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What are the odds the ASE 20th Anniversary Set sells for under list in 2007?

dorkbardorkbar Posts: 425 ✭✭✭
in U.S. Coin Forum
Yes, another ASE thread. Just wondering what the geniuses of the hobby think the chances are the 20th anniversay ASE will drop below $100 in 2007 once the thrill is gone.

Geniuses? You know who you are.

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    66Tbird66Tbird Posts: 2,858 ✭✭✭
    0
    Need something designed and 3D printed?
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    kimon1230kimon1230 Posts: 747 ✭✭
    Not a coin genius, but my uneducated guess would be that the chance of this set selling for under $100 (as a set) is practically 0
    Chances are that the RP alone will be selling well above $100 mark, maybe even ungraded.
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    PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 45,415 ✭✭✭✭✭
    ZERO

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.

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    cheezhedcheezhed Posts: 5,686 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Snowballs chance in hell.
    Many happy BST transactions
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    GoldbullyGoldbully Posts: 16,862 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Not with MS69 Reverse Proofs selling like this.............


    eBay Link
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    TheRavenTheRaven Posts: 4,143 ✭✭✭✭
    I agree the chances are zero.....

    Can't wait to get this coin home.....
    Collection under construction: VG Barber Quarters & Halves
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    53BKid53BKid Posts: 2,164 ✭✭✭
    ZERO

    NADA

    NUNCA

    NO WAY

    NOT HAPPENING

    ARE YOU KIDDING?

    HAPPY COLLECTING!!!
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    19Lyds19Lyds Posts: 26,472 ✭✭✭✭
    First off, your example is a First Strike coin and not necessarily a run of the mill set.

    Secondly, I would not be surprised if the entire set sold for less than or close to list by the end of next year. These are not officially sold out and there are 250,000 or them to go around.

    Graded sets will always bring more than list but we are not talking graded 'First Strike' sets now are we. Or are we?

    Usually these things sell for moon money until the market gets saturated. 250,000 is a a lot of coins.
    I decided to change calling the bathroom the John and renamed it the Jim. I feel so much better saying I went to the Jim this morning.



    The name is LEE!
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    JcarneyJcarney Posts: 3,154 ✭


    << <i>and there are 250,000 or them to go around. >>



    Which makes the Reverse proof a key to the series.
    “When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.” — Benjamin Franklin


    My icon IS my coin. It is a gem 1949 FBL Franklin.
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    bfjohnsonbfjohnson Posts: 537 ✭✭✭
    0.0274% chance
    BarberSet
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    ABC123ABC123 Posts: 2,627
    Dream On---Alice in Wonderland !
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    itsnotjustmeitsnotjustme Posts: 8,777 ✭✭✭
    Extremely low. I offered a workmate $1100 for 10 sets. Instant $100 profit for them with no risk. I even told him I expect them to increase substantially.
    Give Blood (Red Bags) & Platelets (Yellow Bags)!
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    MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 23,943 ✭✭✭✭✭
    20%

    Don't forget, 2007 may be a very long year.
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
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    messydeskmessydesk Posts: 19,692 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>First off, your example is a First Strike coin and not necessarily a run of the mill set. >>


    True, for all we know the First Strike™ coins could develop the worst spots of all of them.
    John
    Keeper of the VAM Catalog • Professional Coin Imaging • Prime Number Set • World Coins in Early America • British Trade Dollars
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    LanLordLanLord Posts: 11,681 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Chances are 50% - 50%

    Either it will or it won't! There you go, you heard it here first; 50-50
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    fishcookerfishcooker Posts: 3,446 ✭✭

    Same as the odd of 2001 buff's selling below issue price.
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    GoldbullyGoldbully Posts: 16,862 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Yet another MS/PR69 AES set going for top dollar........


    How they come up with or without a deep cameo is most subjective IMHO.


    Still learning the lingo..................




    Go Deep
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    RedTigerRedTiger Posts: 5,608 ✭
    I am certain some of the ASE sets will be sold for under $100. These may be to pawn shops or the like, they might be stolen, whatever. Or as walk ups or trade ins at a show or store.

    It is extremely unlikely that the retail price will drop under $100, but the odds are greater than zero. It is possible that dealer bids will be below $100 and I'd put the odds of that at 25%. Almost all the hot money demand is for First Strike graded sets. The raw sets are not hot, and the mint has not even put up the banner saying it has sold them all.
    Investment blog: gold, stocks and more
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    OakOak Posts: 205
    I have a question on a related note. At what point in the year will the mint quit taking orders for this set? If they stop taking orders in the next few weeks, the total mintage may be well below 250K

    ___________________

    I can quit collecting anytime I want to.....I just don't want to!
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    53BKid53BKid Posts: 2,164 ✭✭✭
    Great question.
    HAPPY COLLECTING!!!
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    orevilleoreville Posts: 11,780 ✭✭✭✭✭
    a 1 in 10 chance. Not very likely.

    mreureka: Why is 2007 going to be a very long year?
    A Collectors Universe poster since 1997!
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    persauspersaus Posts: 398
    You now have your answer !
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    tincuptincup Posts: 4,765 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Yeh... if anyone is waiting for them to go below issue price...... hmmm..... might have to be patient just for a little while yet.....
    ----- kj
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    rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Not this year.. or next year... Cheers, RickO
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    Classof67Classof67 Posts: 1,502 ✭✭✭
    Hey, I'll pay TWICE issue price!!image

    Tim
    GREAT BST transactions with Wondercoin, segoja, moderncoinmart, notwilight, wingsrule, 123cents, fivecents, hunted, alohagary, ibzman350, WTCG, sonofagunk, amigo, coincoins, dcgolfer, chumley, nycounsel, tootawl, guitarwes, kimber45ACP, Zubie, Egger, RYK, 1tommy, EagleEye, NEFPROLLC, jmdm1194, Coinfolio
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    Classof67Classof67 Posts: 1,502 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Almost all the hot money demand is for First Strike graded sets. The raw sets are not hot >>



    image
    GREAT BST transactions with Wondercoin, segoja, moderncoinmart, notwilight, wingsrule, 123cents, fivecents, hunted, alohagary, ibzman350, WTCG, sonofagunk, amigo, coincoins, dcgolfer, chumley, nycounsel, tootawl, guitarwes, kimber45ACP, Zubie, Egger, RYK, 1tommy, EagleEye, NEFPROLLC, jmdm1194, Coinfolio
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    7over87over8 Posts: 4,733 ✭✭✭
    NEVER
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    bouchardaboucharda Posts: 2,941
    I assume you were kidding....
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    garsmithgarsmith Posts: 5,894 ✭✭
    Ain't gonna happen, your chance of getting them at list is gone and about the only way you would get a set below original list is if two of the three coins are missing!

    That is my non-expert opinion!
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    BochimanBochiman Posts: 25,293 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Ain't gonna happen, your chance of getting them at list is gone and about the only way you would get a set below original list is if two of the three coins are missing!

    That is my non-expert opinion! >>



    I'll sell the original government packaging + a proof 2006 SAE for the hundred bucks image

    I've been told I tolerate fools poorly...that may explain things if I have a problem with you. Current ebay items - Nothing at the moment

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    rickoricko Posts: 98,724 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Wow Bochi... such a deal.... image Cheers, RickO
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    UtahCoinUtahCoin Posts: 5,345 ✭✭✭✭✭
    In case you are worried about that, I will purchase your sets at the issue price of $100 each......
    I used to be somebody, now I'm just a coin collector.
    Recipient of the coveted "You Suck" award, April 2009 for cherrypicking a 1833 CBHD LM-5, and April 2022 for a 1835 LM-12, and again in Aug 2012 for picking off a 1952 FS-902.
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    BigDaddyzBigDaddyz Posts: 1,306 ✭✭✭
    If you get a chance to buy some that low...its a ripoff and you are donating your money to a scammer.
    Great BST experiences: abitofthisabitofthat, silvercoinsdude, gerard, coinfame, mikescoins, wondercoin
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    jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,370 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The only scenario that I can imagine would be..................................sub-prime mortgage lending crisis mushrooms....................................banking crisis forces bank closures...............................................fed declares banking holiday.................................................china stops trading in dollars................................yen crashes..............................hillary elected......................................iran assumes control of eastern iraq.....................................etc, etc...............................

    At some point, coin sets would be worth their weigh in silver, but that's about it. Probability, I'd say about 1.5%.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
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    Coll3ctorColl3ctor Posts: 3,314 ✭✭✭


    << <i>First off, your example is a First Strike coin and not necessarily a run of the mill set.

    Secondly, I would not be surprised if the entire set sold for less than or close to list by the end of next year. These are not officially sold out and there are 250,000 or them to go around.

    Graded sets will always bring more than list but we are not talking graded 'First Strike' sets now are we. Or are we?

    Usually these things sell for moon money until the market gets saturated. 250,000 is a a lot of coins. >>



    Wrong answer image

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