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Do you ever think about the SHTF scenario...

dohdoh Posts: 6,457 ✭✭✭
...in relation to your numismatic investment? Over on the PM thread a well known PM bully posted how happy he is to be out of numismatic rarities because he's worried the government will collapse and PMs will be far more valuable than numismatic items. A few people responded in agreement and what he says seems to make sense and got me thinking... But then I think of all the people over on this forum who seem to be collecting and enjoying numismatic rarities without any thought to America being brought back to the bartering system.

I guess my question is: is anyone out there contemplating selling everything because they're worried about the SHTF?
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Comments

  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    If that negative scenario comes to pass, then I believe we will

    have far worse problems then the value of our coin collections.
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • Bayard1908Bayard1908 Posts: 4,095 ✭✭✭✭
    The coins I own are part of American history, far more significant than mere metal.

    If people go back to subsistence living, gold and silver will not be high on my list of things to acquire. Preserving history and western culture however would be among my priorities.
  • 500Bay500Bay Posts: 1,110 ✭✭✭
    If there were a complete meltdown (SHTF), there would be little market for numismatic coins - but they would recover eventually when a new order is established.

    I do think about the time to sell: Certainly the buy/sell spread is much better with precious metals than numismatic coins. Then again, I can see precious metals retreating in prices if we get our house in order. While that may not be likely, it was not likely in 1980 either.

    I buy coins I like, with hopefully a potential to break even or make a profit later. If the SHTF, paid for property, tangible assets, etc. will retain value. In dark ages England after the Romans left their coins (real silver) had no value. People needed food - barter became the real currency.

    Settle your debts, have a cash reserve, collect with your excess.
    Finem Respice
  • Billet7Billet7 Posts: 4,923 ✭✭✭


    << <i>If that negative scenario comes to pass, then I believe we will

    have far worse problems then the value of our coin collections. >>



    Exactly what I was thinking. I'm not sure gold and silver would be the things to have anyway. Better would be to spend the money you currently have on a huge supply of fuel, food emergency shelters, and water. That is where the true value lies if the world goes "to the dogs" as they say.
  • deviousdevious Posts: 1,690
    I was thinking a wagon, some horses, and some good ol' six shooters. Maybe break out the L.C. Smith, too.

    Really, I agree about not selling the coins off, but I really like to be particular to silver and gold coins in my collection. That way there's some precious metal value along with the historical content. Two for one.
  • FlatwoodsFlatwoods Posts: 4,247 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Since I am one of the milquetoast people, it won't have a significant effect on my life.
    I don't have vast fortunes tied up in either one.
  • 2ndCharter2ndCharter Posts: 1,707 ✭✭✭✭✭
    It's all about diversification - while we can all make educated guesses about the future (including the SHTF scenario), we don't know exactly how things will play out. So, the best thing to do is to plan for several eventualities. Yes, it's important to have some PMs in your portfolio (and also have a supply of alcohol, toilet paper, etc. along with perhaps a gun or two) but, if everything turns out OK, you should also have some conventional investments. With those bases covered, go ahead and play with your rarities (coins or otherwise).

    Member ANA, SPMC, SCNA, FUN, CONECA

  • Billet7Billet7 Posts: 4,923 ✭✭✭
    Back in the 80's my grandfather decided to sink a ton of money into gold and silver, right at the price peak. Silver was seen as a smart investment at the time because it would not loose value like the dollar would if an economic crisis was to come about (sound familiar?) After more than twenty years of hanging on to the bullion, he decided to sell it, he lost money. He cursed himself for being so stupid, and moved on. Of course he sold the bullion at a time when you couldn't give it away. He bought high, and sold low.

    I have learned to be wary of buying into what is popular at the time, and buy what is unpopular at the time. I try to follow what Warren Buffet does. Be wary when everyone is greedy, and greedy when everyone is wary.

    This is why I am not buying bullion right now. As far as an investment in "emergency" money. There are better things to stockpile than gold and silver.
  • BBNBBN Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭
    Would PMs really be that important in a SHTF scenario? What does yellow metal do if some barter system arose? I would imagine skills, seeds, livestock and water may be more important to own than hunks of metal.

    I know one guy who is one of these crazy survivalists and he tells me that loads and loads of pocket change like quarters and dimes might be more important than PM because pocket change works in vending machines.

    Positive BST Transactions (buyers and sellers): wondercoin, blu62vette, BAJJERFAN, privatecoin, blu62vette, AlanLastufka, privatecoin

    #1 1951 Bowman Los Angeles Rams Team Set
    #2 1980 Topps Los Angeles Rams Team Set
    #8 (and climbing) 1972 Topps Los Angeles Rams Team Set
  • yellowkidyellowkid Posts: 5,486
    No, I'm not worried about the government collapsing and my coins becoming worthless.image
  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 36,073 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Would PMs really be that important in a SHTF scenario? What does yellow metal do if some barter system arose? I would imagine skills, seeds, livestock and water may be more important to own than hunks of metal.

    I know one guy who is one of these crazy survivalists and he tells me that loads and loads of pocket change like quarters and dimes might be more important than PM because pocket change works in vending machines. >>




    well, bricks work better.

    and I'd imagine if it came to a barter systems, a raw piece of PM would be less valuable than a skill or something more readily usable. Unless mayber the person makes printed circuit boards for targeting computers.


    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • BBNBBN Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>Would PMs really be that important in a SHTF scenario? What does yellow metal do if some barter system arose? I would imagine skills, seeds, livestock and water may be more important to own than hunks of metal.

    I know one guy who is one of these crazy survivalists and he tells me that loads and loads of pocket change like quarters and dimes might be more important than PM because pocket change works in vending machines. >>




    well, bricks work better.

    and I'd imagine if it came to a barter systems, a raw piece of PM would be less valuable than a skill or something more readily usable. Unless mayber the person makes printed circuit boards for targeting computers. >>





    That's what I was thinking. In a SHTF scenario people won't be using pocket change to get chips out of a machine.

    Positive BST Transactions (buyers and sellers): wondercoin, blu62vette, BAJJERFAN, privatecoin, blu62vette, AlanLastufka, privatecoin

    #1 1951 Bowman Los Angeles Rams Team Set
    #2 1980 Topps Los Angeles Rams Team Set
    #8 (and climbing) 1972 Topps Los Angeles Rams Team Set
  • MidLifeCrisisMidLifeCrisis Posts: 10,563 ✭✭✭✭✭
    What is SHTF?

    Is it anything like STFU?

    image
  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,852 ✭✭✭✭✭
    In a total SHTF scenario bullets would trump bullion. I don't worry about a SHTF scenario but I am prepared for one . MJ
    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    When your 72 years old, you really do not have much
    longer to worry about the state of the Nation and the world.
    However, I would still like to get a few more PCGS + before
    I go.
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • derrybderryb Posts: 37,705 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Prepare for the worst, hope for the best.

    No Way Out: Stimulus and Money Printing Are the Only Path Left

  • Steve27Steve27 Posts: 13,275 ✭✭✭
    I am a bit concerned, but with silver, gold, platinum, and palladium as high as they are, I'm loath to buy more. I did buy a couple rolls of BU Peace dollars for a few dollars each over melt. I thought this was a good investment since they have both bullion and numismatic value. Anyone know where I can get some more?
    "It's far easier to fight for principles, than to live up to them." Adlai Stevenson
  • DIMEMANDIMEMAN Posts: 22,403 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'm with midlifecrises


    WHAT IS SHTF!!!!!!!!!!
  • Wow n firearm pictures yetimage
  • If the country collapsed I would probably spend more time at home looking at my coins to avoid running into riots in the streets.
  • pakasmompakasmom Posts: 1,920
    sh*t hits the fan
  • SHTF is #%$^ hit the fan!
  • littlebearlittlebear Posts: 1,562 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I'm with midlifecrises


    WHAT IS SHTF!!!!!!!!!! >>




    S... hit the fan


    Larry L.


    image
    Autism Awareness: There is no limit to the good you can do, if you don't care who gets the credit.
  • lkeigwinlkeigwin Posts: 16,894 ✭✭✭✭✭
    It's all Chicken Little thinking by the small minded.

    SHTF = <something> hits the fan.
    Lance.
  • 19Lyds19Lyds Posts: 26,492 ✭✭✭✭
    I don't know if this has been said or not but if all you collect is modern bullion and you paid more than spot for it then, you'd likely lose a bit of money.

    However, collector coins endured the great depression and the gold recall so I would not be too worried regarding their value should something catastrophic occur.

    What I would be worried about, is exactly how how could convert my silver bullion into something that was "spendable" at either the local market or the gas stations.

    BTW, I never lay any creedance to any of these disaster theorists since they simply feed off of their own personal paranoia's anyway.
    Always have and always will.

    Besides, those folks that are selling, what are you selling for? PM's or US Dollars? If its US Dollars, that seems a little silly since its the US Dollar that would go away in any financial collapse now isn't it?
    I decided to change calling the bathroom the John and renamed it the Jim. I feel so much better saying I went to the Jim this morning.



    The name is LEE!
  • renomedphysrenomedphys Posts: 3,838 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'll tell you what. When the SHTF, you can just send me all your rare coins. I'll in turn send you a ham sandwich.
  • BBNBBN Posts: 3,761 ✭✭✭


    << <i>
    BTW, I never lay any creedance to any of these disaster theorists since they simply feed off of their own personal paranoia's anyway.
    Always have and always will.

    >>




    agreed. I kind of looked into the possibilities at one time, but the only country in this world even there is Somalia, but even fiat money is acceptable there. Only a nationwide disaster like a nuclear war or maybe the Yellowstone volcano scenario happening would this possibility happen. With a nuclear war the only thing of value is a good shelter, water and a stockpile of canned food and with a natural disaster like the "Yellowstone mega volcano" water and a stockpile of food. In both cases food and water would be the core need.

    Positive BST Transactions (buyers and sellers): wondercoin, blu62vette, BAJJERFAN, privatecoin, blu62vette, AlanLastufka, privatecoin

    #1 1951 Bowman Los Angeles Rams Team Set
    #2 1980 Topps Los Angeles Rams Team Set
    #8 (and climbing) 1972 Topps Los Angeles Rams Team Set
  • MidLifeCrisisMidLifeCrisis Posts: 10,563 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>I'm with midlifecrises


    WHAT IS SHTF!!!!!!!!!! >>




    S... hit the fan >>


    Ah, ok.

    Then my answer is no, I never think about the SHTF scenario...numismatically or otherwise.

    To do so is a complete waste of time, imho.

    Carpe diem.
  • GRANDAMGRANDAM Posts: 8,775 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Over on the PM thread a well known PM bully posted how happy he is to be out of numismatic rarities because he's worried the government will collapse and PMs will be far more valuable than numismatic items.

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    If you have enough guns and plenty of ammo you can just take what you will need from the other guy who has the bullion, canned food and water but nothing to protect his family with. image

    In a true worst case scenario you have to be able to protect yourself from the mass confusion and roiting that will surely follow.

    image
    image
    image
    image

    GrandAm image
    GrandAm :)
  • LakesammmanLakesammman Posts: 17,464 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Old friend from the Hungarian revolution (now dead) says that when the SHTF, the currency becomes ammunition, tobacco and alcohol.
    "My friends who see my collection sometimes ask what something costs. I tell them and they are in awe at my stupidity." (Baccaruda, 12/03).I find it hard to believe that he (Trump) rushed to some hotel to meet girls of loose morals, although ours are undoubtedly the best in the world. (Putin 1/17) Gone but not forgotten. IGWT, Speedy, Bear, BigE, HokieFore, John Burns, Russ, TahoeDale, Dahlonega, Astrorat, Stewart Blay, Oldhoopster, Broadstruck, Ricko, Big Moose, Cardinal.
  • JCMhoustonJCMhouston Posts: 5,306 ✭✭✭
    I don't personally think little bits of gold and silver trinkets will mean a lot in the SHTF/TEOTWAWKI (The end of the world as we know it) situation so it doesn't effect my collecting habits at all. However, just to cover all my bases I do have many little bits of metal to barter with.

    image
  • I have a feeling JCM Houston and Grandam are guys i wouldn't mind making friends. Good to have these guy watch your back when SHTF.
    Winner of the "You Suck!" award March 17, 2010 by LanLord, doh, 123cents and Bear.
  • lkeigwinlkeigwin Posts: 16,894 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I figured this might degenerate into firearms. Me, I have only a Remington 870 shotgun and a Glock 45 GAP. Should do the job.
    Lance.

    image

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