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Great Article in Coin World This Week

One of the main articles this week in Coin World was an experiment of sending the same 15 coins to all of the major third party coin grading services. This article is part one of a two part series. It was very interesting how they set up the whole experiment. They show pictures of the same Franklin in several different coin holders with their different grades.

Next week we will see their final results.

The article is available online if you can't wait to read it.

Endo
Take a Look at My Auctions TOO My Auctions

Comments

  • CoinosaurusCoinosaurus Posts: 9,632 ✭✭✭✭✭
    About time somebody tried this. Not a cheap experiment image By the same token I don't think anyone has tried cracking out an SS Central America coin and resubmitting to PCGS.

    Of course the services will claim this is not a large enough sample size, etc. (& statistically speaking they are probably right). Still a good idea.
  • Cam40Cam40 Posts: 8,146
    It may be a good illustration as to the consistency,or lack there of,in grading
    even the same coin. All be it at different times to different services.

    Not really an eye-opener to many of us here.Its yesterdays news. image

    Maybe it will cause some to inter the crack-out game.
    Maybe others to shy away from slabs alittle.
  • ANACONDAANACONDA Posts: 4,692
    Fantastic! I suspect that the variances of the grades will astound most folks.

    I think it may also point to buying exceptionally fine pieces that have been conservatively graded and paying what some would call "big
    premiums" as a far better idea than many people may now think. Many people seem to be fixated on price when what they should be
    fixated on is quality. Just my opinion.

    If a particular coin grades MS 63 and again as MS 64 and it sheets respectively at $1,540 and $3,900, would you rather pay $2,500 for the
    coin in a 63 holder or $3,500 for the same coin in a 64 holder? Of course the trick is not only buying the right coins at the "right" prices but
    also knowing how to sell them when the time comes.

  • HigashiyamaHigashiyama Posts: 2,203 ✭✭✭✭✭
    "If a particular coin grades MS 63 and again as MS 64 and it sheets respectively at $1,540 and $3,900, would you rather pay $2,500 for the coin in a 63 holder or $3,500 for the same coin in a 64 holder? "


    If you find the right coin in a 63 holder, the $ 2500 coin is almost certainly the right choice, BUT ALMOST NO ONE AGREES, otherwise the pricing structure would not be so discrete. Try to find a sesquicentennial half that sold for $ 1500. Are there really so few premium quality MS64s? These coins sell for about $ 500, and then jump up to about $ 3000 and more. It is absurd.
    Higashiyama
  • ANACONDAANACONDA Posts: 4,692
    I agree, that coin pricing is certainly curious. I think that part of the problem is that selling PQ coins can't be rushed and it takes
    work. So, people either avoid them, not having confidence in their ability to sell them for the premium they've paid, or wait until
    it gets in that 64 holder and then pay a higher price but gain the ability to recoup more of their investment with less effort.

    Anyone can buy coins, the problem is that people fall in love with coins, spend all their spare cash on them and when they have to
    raise money, they go to a local coin shop where they get an incredibly rude awakening. They either get out of coins or become
    super wary when they re-enter the fray.

    Incidentally, i bought one of the finest Sesquis i have ever seen this past weekend, in a MS 64 holder:

    image

    image



    adrian
  • zennyzenny Posts: 1,547 ✭✭
    wow



    let me please repeat myself



    wow
  • krankykranky Posts: 8,709 ✭✭✭
    This story deserves much more discussion. Unfortunately, you have to be print edition subscriber or an online subscriber to see the article.

    The grades are all over the place, even from the "big name" services! If I was a new collector and saw those results, I would be convinced that this hobby believes in the impossible.

    The story doesn't address repeatability (there are enough crackout artists to prove repeatability isn't there), but how the same coin graded at different services.

    One coin was graded the same by PCGS, NGC, and NTC, but higher by ANACS.
    One was graded higher by NGC than ANACS.
    One was graded higher by PCGS than NGC.
    One was slabbed by PCGS and NGC but bodybagged at ACG.
    More than one graded higher at PCGS and NGC than it did at PCI.

    None of the conventional wisdom applies.

    New collectors, please educate yourself before spending money on coins; there are people who believe that using numismatic knowledge to rip the naïve is what this hobby is all about.

  • braddickbraddick Posts: 24,222 ✭✭✭✭✭
    So, what is the lesson to be learned here?
    If ACG is bodybagging coins PCGS holders and PCI coins grade a point lower than NGC on some- what can the Collector do to protect himself? I've got my own opinion, but would love to read yours.

    peacockcoins

  • tjkilliantjkillian Posts: 5,578 ✭✭✭
    Can anyone post the article for us who do not have access to it?

    Tom
    Tom

  • krankykranky Posts: 8,709 ✭✭✭
    We're not allowed to post CW articles. Carol has warned us not to do that.

    New collectors, please educate yourself before spending money on coins; there are people who believe that using numismatic knowledge to rip the naïve is what this hobby is all about.

  • What I found disturbing about the article was that not only were the grades very different from each other the different grading companies could not come to a consensus on if the coin was "whizzed", "altered" or was "PVC" comtaminated. While the test was a good idea I do no think this will change anyones idea about grading. I made my mind up 6 months ago I will stick with the albums, this just confirmed it.

    Bigern image
  • boiler78boiler78 Posts: 3,070 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Actually the results are on page 94. You don't have to wait until next week.image
  • clackamasclackamas Posts: 5,615
    How many coins did they send in? If they sent in more than one what were the types sent in?
  • boiler78boiler78 Posts: 3,070 ✭✭✭✭✭
    15 different coins. Everything from a Lincoln cent to a gold Liberty half eagle. Five of the coins were Morgans.
  • maddogalemaddogale Posts: 859 ✭✭
    here's the results;
    coin----------ACG------------ANACS-----------ICG-------------NGC------------NTC------------PCGS--------------PCI--------------SEGS
    1910s
    cent---------whiz-----------AU/EF40----------whiz-----------whiz-----------clean-----------altered------------MS65-----------AU/whiz

    1864
    shield2c-----whiz----------AU/ef40----------whiz-----------whiz-------------cleaned-------cleaned-----------MS63cleaned---AU50/whiz

    1901/5c-----whiz---------UNC/au55---------altered-------whiz------------cleaned--------cleaned----------MS61-------------au58 polished

    1935/5c-----ef40---------ef45---------------vf30----------cleaned----------xf40------------cleaned------------ef40--------------au50/cleaned

    1913/10c---cleaned------UNC/ef45 cleaned---n/a-------cleaned--------au58----------cleaned------------ms60/cleaned-----ms60/cleaned

    "I won't be wronged, I won't be insulted, I won't be laid a hand on; I don't do these things to other people, I require the same from them."
  • ElcontadorElcontador Posts: 7,574 ✭✭✭✭✭
    This is why try to have someone I trust -- and knows more than I do -- look over a coin and give me a second opinion before I buy it. Sometimes I am so concerned about strike & contact marks, that I may miss something else.

    A coin that grades MS 65 should come back as same time after time from the same service, unless it is a 'liner' coin, or it is "net market graded," ie., a Large Cent that is on the border re grade and color. If different services have different standards for a particular series(which they may or may not), then I can see a coin grading say a 5 at PCGS & something else at NGC.

    The other thing is that some coin types are hard to grade, such as Capped Bust Halves, and to an extent, SLQs (I think there are some gold coins in this category, but I don't collect them & don't know anything about them). For this reason, I would think very carefully before buying a Capped Bust Half between grades MS 58 & MS 63.

    ****************************************************************************

    Regarding Adrian's hypothetical pricing situation re a 3 at $1,540 and a 4 at $3,900:

    If the coin is up for auction at one of the larger houses, some dealer will pay up to $3,000 or
    so for it if he thinks it will upgrade. If the coin is an average 3, unless market demand is strong,
    it'll sell for greysheet bid back 10% or so.

    As a collector, depending on the demand for the type of coin, I can pick up a nice coin of this sort
    somewhere between the midpoint of Greysheet bid and ask, or up to 20% over Greysheet ask if
    the demand for it is strong (like a Trade $).

    What happens on the floor of a big show, is that many dealers try to get PQ prices for average material. I respect a dealer who has an ugly coin for the grade & prices it accordingly.



    "Vou invadir o Nordeste,
    "Seu cabra da peste,
    "Sou Mangueira......."
  • BarryBarry Posts: 10,100 ✭✭✭
    I'm amazed that ACG bodybagged some coins. I didn't know they did that. Overall, seems that PCI was the worst - not identifying problems and overall, the highest grades.
  • maddogalemaddogale Posts: 859 ✭✭
    more

    coin-------------ACG-------------ANACS-------------ICG-----------------NGC------------------NTC----------------PCGS-----------------PCI--------------SEGS

    '26 SLQ------ms63---------------PVC---------------ms63----------------au58 FH------------ms64----------------au58--------------ms64------au58/90%FH

    43walker------ms63------------ms64-------------ms63-----------------ms62-----------------ms65---------------au58--------------ms64------ms63toned

    1891morgan--ms62--------UNC/au55-AT-------au55-----------------AT------------------ms64------------??color--------------ms61------ms61/old-clean.

    '01-O
    Morgan-------ms62-----------ms61-----------------ms62-------------ms61---------------ms63-----------------ms61------------au55-------ms61/old-clean

    03-S
    morgan-------vf35------------ef45-----------------vf35-----------------vf25-----------------xf40-------------------vf35--------------ef40-------------vf30

    21-D/Morg-----ms64-----------ms64-------------ms63----------------ms61-----------------ms63-----------------ms63-------------ms61------------ms62

    1853
    gold $---------cleaned----------au58--------------au55----------------ms61--------------ms62-------------------au55-------------ms62-----------au58

    1893-CC
    half eagle----vf35---------------ef45--------------ef45-------------rev/cleaned------------xf40------------------xf45--------------ef40------xf45/cleaned
    "I won't be wronged, I won't be insulted, I won't be laid a hand on; I don't do these things to other people, I require the same from them."
  • maddogalemaddogale Posts: 859 ✭✭
    hope that helps non-subscribers!!!! image
    "I won't be wronged, I won't be insulted, I won't be laid a hand on; I don't do these things to other people, I require the same from them."
  • "So, what is the lesson to be learned here?"

    Coins and slabbing coins is a game, a great game ..... both fun and challenging, open to anyone, with a large number of winners, with an unlimited number of players, many of whom can't decide if the game was originally known as "red light, green light" or "musical chairs," if you remember those?
    redhott
  • RussRuss Posts: 48,514 ✭✭✭
    No real surprises in those results. The top of the suck meter is occupied by PCI, NTC and ACG. We already knew that. ACG even did better at detecting cleaning/whizzing than did PCI.

    Russ, NCNE

  • krankykranky Posts: 8,709 ✭✭✭
    Russ, you don't see any surprises there? That out of a sample of 15 coins, one would be graded higher at PCGS and NGC than it did at PCI, another would grade higher at NGC than it did at ANACS, and another would be slabbed by PCGS and NGC and bodybagged by ACG?

    20% of the coins broke all the "rules"!

    New collectors, please educate yourself before spending money on coins; there are people who believe that using numismatic knowledge to rip the naïve is what this hobby is all about.

  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,333 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Interesting selection of coins. I probably wouldn't have bothered slabbing ANY of them. How relevant can the results be?
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • AskariAskari Posts: 3,713


    << <i>One was slabbed by PCGS and NGC but bodybagged at ACG. >>

    What!? I didn't know ACG had bodybags! What was wrong with it -- was it problem-free??
    Askari



    Come on over ... to The Dark Side! image
  • Did anyone else notice the 1963-D Franklin that was illustrated in each of the third partys' slabs at the bottom of Beth Deishler's editorial? ACG and ICG listed the coin as a 1963 on their slabs and all the others listed it as a 1963-D!!!!!!image
    Gary
    image
  • WondoWondo Posts: 2,916 ✭✭✭
    Thank you - fascinating and disturbing. I have a couple of dealers that I work with and trust implicitly. I don't pretend to be a coin expert; I just like the stuff and I'm trying to learn. I often, on high price stuff, get a buyback price when I make my purchase. Does anyone else do this? Do you think this costs me money?

    I guess I am niave, but I thought grading houses had their $h!t together a little more!! image

    Does anyone have personal experiences on one or two coins that parallel the Coin World study?
    Wondo

  • They should repeat this experiment with the same set of coins every year, and compare the results.

    Just to be safe, they should be sent by different people, too.

    Maurice
    Lurking with intent to loom
  • RussRuss Posts: 48,514 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Russ, you don't see any surprises there? That out of a sample of 15 coins, one would be graded higher at PCGS and NGC than it did at PCI, another would grade higher at NGC than it did at ANACS, and another would be slabbed by PCGS and NGC and bodybagged by ACG? >>



    Kranky,

    There are a couple singular examples of the garbage slabbers getting lucky, sure. But, on an overall grading basis the results confirm what everybody here has always said - that PCI, NTC and ACG are completely unreliable, and deserve their basement dwelling reputations.

    Russ, NCNE
  • BigEBigE Posts: 6,949 ✭✭✭
    TTT for ursabearimage----BigE
    I'm glad I am a Tree

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