Three Day GTG - Coin #4 Ends 8-4 REVEALED XF40

Good luck, same rules as last time!
I thought it would be interesting to run a sort of experiment here with GTGs. Oftentimes posters will use GTGs to get an idea of if to resubmit a coin, or not to.
Here's my question - how accurate is the forum, grading from images alone? Over the years, I've built up a good chunk of coins with my own images that we can use for this purpose, given the consistent images and vast array of grades/services.
Here's how I plan to do it - one coin a week, after which the grades will be tallied and scored. Each correct answer will be 0 points, 1 point off is 1 point, 2 points off 2 points, etc. Missing designations counts as a point. Essentially, the fewer points at the end of the grade session the better. All coins for the moment will be CAC certified, so as to add another degree of accuracy in the actual grade. I will also choose coins I feel are properly graded.
I will upload the guesses into the below publicly accessible Google Sheet, so you all can view the data for yourselves.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1UYJAbLnHMsDWuv72Rj7AjlTbFLkctDOiw7rHwDq45ZU/edit?gid=0#gid=0
I'll let each coin run for roughly three days.
Comments
54.5
No such grade
Mark Feld* of Heritage Auctions*Unless otherwise noted, my posts here represent my personal opinions.
peacockcoins
I'll go with XF45 after reflecting, a little luster but weak detail. One of those 3/2 dimes?
oh, and FS
MsMorrisine, one more outburst like this and off to the principal's office you go.
Whoever is careless with the truth in small matters cannot be trusted with important matters.
VF-35
VF 20
First Strike?
Assuming a PCGS grade and modern slab, I'll go XF40, not First Strike.
http://ProofCollection.Net
He's having fun with us - FS = FULL STARS
EF-45
God comes first in everything I do. I’m dedicated to serving Him with my whole life. Coin collecting is just a hobby—but even in that, I seek to honor Him. ✝️
45
RE: Forum Currently Averaging 1.5 Points Low, Can It Get Better?
I wasn't part of the first 3, but the analysis may be flawed if applied to both MS and Circulated grades. In MS, being off by a grade or two is 1 or 2 points. But below MS, being off a grade or two can be 5 or 10 points.
http://ProofCollection.Net
Comparing it to my 50 cent XF40 I'd say F15

Of course my picture could have been better. Not so dark!
huh? Full Shield
XF40
Collector of Capped Bust Halves, SLQ's, Commems, and random cool stuff! @davidv_numismatics on Instagram
I've corrected the OP after recalculating for the circulated example- we are still averaging one grade low.
Care to offer a guess? This one has quite the swing going.
VF30
Gobrecht's Engraved Mature Head Large Cent Model
https://www.instagram.com/rexrarities/?hl=en
35
Mark Feld* of Heritage Auctions*Unless otherwise noted, my posts here represent my personal opinions.
50
VF30
I will go with VF-30. Pictures are a litle dark so it is harder to check some of the finer detail. James
EF-45
"To Be Esteemed Be Useful" - 1792 Birch Cent --- "I personally think we developed language because of our deep need to complain." - Lily Tomlin
VF 35
VF 30 Large E's
30
1823/2 Large E's , the reverse is a point finer but the obverse it typically struck for this issue too. IMO anyway
EF40
“We are only their care-takers,” he posed, “if we take good care of them, then centuries from now they may still be here … ”
Todd - BHNC #242
TTT for this thread, got bumped off by all of the "This is my..." threads.
VF30
XF40
VF-30
Collector
91 Positive BST transactions buying and selling with 56 members and counting!
instagram.com/klnumismatics
VF30
XF40
25
If we were all the same, the world would be an incredibly boring place.
Tommy
35
Keeper of the VAM Catalog • Professional Coin Imaging • Prime Number Set • World Coins in Early America • British Trade Dollars • Variety Attribution
XF40
My collecting “Pride & Joy” is my PCGS Registry Dansco 7070 Set:
https://www.pcgs.com/setregistry/type-sets/design-type-sets/complete-dansco-7070-modified-type-set-1796-date/publishedset/213996
I don't know these but my gut says 30 for some reason.
Collector, occasional seller
Here's the reveal! Average guess was VF35, so still a grade low. Variation was +/- 8.5 points, so a significant amount.
Did you perhaps mean average guess was VF-35 rather than AU53, as it could not have averaged an AU grade?
"To Be Esteemed Be Useful" - 1792 Birch Cent --- "I personally think we developed language because of our deep need to complain." - Lily Tomlin
You are absolutely correct, so sorry.