correct answer is 42.6%, you can send me the card anytime.

Dave

Sportsamerica

<< <i>Mickey Mantle....4 X 100+ RBIs in 18 seasons, 29.77 HRs/season, .298 career average, 344 2Bs, 1509 RBIs, 8102 ABs, 1710 SOs, 153 SBs
Jeff Bagwell........8 X 100+ RBIs in 15 seasons, 29.93 HRs/season, .297 career average, 488 2Bs, 1529 RBIs, 7797 ABs, 1558 SOs, 202 SBs


Id say 51.67% first year, but he gets in within 4 years. >>



But Bagwell played in a water down pitching era TOday's stats cannot be compared to older players, in which less teams meant better pitchers every day vs. today's weaker #4 and #5 pitchers. These 4 & 5's would have never made it to the Majors in the 50's and 60's.

MBMiller25

25%

thekid8

38.00%

123Slider

47.8% and I think he ultimately gets in if his name is not on that list of 103...

swartz1

I agree with SA - you cant compare players from decades ago to players of today...

entirely different ballgame...

fkw

<< <i>

<< <i>Mickey Mantle....4 X 100+ RBIs in 18 seasons, 29.77 HRs/season, .298 career average, 344 2Bs, 1509 RBIs, 8102 ABs, 1710 SOs, 153 SBs
Jeff Bagwell........8 X 100+ RBIs in 15 seasons, 29.93 HRs/season, .297 career average, 488 2Bs, 1529 RBIs, 7797 ABs, 1558 SOs, 202 SBs

But Bagwell played in a water down pitching era TOday's stats cannot be compared to older players, in which less teams meant better pitchers every day vs. today's weaker #4 and #5 pitchers. These 4 & 5's would have never made it to the Majors in the 50's and 60's. >>



Dont want to derail the post but had to comment, I had 2 reasons for posting the comparison of Mantle/Bagwell,
first to point out that Bags stats are solid, but mainly to point out that Mantle is very overrated, especially for a cleanup hitter (lack of RBIs) on the best team in baseball ....
Mickey ONLY faced starters on 4 days rest, NO closers, NO setup men or specialists, no cutters, no splitters, far far LESS Latin/Asian/College seasoned players, etc. and dont say Bags lived in the steroid era, the pitchers used steroids too and are far stronger now (understatement), and I can tell you for fact the players today are in far better shape (many own million dollar home gyms) and are far more talented overall than those chain smoking daily drinkin' skinny (many sickly looking) kids from the 1950-60s, who never saw a benchpress or stairmaster and could care less what they ate.

If you dont know it by now.... I will always dog Mickey Mantle/Yankees every chance I can... and its not hard to do so.... PS Mays/Aaron were 5X the player Mickey was!

Mickey71

FKW,
Since you have posted about every stat known to man regarding Mantle.....could you please post his On Base %.

Thanks,
Mickey71

Pittfan

26.5

Tabe

9.85%

Tabe

Ironmanfan

18.8%

leathtech

13.33%