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1959 LINCOLN WHEAT CENT MULE NOT SOLD

Well, as I expected, the 1959D Lincoln mule never did go to auction at the Goldberg sale on September 23rd. The coin was pulled out with the statement that it would be put up again in May of 2003. In my opinion, the current owner of this piece will never sell it for anything close to what he paid for it (apparently $27K+) unless and until the major grading services (PCGS, NGC, ANACS, ICG) agree to certify the piece as a genuine coin. Certainly, the Coin World article this week didn't help with the intent to sell. I expect that the owner will persue the lawsuit route to recover his money.

My question is would you bid $30,000 for this (coin?) if you were a Lincoln cent collector and if you had the money? Steve

Comments

  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭
    if it could be pedigreed w/ certainty to the counterfeiter, i'd go as high as like 500 bucks on it.

    and btw, the coin is bogus imho.

    K S
  • I have to say that if I had the money and was a Lincoln collector, I would buy it if it was certified as genuine by both the Secret Service and someone like PCGS. If it had a mark of legitimacy to it and I could be sure that it would not carry the stigma of a possible counterfit, I would enjoy owning it.

    But then again, a nice convertible would be great, too imageimageimageimage
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 33,964 ✭✭✭✭✭
    These modern mules don't interest me in the least. If they are real, they were made to sell for a price, and outside of Proof and commemorative coins I don't have much use for “made to sell” items.

    Heck, I don’t have any use for 19th century tokens, like pieces with Abraham Lincoln on one side and an antiunion or pro Confederate message on the other. To me that stuff is just junk even if it is over 100 years old. I won’t pay $25 for the 1959-D Lincoln/wheat ears mule, even if it is genuine.
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,636 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Most of these "made to sell items" have been removed from circulation. Remind us
    how many of the 1804 dollars were found in circulation.

    If it's not worth $25 to you even if genuine, what would it be worth?
    Tempus fugit.
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 33,964 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Over 25 years ago I bought one of those counterfeit 1944-P nickels without the mint mark and the break above Monticello for a quarter. I guess I'd put this fabrication on a par with that one.

    You complain to me about that fact that I don't like modern coins. You are partially right. I don't like modern coins AT HIGH PRICES. I do like and I collect modern coins at reasonable prices. I think that ANYTHING that gets most of its value from the slab that encases it is suspect. If you can only get $10 or even $50 for something that goes to $1,500 once its in a slab, I think you are flirting with disaster.

    I said that I don't even like 19th century mules that had no purpose other that to sell to collectors. What else do I have to do to show that I am consistent in my position?
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • krankykranky Posts: 8,709 ✭✭✭
    To the original question (IF I had the money...), I would pass under the current circumstances. I have read all the CW articles about the coin and there are too many experts who think something is fishy with the coin.

    I see the big issue as the fact that the Secret Service did not declare the coin to be genuine - they said they had no evidence that it wasn't. Big difference.

    New collectors, please educate yourself before spending money on coins; there are people who believe that using numismatic knowledge to rip the naïve is what this hobby is all about.

  • gmarguligmarguli Posts: 2,225 ✭✭
    I wouldn't pay $30,000 for it. If in a slab I'd be willing to pay a few hundred. It just doesn't seem that interesting.

    I'd much rather have the two headed Indian cent.
  • PushkinPushkin Posts: 2,029 ✭✭✭

    I'd pay a $100 if the coin were genuine right now. If I had the money to pay $30,000, I'd still not pay more than $100. The remaining $29,900 would go into some really nice Flying Eagle and IH cents (REAL COINS).image
  • michaelmichael Posts: 9,524 ✭✭
    if i had the money and i was a lincoln collector i would not bid on this coin as in my opinion the coin IS NOT A GENUINE MINT PRODUCT

    sincerely michael

  • michaelmichael Posts: 9,524 ✭✭
    i love all all coins also! ALL COINS!!!!!!!!

    please read billjones post a few above mine he put it in a way that i could never say! in my opinion he is absolutely right!

    sincerely michael
  • RussRuss Posts: 48,514 ✭✭✭
    According to this article, the Secret Service has ruled not once, but twice, that the coin is genuine. Looking at the testing that they did the second time around, it seems rather conclusive to me.

    Russ, NCNE
  • if up for sale again it may well meet and exceed 30k, only if attributed to
    that clown in jail who said he made it. If he did theirs people in Utah willing to pay
    as much as needed to procure it.
    image

    Go BIG or GO HOME. ©Bill
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 33,964 ✭✭✭✭✭
    If the coin really is a counterfeit, it could be subject to confiscation on a government whim. So far as I am concerned the stupid thing is not worth the risk.
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • RussRuss Posts: 48,514 ✭✭✭
    Bill,

    Since the Secret Service has twice had the coin in their possession and twice ruled that it is genuine, the odds of confiscation are pretty close to nil. Civil servants don't like egg on their face.

    Russ, NCNE
  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 33,964 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Don’t ever hang your hat on consistency in the enforcement of government laws. I’ve got a quarter in my 1944-P no mint mark nickel, and that’s about all of the exposure that I would want on this hunk of copper, bronze or whatever.

    Back in the 1850s the government confiscated 1804 dollars that made unofficially in “the cool of the evening” yet sent out letters of authenticity for coins made from the same set of dies because those pieces were made “in the light of day.” The government has also hassled some people about patterns and mint errors, but left the vast majority of other people alone.

    These regulations are like archaic sex laws. You might be OK having the lady’s head closer to the ceiling than your own one night, but if the powers at be feel like bothering you, they can come rapping on your door. (That's no bull. There were and probalby still are laws in some states about how you were supposed to do "it.'
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭
    oddly enought, the word SCAM has not been used once in this thread....

    collecting counterfeits (which this coin IS) is a legitimate pursuit.

    K S
  • << If he did theirs people in Utah willing to pay as much as needed to procure it. >>

    HEY HEY HEY!!! Don't drag Utah into the fray! I'm quite proud of my state! OK, well, not really.
  • krankykranky Posts: 8,709 ✭✭✭
    The Secret Service report concluded: "In the absence of any evidence that the submitted 1959-D Lincoln, Wheat cent is not consistent with having been manufactured by the U.S. Mint, the coin was determined to be a genuine mule cent."

    I don't read that as a ringing endorsement. "Can't prove it's a fake" is what I get out of that.

    The top people who work with coins every day aren't convinced the coin is real. Not just one person, either - PCGS, ANAAB, Dave Lange, JP Martin, Fred Weinberg, Dave Camire - all declined to declare the coin genuine (not that they claimed it's a fake). As far as I know only Sol Taylor has come out and said he believes the coin is the real deal.

    In my mind, having the Secret Service report to fall back on would make it much easier for someone to be comfortable declaring the coin to be authentic. Yet no one will. I have to side with the group of experts versus the couple of Secret Service guys. The coin's owners have threatened legal action against any expert who badmouths the coin, which only heightens my suspicions. You'd think if they believed the coin was legit, they'd be encouraging discussion and examination to help bolster their position.

    New collectors, please educate yourself before spending money on coins; there are people who believe that using numismatic knowledge to rip the naïve is what this hobby is all about.

  • BillJonesBillJones Posts: 33,964 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Hi dorkkarl,

    No collecting counterfeits is not a black or white issue. Usually if the counterfeits are collected for historical purposes, the government will ignore it. BUT like I wrote earlier, IF they decide to come down on you, they can.
    Retired dealer and avid collector of U.S. type coins, 19th century presidential campaign medalets and selected medals. In recent years I have been working on a set of British coins - at least one coin from each king or queen who issued pieces that are collectible. I am also collecting at least one coin for each Roman emperor from Julius Caesar to ... ?
  • RussRuss Posts: 48,514 ✭✭✭
    Kranky,

    That's a very selective quote you used. In the interest of edification, since most people won't read the entire article, let's look at some relevant material:

    The results of Surrency's examination "revealed that the coin's obverse does not exhibit any indications of alterations to the date or surrounding field," according to the report. "Further, the edge and rim of the submitted coin was examined for evidence of seams or alterations that would suggest that the submitted coin was a composite of a 1959-D obverse with a separate Wheat reverse."

    The report indicates the examination shows there is no evidence of alterations or seams. "The metal shows smooth transition from the field to the rim and then to the edge," according to the report. "An alteration at these magnifications would be evident by tool mark striations or seams with solder or glue."

    Prominent die polish (raised striations in the field but absent in the raised devices) is evident on the obverse and reverse of the mule. Surrency notes that during the examination, the 1959-D mule was compared to one 1959 Lincoln cent and two 1959-D Lincoln cents that have similar die polish on the obverse, and "no significant differences in the appearance of the polish were observed."

    Nondestructive testing revealed the 1959-D Lincoln, Wheat cent mule is consistent in mass, diameter and thickness with genuine 1958 and 1959 cents. Surface measurements reached through energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy determined the mule to be consistent in metallic composition with genuine 1958 and 1959 cents.


    I would also point out that the standard methodology in counterfeit detection is precisely the "can't find any reason to believe it's a fake" approach.

    I would further note that the Secret Service's examination was far more scientific and detailed than that of the outside experts. To quote David Hall, (again, from the above referenced article), "Our opinion is based on a visual examination. Our opinion was so strong that we felt more elaborate tests were unnecessary."

    While I have no idea who is right, when comparing the degree of analysis done by the opposing parties it is clear that the Secret Service testing was more thorough and extensive than anybody else. Logic would dictate that they would be closer to the truth.

    Russ, NCNE
  • CLASSICSCLASSICS Posts: 1,164 ✭✭


    << <i>oddly enought, the word SCAM has not been used once in this thread....

    collecting counterfeits (which this coin IS) is a legitimate pursuit.

    K S >>

    wanted...1964 peace dollar..... must be ms 69...will pay up to 50.00
  • LakesammmanLakesammman Posts: 17,380 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I haven't been following too closely...does anyone know if the die diagnostics on the coin have been publicized (for comparison to genuine coins)? Are late date Lincolns too similar for this to be of any use??
    "My friends who see my collection sometimes ask what something costs. I tell them and they are in awe at my stupidity." (Baccaruda, 12/03).I find it hard to believe that he (Trump) rushed to some hotel to meet girls of loose morals, although ours are undoubtedly the best in the world. (Putin 1/17) Gone but not forgotten. IGWT, Speedy, Bear, BigE, HokieFore, John Burns, Russ, TahoeDale, Dahlonega, Astrorat, Stewart Blay, Oldhoopster, Broadstruck, Ricko, Big Moose.
  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭


    << <i>if the counterfeits are collected for historical purposes, the government will ignore it...IF they decide to come down on you, they can >>

    no question about it , but the likelihood seems remote. if it was a die-struck sacagawea counterfeit, i'd think you would be getting the dreaded knock on the door. but the 1804 dollar is just as illegitimate a coin.

    not disagreeing w/ you, because you're right, it's not B&W. closer to RB, maybe....

    K S
  • It should be possible to find other cents from both 1958 and 1959 that the same exact dies were used. I believe it probably is real and was a test piece that somehow got loose. Since the reverse die was changing it can reasonably be assumed that they started making the new reverse dies sometime in 1958. I would imagine the mint wanted to test the new reverse and the only avail. obverse was the current 1958. The coin was probably supposed to be destroyed and perhaps a bunch were destroyed, except this one. IMO and not at all out of the question, that this coin is in fact genuine. The secret service seems to agree that it is genuine and the report by the secret service, following good scientific protocol, could not prove the hypothesis that the coin is fake. By not proving its fake it is likely genuine. If it was fake I think more than 1 would have popped up by now.
  • SteveSteve Posts: 3,312 ✭✭✭
    If the Mint was doing testing of the reverse dies, it would have been done at Philadelphia, not in Denver. Problem with the legitimacy of this piece is that there is only ONE out there. The changeover causing this might hold some legitimacy if there were more like there were in 1943 and 1944. The fact that this piece has been around since 1986 and still has NOT been accepted by the collecting community says much about its legitimacy. If it was the real thing, no doubt in my mind it would command over one million dollars in today's spending craze. It would be more valuable to a Lincoln Cent collector than the off metal varieties of 1943 and 1944. Because it is not accepted as genuine, the current owner stands to lose most of his investment instead of making a big profit. JMHO. Steve
  • What makes a coin not "genuine"? If legitimate US mint created dies struck this coin, the strikes are consistent with the pressures of the US mints presses, the composition of the coin is consistant and still no one can confirm its authenticity then very few coins can be autheticated, unless a coin is actually seen by PCGS being struck and then slabbed then no coins aside of coins that are actually shipped from the mint can 100% certainty of authenticity ever be established.
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,636 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Lakesammman:

    Very few people collect moderns by die variety. There are a lot of dies
    and very little interest. It is complicated by the dies being used longer
    now days and the little difference which exists between most dies. Un-
    til recently very few people collected most of these at all. Also this coin
    not uncirculated which tremendously complicates identifying the exact
    die which struck it.
    Tempus fugit.
  • This was a really good discussion of the issues and concerns surrounding this coin. Thank you to all who participated. Maybe I liked it so much because most of the discussion reinforces my judgement.

    The whole matter of matching dies, or at least trying to, is discussed in the Goldberg catalog description of the coin. I have the feeling, though, that you could match the obverse and reverse dies to circulated coins and that would still not prove, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that the coin was legitimate. At least it appears that way from the Coin World description of how the forger claims to have created it.

    I saw the coin at the ANA - fairly nice and certainly a very interesting coin to look at. But then I sought out and asked the leading expert on Lincolns in the world (imho) what his opinion was. He said he was not permitted to discuss it by his company (which has refused to slab it). I made note of the fact that he wouldn't look me directly in the eye when he answered me. image

    Here is another way I thought about the coin. Would you rather have the 1959D mule or one of those off-color 1943-1944 Lincolns? No brainer. I'd rather have one of the latter, as long as it was certified.

    Whatever - the 1959D is an entertaining story as long as you don't have money in it. image
  • Hmmm? I doubt the owner will recover his money since the seller has an actual US government institution declaring it real. Most courts will side with government entities over outside expert opinions.

    TRUTH
  • Actually the coin now waits for the SS to question the jail bird to determine if he could have created it. If he provides enough evidence to this then they may destroy it. I doubt that they would let the seller sell it as a collectible from this killer. Either way, according to the Goldbergs, there was already more than enough interest on the coin. The seller will probably make a profit if he is able to keep it. As for me and the original question, sure I would like to own the coin. I like all Lincolns, and this one sure has a story. I wish there wasn't so much interest in it, it really should go for much less than it ultimately will I'm afraid. I bet it sells for 40K next June.

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