Changing my mind on grading....................

After being in to the grading scene pretty heavily for about three years, I realized the other day it was time to take a step back. Buying raw vintage cards and submitting them is not what it used to be. On the whole, the math just isn't there unless you're a dealer and buying them at wholesale prices. I had originally dreamed of owning registry sets from the 50's up through the 80's, but now that is going to be dramatically scaled back. I will still put together sets that are a combination of raw and graded, but the days of me putting together a completely graded set from scratch are over. I'm not going to buy a raw 1968 common for $5, get it graded for another $5 (at the least), get an 8 and have $11 in a card which won't sell for that, even though "SMR" is $12.
I will still buy graded cards - let some other person pay the grading fees - and occasionally I will take advantage of a special or two. But I'm not going to be stupid and get everything vintage I have slabbed, whether it's high grade or not. It's just not worth it.
Ron
I will still buy graded cards - let some other person pay the grading fees - and occasionally I will take advantage of a special or two. But I'm not going to be stupid and get everything vintage I have slabbed, whether it's high grade or not. It's just not worth it.
Ron
Ron Burgundy
Buying Vintage, all sports.
Buying Woody Hayes, Les Horvath, Vic Janowicz, and Jesse Owens autographed items
Buying Vintage, all sports.
Buying Woody Hayes, Les Horvath, Vic Janowicz, and Jesse Owens autographed items
0
Comments
////////////////////////////////////////////////
Most often that is a VERY wise decision.
Loth
Unless its a card for one of my player sets that I just HAVE to have graded I wont bother.
Just like you stated, let someone else ( most often one of the big dealers ) spend the time, effort, and $$ submitting cards.
I too have gone back to the sets in binders thing. Its amazing how much joy you can bring back to your collecting by having nice looking cards neatly displayed in pages at your disposal to look through whenever you want.
-- Yogi Berra
On the other hand, I have started a few player sets on the registry and I find that pretty enjoyable.
They can sustain your interest longer, be easier to complete, and are definately more affordable in the long run.
Unless you have the utmost focus and desire complete sets are a tough battle, not to mention an almost certain big time loss monetarily.
There is also the problem of storing a 500-800 card set when graded. Add in the odds of actually being able to sit there and look through all the cards and it becomes an even tougher game.
PSA 5-7 quality cards with nice centering and eye appeal can be more than adequate when in pages and album. As opposed to a graded card where you tend to scrutinize each card more carefully, a set in binders is taken and enjoyed as a whole, overlooking each cards slight blemish that reduce it from a PSA 9 to a PSA 7 card.
-- Yogi Berra
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
<< <i>I came to the same conclusion earlier this year. I went back to how I collected as a kid. I'm still working on a NM 60's football set, but I'm happy to collect this one set in 7's. One the other hand I'm working on 6 raw football sets from the 60's and having a blast buying lots for under $30 and stars in ex-nm condition. Sellers know they aren't gradable but the sure look nice in my binders. i'm not going to stop buying graded completely, but I sure am not going to get into the registry madness for PSA 9's or 10's. A $.50 common in a binder can set you back $100 or more in a 9 and gosh knows how much in a 10. I'm quite happy with what I'm doing. Good luck in your venture. >>
I agree, well said.
No complaints here
I bought hundreds of raw cards from Mickey a couple of years ago and that was worth it only because his raw prices were low and at least 35-40% come back a full grade higher than what was bought at. But that was a couple of years ago and despite renewing my PSA membership, I do not plan on doing any more big submissions.
Collector of Pittsburgh Pirates cards for a slightly less stupid reason.
My Pirates Collection
I just started on a new set, the T218s, and I've bought a few graded and some raw... but eventually I'm either going to go one way or the other for the whole set. I just can't decide which.
Ron
Buying Vintage, all sports.
Buying Woody Hayes, Les Horvath, Vic Janowicz, and Jesse Owens autographed items
So for those of you that argue that graded is better than raw - and for those that say that raw is better that graded - I just have to say --
I AGREE WITH YOU !!
- Jack
<< <i>I see a lot of comments about having nice sets in binders and I couldn't agree more. That's one reason I'm changing course and I've heard rumblings at shows about other collectors doing the same thing. The registry will live on, of course - and I confess that it's cool to perhaps have maybe one fully graded set (perhaps your favorite set, set of your birth year, etc.) - but nothing will ever take the place of being able to have nice raw cards in binders that look great.
Ron >>
And that is exactly what I have done, esp. for my favorite sets from when I started collecting in the 1970s. About 20 years ago, I completed all of the sets from 1970-1977 (except 1975) and I still have my two favorites, the 1970 and 1971 sets, in binders. I just don't believe that it is feasible anymore to build a completely graded 1970s raw set, unless it's all PSA 10 (9 stars) or the 1971 set (in any grade). In fact, I had been thinking about my next set after the 1957s and I am leaning towards building a really nice 1972 raw set. I had, at one time, thought about doing this in graded but it makes no sense to me now.
I have a 52 bowman set. last week i sent in the Mantle and the Mays for grading. those 2 and the Berra are it for me. The 3 slabs fit nicely on the inside cover slot and the rest are in the pages.
Ditto for my raw 66 set, only the mantle will stay graded. i also find it cost effective to buy 5 , 6, and 7's and break them out for certain cards.
I have now sold off 380 of 598 cards from my 65 set. I am on a course to get my dough back and possibly make a lil too.
It was just too much of a burden storing all those cards. When grading first came out i thought it was for grading the hi dollar cards not commons. What happened though was the commons turned out to be rarer then the high dollar cards and thus they became almost as valuable!
Steve
By the way, that $2500 figure also factors in my shipping costs for the auction wins. I've been selective in bidding as well. I don't bid on poorly centered 8s, ones with print dots or ones with the common for 1961 black print smudge on the border.
<< <i>These binders everyone speaks of....are they just like years ago - Ultra Pro pages and a 3-ring binder or is there something different nowdays? >>
Yep, pretty much. But I've found BCW pages to be just as good (perhaps better) than Ultra-Pro. I just bought a whole case of them (1000 pages) for less than $92 shipped.
D's: 50P,49S,45D+S,43D,41S,40D,39D+S,38D+S,37D+S,36S,35D+S,all 16-34's
Q's: 52S,47S,46S,40S,39S,38S,37D+S,36D+S,35D,34D,32D+S
74T: 241,435,610,654 97 Finest silver: 115,135,139,145,310
73T:31,55,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,80,152,165,189,213,235,237,257,341,344,377,379,390,422,433,453,480,497,545,554,563,580,606,613,630
95 Ultra GM Sets: Golden Prospects,HR Kings,On-Base Leaders,Power Plus,RBI Kings,Rising Stars
This describes me.
Time to exit the rat race. No chance of breaking even anymore.
I'll miss the pulse-pounding grade poppage and the oooohs and aaaahs from posting grades.
No longer makes any sense, though.
I've come to realize card grading is actually kind of a goofy concept.
booyeah!
thumbs up on this.
jmo
Steve
later jeff
03/04 & 05/06 topps black
72-77 topps baseball raw
72-75 topps football raw
any years santo,williams,banks,
payton,butkus,sayers,piccalo,ditka,hampton
wantlist
good transactions katscards,swartz1,packman,Salinas
The show dealers I used to purchase high grade raw cards from have priced themselves out of the market in my opinion. They are typically charging SMR PSA 8 prices for raw cards. Often I can get that card on eBay for a fraction and not risk a faint flaw that I could miss in a poorly lit showroom. So I've found myself moving in the opposite direction where I'm purchasing more graded cards and fewer raw cards. As the populations of the graded cards go up and the inventory of high grade raw cards go down, the price differential becomes blurred.
In any event, high grade registry sets aren't going away. There will always be deep pocket collectors willing to ante up the $ to own a world class set.
1957 Topps PSA
1961 Fleer SGC
Besides, who needs a 1974 Topps Pepe Frias in MINT 9, anyway? Oh, yeah, I do, for my player set.
I have about 20 raw sets in binders, all stored on one bookshelf. they are easy to look at, whenever I want to. They will never get slabbed, because of the cost.
I have 3 fully slabbed sets that fill the rest of the room, and although great cards, I can only check about 20 at a time.
Also agree with Ron's point about cost of grading commons - money loser for most sets 1960 and up.
You know what gave me great fun? I was in the supermarket today and I bought 5 packs of 2007 Topps cards. When I got home, I opened each one, and chewed all the gums too. I didn't give a hoot about corners, creases, stains, or storage. The gum flavor only lasted about 5 minutes, but brought me back to the good old days for the rest of the day.
Larry
There was a time when grading was thought to be the savior of the hobby but lately it seems that the hobby has come full circle and grading is biting the hobby in the butt.
Sure, there will always be the die hards, those who just don't care and those who choose not to see the writing on the wall. This hobby is a lucrative industry in serious need of Federal oversight, just like with stock and commodities exchanges. It will never be perfect but at this moment fraud and deceit are running rampant and you only hear hear about the guys who aren't as skilled at turning a dishonest buck or at least those haven't been caught yet.
Statistics do indicate that most criminals get away with 5-10 times the number of crimes they are arrested for. Translate that ratio to the number of unscrupulous operators in the hobby and there is plenty of opportunity for all of us to get many raw deals , whether we realize it or not. Even if one tries to maintain a heightened level of vigilance against all of the ills you have to wonder if the payoff for a "HOBBY" is worth such a taxing effort . Especially when you can still find some nice cards for binder sets and buy plenty of new wax (or paper) to rip.
How many among us would seek advice or approval of an expensive purchase from the weary looking guy working nights at Home Depot in an effort to pay the rent? If you answered no , you are probably wrong.
Find a place where you are comfortable in the hobby and try not to think too much. You should be OK. Oh, and look for the auction where a dealer states "although the card is graded Mint 9 by GAI (or other companies) it appears to be altered, there is someone you can trust !
<< <i>IMO, a 'true' T206 PSA 8 does not exist! >>
I hear you.
I am a little surprised that the grading companies get the business they do with the fees that are charged. A regular price of $15/card seems crazy.....$30/card at a show is insane. Graders are typically paid $.75 to $1.25 per card for every card they grade. Add in the cost of the holder and overhead and you probably wind up somewhere around $2 to $2.50 in costs per card for grading, although that seems high. The point here is not to knock the fees themselves as too high, but rather that for most collectors it's essential to look at the math - including sales prices on the market - before you send something in. From my vantage point when you do this, for most cards starting somewhere in the 60's it becomes a money loser.
Ron
PS. As an aside I'm going to a small show this weekend where there will be a national dealer who typically has a lot of nice raw stuff. As he and I got to know each other and he learned how much I was getting graded, he started playing games with me and adjusting his pricing. In fact, instead of having his stuff already priced, he would leave it unpriced, then wait for me to look at it, then price it "accordingly". I've continued to buy from him, but that game is going to come to a screeching halt this weekend. I'll report back on the reaction.
Buying Vintage, all sports.
Buying Woody Hayes, Les Horvath, Vic Janowicz, and Jesse Owens autographed items
I will certainly agree with the fact that graded sets present a storage challenge, and are also very difficult to "flip thru". For me anyway, that is offset by a number of things. (1) Silly as it may sound, I like the protection that graded holders provide. Nothing is indestructable, but no other storage means will keep your cards safer in the very long term. (2) I like knowing (at a fairly accurate level) the fair "grade" of my sets, as well as knowing that cards are not altered. This is certainly not an ego booster, as I'm a PSA 5 guy, but it's just a nice feeling to know. (3) I do enjoy the set registries. Again, I couldn't tell you within 10 positions where I stand on most of my sets, but I just like the feeling of adding cards when I get new ones.
Most of all, from a financial perspective, graded cards just make sense to me. This probably has to do with what I collect (mid-grade 1950's sets), but I sit and watch my dad go to card show after card show and pick up commons and stars for his 1956 Topps or 1955 Bowman baseball sets, and he's thrilled when a dealer sells him a card for 50% of high beckett because that's what beckett says the price of an Ex card should be, and I know he can get the card already graded in PSA 5 or 6 for less money and it will be a far better card. Plus, he has no way of knowing if the card is altered. When all is said and done, he and I will have similar investments in our sets, and mine will be completely graded. If the need ever arises to sell, the graded sets will do much better, obviously.
Maybe I feel differently than others due to the fact that while I own maybe 1000 PSA graded cards, I have yet to submit a card. So I can certainly understand the frustration of those of you who have submitted and have a hard time getting your money back when you go to sell.
Anyway, not sure if any of this makes sense. Once again, a very interesting thread, and I must admit I am having a difficult time resolving the opinions stated here with the fact that PSA can't even meet the current demand for grading requests and is even looking to hire additional graders!
-detroitfan2 out
<< <i>I still love graded cards, but man, they really need to grade them for $2 or something similar, especially moderns. >>
I'm not sure we will fully understand the long-term implications of their most recent asinine price-gouge, but it will hurt PSA severely in the end. I really hope it does.
<< <i>Grading has its place in the hobby. I for one would rather buy a graded 1000.00 dollar card then get the same card raw. At least graded I am getting a card that i can feel comfortable with. The same card raw could have problems. Plus when it comes time to sell the graded card will fetch more.
jmo
Steve >>
Steve, I agree 100%. That is exactly why we have grading companies. I wouldn't buy a high $$$ card without it being graded. But I can't bring myself to paying huge prices for commons. I don't mind paying $15 for a PSA 8 for my graded set, but I'm not shelling out $200 for the same card in 9. Card grading will always have it's place, but for me raw in binders has it's place also.
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I'm late to the party and haven't had a chance to read all the responses.
I can't argue with your reasoning - the Registry was an immensely clever and effective marketing tool which
IMO has little to do with why I like graded when it came out in the early 90s.
Buying graded thru the mail was just plain easier. But once dealers realized that a vintage 8 could be sold at a premium the world changed.
Couple that with the Registry and from a collector POV the whole thing got crazy.
One of the nicest people I've actually had the pleasure of meeting - Bishop - has the best Topps run you will ever see - it's neatly in binders and from a collector's view just as nice as any top set in the registry.
And last - this is a statement of fact from where I sit and not a value judgement but:
1. Collectors who buy for the sheer joy of the hobby sleep at night.
2. Collectors who buy for investment of any kind may not.
Good luck.
mike
<< <i>How about this idea: PSA offers slabbing service (not grading) for $1.00 a card, minimum 100 cards, for modern cards. You can skip the graders and go straight to the slabber. Get a raw NM set slabbed for less than a grand. PSA gets it's name out there on millions of cards. Collectors who like the protection of slabs get their collection slabbed. PSA makes some easy money. Everyone is happy. >>
Not a bad idea Bb.
I remember when Hager was selling these - if you wanted quantity I'm thinking he would sell them for like a buck? He is the inventor of the PSA holder for any really new collectors to the game.
For the ease of looking - I like thumbing thru cardsavers myself - tho not has protective as one of these holders.
mike
<< <i>
<< <i>I still love graded cards, but man, they really need to grade them for $2 or something similar, especially moderns. >>
I'm not sure we will fully understand the long-term implications of their most recent asinine price-gouge, but it will hurt PSA severely in the end. I really hope it does. >>
PSA still seems to think that the 'future' of TPG lies in cards from 1952-1975, which I think will end up being a very costly miscalculation. Sure, 150,000 'vintage' cards will keep rolling in every year, but one thing we're definitely seeing is that the number of big spenders who are attracted to vintage sets is not going up at a rate commensurate with the increasing supply of graded vintage, which explains the slow but continual price drop for all but a few key cards. Beckett, at least, seems to have this figured out; while the vintage stuff will eventually dry up, or come close enough to drying up such that it will be hard to keep the revenue numbers steady within the next 5 years or so, the modern stuff offers a ceaseless stream of new cards. THAT's where they should focus their attention, IMO, but they show no interest in doing so.
<< <i>Beckett, at least, seems to have this figured out; while the vintage stuff will eventually dry up, or come close enough to drying up such that it will be hard to keep the revenue numbers steady within the next 5 years or so, the modern stuff offers a ceaseless stream of new cards. THAT's where they should focus their attention, IMO, but they show no interest in doing so. >>
I agree that vintage, defined as pre -1960 or so is close to "drying up" (but there is still plenty of raw collections out there) ,but there are still pallets of unopened 70's material to be circulated .
Many will continue to crack out the same cards to get bumps and people will crack out cards to have a "doctor" do so some work on them ...like Mastro. Cards will also continue to be reholdered for purpose of deceiving bidders as to the origin of such cards. As long as a profit can be turned people will continue to submit and ways of turning the profit will become more creative and more technologically "advanced". Beyond that, perhaps PSA is already attempting to insulate themselves with the price increase for a standard grading service.
As far as grading modern or new stuff I'm not sure if that will ever take off, the "need" for grading cards pulled by consumers straight from packs doesn't seem to be as strong as the want. And the want for what ? Speaking for myself why would you grade new cards unless it's the next big rookie ?