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Assuming we go into a significant recession, followed by a depression....

coinlieutenantcoinlieutenant Posts: 9,317 ✭✭✭✭✭
...what do you think will be the positives for you as a coin collector?

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Comments

  • CladiatorCladiator Posts: 18,086 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'll have a bunch of change that I can use to buy bread and milk with. image
  • Ultra rarities and bullion coins. Common date low grade material and widgets will be the first to lose value.
    Never teach a pig to sing. You'll waste your time and annoy the pig image

    image
  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭
    Collectable usually go down in a big recession/depression. That is unless most of the value is in gold, silver, or platinum. People will be using there money for utilities, fuel, Credit Card debt, and keeping there houses.
  • dbldie55dbldie55 Posts: 7,736 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I own a lot of ammunition. I will need it for the doom and gloom being forecast that everyone will be out in the streets fighting to survive.
    Collector and Researcher of Liberty Head Nickels. ANA LM-6053
  • I work for the Dept. of Corrections. When things get that bad business picks up.
  • lordmarcovanlordmarcovan Posts: 43,664 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i> I own a lot of ammunition. I will need it for the doom and gloom being forecast that everyone will be out in the streets fighting to survive. >>

    And you can melt your silver to cast more bullets. Which'll come in handy if there's an outbreak of lycanthropy and werewolves roam the streets along with the rest of the dispossessed mobs.

    Explore collections of lordmarcovan on CollecOnline, management, safe-keeping, sharing and valuation solution for art piece and collectibles.
  • curlycurly Posts: 2,880


    Brothers, Mrs curly thinks ol' curly is the greatest thing since sliced bread. If my coin spending gets outta hand, I'll just put her to work. image
    Every man is a self made man.
  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭
    Sorry just reality. Anytime someone sees what's up it's the "doom and gloom" or the "sky is falling" niether title is right. We go though good times and bad and you can make money in both if you prepare. We've had good time for a couple of decades now why don't some see that with the current state of US affairs some of that will be gone just like the fall of the stock market in 2000 I was telling people to be careful in 1998 if your close to retirement. The real fools are the older folks (50+) that believe Wall Steet that you should just buy and hold forever.
  • garsmithgarsmith Posts: 5,894 ✭✭
    <<...what do you think will be the positives for you as a coin collector?>>

    I married a filipna, so I can just immigrate to the PI and ride out the storm image
  • Well, all the signs are there. GDP growth of 4.9% in the 3rd quarter, low inflation, low interest rates, job growth every month, federal deficit declining...It's terrible. Sell, Forrest, sell.
    Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

    Apropos of the coin posse/aka caca: "The longer he spoke of his honor, the tighter I held to my purse."

    image
  • garsmithgarsmith Posts: 5,894 ✭✭
    image

    But if you live by what the liberal mass media tells you everything is black!
  • fivecentsfivecents Posts: 11,207 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>...what do you think will be the positives for you as a coin collector? >>

    I would guess cheaper coin prices for those that will have any money to spend on luxury items such as coins.
  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Well, all the signs are there. GDP growth of 4.9% in the 3rd quarter, low inflation, low interest rates, job growth every month, federal deficit declining...It's terrible. Sell, Forrest, sell. >>



    And rigged figures put out by the fed that have taken all the real stuff out of the equation long ago to make there math look good. My friend you lose your $30 an hour job and have to take a $10 job to replace it all that data means squat your not better off and if you can't find a job in 6 months they just drop you off the calculaction. Any one paying Utilities, buying food, or medical insurcance should figure all these numbers out very quickly unless your slow IMO. They've also came out with 50% of Americans are way in over their heads in debt so the little game will come to an end just wait and see. I think the Fed likes to devalue the dollars so they can pay all their debt with paper worth far less then when it was purchased.
  • Wolf359Wolf359 Posts: 7,657 ✭✭✭


    << <i>...what do you think will be the positives for you as a coin collector? >>



    Since we'll all be homeless hobos, I'll have something to trade for food and clothing.
  • rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Crepe hangers abound.... intelligent people plan their future, ignore the 'chicken little's', and are secure in the knowledge that they are the master of their destiny. Let the naysayers enjoy the doom and gloom.. it is the suffering they enjoy (probably fans of the Marquis de Sade - but afraid of full blown sadism).. image enjoy life, plan, play, work. Cheers, RickO
  • coinlieutenantcoinlieutenant Posts: 9,317 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Didnt want this to turn into a debate on whether it will happen or not...just that IF it did happen, how would you benefit from a collector standpoint?

    There is always opportunity in chaos.

    J
  • Wolf359Wolf359 Posts: 7,657 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>Well, all the signs are there. GDP growth of 4.9% in the 3rd quarter, low inflation, low interest rates, job growth every month, federal deficit declining...It's terrible. Sell, Forrest, sell. >>



    And rigged figures put out by the fed that have taken all the real stuff out of the equation long ago to make there math look good. My friend you lose your $30 an hour job and have to take a $10 job to replace it all that data means squat your not better off and if you can't find a job in 6 months they just drop you off the calculaction. Any one paying Utilities, buying food, or medical insurcance should figure all these numbers out very quickly unless your slow IMO. They've also came out with 50% of Americans are way in over their heads in debt so the little game will come to an end just wait and see. I think the Fed likes to devalue the dollars so they can pay all their debt with paper worth far less then when it was purchased. >>



    There are plenty of message boards to debate politics....oh wait, Yahoo closed their boards...Raging Bull died, and PCGS pulled the Open Forum. What are the disinformation loons to do?
  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,663 ✭✭✭✭✭
    OK, coins for my collection would assumedly be cheaper.

    then again, I'd be poor and not able to afford them.

    oh, woe is me!

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry

  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>...what do you think will be the positives for you as a coin collector? >>



    Since we'll all be homeless hobos, I'll have something to trade for food and clothing. >>



    I'd say the last couple of generations that's bought into the banks/Wall Street glee to take money out of your home because you can make more in the market are in trouble. But me being 50 I can tell you the older folks that lived off what they made or those of us paying off our house and debt will be fine. Even Susan Orman that's big on investments say you have to live somewhere pay your house off and worry about investment secondary. Smart Americans plan for the worst because there really not any downside other than leaving a little more money to your kids. Greed and created Wealth seem to be running rampant in American today and people want more money than they can ever spend in their lifetimes. I've never understood that.

    Here in Tulsa we have 250 thousand house without power, it looks like a war zone and maybe 7 to 10 days before it comes back on. I now hear a lot of people that are thinking a little different after this event. Me I got my fireplace, an old free standing propane stove, latterns, food, water, ammo and guns if you insist but I'm a big shooter and gun collector. I'm good for a couple months but it's not as warm as most would like. New Orleans should give you a clue of what can happen in some parts of the country but here even though it's pitch black at night everything is calm and everyone is working though this together just like our parents in the past. Now the kids that can't want TV and Video games their going crazy.image


    Since we'll all be homeless hobos, I'll have something to trade for food and clothing.

    There are plenty of message boards to debate politics....oh wait, Yahoo closed their boards...Raging Bull died, and PCGS pulled the Open Forum. What are the disinformation loons to do?

    LMAO, didn't bring it up but I wonder why if you feel this way you enter into the talk.

  • dbcoindbcoin Posts: 2,200 ✭✭
    I don't by the Recession then Depression tag line. I think we will have just a recession; in fact, an inflationary recession, AKA stagflation.

    In 2000, when the stock market tanked, $8 trillion was wiped out. By all measures, that should have been deflationary. It was not. Prices of everything went up. The Fed printed more money which caused debasement of the currency and the prices of 'things' to increase.

    The same thing is happening now. Houses are still going down and could erase $8 trillion in the next few years but the Fed is creating more and more money to ease the pain. The prices of 'things' will go up. Coins are 'things'. Coins made of gold and silver have tangible intrinsic value and will continue to do so.

    Some coins will go down, some up. The same for any market.

    The premium to melt value on many gold coins now is the lowest it has been in years. You can still buy nice au58-ms62 gold coins at little over melt. I suspect that those coins will have a huge surge if the Fed keeps printing money and gold keeps going up. I have been a buyer of these coins for the past few years.

    Modern MS70 coins which go for 2X or more over melt, will probably decline. I have been staying away from these
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,333 ✭✭✭✭✭
    It would take more than a depression to get me to change my collecting habits.
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • My pension dollars will go further so I'll buy more coins while others are selling cheap.


    image
  • lasvegasteddylasvegasteddy Posts: 10,408 ✭✭✭
    i might be able to buy a 09vdb matty then...;-)
    everything in life is but merely on loan to us by our appreciation....lose your appreciation and see


  • PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 46,436 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i><<...what do you think will be the positives for you as a coin collector?>>

    I married a filipna, so I can just immigrate to the PI and ride out the storm image >>



    Most depressions are a world wide event so there will be no escape.

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
    "Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire

  • coinlieutenantcoinlieutenant Posts: 9,317 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>It would take more than a depression to get me to change my collecting habits. >>



    That is what I like about you Andy...collector til the end!!
  • GritsManGritsMan Posts: 2,599 ✭✭✭
    I think global warming is going to force a new surge in technology. The transition's going to be a little rough, but the great thing about having coins is you can always use 'em to get over the border if you need to. The bad thing is, it's probably always going to be worse across the border than it is here! Personally, I'm happy having a big portion of my savings tied up in coins that I can enjoy instead of in investments that I can't.
    Winner of the Coveted Devil Award June 8th, 2010
  • notwilightnotwilight Posts: 12,864 ✭✭✭
    Gold is the best hedge so if as a coin collector you have a lot of gold, especially gold at not-much-above-bullion value, you'll be very fortunate. --jerry
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,310 ✭✭✭✭✭
    As a collector in a depression, you'll have your coins to spend. Silver and gold coins will be more spendable due to bullion content.
    For the most part, collector status won't be of much help.

    Well, all the signs are there. GDP growth of 4.9% in the 3rd quarter, low inflation, low interest rates, job growth every month, federal deficit declining....

    Now that's the funniest thing I've heard today!
    image

    Helicopter Ben would be proud of you.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • Stupid question............
    How about if the earth fell into the sun?
    Would my coins be worth less??
  • BlindedByEgoBlindedByEgo Posts: 10,754 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Seems like coins would get cheaper... Depends on how much money I had, and whether my personal income stream dried up.
  • CladiatorCladiator Posts: 18,086 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Coins would get cheaper but inventories of nice stuff may dry up too. Many people will refuse to sell their very nice coins for very low prices and will decide to hold them off the market in hopes of a rebound.
  • BECOKABECOKA Posts: 16,961 ✭✭✭
    The keys will continue to get more expensive and the common stuff will drop like a jet with no engine.

    Basically the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.
  • RedneckHBRedneckHB Posts: 19,360 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I do not believe people today could handle a depression. There was no social security or welfare in the 1930s so people knew they had to be determined to survive. Given all the free handouts we have today, people are not prepared to fend for themselves. Crime would be rampant.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • coinpicturescoinpictures Posts: 5,345 ✭✭✭
    What does it matter? We're all going to die miserable and alone. The end is upon us, etc., etc.
  • pendragon1998pendragon1998 Posts: 2,070 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i> I own a lot of ammunition. I will need it for the doom and gloom being forecast that everyone will be out in the streets fighting to survive. >>

    And you can melt your silver to cast more bullets. Which'll come in handy if there's an outbreak of lycanthropy and werewolves roam the streets along with the rest of the dispossessed mobs. >>




    No, no...silver worked in Victorian England, but after the inflation during the 20th century, werewolves now refuse to die from anything less than a gold bullet. It's simple economics.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 1,039 ✭✭
    ttown - glad you are prepared. I went through a bad ice storm a few years ago, and it was horrible - we had no power and no fireplace. You must have power or using a genny to type in the dark with.

    grits - there is no global warming - it is another of the big hoaxes.

    As far as what the recession would do for me - well if I am able to make it and not spend my collection, I would hope to find some great deals - unfortunately taking advantage of those who need to sell cheap to make ends meet. I would also hope to probably find some good stuff in change, as people spend bullion junk coins, and thieves sell or spend coins they steal from other people to survive. Unfortunately, if things got bad, all of that would be true.

  • ElcontadorElcontador Posts: 7,576 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Don't forget about the reptilian space aliens, black helicopters and the chupacabras.
    "Vou invadir o Nordeste,
    "Seu cabra da peste,
    "Sou Mangueira......."
  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭
    No we all have power here at work and glad we have jobs. At home it's like a hunting trip but better. Our company has generators since it's a very large IT company. I couldn't get out monday it was like a war zone with 100 ft trees falling across the road. I just took out 8 75 to 100 foot Walnuts this summer because I was concerned with the winds and ice we've got the last few years and it's the best money I've spent. I was lucky one large branch hit the roof but last night I went up and inspected it and it's ok. It did take out my powerline to my house so tonight when I get home I'll be rehanging that and then open up the breaker box to make sure no feeds got disconnected. I figure It'll be out at least until this weekend. I'm on vactaion next week so now I got to clean up the 20 large walnuts and a couple of 125 foot hackberry trees the split in half so I won't be around next weekimage

    Funny I hear people saying they now know what the people in Iraq are going though everyday. You don't realize how worthless somethings are until something like this happens. We have crew coming in from all over the nation since there's about 500,000 homes without power in Oklahoma. I live at the lake so I'm going to be one of the last I'm sure. In a way this is a blessing since I can see what I need to do better. We had a major ice storm that hit a town here last year that didn't have power or water for 2 weeks. Everyone was laughing that I had water and food for at least a month for 2 and means (shotgun, fishing equipment to got much longer and could make clean water if needed).

    If the bird flu or something like this happened many people will find that there won't be any stores open. We had long line at the few gas stations that were open and fighting by some. We have tree crews coming in from everywhere and one company that works hurricanes said on the radio that this is like a Cat 5 Hurricane and they haven't seen anything worse. One thing I can say all of us are working together to get things done. It was very scary for 2 days with cracking trees some hitting so close to the house with no where to go. But it's all good everyone is taking it in stride for the most part it hasn't been like New Orleans but it could be since everything is pitch black and no alarms.

    I did find that it's upper 20's at night right now and with my fireplace and a free standing propane heater on the porch (I'm on propane) I can get my house up to the upper 40's. Looks like I may get one of the ventless furnesses and maybe a generator next year. When you need this stuff it's really needed.
  • They don't say brevity is the soul of wit for nothin, ya know.
    Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

    Apropos of the coin posse/aka caca: "The longer he spoke of his honor, the tighter I held to my purse."

    image
  • dbldie55dbldie55 Posts: 7,736 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I thought this thread was about a recession, not an ice storm.
    Collector and Researcher of Liberty Head Nickels. ANA LM-6053


  • << <i>My friend you lose your $30 an hour job and have to take a $10 job to replace it all that data means squat your not better off and if you can't find a job in 6 months they just drop you off the calculaction. >>




    me thinks you were either WAY overpayed or not worth 30 bucks an hour. if you are good at what you do the money is out there.
    know what you don't know.

    hi, i'm tom.

    i do not doctor coins like some who post in here.

  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>My friend you lose your $30 an hour job and have to take a $10 job to replace it all that data means squat your not better off and if you can't find a job in 6 months they just drop you off the calculaction. >>




    me thinks you were either WAY overpayed or not worth 30 bucks an hour. if you are good at what you do the money is out there. >>



    Not in Oklahoma but I could move to the coast and get way more but pay way more for everything. I think some of you need to get out and see the country. Big city folks seem to think there world is the only thing out there and have never seen their own country much less any third world county. I'd count myself lucky as long as it last. I see Maryland is now wanting to hire "Green Card" LEO's, we in various industy like construction or IT knows this is all about wages and big bussiness cutting benfits and cost. It will come to your area too I'd say so get out of debt while you can. I've been lucky since I'm in a document magament field and have uncommon skills but if your a DB, Sever support, or network guy like some of my friends they know what can happen. I think your just pumping your chest thinking it'll never happen to you.
    Go on telling yourself thatimage


  • << <i>I thought this thread was about a recession, not an ice storm. >>



    With extra added mention of Iraq, New Orleans and hurricanes.
    Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

    Apropos of the coin posse/aka caca: "The longer he spoke of his honor, the tighter I held to my purse."

    image
  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭
    yea I know adding facts of what could happen and why coins would decress in value and adding examples of reality isn't PCimage
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 1,039 ✭✭
    Yes, I think I'd better stock up "just in case". My Y2K food is probably going to start going bad within the next couple of years.
    LOL - Good luck to all those in OK. It really does make you think "WHY didn't I 'do that'/insert many things."



  • MadMartyMadMarty Posts: 16,697 ✭✭✭
    It's not going to happen, remember Hillary is going to fix everything! image
    It is not exactly cheating, I prefer to consider it creative problem solving!!!

  • RichieURichRichieURich Posts: 8,514 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>They don't say brevity is the soul of wit for nothin, ya know. >>



    I thought the saying was "Brevity is the soul of lingerie." imageimage

    An authorized PCGS dealer, and a contributor to the Red Book.

  • coinlieutenantcoinlieutenant Posts: 9,317 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Well,

    I really didnt want this to be about the possibility, ludicracy, likelihood or rapid onset of doom and gloom.

    Only Elwood and a few others have taken the time to answer the freaking question so I will go ahead and throw my two cents in on both regards.

    I believe that during a recession, there will be moderate rarities to be purchased at a significant bargain. Much of the coins that have seen major run ups in the last 5 to 7 years will be on sale given that many of the purchasers of such coins are middle class Americans that will suffer greatly in the event that things go south. Major rarities are in a different class...they will only continue to go up in value IMO regardless of the economy. The rich never really feel the hardships the way the middle class or poor will.

    Without dwelling too much on the topic that everyone WANTS to talk about in this thread, I wont offer my opinion. What I do find interesting is all of the people that croon and croak about the "doomsday prophets". IMO, only a fool doesnt at least take some precautions when the minority begans to vocalize concerns. My advice is to take everything with a grain of salt...but act like a boy scout...and be prepared.

  • BlindedByEgoBlindedByEgo Posts: 10,754 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Well,

    I really didnt want this to be about the possibility, ludicracy, likelihood or rapid onset of doom and gloom.

    Only Elwood and a few others have taken the time to answer the freaking question so I will go ahead and throw my two cents in on both regards.

    I believe that during a recession, there will be moderate rarities to be purchased at a significant bargain. Much of the coins that have seen major run ups in the last 5 to 7 years will be on sale given that many of the purchasers of such coins are middle class Americans that will suffer greatly in the event that things go south. Major rarities are in a different class...they will only continue to go up in value IMO regardless of the economy. The rich never really feel the hardships the way the middle class or poor will.

    Without dwelling too much on the topic that everyone WANTS to talk about in this thread, I wont offer my opinion. What I do find interesting is all of the people that croon and croak about the "doomsday prophets". IMO, only a fool doesnt at least take some precautions when the minority begans to vocalize concerns. My advice is to take everything with a grain of salt...but act like a boy scout...and be prepared. >>



    So do you consider that was I one of those who answered your question? image
This discussion has been closed.