Huge game for Fields and Love later. Honestly how can you not take Green Bay in a blow out. I was wrong about Love as he’s just balled out lately. 16 TDs 1 interception. My #1 pick for late games
Green Bay-3 for 50
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
@2dueces said:
+825
The pressure is off Buffalo. Now they take care of business and the #2 seed.
Buffalo-2.5 for 200
I’ve got a 250 future on the Bills over 10.5 wins. Normally I’d hedge this instead of adding ^^. So am I a homer, a dumb gambler or just over confident. A loss would cost me 450. I still have time to reconsider
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
@2dueces said:
+825
The pressure is off Buffalo. Now they take care of business and the #2 seed.
Buffalo-2.5 for 200
I’ve got a 250 future on the Bills over 10.5 wins. Normally I’d hedge this instead of adding ^^. So am I a homer, a dumb gambler or just over confident. A loss would cost me 450. I still have time to reconsider
I’m staying and letting it all ride on tonight
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Am I missing something here? I mean am I? Miami going to 0 degrees Kansas City, the defending champions. Miami pulling people out of the stands. Miami 1-6 against winning teams averaging 17 points a game. Miami with Tua. Miami only getting 3 points? Ok talk me out of taking the +1025 and wagering it on butter fingers KC receivers at home!? Please stop me.
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Am I missing something here? I mean am I? Miami going to 0 degrees Kansas City, the defending champions. Miami pulling people out of the stands. Miami 1-6 against winning teams averaging 17 points a game. Miami with Tua. Miami only getting 3 points? Ok talk me out of taking the +1025 and wagering it on butter fingers KC receivers at home!? Please stop me.
i decided not to touch that game. you make a lot of astute points, but there have been many times this season when it felt like i broke games down in a similar fashion, only for the complete opposite to happen.
if this was the KC offense from years past, i'd 1,000% be on board with you. but it's not. a terrible receiving corps that has made Mahomes look like a pedestrian quarterback. the defense has given them a piggyback ride to this point.
Miami is decimated. they are going to be fish out of water in those temps (pun intended). they haven't looked formidable against solid teams. but........and here's the but that could result in the complete opposite happening.........they have firepower. would it be completely out of the realm for them to click on all cylinders offensively and outscore the Chiefs? like, no chance of that happening? man i'd be careful with that. stranger things have absolutely happened this season. for all of their problems, they still have a 4x100 relay team and therefore i don't think it's wise to totally count them out.
The o/u line looks to hook under players with all negatives cited previously. Weather, Miami not a cold weather team,poor record versus winning teams, etc. It's tempting. So I will chase the over. Just curious with the negs. why a high o/u.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
+1025
I decided to spread out the wins. err losses and just enjoy the weekend. This goes against my rule as to pick a game or two that I really feel good about
Cleveland-1.5 for 25
Kansas City-4.5 for 50
The thing about Super wild Card weekend or whatever it’s called there are always at least 2 upsets and 3 dogs that cover. Figuring out which is the problem.
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Never like players prop bets. I just think it builds casinos in Vegas but I’m feeling it.
Tua over .5 interceptions $137 to win $100
Kansas City defensive TD. $50 to win $400
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
@2dueces said:
Never like players prop bets. I just think it builds casinos in Vegas but I’m feeling it.
Tua over .5 interceptions $137 to win $100
Kansas City defensive TD. $50 to win $400
@2dueces said:
Never like players prop bets. I just think it builds casinos in Vegas but I’m feeling it.
Tua over .5 interceptions $137 to win $100
Kansas City defensive TD. $50 to win $400
Hope it hits Joe!
Almost bet Tua pick 6 1200, 50 to win 600. But changed my mind last minute
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
@2dueces said:
Never like players prop bets. I just think it builds casinos in Vegas but I’m feeling it.
Tua over .5 interceptions $137 to win $100
Kansas City defensive TD. $50 to win $400
Hope it hits Joe!
Almost bet Tua pick 6 1200, 50 to win 600. But changed my mind last minute
Dallas beats up on bad teams at home. It’s just a repeat of week 18 for me. Sure Green Bay is in the playoffs. Congratulations! So they won 3 in a row to get here. Congratulations! Carolina, Minnesota and Chicago. Congratulations!!
Dallas-7 for 100
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I’m calling it a loss 😂😂😂
+$1000
I’m passing on tonight’s game to get a good nights sleep because I couldn’t care less who wins. My gut tells me Detroit
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I’m so tempted to take Tampa just because of the way Philly has played. Mayfield has Goodwin and Evans and Philly can’t cover anyone. Ok talked myself into it. And I’m going against my golden rule. Never bet Tampa or Atlanta.
Tampa +3 for 50
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I can’t think of any reason not to take Houston +9 on Saturday. They’re the hottest team in football, played the Ravens earlier (-Stroud) and Lamar and starter’s have had 3 weeks off. 3 weeks is an eternity. If they start slow and get down 10 I have no faith in Jackson leading a comeback of any kind. I might even drop a few bucks on the money line +340.
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Rooting for Houston, San Fran, Lions, Bills. My original homer team Lions for SB action! I've got some ends on some SB squares sheets at my holes, so will be rooting for numbers on the big one no matter who.
So I’m going to place a bit on the money line. I just don’t trust Jackson. If Houston comes out hot and Baltimore rusty it’s going to be a shoot out.
Houston +9.5 for 50 more
Houston money line 100 to win 350
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
i have no skin in this or any other NFL game this weekend, but what's strange is that i feel like i can analyze these games more effectively because of that. i said in another thread that i thought Houston would give the Ravens a game. i didn't think Baltimore was nearly as good as everyone made them out to be (via the eye test), and Houston is much better than the oddsmakers gave them credit for (via the eye test). i really felt the difference between those two teams was very thin -- a hell of a lot thinner than a touchdown and a field goal.
whether or not they'll do it, idk, but Houston can definitely win this game. really wish Fairbairn had hit that FG, but they are right there. playing with confidence, nothing to lose, and backed by a QB whose moxy far exceeds his experience. that is the recipe to knocking off a #1 when people least expect it.
they can do this. i hope they will for the sake of everyone who bet on them.
Houston is like a fighter who was going toe to toe with a champ, then they got caught with a big shot and now they're reeling and hanging on for dear life. no one has made a single play in the 2nd half.
For all the fanfare the OC for Houston was receiving he forgot how to have a simple check down for the blitz. He also forgot how to fill a blitz hole with a TE on a simple 5 yard curl. Stroud ran for his life without a receiver within 10 yards of the line. 3 and 8 before the missed FG he has 3 receivers running outs to the right.
Defense was on the field way too long.
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Every thing has been stacked against the Bills this year.
Tre White their best corner Achilles
Matt Milano maybe the best linebacker in football broken leg
Daquan Jones missed 14 games
Those 3, 20% of the Bills salary and the heart of the defense
In Philadelphia 14 penalties to 1 for the home team tied on a 60 yard field goal in the rain.
6-6 with a 14% chance to make the playoffs
Beat Miami in Miami to win the east.
5 back ups go down against Pittsburgh and 5 3rd stringers finished the game.
Kair Elam a healthy scratch for 14 games has an interception in the end zone
AJ Klein called off his couch leads the team with 11 tackles.
Gabe Davis to miss his 2nd game with a knee had 4 TD’s and 200 yards against the Swifties 2 years ago is out tonight.
The narrative was Josh Allen is a turnover machine even though he has 44 TD’s and only 2 more INT’s than Mahomie.
They have won 7 in a row when they were counted out by everyone.
This is in Buffalo, the mafia and Josh Allen.
Bills 34-13
Buffalo-2.5 for 150
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
+700
The playoffs haven’t been kind to my bankroll. Started at +1050. Ugh. And of course not kind to my Bills. We’ll get em next year.
One thing I’ll be watching is Mahomes as an underdog again. Rooting against KC last week, rooting for them this week.
I also still have two futures working
San Francisco +350 Conference
San Francisco +1000 Super Bowl.
I’m up +1325 with futures so all in all with 3 games left a very good season. If San Francisco wins today I might hedge that SB wager.
Kansas City +4.5 for 50
San Francisco-7 for 50
W.C.Fields "I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Comments
The Cowboys love to beat up on bad teams and they need this win tomorrow
Dallas-13 for 50
More tomorrow
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I’ve got Jacksonville winning the division in my futures $220 to win $200.
With them 1-5 in last 6 I'm hedging my bet
Tennessee +4.5 for 100.
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Huge game for Fields and Love later. Honestly how can you not take Green Bay in a blow out. I was wrong about Love as he’s just balled out lately. 16 TDs 1 interception. My #1 pick for late games
Green Bay-3 for 50
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
How about sending hoodie out with his head held high
New England-2 for 50
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
+825
The pressure is off Buffalo. Now they take care of business and the #2 seed.
Buffalo-2.5 for 200
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I’ve got a 250 future on the Bills over 10.5 wins. Normally I’d hedge this instead of adding ^^. So am I a homer, a dumb gambler or just over confident. A loss would cost me 450. I still have time to reconsider
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I’m staying and letting it all ride on tonight
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
@2dueces
i'm sure that first half had you excavating hair follicles, but your boys showed up and showed out in the 2nd
congrats on them and the 💰💰💰
+1025
Thanks to the Cardiac Kids
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Am I missing something here? I mean am I? Miami going to 0 degrees Kansas City, the defending champions. Miami pulling people out of the stands. Miami 1-6 against winning teams averaging 17 points a game. Miami with Tua. Miami only getting 3 points? Ok talk me out of taking the +1025 and wagering it on butter fingers KC receivers at home!? Please stop me.
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
i decided not to touch that game. you make a lot of astute points, but there have been many times this season when it felt like i broke games down in a similar fashion, only for the complete opposite to happen.
if this was the KC offense from years past, i'd 1,000% be on board with you. but it's not. a terrible receiving corps that has made Mahomes look like a pedestrian quarterback. the defense has given them a piggyback ride to this point.
Miami is decimated. they are going to be fish out of water in those temps (pun intended). they haven't looked formidable against solid teams. but........and here's the but that could result in the complete opposite happening.........they have firepower. would it be completely out of the realm for them to click on all cylinders offensively and outscore the Chiefs? like, no chance of that happening? man i'd be careful with that. stranger things have absolutely happened this season. for all of their problems, they still have a 4x100 relay team and therefore i don't think it's wise to totally count them out.
.02
The o/u line looks to hook under players with all negatives cited previously. Weather, Miami not a cold weather team,poor record versus winning teams, etc. It's tempting. So I will chase the over. Just curious with the negs. why a high o/u.
+1025
I decided to spread out the wins. err losses and just enjoy the weekend. This goes against my rule as to pick a game or two that I really feel good about
Cleveland-1.5 for 25
Kansas City-4.5 for 50
The thing about Super wild Card weekend or whatever it’s called there are always at least 2 upsets and 3 dogs that cover. Figuring out which is the problem.
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I'm really surprised to see another guy here taking Houston, you and @galaxy27
I think Cleveland and the D will be too much for Stroud and Co
@perkdog
That was week 18
See above for today
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Ok got it
Never like players prop bets. I just think it builds casinos in Vegas but I’m feeling it.
Tua over .5 interceptions $137 to win $100
Kansas City defensive TD. $50 to win $400
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Hope it hits Joe!
Almost bet Tua pick 6 1200, 50 to win 600. But changed my mind last minute
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Prop bets are sexy but rarely hit
Damn. Did I pick the wrong team for defense TD?
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
i wonder how much 2 house calls would pay
Probably a lotta lettuce
Cha-Ching!!
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
+1100
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Dallas beats up on bad teams at home. It’s just a repeat of week 18 for me. Sure Green Bay is in the playoffs. Congratulations! So they won 3 in a row to get here. Congratulations! Carolina, Minnesota and Chicago. Congratulations!!
Dallas-7 for 100
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I’m calling it a loss 😂😂😂
+$1000
I’m passing on tonight’s game to get a good nights sleep because I couldn’t care less who wins. My gut tells me Detroit
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I’m so tempted to take Tampa just because of the way Philly has played. Mayfield has Goodwin and Evans and Philly can’t cover anyone. Ok talked myself into it. And I’m going against my golden rule. Never bet Tampa or Atlanta.
Tampa +3 for 50
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
+1050
Anyone doubt Mayfield is the comeback player of the year?
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I can’t think of any reason not to take Houston +9 on Saturday. They’re the hottest team in football, played the Ravens earlier (-Stroud) and Lamar and starter’s have had 3 weeks off. 3 weeks is an eternity. If they start slow and get down 10 I have no faith in Jackson leading a comeback of any kind. I might even drop a few bucks on the money line +340.
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I’m commenting
+1050
Houston +9.5 for 50
San Francisco-9.5 for 50
Probably wrong on both but I feel a dog will cover today. Maybe a bad back door on the 49ers game
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
I bought Houston and Green Bay both to 10.5
Rooting for Houston, San Fran, Lions, Bills. My original homer team Lions for SB action! I've got some ends on some SB squares sheets at my holes, so will be rooting for numbers on the big one no matter who.
So I’m going to place a bit on the money line. I just don’t trust Jackson. If Houston comes out hot and Baltimore rusty it’s going to be a shoot out.
Houston +9.5 for 50 more
Houston money line 100 to win 350
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Massive TD right there, Houston might be in the lead if they would stop jamming themselves with stupid penalties
Hanging around. Just hanging around. Pressure is building on Baltimore if they keep letting them hang around. Tipped pass etc.
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Baltimore has out played them but not capitalizing
Houston is defeating themselves and it's tied!
i have no skin in this or any other NFL game this weekend, but what's strange is that i feel like i can analyze these games more effectively because of that. i said in another thread that i thought Houston would give the Ravens a game. i didn't think Baltimore was nearly as good as everyone made them out to be (via the eye test), and Houston is much better than the oddsmakers gave them credit for (via the eye test). i really felt the difference between those two teams was very thin -- a hell of a lot thinner than a touchdown and a field goal.
whether or not they'll do it, idk, but Houston can definitely win this game. really wish Fairbairn had hit that FG, but they are right there. playing with confidence, nothing to lose, and backed by a QB whose moxy far exceeds his experience. that is the recipe to knocking off a #1 when people least expect it.
they can do this. i hope they will for the sake of everyone who bet on them.
Field goal was big. Baltimore down even by 3 was huge
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
would have been a tough catch, but Pitre has to reel in that pick. that's the diff between winning and losing.......it cost the Texans 7
gotta make that play bro
The lack of any running game by Houston is alarming
Did my double reverse run game jinx comment work?????
Nope I've seen enough, Houston cannot score
My thoughts of Houston pulling this off are fading fast, they are playing very undisciplined football
i contributed. they've done nothing positive since i posted.
a win looks unlikely now, but they can duck the number
gl fellas
Houston is like a fighter who was going toe to toe with a champ, then they got caught with a big shot and now they're reeling and hanging on for dear life. no one has made a single play in the 2nd half.
hate this shit
I would've been right there with you guys
For all the fanfare the OC for Houston was receiving he forgot how to have a simple check down for the blitz. He also forgot how to fill a blitz hole with a TE on a simple 5 yard curl. Stroud ran for his life without a receiver within 10 yards of the line. 3 and 8 before the missed FG he has 3 receivers running outs to the right.
Defense was on the field way too long.
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
+800
Bad day in Black Rock <- movie title yesterday. I had a funny feeling I was wrong on both ( see post) but I had a few $$ to play with.
Im going to study a bit on the Detroit game and pick that wrong later. I’m sure my thoughts on Buffalo is a no brainer
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
+800
Detroit-6 for 50
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Every thing has been stacked against the Bills this year.
Tre White their best corner Achilles
Matt Milano maybe the best linebacker in football broken leg
Daquan Jones missed 14 games
Those 3, 20% of the Bills salary and the heart of the defense
In Philadelphia 14 penalties to 1 for the home team tied on a 60 yard field goal in the rain.
6-6 with a 14% chance to make the playoffs
Beat Miami in Miami to win the east.
5 back ups go down against Pittsburgh and 5 3rd stringers finished the game.
Kair Elam a healthy scratch for 14 games has an interception in the end zone
AJ Klein called off his couch leads the team with 11 tackles.
Gabe Davis to miss his 2nd game with a knee had 4 TD’s and 200 yards against the Swifties 2 years ago is out tonight.
The narrative was Josh Allen is a turnover machine even though he has 44 TD’s and only 2 more INT’s than Mahomie.
They have won 7 in a row when they were counted out by everyone.
This is in Buffalo, the mafia and Josh Allen.
Bills 34-13
Buffalo-2.5 for 150
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
+700
The playoffs haven’t been kind to my bankroll. Started at +1050. Ugh. And of course not kind to my Bills. We’ll get em next year.
One thing I’ll be watching is Mahomes as an underdog again. Rooting against KC last week, rooting for them this week.
I also still have two futures working
San Francisco +350 Conference
San Francisco +1000 Super Bowl.
I’m up +1325 with futures so all in all with 3 games left a very good season. If San Francisco wins today I might hedge that SB wager.
Kansas City +4.5 for 50
San Francisco-7 for 50
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.