Home U.S. Coin Forum
Options

Because Coin Collectors like puzzles, can you answer this?

abcde12345abcde12345 Posts: 3,404 ✭✭✭✭✭
edited January 31, 2021 7:14AM in U.S. Coin Forum

Taking a stab at this...
The chance of selecting One answer is 25%.
Chance of selecting the particular answers are:
"25%" is a 2/4 or 50% chance.
"0%" is 1/4 or 25% chance.
"50%" is 1/4 or 25% chance.

-A Final Answer OR D Final Answer: Assume the Correct answer is 25% (i.e., you would be correct if you randomly chose A or D)
-Your random chance of selecting the 25% answer is 2/4 or 50%, so if 25% is the chance of being correct randomly, but you'll get that same answer 50% of the time choosing randomly, that's a contradiction, and they can't simultaneously be true.

:|

Comments

  • Options
    1630Boston1630Boston Posts: 13,772 ✭✭✭✭✭

    zero percent ??

    Successful transactions with : MICHAELDIXON, Manorcourtman, Bochiman, bolivarshagnasty, AUandAG, onlyroosies, chumley, Weiss, jdimmick, BAJJERFAN, gene1978, TJM965, Smittys, GRANDAM, JTHawaii, mainejoe, softparade, derryb

    Bad transactions with : nobody to date

  • Options
    TurtleCatTurtleCat Posts: 4,592 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I’ll answer E. :)

    Spoiler alert: There’s a good write up of this puzzle here: https://bitmingw.com/2016/06/19/the-multi-choice-paradox/

  • Options
    abcde12345abcde12345 Posts: 3,404 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @1630Boston said:
    zero percent ??

    "B. Final Answer" aka assume the correct answer is 0% (you would be correct only if you randomly chose B).
    Your random chance of selecting B is 25%, and if 0% is the right answer, you must have a 0% chance of randomly selecting the right answer. Yet another contradiction, and there is no state where any of 0, 25, or 50% can simultaneously be the correct Random chance of selecting the answer and the correct answer itself.

  • Options
    Tom147Tom147 Posts: 1,431 ✭✭✭✭✭

    25%

  • Options
    pcgscacgoldpcgscacgold Posts: 2,637 ✭✭✭✭✭

    This site is great. A few weeks back we had the Monte Hall problem come up and now this one. Keep the math coming.

    I too will go off the menu and select E All of the above. The best items are often not on the menu.

  • Options
    Mr_SpudMr_Spud Posts: 4,436 ✭✭✭✭✭

    If you can answer 25% without having to pick the letter then there only 3 possible answers (25%, 0%, 50%) so it’s 33.3333333%. But if the alphabet letter has to be declared then there are 4 unique answers (A25, B0, C50, D25) because A doesn’t equal D and it’s 25%.

    Mr_Spud

  • Options
    Namvet69Namvet69 Posts: 8,671 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Honey...where's my crazy 8 ball? Peace Roy

    BST: endeavor1967, synchr, kliao, Outhaul, Donttellthewife, U1Chicago, ajaan, mCarney1173, SurfinHi, MWallace, Sandman70gt, mustanggt, Pittstate03, Lazybones, Walkerguy21D, coinandcurrency242 , thebigeng, Collectorcoins, JimTyler, USMarine6, Elkevvo, Coll3ctor, Yorkshireman, CUKevin, ranshdow, CoinHunter4, bennybravo, Centsearcher, braddick, Windycity, ZoidMeister, mirabela, JJM, RichURich, Bullsitter, jmski52, LukeMarshall

  • Options
    MWallaceMWallace Posts: 3,854 ✭✭✭✭✭

    50%. 0% is not possible. The choices left are 25% and 50%. Therefore you have a 50-50 chance of getting the correct answer.

  • Options
    nagsnags Posts: 793 ✭✭✭✭

    You have a 50% chance.

  • Options
    SmudgeSmudge Posts: 9,250 ✭✭✭✭✭

    50%

  • Options
    abcde12345abcde12345 Posts: 3,404 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Are you guys saying the random chance of a correct response is 50%, or is your answer selection "C"?

  • Options
    TurtleCatTurtleCat Posts: 4,592 ✭✭✭✭✭

    You should read the link I posted above. The problem isn’t quite as easy as it seems on the surface.

  • Options
    RichieURichRichieURich Posts: 8,371 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I think there is no correct answer.

    0% is not correct because if there is a 25% chance of picking it. So it is not 0%.

    25% is not correct because there are two 25% values and the chance of picking one is 50%. So it is not 25%.

    50% is not correct because I just proved that it can't be 0% or either of the two 25% amounts. So it is not 50%.

    Therefore, there is no correct answer.

    An authorized PCGS dealer, and a contributor to the Red Book.

  • Options
    abcde12345abcde12345 Posts: 3,404 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @RichieURich said:
    I think there is no correct answer.

    0% is not correct because if there is a 25% chance of picking it. So it is not 0%.

    25% is not correct because there are two 25% values, and the chance of picking one is 50%. So it is not 25%.

    50% is not correct because I just proved that it couldn't be 0% or either of the two 25% amounts. So it is not 50%.

    Therefore, there is no correct answer.

    If there were no correct answer, then the answer would be "B" and negate your response.

  • Options
    SmudgeSmudge Posts: 9,250 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Maybe 25% as it is actually 50% and there is a 25% chance of picking 50%.

  • Options
    RichieURichRichieURich Posts: 8,371 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @abcde12345 said:

    @RichieURich said:
    I think there is no correct answer.

    0% is not correct because if there is a 25% chance of picking it. So it is not 0%.

    25% is not correct because there are two 25% values, and the chance of picking one is 50%. So it is not 25%.

    50% is not correct because I just proved that it couldn't be 0% or either of the two 25% amounts. So it is not 50%.

    Therefore, there is no correct answer.

    If there were no correct answer, then the answer would be "B" and negate your response.

    But there is a 25% chance of selecting "B" at random so 0% can't be correct.

    An authorized PCGS dealer, and a contributor to the Red Book.

  • Options

    In a coin related format: If you could choose an 1881S Morgan dollar at random, what’s the chance it would be the nicest coin?
    A. PCGS MS64 CAC GOLD
    B. PCGS MS65 CAC GREEN
    C. PCGS MS66 NO CAC
    D. NGC MS67 NO CAC

  • Options
    1Mike11Mike1 Posts: 4,414 ✭✭✭✭✭

    A and D are the same answer. B and C are two different answers. Choosing an answer is 1 out of 4 or 25%. Getting the answer correct would be 1 out of 3 or 33.33%. I think, :D

    "May the silver waves that bear you heavenward be filled with love’s whisperings"

    "A dog breaks your heart only one time and that is when they pass on". Unknown
  • Options
    rec78rec78 Posts: 5,687 ✭✭✭✭✭

    My brain hurts.

    image
  • Options
    WAYNEASWAYNEAS Posts: 6,345 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Can't answer the question at this time.
    It is Sunday afternoon. Re-watching the playoffs.
    Drinking has commenced at 12 noon ( really during the pregame show). :):);)

    Kennedys are my quest...

  • Options
    NicNic Posts: 3,343 ✭✭✭✭✭

    0% is correct answer if you choose any.
    So, 25% chance.

  • Options
    YQQYQQ Posts: 3,274 ✭✭✭✭✭

    So, WHAT is the question??????????????????????

    Today is the first day of the rest of my life
  • Options
    WQuarterFreddieWQuarterFreddie Posts: 2,548 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @1Mike1 said:
    A and D are the same answer. B and C are two different answers. Choosing an answer is 1 out of 4 or 25%. Getting the answer correct would be 1 out of 3 or 33.33%. I think, :D

    I agree! So are we correct? 🤣😂

  • Options
    abcde12345abcde12345 Posts: 3,404 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @WQuarterFreddie said:

    @1Mike1 said:
    A and D are the same answer. B and C are two different answers. Choosing an answer is 1 out of 4 or 25%. Getting the answer correct would be 1 out of 3 or 33.33%. I think, :D

    I agree! So are we correct? 🤣😂

    Maybe (25%). Maybe not (75%).

Leave a Comment

BoldItalicStrikethroughOrdered listUnordered list
Emoji
Image
Align leftAlign centerAlign rightToggle HTML viewToggle full pageToggle lights
Drop image/file