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Today's Modern Crap...

... is tomorrow's treasures.

Does anyone think this is true?

I mean at one time all coins were modern crap: 1909-S VDB Lincoln Cent, 1916-D Winged Liberty Dime and 1932-D Washington Quarter.

I perfect example of this would be 1994 SMS & 1997 SMS Jefferson Nickel. It has low mintage and very few collectors after it. But given another 10-15 years the price will likely appreciate.

Given another 10-15 years, do you think there will be appreciation for 1950's proof sets?

I've been purchasing 1954 and 1955 proof sets for the past 5 years.
I've about 25 sets for each year.

I know most would call these sets modern crap, but they do have value today, and will must likely have value tomorrow.

Just venting alittle.

Thanks,

Chris

Post script:

Can anyone give me an example of a coin that was "modern crap" in the 1950's that has appreciated?

Thanks,

Chris

Comments

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    tightbudgettightbudget Posts: 7,299 ✭✭✭
    Only time will tell...
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    No, I don't agree.

    First of all, the modern crap of 100 years ago didn't have business strike mintages in the hudreds of millions.

    The Commems of 100 years ago were not all saved.

    The coins of 100 years ago had gold and silver in them. IMHO clad will never be even close in popularity to silver.
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    HighReliefHighRelief Posts: 3,658 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Can anyone give me an example of a coin that was "modern crap" in the 1950's that has appreciated? >>




    The 1955 DDO Lincoln Cent.
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    aus3000tinaus3000tin Posts: 369 ✭✭✭
    I feel modern coinage does not get the respect it deserves.
    There are some modern keys, but they don't receive their deserved respect.
    Given a few years, 10-15 years, maybe the "modern crap" bashers will think differently.

    Just because the 19th century coinage was not preserved in high grade, many collectors treat the coinage as Holy Grail.

    Let them collect their heavily worn, dark toned and just plain crusty coins.

    I prefer to collect a coin that is high quality struck and pleasing to the eye.

    I know I'll probably get flack for bashing the old-time collector, but then again maybe I deserve it.

    Thanks,

    Chris



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    halfhunterhalfhunter Posts: 2,770 ✭✭✭
    First of all, the modern crap of 100 years ago didn't have business strike mintages in the hudreds of millions.

    Yes but there was only about 75 million people in the US then.

    Best Regards,

    John
    Need the following OBW rolls to complete my 46-64 Roosevelt roll set:
    1947-P & D; 1948-D; 1949-P & S; 1950-D & S; and 1952-S.
    Any help locating any of these OBW rolls would be gratefully appreciated!
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    djdilliodondjdilliodon Posts: 1,938 ✭✭
    There is no doubt that the 1950 to the low 1960 proof sets are going up in value. Heck a 1950 proof set issue price was a whopping $2.10 and now they go for over $700. The key though is to get coins from those sets in cameo and ultra cameo as those I feel are def going to see a nice price jump in a few years (some are worth a ton now). The stuff coming out of the mint today some will be worth cash and some wont. If there is a high mintage chances are it will actually sell for less than issue price 10 years down the line like many of the 1980 sets do. If there is enough to go around there wont be any demand at least in our life time. There maybe that small demand for the certain few that want the graded coins in perfect 70 but the sets raw will sell for next to nothing. Now some of the new stuff with a low mintage is a different story. Personally i collect what my eyes like regardless of what it is. Lately ive been checkin out some world stuff as some of those coins just look amazing. In the end time will tell but modern or not just collect what ya like cause that is what matters.
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    kiyotekiyote Posts: 5,568 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>No, I don't agree.

    First of all, the modern crap of 100 years ago didn't have business strike mintages in the hudreds of millions.

    The Commems of 100 years ago were not all saved.

    The coins of 100 years ago had gold and silver in them. IMHO clad will never be even close in popularity to silver. >>



    Ugh, I'm too tired to even know where to start. Someone else wanna take this one?
    "I'll split the atom! I am the fifth dimension! I am the eighth wonder of the world!" -Gef the talking mongoose.
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    Hi Chris.. First of all.... How long have you been collecting,????... Like me I see you've been a member here for about a year... You know one of the first things I was told when I joined a coin club about nine years ago, was,,, Buy books and get educated on the coins you may want to collect,,, Have fun with it and treat it as a Hobby... Don't buy them for an investment..... Buy what you Like,!!!!!... and buy the best you can afford.... I know this may sound a little crazy,, but I spent two years getting educated on 35mm cameras before I bought one... I did'nt want to spend that kind of money buying A camera that later I would figure out and regret was'nt what I really wanted... is there certain coins that you personaly like, or are you doing this as "an investment"... Oh, and don't get me wrong, I absolutely Like some of the new modern day designs, and collect them myself . image .How long have you been collecting Chris,????
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    ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,900 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I mean at one time all coins were modern crap: 1909-S VDB Lincoln Cent, 1916-D Winged Liberty Dime and 1932-D Washington Quarter. >>

    It depends on your definition of crap. It seems that "crap" is used to describe coins that were created for collectors, not circulation. If the coins listed above were meant for regular circulation then they would not be classified as crap.

    << <i>I perfect example of this would be 1994 SMS & 1997 SMS Jefferson Nickel. It has low mintage and very few collectors after it. But given another 10-15 years the price will likely appreciate. >>

    Because SMS Jeffs were only available in collector sets, they can be considered crap and not a part of a regular circulation strike set.

    << <i>Given another 10-15 years, do you think there will be appreciation for 1950's proof sets? >>

    Proofs can be classified as crap, whether they are classic or modern.

    Just wanted to make a distinction. At one time all coins were modern, but not all coins were "crap" image
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    ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭
    Well you never know, I do know no one is saving anything new in rolls much anymore so your high grade stuff could be rarer. I'd say there a better chance on the pennies and nickels if the goverment (like Canada) removes them from circulation to melt and replaces them with a cheaper metal.
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    CoxeCoxe Posts: 11,139
    The 1909-S VDB is one of the most overrated and overpromoted pieces of crap. The survival rate doesn't rival the true bullion crap of today, but they sure are not rare coins. Nonetheless, they are still coins.

    I think, despite the obscenely high mintages, there will be treasures from among the clad era circulation coins. No absolute date rarities, but plenty of condition rarities. This will be especially true if we find clad coins to be particularly sensitive to their long term storage environments. Virtually no rolls were set aside for many years and then those that were often were split as junk and not maintained. I think quarters especially are going to have some condition stoppers in that early 70s branch mint era.

    State quarters? No f'ing way, unless clad doesn't physically hold up, will those have any real future. Too many collectors of those who think they will obviously weren't in the hobby in 1976. Fun to collect though, especially at face; my kids do that. But they are indeed modern crap.

    I also love strike rarities among the Jeffersons in the 50s through early 70s. We know the full steps are nowhere for many dates, but the best accumulation secert probably is grabing those ones that are pretty close to full.
    Select Rarities -- DMPLs and VAMs
    NSDR - Life Member
    SSDC - Life Member
    ANA - Pay As I Go Member
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    ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,900 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I also love strike rarities among the Jeffersons in the 50s through early 70s. We know the full steps are nowhere for many dates, but the best accumulation secert probably is grabing those ones that are pretty close to full. >>

    Sounds like it would be a major coup if someone bought up a lot of those and convinced a top TPG to slab them with a designation such as AFS (About Full Steps) or someting else. Actually, if AFS coins started to be worth as much as FS coins, then they could simply be designated as FS using market grading. Could be an interesting development if it happened.
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    IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,738 ✭✭✭
    Some time in the not too distant future they will likely stop minting coins. At my age I try not to look further than the next day and trying to predict what the value of a coin is that is mass produced in fairly unattractive metals is mind boggling to say the least. I collect mostly pre-1964 coinage but occasionally have purchase coins minted later. I also have coins minted in the 17th and 19th centuries because I liked those particular coins. As I said in another thread collecting copper cents, both IHC's and Lincolns is what got me interested in the hobby. If however they had coined lincolns like they do today I never would have collected them. Its a combination of the design and the metals used. Back then you could feel a bunch of cents in your pockets, todays feel like tokens in you pockets.

    A number of folks have expressed the opinion that some modern collectors are mostly in it for a buck. Take a look at the number of bulk submissions that the TPG's look at, follow the money. It's also disturbing to a number of us the numerous threads about how to get around the order limits at the US Mint, the arguements over 70's vs 69's, the arguements over NGC 70's vs PCGS 70's. There is a reason the TPG's make a lot of money. Once again follow it. Add on the way too many threads about delivery dates and order numbers and it becomes mind boggling to those here who aren't interested. You continually have to search back to find a numismatically interesting thread rather than one bragging about what price they sold their 70 Plats or how many boxes they stuffed away.

    Some of the posters know very little even about the history of the designs of these coins and others like Don Heath Russ and Cladking have interesting coins and provide an intellectual discussion. Even the most crusty ol classic collector admires their knowledge and dedication. Unfortunately when the discussions about moderns come up we see too little of this. You often see some thin skin come through which in my view only validates some of the truth in why some folks buy moderns.

    As been said a million times collect what you like, learn to appreciate the work and enjoyment others put into collecting what they like. No one should affect your attitude but yourself.
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    HIGHLOWLEAVESHIGHLOWLEAVES Posts: 781 ✭✭✭
    Wisconsin Extra Leaf Quarters. Low, low mintages. Many State Quarter Collectors want these scarce coins. Mark.
    Specialized Investments
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    ajiaajia Posts: 5,400 ✭✭✭
    Are you talking about "appreciation" as in "I really think the coin is beautiful" or "The value of this coin really jumped higher"?

    I would agree in the latter statement as we hae seen it time & time again, not only with the 'flippers', but with low mintage MC.
    Another driving force are Red Book, Coin Albums & Registry sets.

    Some would agree with the first statement, but not me.
    Compared to the designs of the classics, it is MC, and I still collect it!

    JMO

    ADDED:
    To answer your question, "Today's Modern Crap is tomorrow's treasures.", some, but very few, based on mintage, not design.
    image
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    jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,380 ✭✭✭✭✭
    This is the kind of thread that deserves an answer that infuriates the most people possible.

    It depends on your definition of crap. It seems that "crap" is used to describe coins that were created for collectors, not circulation. If the coins listed above were meant for regular circulation then they would not be classified as crap.

    One might define crap as any coin that doesn't have newly-minted proof surfaces. For instance, an AU 1895 Morgan could be considered crap alongside a 2007 Proof 1 oz. Silver Eagle.

    The 1909-S VDB is one of the most overrated and overpromoted pieces of crap. The survival rate doesn't rival the true bullion crap of today, but they sure are not rare coins. Nonetheless, they are still coins.

    One might define crap as a variety that no one except a specialist in that series might be interested in, such as a die pairing that nobody else in the whole world cares about. In stark contrast, that same specialist might consider a 1909-S vdb Lincoln, one of the most popularized and collected U.S. coins ever, as crap.

    **You might take the attitude that John Albanese takes - that any coin graded as 70 is overrated crap and is therefore hazardous to your financial health.**

    Or, in contrast - you might decide that too many dealers have marked up prices for too many old coins for too many years - and that anything bought from the coin syndicate is over-graded and over-rated crap, which makes 70-graded coins look like a flaming once-in-a-millennium buying opportunity by comparison.

    **You might believe, as do Laura and TDN - that most of the slabbed coins showing up at auction are crap, and that they are dragging down the prices of your inventory so badly that you are justified in calling everyone else's inventory crap (because of a "bifucated market", don't you know?), whilst placing stickers on your own crap for "soft money" trading purposes within the syndicate.**

    Instead, you might just come to recognize that good material is hard to come by (just like it always has been), that coins worth less than $50,000 need love too, and that it's cathartic and sometimes even good for the soul to admit things as they really are, such as admitting that the coin market is "soft" and not "bifurcated", that you don't know everything about every coin in the market, and that other sellers have nice coins too.

    **You might observe that the U.S. Mint is whoring up the coin market with so many different coins and special finishes that you can't keep up with your list of new issues, much less find the time or money to buy them with. You might feel that Congress is so self-absorbed in self-adulation, scandal and political infighting that it's hard to see how they find the time to authorize so many meaningless and ill-conceived new coin issues designed to fleece as many coin collectors as is humanly possible in as short a time period as possible, so that in a year, they can start doing it all over again.**

    Ultimately, you can worry about all of this crap, or you can learn how to grade, develop your own set of priorities, and not really worry about what other people think about your collections. And in the end, if you enjoy your collection, you win.





    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
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    Also,

    the crap of 100 years ago didn't sell for multitudes of ten over the face value
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    << <i>

    << <i>Can anyone give me an example of a coin that was "modern crap" in the 1950's that has appreciated? >>




    The 1955 DDO Lincoln Cent. >>



    That's a significantly different situation. It falls into the realm of errors, where the clash over modern coins is between strictly classic collectors and hybrids of classic and/or modern collectors.
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    EdscoinEdscoin Posts: 2,028 ✭✭✭


    << <i>This is the kind of thread that deserves an answer that infuriates the most people possible.

    It depends on your definition of crap. It seems that "crap" is used to describe coins that were created for collectors, not circulation. If the coins listed above were meant for regular circulation then they would not be classified as crap.

    One might define crap as any coin that doesn't have newly-minted proof surfaces. For instance, an AU 1895 Morgan could be considered crap alongside a 2007 Proof 1 oz. Silver Eagle.

    The 1909-S VDB is one of the most overrated and overpromoted pieces of crap. The survival rate doesn't rival the true bullion crap of today, but they sure are not rare coins. Nonetheless, they are still coins.

    One might define crap as a variety that no one except a specialist in that series might be interested in, such as a die pairing that nobody else in the whole world cares about. In stark contrast, that same specialist might consider a 1909-S vdb Lincoln, one of the most popularized and collected U.S. coins ever, as crap.

    **You might take the attitude that John Albanese takes - that any coin graded as 70 is overrated crap and is therefore hazardous to your financial health.**

    Or, in contrast - you might decide that too many dealers have marked up prices for too many old coins for too many years - and that anything bought from the coin syndicate is over-graded and over-rated crap, which makes 70-graded coins look like a flaming once-in-a-millennium buying opportunity by comparison.

    **You might believe, as do Laura and TDN - that most of the slabbed coins showing up at auction are crap, and that they are dragging down the prices of your inventory so badly that you are justified in calling everyone else's inventory crap (because of a "bifucated market", don't you know?), whilst placing stickers on your own crap for "soft money" trading purposes within the syndicate.**

    Instead, you might just come to recognize that good material is hard to come by (just like it always has been), that coins worth less than $50,000 need love too, and that it's cathartic and sometimes even good for the soul to admit things as they really are, such as admitting that the coin market is "soft" and not "bifurcated", that you don't know everything about every coin in the market, and that other sellers have nice coins too.

    **You might observe that the U.S. Mint is whoring up the coin market with so many different coins and special finishes that you can't keep up with your list of new issues, much less find the time or money to buy them with. You might feel that Congress is so self-absorbed in self-adulation, scandal and political infighting that it's hard to see how they find the time to authorize so many meaningless and ill-conceived new coin issues designed to fleece as many coin collectors as is humanly possible in as short a time period as possible, so that in a year, they can start doing it all over again.**

    Ultimately, you can worry about all of this crap, or you can learn how to grade, develop your own set of priorities, and not really worry about what other people think about your collections. And in the end, if you enjoy your collection, you win. >>


    image
    ED
    .....................................................
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    GritsManGritsMan Posts: 2,599 ✭✭✭
    Perceptions will always change with age. When I was a kid, a Frankie didn't look that classic. Now, I find them incredibly alluring, especially in the old proof sets that you are acquiring. I'm guessing that in 40 years, others will regard many of today's issues in the same way. Which ones? Who knows, but I've been very impressed with the designs on some of the quarters, the "Lewis and Clark" nickels, and both the commemmoratives and bullion coins. And, as some have pointed out, we can collect these KNOWING their histories and that they haven't been messed with. I'm just too unknowledgeable to do that with older series, as much as I'd like to. So yeah, if coin collecting survives at all, I think today's releases are going to be just as appreciated for their beauty, history, and (when appropriate) rarity in the future.
    Winner of the Coveted Devil Award June 8th, 2010
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    ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,900 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>It depends on your definition of crap. It seems that "crap" is used to describe coins that were created for collectors, not circulation. If the coins listed above were meant for regular circulation then they would not be classified as crap. >>

    One might define crap as any coin that doesn't have newly-minted proof surfaces. >>

    You can create any definition for yourself, but from what I've seen, numismatic crap is usually synonymous with NCLT.
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    Type2Type2 Posts: 13,985 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I say yes, some of the coins today will be the keys of tomorrow you just need to save them and don't let the bashing get to you. some day we will say I remember when coins where made of clad. I hope to see that day. image


    Hoard the keys.
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    roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    the crap of 100 years ago didn't sell for multitudes of ten over the face value

    A 1900 proof set (less gold) cost all of around $3-$4 at time of issue.
    A smaller premium than what stuff cost in the last 40-50 years.

    In the mid-1940's you could purchase gem bust and seated coinage in the $1.50 to $3 range as Benson and others did. Guess for those prices that stuff was crap too. I can only imagine what they thought of BU rolls of Washington 25c's or Walkers.

    roadrunner

    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
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    23Pairer23Pairer Posts: 911 ✭✭✭


    << <i>As been said a million times collect what you like, learn to appreciate the work and enjoyment others put into collecting what they like. No one should affect your attitude but yourself. >>



    Great statement and total response, IrishMike. You aren't taking the coins with you to the grave, and no amount of money or MS70 Plats will change that outcome. Enjoy the HOBBY and talk to us about the HOBBY, not the number of Jefferson spouse coins you bought.
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    ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,900 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>You aren't taking the coins with you to the grave >>

    That's not always true. Sometimes people do.
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    jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,380 ✭✭✭✭✭
    numismatic crap is usually synonymous with NCLT.

    Not necessarily, in my view.image

    I tend to associate poor quality, over-grading and over-pricing with the concept of "crap", which occurs in every facet of the hobby.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
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    ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,900 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>numismatic crap is usually synonymous with NCLT. >>

    Not necessarily, in my view.image

    I tend to associate poor quality, >>

    I guess weakly struck, non-FBL/FH/FS, and non-70s could be crap then. If non-70s are crap, then perhaps every classic coin is crap.

    << <i>over-grading and over-pricing with the concept of "crap", which occurs in every facet of the hobby. >>

    Those are more to do with the slab and pricing than the coin itself but I see what you're getting at.
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    I have no problems with modern coins or the large amounts of coins being produce, if its good for the hobby. I do have a problem with the ms70 and pr70 crap. Remember when the dot.com companys that had higher values than the sp500 companies, and than went belly up.

    John
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    jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,380 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I have no problems with modern coins or the large amounts of coins being produce, if its good for the hobby. I do have a problem with the ms70 and pr70 crap. Remember when the dot.com companys that had higher values than the sp500 companies, and than went belly up.

    That may well be true, John. And, if you leave a market alone - most of the time, they self-correct. That may happen someday with highly-graded slabs. And if it ever does, it will reflect what the market perceives as a new reality. For the time being, we have to deal with the current realities.image
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
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    I would put my bets on MS66 and above and rare IKE varities as modern crap to collect- these coins will increase in value over time - what comes to mind is the 1971 D that has a 72 PROOF reverse - referred to as the FRIENDLY EAGLE - maybe rarer than the 72 Type 2 - the FEP has a neat history behind it - the IKE series ran for seven years - short duration, fairly easy to collect - in MS66 and above, IMHO is beautiful coin, clad or not
    currently putting together a EF/AU/BU 18th & 19th Century Type Set; and CC Morgan Set

    just completed 3d tour to Iraq and retired after 28+ years in the US Army
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    pb2ypb2y Posts: 1,461
    <FONT style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #c0c0c0">None of us on this Forum will live long enough to see the worth of "modern coins"
    We are only temporary keepers and they will be passed on and on and on.
    And in due time they will be ancient curiosities like a Roman copper. </FONT>
    image

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    GATGAT Posts: 3,146
    There's no way I will live to see today's modern coins become classics so I am not collecting for myself. Over the past few years I have been selling off the majority of my Morgans keeping only Walkers, gold and platinum coins. Gold and certain platinum coins are all I purchase now. I have told my wife that anything she doesn't need is to be given to our 16 year old granddaughter. She is the one that will see these coins become classics.
    USAF vet 1951-59
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    RayboRaybo Posts: 5,273 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>There's no way I will live to see today's modern coins become classics so I am not collecting for myself. Over the past few years I have been selling off the majority of my Morgans keeping only Walkers, gold and platinum coins. Gold and certain platinum coins are all I purchase now. I have told my wife that anything she doesn't need is to be given to our 16 year old granddaughter. She is the one that will see these coins become classics. >>



    MOST of the modern stuff looks like crap to me, very shallow relief and no artistic value.

    I'm an old school kinda person.

    Ray


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    ZoinsZoins Posts: 33,900 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>There's no way I will live to see today's modern coins become classics so I am not collecting for myself. Over the past few years I have been selling off the majority of my Morgans keeping only Walkers, gold and platinum coins. Gold and certain platinum coins are all I purchase now. I have told my wife that anything she doesn't need is to be given to our 16 year old granddaughter. She is the one that will see these coins become classics. >>

    MOST of the modern stuff looks like crap to me, very shallow relief and no artistic value.

    I'm an old school kinda person.

    Ray >>

    Depends on which coins you like. Most of the late 19th century coins looked like crap to TR so if you like those, you're not that old school image
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    When I was a kid my brothers and I bought toy soldiers at the 5&10 cent store. They cost 10 cents each and were made of (GASP!) solid lead.
    We entertained ourselves on a rainy day by setting them up on opposite sides of the room and knocking them down by rolling a golf ball at them.
    Today these things are valued at $300 to $500 each. They are known to toy soldier collectors as "dime stores".
    My brother is to this day an avid toy soldier collector. His specialty is Napoleonic era European and Cossack soldiers.
    They don't hold much interest for me but he sure enjoys going around the country attending toy soldier shows.
    There are thousands of collectors of all types of things most of us couldn't care less about.
    Collectors should do exactly that-- collect.
    If the main goal is financial gain there is apt to be great disappointment in many cases.
    I happen to have no interest whatsoever in the modern products the Mint has produced strictly as a revenue producing program rather than real circulating currency.
    However everyone should collect whatever they can afford an enjoy without regard for anyone else's opinion. Dave W






    David J Weygant Rare Coins website: www.djwcoin.com


    dalias13@hotmail.com
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    tychojoetychojoe Posts: 1,335 ✭✭✭
    I think it all depends on how a person connects with coins, particularly as a youth in meaningful ways, like how they were given by a family member, or earned on a paper route or whatever. To that extent, the better examples (e.g. gem BU) of today's coins will always be tomorrow's treasures.

    Will modern crap be worth a lot of money tomorrow? Sure why not! But didn't it take a LONG, LONG time for most of the classic stuff to appreciate a lot? How long do you want to wait? How much opportunty cost can you afford? I like the ideas I've read here -- your SMS nickels and the 50's cameos, for example, seem like safe bets for a better payoff some day.

    I think the point that cladking has made most clearly is that everybody takes today's coins for granted, so the nicest specimens in some series are guaranteed to be especially rare and costly -- someday. There's enough in the archives here alone to put together a few ten-baggers and a lot of two- or three-baggers, I'd say.
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    rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Jmski52 had excellent inputs.... as did some others.... There is one niche I might point out in the modern market...the silver proofs... especially in the SHQ's. I do think that these may be the future treasure of quarters. However, my crystal ball has been known to be foggy, so I just mention this for consideration. Cheers, RickO

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