So what's the safe haven now ?
edmundfitzgerald
Posts: 4,306 ✭✭
Is it cash ?
For me, it's cash and PM's for my spare change.
My retirement money is in a pension fund.
For me, it's cash and PM's for my spare change.
My retirement money is in a pension fund.
0
Comments
--Severian the Lame
If someone told you a month ago that the Greek crisis would be getting worse, not better, and that US stocks would slip nearly 1,000 points, but that gold would be stable within ~$50 of its all time high, where would you have stashed your money?
--Severian the Lame
<< <i>Gold. >>
+1
<< <i>
My retirement money is in a pension fund. >>
mine is too, but I also opened up an IRA because pensions are becoming unsafe and total garbage.
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<< <i>
mine is too, but I also opened up an IRA because pensions are becoming unsafe and total garbage. >>
Every two weeks $240.00 gets taken out of my pay and put into a pension fund. I would assume that many states
would have big lawsuits if these people realized their pension funds became total garbage.
Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
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Gold is an asset, that at the same time is not someone else's liability.
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While many people are still underwater or got wiped out by fraudulent funds, my self-directed stock picks since 2002 are up 45.37%, or an annualized 4.76% return. The S&P 500 return for the same time frame is annualized 2.73%. I tend to be a value over growth guy (yes, I like and respect the Oracle of Omaha) and have a makeup of 82.1% value and 17.6% in growth.
Most will say I'm too conservative for my age, that I should be focusing on growth more. I only do that IF the numbers to me make it a good buy, and I don't trust growth projections that much. The history of the leader of the company, the rest of the management, debt, dividends, all are looked at. For example, I chose a health care company lab because the numbers were good, but also the person who was leading the company had a history of moving from one company to the next every 5-6 years, profitably growing them while there, and orchestrating sales of the company to others to the benefit of the stockholders. That one was no exception.
Others I've chosen because the CEO had a small office, been involved in the industry for years, and operated a small but going company without undue compensation to himself (in New York...imagine that!). At the time, it was paying north of a 10% dividend. Today, it's closer to 3% and the stock is a 71.77% return.
Now, those that love gold will point out that it's had about a 432% increase in the same time period. However, if it's ALL going in gold, that's a big risk to be taking and a pretty high increase compared to everything else during the same time period. I'm still leaning to a strong correction on metals at some point in the next year.
One thing never changes though, it takes money to make money and if you have a lot even small percentages translate to large amounts. Just no matter what you do, diversify!
<< <i>I'm a big believer in self-directing IRA's, and Roth IRA's if you're young enough.
While many people are still underwater or got wiped out by fraudulent funds, my self-directed stock picks since 2002 are up 45.37%, or an annualized 4.76% return. The S&P 500 return for the same time frame is annualized 2.73%. I tend to be a value over growth guy (yes, I like and respect the Oracle of Omaha) and have a makeup of 82.1% value and 17.6% in growth.
Most will say I'm too conservative for my age, that I should be focusing on growth more. I only do that IF the numbers to me make it a good buy, and I don't trust growth projections that much. The history of the leader of the company, the rest of the management, debt, dividends, all are looked at. For example, I chose a health care company lab because the numbers were good, but also the person who was leading the company had a history of moving from one company to the next every 5-6 years, profitably growing them while there, and orchestrating sales of the company to others to the benefit of the stockholders. That one was no exception.
Others I've chosen because the CEO had a small office, been involved in the industry for years, and operated a small but going company without undue compensation to himself (in New York...imagine that!). At the time, it was paying north of a 10% dividend. Today, it's closer to 3% and the stock is a 71.77% return.
Now, those that love gold will point out that it's had about a 432% increase in the same time period. However, if it's ALL going in gold, that's a big risk to be taking and a pretty high increase compared to everything else during the same time period. I'm still leaning to a strong correction on metals at some point in the next year.
One thing never changes though, it takes money to make money and if you have a lot even small percentages translate to large amounts. Just no matter what you do, diversify! >>
Great post. I do diversify. Pension, IRA, gold.
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<< <i>When you own gold you become your own Central Bank. I think that's a pretty cool thing.............MJ >>
I like that. Can I print my own money too?
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Scroll down a little; great read.
The government is incapable of ever managing the economy. That is why communism collapsed. It is now socialism’s turn - Martin Armstrong
<< <i>sound just like me. About $250/mo of mine gets put into the system. I agree that if they try to mess with current employees and retirees the govt' workers will have it tied up with years of legal suits. The pension system never became an issue until the lawmakers decided to start borrowing from the pension fund to balance the budget. Are you in IL too? >>
Sounds like Greece to me?
We paid the 10% early withdrawal penalties and the higher tax rates on the gains in those withdrawals. We got absolutely killed in penalties and taxes, make no mistake about that.
Let me say this clearly - I am glad we did it. We didn't suffer the stock market downdraft during the Lehman meltdown, and we aren't hurting now, either.
We have no money in the stock market now, either directly or indirectly. This administration is hostile to any investors & savers, whether they be teachers, nurses, salesmen, doctors, corporate managers, small business owners or laborers, i.e., people who actually work for a living. I don't see that changing anytime soon. I think that if you belong to a certain group of middle class Americans, you are a target much like a herd of buffalo. The herd is thinning.
In my humble opinion, there will be actual damage to our welfare from higher taxes, which are certainly coming as sure as the sun rises in the sky. Add to that a falling stock market. If the stock market doesn't fall, it's only because it's being pumped with imaginary dollars in a constant shell game that generates no wealth or productivity. Either way, precious metals are the only way to go, being not only safer but having more potential for gain.
Cohodk, I know you think that deflation is the order of the day. If I didn't have an ongoing income, I probably would have kept more cash aside for the next year or two, but I did keep some cash aside as a cushion in the event of serious deflation. That's just good money management.
Oh, my returns? My net worth has easily more than tripled, and since 1998, I've pretty much repeatedly knocked the ball out of the park with precious metals, and even Mint Bullion products. Some of it is luck, and some is following up on my assessments of what I see happening around me in the world.
One day, there may be occasion to get back into stocks, and maybe even bonds, or land, or real estate - but now is not the time. However, those things tend to make you more visible and I don't relish being on the hit list for the looters in big government. Besides, we aren't yet anywhere near the bottom and it will be at least 2 1/2 years before we can even begin to heal. Sorry, but that's how I see it.
I knew it would happen.
<< <i>sound just like me. About $250/mo of mine gets put into the system. I agree that if they try to mess with current employees and retirees the govt' workers will have it tied up with years of legal suits. The pension system never became an issue until the lawmakers decided to start borrowing from the pension fund to balance the budget. Are you in IL too? >>
Whoops, I meant $250/check. $500/mo.
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<< <i>
<< <i>
mine is too, but I also opened up an IRA because pensions are becoming unsafe and total garbage. >>
Every two weeks $240.00 gets taken out of my pay and put into a pension fund. I would assume that many states
would have big lawsuits if these people realized their pension funds became total garbage. >>
My dad paid into a pension fund for nearly 40 years.
The company sold out and the pension fund became liquid assetts.
He has to rely on Social Security and is still working at age 71.
There are laws against this now but don't think it can't happen.
If the owner of the pension fund goes under and claims the money is gone, who is going to cover you?
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>
mine is too, but I also opened up an IRA because pensions are becoming unsafe and total garbage. >>
Every two weeks $240.00 gets taken out of my pay and put into a pension fund. I would assume that many states
would have big lawsuits if these people realized their pension funds became total garbage. >>
My dad paid into a pension fund for nearly 40 years.
The company sold out and the pension fund became liquid assetts.
He has to rely on Social Security and is still working at age 71.
There are laws against this now but don't think it can't happen.
If the owner of the pension fund goes under and claims the money is gone, who is going to cover you? >>
If you're union type folks, the government is quietly going to have everybody cover your pension liabilities.
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/CompanyFocus/up-next-a-huge-pension-bailout.aspx
There's other articles, just google 'union pension bailout' and see what some congressmen are proposing to take care of some union voters - up to 160+billion on the taxpayer hook coming. up-next-a-huge-pension-bailout
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>
mine is too, but I also opened up an IRA because pensions are becoming unsafe and total garbage. >>
Every two weeks $240.00 gets taken out of my pay and put into a pension fund. I would assume that many states
would have big lawsuits if these people realized their pension funds became total garbage. >>
My dad paid into a pension fund for nearly 40 years.
The company sold out and the pension fund became liquid assetts.
He has to rely on Social Security and is still working at age 71.
There are laws against this now but don't think it can't happen.
If the owner of the pension fund goes under and claims the money is gone, who is going to cover you? >>
Pension funds from the private sector are a completely different animal than government backed pension funds. Government pensions are protected and guaranteed by law (the Illinois Constitution in my case), whereas there are no such guarantees in the private sector. However, as the old saying goes...you cant squeeze blood from a stone. So if in 2025, when I retire and start collecting my RIGHTFUL pension (see my above post to understand what I mean), and the state of Illinois is bankrupt, I have no clue as to where the money will come from.
Speaking of buffs, I agree that the half of the populace with positive AGIs and particularly those public savings accounts like IRA's 401K's, are part of a herd that is being moved into the shearing pens. This gov is starving for cash and anyone that has any cash out where it can be seen will get sheared with increasing frequency and for higher amounts. It seems that the only place to keep cash is in a personal checking/savings account with no more than 10k in it. What ever the causes, we have created a gov that takes from the income producers and gives it to what ever the mood of the day requires such as wall street bankers, european bail outs, hyperextended unemployment benefits, and a plague of other big dollar money sucking programs that yield no national benefit.
The safe havens of today are not the safe havens of the boomer model where people fatten up their 401's, casually investing in stocks and equities, buy some CD's, keep new cars in the drive and keep the house updated, send the kids to college and live happily ever after until retirement when the get the Winnebago and enjoy 20 years of free willie. Those that bought into the boomer model too late are suffering from job loss, foreclosure, reposession of assets, kids/grandkids living at home past 20, no health insurance and a list of other problems. The boomer model is dead and it is way past time for folk to get a new game. Now, the sharper folk are in cash and PM and have replaced the 401's and stock plans with buying metal and stashing buks into very liquid, non penalizable accounts. Got too much cash, buy some nice realestate...the good stuff is always worth good money now and ever after and if you're not producing income with the land, you get the appreciation in value from increased demand, you pay some local property taxes and that's it. Many working boomers will venture no further into investment accounts other than Roths.
So, 80% of stock trades are by machine programs now, the individual investor is an anomalie and is vulnerable to triggers that even good investment strategies and hours of homework can't overcome. With out the institutional funds to feed the machines, the market would shrivel up to something that would represent the real valuation of assets and then people could venture into the waters again but this is not that time. Just two weeks ago, the pundits were cheering for a 12000 DOW 30, now, they hope it doesn't go below 9...how ya gonna play dat one? Fortunately, the gov is still working on the great fleecing using the boomer model but if the boomers would just abandon the old model and get with modern times, then the fleecing would end.
JMHO
DYOD
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Doo Dah
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>
mine is too, but I also opened up an IRA because pensions are becoming unsafe and total garbage. >>
Every two weeks $240.00 gets taken out of my pay and put into a pension fund. I would assume that many states
would have big lawsuits if these people realized their pension funds became total garbage. >>
My dad paid into a pension fund for nearly 40 years.
The company sold out and the pension fund became liquid assetts.
He has to rely on Social Security and is still working at age 71.
There are laws against this now but don't think it can't happen.
If the owner of the pension fund goes under and claims the money is gone, who is going to cover you? >>
Pension funds from the private sector are a completely different animal than government backed pension funds. Government pensions are protected and guaranteed by law (the Illinois Constitution in my case), whereas there are no such guarantees in the private sector. However, as the old saying goes...you cant squeeze blood from a stone. So if in 2025, when I retire and start collecting my RIGHTFUL pension (see my above post to understand what I mean), and the state of Illinois is bankrupt, I have no clue as to where the money will come from. >>
My state pension is covered by "law" as well. It was disclosed last year that if everyone eligible for state pension retired, there would be a huge shortfall. I haven't heard of that situation being corrected yet. I'm sure it's going to get worse.
The news this week is the state is going to cancel insurance for hundreds of thousands of retirees. Great!
One safe haven is being out of debt. (probably the biggest for me)
Another is growth stock MFs.
Another is diverse metals.
Too many positive BST transactions with too many members to list.
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>
mine is too, but I also opened up an IRA because pensions are becoming unsafe and total garbage. >>
Every two weeks $240.00 gets taken out of my pay and put into a pension fund. I would assume that many states
would have big lawsuits if these people realized their pension funds became total garbage. >>
My dad paid into a pension fund for nearly 40 years.
The company sold out and the pension fund became liquid assetts.
He has to rely on Social Security and is still working at age 71.
There are laws against this now but don't think it can't happen.
If the owner of the pension fund goes under and claims the money is gone, who is going to cover you? >>
Pension funds from the private sector are a completely different animal than government backed pension funds. Government pensions are protected and guaranteed by law (the Illinois Constitution in my case), whereas there are no such guarantees in the private sector. However, as the old saying goes...you cant squeeze blood from a stone. So if in 2025, when I retire and start collecting my RIGHTFUL pension (see my above post to understand what I mean), and the state of Illinois is bankrupt, I have no clue as to where the money will come from. >>
Gecko, I have no doubt you and all other government workers will get your full pension. I also have no doubt private pensions will be bailed out as well by the PBGC or some future as yet unnamed agency. The political fallout and legal ramifications of failing to deliver on pension obligations is too much for any politician to bear. The real question is where will the money come from? Production and taxation just won't cover it, not even close. That's why we all are buying and stacking PMs(well, not cohodk). You will receive exactly the amount promised, but in devalued dollars.
<< <i>When you own gold you become your own Central Bank. I think that's a pretty cool thing.............MJ >>
I like that MJ. Now I wish I had a printing press to print some "Comrade Currency" backed by 90% junk silver, silver bars, AGE's, APE's, ASE's, 2008-W Buffalo set, Liberty Spouses, US gold type set, 7070, etc., etc. I would denominate them as Liberty's and have my kids design them. I could do this with no oversight of the federal government.
Gecko, you were promised your pension by the government of Illinois, so where should it come from? Who elected the government of Illinois? When a government mismanages its own affairs in a way that is unsustainable, who should take it in the shorts when things don't work out?
If it were up to me, the entitlements would end for people who have never done anything to contribute to society, the corruption would be prosecuted to its very sources, and guns would be legal in Chicago and the rest of Illinois. It wouldn't fix everything, but it would be a start.
The biggest source of peoples' problems in Illinois is the government itself.
I knew it would happen.
I like that MJ. Now I wish I had a printing press to print some "Comrade Currency" backed by 90% junk silver, silver bars, AGE's, APE's, ASE's, 2008-W Buffalo set, Liberty Spouses, US gold type set, 7070, etc., etc.
You are now entering Galt's Gulch, comrades.
I knew it would happen.
<< <i>$600/month goes right into my pension. Thats a full 9.125% of my base salary. I would estimate that the average worker in this country puts away no more than 3-5% (if even that much) of their gross each year into retirement accounts, let alone over 9% like I do. Im so sick and tired of reading in the papers what a "burden" the public employye pension systems have become to taxpayers. If everyone in this nation put away 9% of their gross each and every paycheck from age 23, they would ALL be financially able to retire in their mid 50's with a respectable amount of income....just like a public employee on a pension system. But J6P would rather take 3 family vacations a year, remodel their bathroom and kitchen, and get a new car every 4 years than save for retirement.....and thats not my problem. >>
Are you a firefighter?
<< <i>
<< <i>$600/month goes right into my pension. Thats a full 9.125% of my base salary. I would estimate that the average worker in this country puts away no more than 3-5% (if even that much) of their gross each year into retirement accounts, let alone over 9% like I do. Im so sick and tired of reading in the papers what a "burden" the public employye pension systems have become to taxpayers. If everyone in this nation put away 9% of their gross each and every paycheck from age 23, they would ALL be financially able to retire in their mid 50's with a respectable amount of income....just like a public employee on a pension system. But J6P would rather take 3 family vacations a year, remodel their bathroom and kitchen, and get a new car every 4 years than save for retirement.....and thats not my problem. >>
Are you a firefighter? >>
I'm sorry, I confused you with Gecko who I believe is.
Then we would back on the gold standard?
This actually should be its own thread:
1) Then we would back on the gold standard?
2) Then the practice of accounting would be reduced to the math.
3) Governments wouldn't be able to fund wars without the general agreement of the people. Funding for controversial public spending programs could be compared to other spending priorities simply by comparing the numbers.
4) Taxes would be levied in accordance with the most pressing public need in order of priority.
5) Compensation would necessarily reflect a person's value to his or her company/organization and to society as a whole.
6) Politicians could be held accountable for their spending because phantom accounting practices would be illegal.
7) Retirement savings and pension plans would have to result from actual savings.
8) If people wanted the good life, they would have to work for it instead of taking it from someone else.
9) Banks wouldn't be able to manipulate the markets with bogus paper.
10) Ethics would make a comeback out of the sheer force of publicity and accountability.
That's just the short list.
I knew it would happen.
Private and/or government "protected" pension plans have their own advantages and disadvantages.
Government pensions can be protected, but what happens when the money is gone? And it is. This country is bankrupt, so it's quantitative easing into infinity. The printing presses bring about inflation, higher taxes etc that have no chance in heaven to correct insolvency. Look at Greece my friends..... first the government put limits on how much cash you could withdraw from your bank, then all other purchases had to be done by credit card, now government pensions are being decreased, taxes are going higher.
Private pensions, nah I really don't want to go there.
If someone wants to save, great. If someone wants to go on vacation, great. Everyone has choices. Remember, the bankrupt cities, states and Feds are the ones who have spent your pensions or mismanaged them. It is not the fault of the private sector. The private sector also feeds the system through taxes. Bottom line, GOVERNMENT must stop spending money.
We've been through this before especially in the 70's. We'll get throught this but it is painful and maybe the worst yet to come.
One thing I know, please don't blame the employee. We have faithfully paid our obligation forever. We pay the overwhelming majority into it and the state then contributes the rest like any employer contributes to an employee 401k. The state lawmakers are the ones who failed int his process.
Like Gecko said, contribute $500-600/mo into a 401k and one would very well get to retire in their 50s. And as in me and Gecko's case, do you really want men in their mid to late 60s rushing into a fire to save you or guarding convicted murderers and violent criminals?
I'll go back to what I said before. No one owes me a comfortable retirement and I would gladly pull out of the pension program if I am given my contribution and what I would have earned in interest since 1991. I'm leabing state employment within a few years anyway to enter the private sector. State employment has given me no satisfaction at all. I'm starting a degree program from a school in the Chicago area next January so I'll be much more qualified to work in others areas. Willing to move too.
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<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>$600/month goes right into my pension. Thats a full 9.125% of my base salary. I would estimate that the average worker in this country puts away no more than 3-5% (if even that much) of their gross each year into retirement accounts, let alone over 9% like I do. Im so sick and tired of reading in the papers what a "burden" the public employye pension systems have become to taxpayers. If everyone in this nation put away 9% of their gross each and every paycheck from age 23, they would ALL be financially able to retire in their mid 50's with a respectable amount of income....just like a public employee on a pension system. But J6P would rather take 3 family vacations a year, remodel their bathroom and kitchen, and get a new car every 4 years than save for retirement.....and thats not my problem. >>
Are you a firefighter? >>
I'm sorry, I confused you with Gecko who I believe is. >>
That is Gecko's post.
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<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>$600/month goes right into my pension. Thats a full 9.125% of my base salary. I would estimate that the average worker in this country puts away no more than 3-5% (if even that much) of their gross each year into retirement accounts, let alone over 9% like I do. Im so sick and tired of reading in the papers what a "burden" the public employye pension systems have become to taxpayers. If everyone in this nation put away 9% of their gross each and every paycheck from age 23, they would ALL be financially able to retire in their mid 50's with a respectable amount of income....just like a public employee on a pension system. But J6P would rather take 3 family vacations a year, remodel their bathroom and kitchen, and get a new car every 4 years than save for retirement.....and thats not my problem. >>
Are you a firefighter? >>
I'm sorry, I confused you with Gecko who I believe is. >>
That is Gecko's post. >>
What was someone just saying about men in their 60's????
<< <i>My 2 cents worth... or rather 1 oz worth:
Private and/or government "protected" pension plans have their own advantages and disadvantages.
Government pensions can be protected, but what happens when the money is gone? And it is. This country is bankrupt, so it's quantitative easing into infinity.
>>
This is what scares me about mine. Pensions are guaranteed by law in IL and would take like a 75-80% majority to change them, but the public is getting fired up in IL about its pension system, and the state employee pension system is pretty much insolvent, so the politicians could eventually cave in to voter pressure to save their own skin and change the laws.
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#1 1951 Bowman Los Angeles Rams Team Set
#2 1980 Topps Los Angeles Rams Team Set
#8 (and climbing) 1972 Topps Los Angeles Rams Team Set
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>
<< <i>$600/month goes right into my pension. Thats a full 9.125% of my base salary. I would estimate that the average worker in this country puts away no more than 3-5% (if even that much) of their gross each year into retirement accounts, let alone over 9% like I do. Im so sick and tired of reading in the papers what a "burden" the public employye pension systems have become to taxpayers. If everyone in this nation put away 9% of their gross each and every paycheck from age 23, they would ALL be financially able to retire in their mid 50's with a respectable amount of income....just like a public employee on a pension system. But J6P would rather take 3 family vacations a year, remodel their bathroom and kitchen, and get a new car every 4 years than save for retirement.....and thats not my problem. >>
Are you a firefighter? >>
I'm sorry, I confused you with Gecko who I believe is. >>
That is Gecko's post. >>
What was someone just saying about men in their 60's???? >>
Oh, very nice things. Great guys. Very wise.
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#1 1951 Bowman Los Angeles Rams Team Set
#2 1980 Topps Los Angeles Rams Team Set
#8 (and climbing) 1972 Topps Los Angeles Rams Team Set
<< <i><<When you own gold you become your own Central Bank. I think that's a pretty cool thing.............MJ >>
I like that MJ. Now I wish I had a printing press to print some "Comrade Currency" backed by 90% junk silver, silver bars, AGE's, APE's, ASE's, 2008-W Buffalo set, Liberty Spouses, US gold type set, 7070, etc., etc.
You are now entering Galt's Gulch, comrades. >>
That's not far away from me.
The government is incapable of ever managing the economy. That is why communism collapsed. It is now socialism’s turn - Martin Armstrong
Who said im not buying? I just happen to also sell.
Im not stacking, as that by definition means long term commitment. I am only commited to my family long term. All other assets---PMs, coins, equities, bonds, ect are for dating. When it is time to load the boat on PMs, I will. It just aint time yet.
This "crisis" has show, that the US dollar and US treasuries are safe havens. Just as they have been and wil continue to be, until the US govt is overthrown. Anybody know when that will be?
Knowledge is the enemy of fear
16 months ago
Edited: Actually, the same people are still in charge. We just don't know exactly who they are.
I knew it would happen.
I build high end houses
<< <i>This "crisis" has show, that the US dollar and US treasuries are safe havens. Just as they have been and wil continue to be, until the US govt is overthrown. Anybody know when that will be?
16 months ago
Edited: Actually, the same people are still in charge. We just don't know exactly who they are. >>
The government is incapable of ever managing the economy. That is why communism collapsed. It is now socialism’s turn - Martin Armstrong
Sorry, sorry. Anyone, any state, any entity that doesn't batten
down the hatches just might be sunk.
The government is incapable of ever managing the economy. That is why communism collapsed. It is now socialism’s turn - Martin Armstrong