@oldUScoins said:
From what I’ve read one of the keys is that it remains contained in one area. If another epicenter forms in a different part of the world it’s an indication it will spread everywhere. 2% mortality rate is high but it may actually be lower as it isn’t clear all the actual cases (less severe) are being counted.
My understanding is that it looks like this will be contained.
It's only a 2% mortality but most of the fatalities are old men.
@1northcoin said:
It would be nice if we really could analogize this epidemic with the influenza viruses we are more familiar with in recent history. Unfortunately though an alarming pattern is emerging with regard to numbers afflicted and percentage of consequent deaths. Already there are four times the deaths and if current trends continue we may be seeing ten times the number of deaths since the likelihood of an effective vaccine is at least a year away.
Here are some excerpts from a discussion making the point:
About 25k cases reported and 560 deaths so far which is over 2%. Compare that with regular flu which is about 0.05%. We have had about 13 million cases of flu and that number tends to go as high as 60 million in some years. With a 2% death rate, that would potentially lead to 1 mill deaths per year or more (vs the 10-50k deaths with the flu)
wouldn't it be more accurate to base the death rate on the date the most recent percent to die was diagnosed?
So, if the most recent person to die was diagnosed a week ago at which point the total number of diagnosed was approx 8,000, the death rate would be closer to 7%.
It has been pretty consistent at a bit more than 2% of the total diagnosed from when it first came out. Since there were about 1700 cases. Hope it does not go where you suggest as that is truly scary. I thought it would come down as more was known but so far it has not. And that is what I am concerned about. Keep hoping that we will find a lot of cases were not diagnosed so that the real death rate is closer to the traditional flu.
Here is a current view from the ship's live bridge web cam on the quarantined Diamond Princess as it remains moored in Yokohama Harbor now that the number of identified infected persons has increased to 20 - with those persons having been taken off the ship to nearby hospitals in Japan.
Pictured below is a view from the Diamond Princess live Bridge Web Cam from this afternoon. It is difficult to determine if the ship is actually along side the pier for loading of food and supplies prior to being headed back out into the harbor again where it will continue to remain anchored for the quarantine period.
For comparison here is also a view of the Yokohama Bridge as I photographed departing Yokohama Port while aboard the Diamond Princess just last year:
Sadly in today’s news the Chinese doctor who first alerted the world as to the Coronavirus has now died from it having infected him.
Also the number of afflicted passengers identified with the virus on the moored off of Yokohama Japan Diamond Princess cruise ship has tripled to 61. That is more persons afflicted on that one ship than any one country outside of China has been identified to have.
Updated figures from China as of today Friday morning are 31,161 infected in mainland China and 636 people dead, There as been one death in Hong Kong and one in the Philippines.
@amwldcoin said:
There is a growing concern(conspiracy theory) this may be a product of Bio Warfar. There is a big govt. Medical research center in the area.
As much as I am against conspiracy theories - the virus has dropped the unrest in Hong Kong over mainland China control out of the news.
Tir nam beann, nan gleann, s'nan gaisgeach ~ Saorstat Albanaich a nis!
Historically population control = war, pestilence or famine. 1918 was the last pestilence.
100% positive transactions with SurfinxHI, bigole, 1madman, collectorcoins, proofmorgan, Luke Marshall, silver pop, golden egg, point five zero,coin22lover, alohagary, blaircountycoin,joebb21
Comments
My understanding is that it looks like this will be contained.
It's only a 2% mortality but most of the fatalities are old men.
I don't like my odds.
Pictured below is a view from the Diamond Princess live Bridge Web Cam from this afternoon. It is difficult to determine if the ship is actually along side the pier for loading of food and supplies prior to being headed back out into the harbor again where it will continue to remain anchored for the quarantine period.
For comparison here is also a view of the Yokohama Bridge as I photographed departing Yokohama Port while aboard the Diamond Princess just last year:
I was born in Corona.....before the virus. The Circle City. Lemon Capitol of the World!
Sadly in today’s news the Chinese doctor who first alerted the world as to the Coronavirus has now died from it having infected him.
Also the number of afflicted passengers identified with the virus on the moored off of Yokohama Japan Diamond Princess cruise ship has tripled to 61. That is more persons afflicted on that one ship than any one country outside of China has been identified to have.
Updated figures from China as of today Friday morning are 31,161 infected in mainland China and 636 people dead, There as been one death in Hong Kong and one in the Philippines.
There is a growing concern(conspiracy theory) this may be a product of Bio Warfar. There is a big govt. Medical research center in the area.
As much as I am against conspiracy theories - the virus has dropped the unrest in Hong Kong over mainland China control out of the news.
Historically population control = war, pestilence or famine. 1918 was the last pestilence.
100% positive transactions with SurfinxHI, bigole, 1madman, collectorcoins, proofmorgan, Luke Marshall, silver pop, golden egg, point five zero,coin22lover, alohagary, blaircountycoin,joebb21
Also of concern is the accuracy of the statistics coming out of China.
I got a small packet yesterday from China yesterday - I am a little afraid to open it,
Quarantine it in the garage for 14 days!