I didn't take the cashout option on this one, as it became obvious by the time the player props all hit that, barring a miracle, Dallas was going to win.
.
Panthers are an interesting proposition tonight. Coming off a terrible beat-down last Sunday, against the then 1-5 Bucs. The Bucs did get Mayfield back, but still that was a brutal blow-out. And Mayfield only had 64 yards passing? Panthers played an awful mistake filled game.
Panthers are capable of a bounce back, off a bad loss, as they have shown that before.
I'll have to check for any boosts. With boosts, I may go with Panthers +3.5. No boost, no bet. Overall, the game is too much of a coin flip scenario in my view, to bet it without a boost.
Just received this. Changes the entire dynamics of the wagering possibilities. Likely play the Panthers ML and hope the Panthers can sneak in an early TD, and get it over with.
This is a suggestion for anyone that plays an early win token. Take it for what is worth.
First, it requires either 2 separate sportsbooks, or a second proxy account with the same book.
Let's assume your bet max is $100.
Bet the early win token on the underdog, every time.
.
.
In this instance, $100 on the Panthers moneyline pays $166.
.
Then, go to your second book and bet the minus money on the favorite to return $100. In this instance, it would take $185 on the Packers moneyline to return $100.
.
.
If the Panthers come out hot, grab the lead and never look back, you'll lose $19. If the Panthers never lead by 7, and the Packers win the game, you break even. But if the Panthers grab an early 7 point lead, but the Packers eventually win, you win both sides for $266 total.
You could mitigate the risk, somewhat, if you bet, say $173 on the Packers to win $93.50. You'll lose $7 if the Panthers win, $6.50 if the Packers win, or $259.50 if both sides come through with the Panthers 7 point lead and the eventual Green Bay win.
.
.
There are other more intricate ways to bet that promo and turn it into cash in your account, but let's master the easy stuff first. Lol
@countdouglas said:
This is a suggestion for anyone that plays an early win token. Take it for what is worth.
First, it requires either 2 separate sportsbooks, or a second proxy account with the same book.
Let's assume your bet max is $100.
Bet the early win token on the underdog, every time.
.
.
In this instance, $100 on the Panthers moneyline pays $166.
.
Then, go to your second book and bet the minus money on the favorite to return $100. In this instance, it would take $185 on the Packers moneyline to return $100.
.
.
If the Panthers come out hot, grab the lead and never look back, you'll lose $19. If the Panthers never lead by 7, and the Packers win the game, you break even. But if the Panthers grab an early 7 point lead, but the Packers eventually win, you win both sides for $266 total.
You could mitigate the risk, somewhat, if you bet, say $173 on the Packers to win $93.50. You'll lose $7 if the Panthers win, $6.50 if the Packers win, or $259.50 if both sides come through with the Panthers 7 point lead and the eventual Green Bay win.
.
.
There are other more intricate ways to bet that promo and turn it into cash in your account, but let's master the easy stuff first. Lol
"The Carolina Panthers have ruthlessly fired both defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero and defensive passing game coordinator Jonathan Cooley in the wake of Thursday's 19-27 defeat to the Green Bay Packers."
I wish they would have done this before the game. 😒
@countdouglas said:
NBA SGP for tonight. My original post is "pending approval", so there may eventually be a double post.
A cashout is always on the table.
LET'S GOOOOOOOO!!!!!!
.
Ya killed the tough part of this bet with the blow-out ML, but then a couple players can't come thru with numbers they should have reached.
I lost both stabs at the SGP plays yesterday. One was no sweat, so not a big deal, but the Grizzlies one broke my heart, just for the fact that I did indeed hit the moneyline portion, which the underdog odds is what boosts the payout so nicely. I was never offered a profitable cashout, as it was clear a couple guys were lagging with their stats and unlikely to make it. Oh well. There's always another play on another day.
Here is my retail ticket for the Fanatics promo. Bet $100 on an NBA 3+ leg, minimum +300 parlay and get $100 back in Fan Cash comps. I lost my previous $100 bet this week under the same promotion, and have already used my $100 Fan Cash to purchase 2 Topps Heritage Football Mega Boxes direct from Fanatics - ships on or before November 17.
.
@countdouglas said:
NBA SGP for tonight. My original post is "pending approval", so there may eventually be a double post.
A cashout is always on the table.
LET'S GOOOOOOOO!!!!!!
.
Ya killed the tough part of this bet with the blow-out ML, but then a couple players can't come thru with numbers they should have reached.
I lost both stabs at the SGP plays yesterday. One was no sweat, so not a big deal, but the Grizzlies one broke my heart, just for the fact that I did indeed hit the moneyline portion, which the underdog odds is what boosts the payout so nicely. I was never offered a profitable cashout, as it was clear a couple guys were lagging with their stats and unlikely to make it. Oh well. There's always another play on another day.
One of my favorite "hates" to call it that, is ya handicap a game perfectly, but something "weird" happens that Nostradamus couldn't predict, and it screws ya out of a nice score.
I realize that's the inherent risk of sports betting, and I've had lucky breaks in some games. But what bugs me is ya think it would all even out over time. But I'll be dam'd if the lucky breaks have evened out with the bad breaks.
Oh well, I don't know where to send the complaint form, so I'll just have to live with it. LOL
@stevek said:
Hey, I accomplished something very big today.
Was honored into the Guinness Book of World Records as the worst parlay player of all time. 😐
I don’t know about worst parlay player… worst at waiting for the fat lady to sing… sure.
Tulane came back and won.
At least three miracles were needed to win that parlay. I also played the Tulane ML
Even caught a rushing prop with around 20 seconds left in regulation. Needed 6 rushing yards on a running back who wasn't getting many carries. Suddenly he rushes for 6 yards to win the prop for me, and kept the drive alive.
Been doing very well since coming back off a break, and psyched for Saturday's and Sunday's card. Where I fully expect to give all the money back, and more. LOL
@Darin said:
Does anyone think Northwestern isn’t getting much respect against Oregon? Didn’t Oregon lose their starting QB for the year?
You're right, the Oregon QB, Dante Moore, is out for the rest of the season. Looking at the backup's stats, he seems competent. He's a junior and has played a lot of college football. He is prone to throwing picks, however it seems like he's been getting better at reducing that. Also one of the Oregon receivers, looks like a second stringer, was arrested recently and is out for the game. I'm guessing the game plan for him is handing off the football a lot, with short passes. Might make for a good running back rushing yards prop. I'll take a better look at that tomorrow.
The Ducks are always tough at home. But overall they've been on a downward slide this season. I think they were ranked #2 preseason. So hard to gauge a team that was high ranked early, but now way down from that.
Too much uncertainty for me. I think it's a coin flip. Might play that running back prop as mentioned.
This will probably find a way to lose, just not sure which game or games it will be
I'm holding strong on light college action today, I'm tired of getting run over on Saturday and going into Sunday in the red
I used my 30% profit boost with a light play,I have a 50% boost for Florida vs Georgia, can't do Georgia ML with it so I might just stay away but that will be the only other college play I will potentially play today
This will probably find a way to lose, just not sure which game or games it will be
I'm holding strong on light college action today, I'm tired of getting run over on Saturday and going into Sunday in the red
I used my 30% profit boost with a light play,I have a 50% boost for Florida vs Georgia, can't do Georgia ML with it so I might just stay away but that will be the only other college play I will potentially play today
I'm going to laugh if it's Notre Dame that loses, SMU is in a cat fight with Cuse so that could be the spoiler
Either way it's nice not stressing about these games today, just a lil scratch ticket type bet
Perk those odds don’t even look right to me. 12 teams and it’s only +451with a boost? And isn’t Notre Dame about the only one that was a heavy favorite? Just seems like the odds should be longer…. a lot longer especially being college football where the upsets have been coming fast and furious. 🤔
My only bet for college is Northwestern moneyline. I have 3 NFL parlays one is a 9 team which I won the first 2 legs on MNF and TNF so I have 7 teams who can still screw me tomorrow.
@Darin said:
Perk those odds don’t even look right to me. 12 teams and it’s only +451with a boost? And isn’t Notre Dame about the only one that was a heavy favorite? Just seems like the odds should be longer…. a lot longer especially being college football where the upsets have been coming fast and furious. 🤔
They are all pretty big favorites
It's just a little how'd you do type bet, I don't even care if it wins or loses since it's just $20
I'll laugh if Notre Dame loses to Navy and I kind of hope they do lol
Has anyone noticed the amount of unranked teams at home beating or covering a ranked visiting team? Today #25 Wisconsin behind 30-0 to Iowa. Just noticed this the past 3 weeks.
Too bad I rarely bet college games.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
Has anyone noticed the amount of unranked teams at home beating or covering a ranked visiting team? Today #25 Wisconsin behind 30-0 to Iowa. Just noticed this the past 3 weeks.
Too bad I rarely bet college games.
Pushing my good luck today, and I know I shouldn't do this, but I've got an expiring boost I gotta use, and I can't see anything else. Still a very nice day even if Boise can't get there.
Get a load of this box score. Basically at halftime, the posted prop was ahead of schedule to win handily, no problem. Then luck turns on a dime, as it always does. Sports betting - tough way to make a living.
@Darin said:
Steve is at it again…. conceding a bet that turns out to be a winner. He said he had Boise over 470.5 total yards.
At halftime, I needed exactly 179 yards to hit the prop. Not a lock, but very doable. By that 7:10 mark left in the 4th quarter, I needed around 170 yards. Yes, in a quarter and a half of football, Boise only gained around 9 total yards.
When I posted that screenshot, Boise was on around their own 30 yard line. They had completely collapsed. The bet was lost. I wasn't happy about that, but it had been a very good day, so I turned off the channel. No sense watching it, the ESPN live game stats. Because even if Boise got their act together and scored a TD, I would have still needed around 100 yards to win the prop.
I figured by the time if Boise scored a TD, with the kickoff, etc, and the Texas possession, etc, let's say all went well. However a lot of time would run off the clock. Then Boise, would have gotten the ball back on say their 20 yard line. Even if they again got it together and scored another TD, that would have still only been 80 yards. So if all went well, I would still be 20 yards short of hitting the prop. Simply wasn't all going to happen, but it did.
Sure is nice being on the positive end on something like this, rather than the usual negative end. 😎
Looking forward to the NFL today to see if this good luck streak continues. Which I'm sure it won't. I'll be at the local soup kitchen by tonight, asking if I can please have some extra crackers. 🍲
Nothing really jumping out at me in this NFL card. I got a few "maybes" on my list. But right now it's probably going to be a no boost then no bet, kind of day. I'm more than happy to play coin flips, just as long as the boosts put the odds in my favor.
Haven't looked at any props yet. Perhaps something there?
Comments
Some dam good handicapping by CountDouglas. 👍
I didn't take the cashout option on this one, as it became obvious by the time the player props all hit that, barring a miracle, Dallas was going to win.
.
My TNF Safety Net Bet.
.
Panthers are an interesting proposition tonight. Coming off a terrible beat-down last Sunday, against the then 1-5 Bucs. The Bucs did get Mayfield back, but still that was a brutal blow-out. And Mayfield only had 64 yards passing? Panthers played an awful mistake filled game.
Panthers are capable of a bounce back, off a bad loss, as they have shown that before.
I'll have to check for any boosts. With boosts, I may go with Panthers +3.5. No boost, no bet. Overall, the game is too much of a coin flip scenario in my view, to bet it without a boost.
NBA SGP for tonight. My original post is "pending approval", so there may eventually be a double post.
A cashout is always on the table.
LET'S GOOOOOOOO!!!!!!
.
Just received this. Changes the entire dynamics of the wagering possibilities. Likely play the Panthers ML and hope the Panthers can sneak in an early TD, and get it over with.
This is a suggestion for anyone that plays an early win token. Take it for what is worth.
First, it requires either 2 separate sportsbooks, or a second proxy account with the same book.
Let's assume your bet max is $100.
Bet the early win token on the underdog, every time.
.
.
In this instance, $100 on the Panthers moneyline pays $166.
.
Then, go to your second book and bet the minus money on the favorite to return $100. In this instance, it would take $185 on the Packers moneyline to return $100.
.
.
If the Panthers come out hot, grab the lead and never look back, you'll lose $19. If the Panthers never lead by 7, and the Packers win the game, you break even. But if the Panthers grab an early 7 point lead, but the Packers eventually win, you win both sides for $266 total.
You could mitigate the risk, somewhat, if you bet, say $173 on the Packers to win $93.50. You'll lose $7 if the Panthers win, $6.50 if the Packers win, or $259.50 if both sides come through with the Panthers 7 point lead and the eventual Green Bay win.
.
.
There are other more intricate ways to bet that promo and turn it into cash in your account, but let's master the easy stuff first. Lol
how am i supposed to sit quietly on the sideline when count is getting me worked up with all of this arbitrage talk
Keep it coming bud
Nothing worked last night, the Panthers are falling like a stone in water
Two early lost fumbles by Green Bay, and the stinking Panthers couldn't grab a 7 point lead for crying out loud. 😒
Panthers showed a propensity to bounce back from bad losses a number of times, that is until ya bet on them. 😒
Ya killed the tough part of this bet with the blow-out ML, but then a couple players can't come thru with numbers they should have reached.
"The Carolina Panthers have ruthlessly fired both defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero and defensive passing game coordinator Jonathan Cooley in the wake of Thursday's 19-27 defeat to the Green Bay Packers."
I wish they would have done this before the game. 😒
I lost both stabs at the SGP plays yesterday. One was no sweat, so not a big deal, but the Grizzlies one broke my heart, just for the fact that I did indeed hit the moneyline portion, which the underdog odds is what boosts the payout so nicely. I was never offered a profitable cashout, as it was clear a couple guys were lagging with their stats and unlikely to make it. Oh well. There's always another play on another day.
Here is my retail ticket for the Fanatics promo. Bet $100 on an NBA 3+ leg, minimum +300 parlay and get $100 back in Fan Cash comps. I lost my previous $100 bet this week under the same promotion, and have already used my $100 Fan Cash to purchase 2 Topps Heritage Football Mega Boxes direct from Fanatics - ships on or before November 17.
.
One of my favorite "hates" to call it that, is ya handicap a game perfectly, but something "weird" happens that Nostradamus couldn't predict, and it screws ya out of a nice score.
I realize that's the inherent risk of sports betting, and I've had lucky breaks in some games. But what bugs me is ya think it would all even out over time. But I'll be dam'd if the lucky breaks have evened out with the bad breaks.
Oh well, I don't know where to send the complaint form, so I'll just have to live with it. LOL
Tulane
Baylor
ML parlay
Pritchard over 14.5 points with 50% profit boost
I was a little surprised NY was a slight favorite against the Sixers. Had a 30% boost so put it on Grandpa James team. 🥳
Hey, I accomplished something very big today.
Was honored into the Guinness Book of World Records as the worst parlay player of all time. 😐
Does anyone think Northwestern isn’t getting much respect against Oregon? Didn’t Oregon lose their starting QB for the year?
I don’t know about worst parlay player… worst at waiting for the fat lady to sing… sure.
Tulane came back and won.
At least three miracles were needed to win that parlay. I also played the Tulane ML
Even caught a rushing prop with around 20 seconds left in regulation. Needed 6 rushing yards on a running back who wasn't getting many carries. Suddenly he rushes for 6 yards to win the prop for me, and kept the drive alive.
Been doing very well since coming back off a break, and psyched for Saturday's and Sunday's card. Where I fully expect to give all the money back, and more. LOL
You're right, the Oregon QB, Dante Moore, is out for the rest of the season. Looking at the backup's stats, he seems competent. He's a junior and has played a lot of college football. He is prone to throwing picks, however it seems like he's been getting better at reducing that. Also one of the Oregon receivers, looks like a second stringer, was arrested recently and is out for the game. I'm guessing the game plan for him is handing off the football a lot, with short passes. Might make for a good running back rushing yards prop. I'll take a better look at that tomorrow.
The Ducks are always tough at home. But overall they've been on a downward slide this season. I think they were ranked #2 preseason. So hard to gauge a team that was high ranked early, but now way down from that.
Too much uncertainty for me. I think it's a coin flip. Might play that running back prop as mentioned.
Good luck whichever way you go.
This will probably find a way to lose, just not sure which game or games it will be
I'm holding strong on light college action today, I'm tired of getting run over on Saturday and going into Sunday in the red
I used my 30% profit boost with a light play,I have a 50% boost for Florida vs Georgia, can't do Georgia ML with it so I might just stay away but that will be the only other college play I will potentially play today
Good luck to all
Notre Dame
Indiana
BYU
ML parlay - afternoon games
Georgia 150+ yards rushing with 50% profit boost
BYU beat Notre Dame
Central Florida beat BYU
last night, Baylor blew Central Florida out of the water
Kansas beat Baylor
Kansas St beat Kansas
Missouri beat Kansas St
Mississippi St beat Missouri
Oklahoma beat Mississippi St
Michigan beat Oklahoma
Western Michigan beat Michigan. they didn't, but we all know they did.
Toledo beat Western Michigan
Buffalo beat Toledo
Florida International beat Buffalo
Middle Tennessee beat Florida International
Kennesaw State beat Middle Tennessee
so, Kennesaw State is better than Notre Dame and should be ranked in the top 5
it's because that's why.
Warm beer is better than nothing
Nothing is better than God
Therefore beer is better than God
That 3's prop is interesting, with nice odds. May try that, now and then, if the book offers it.
I'm guessing the prop means the most 3's on both teams.
I'm going to laugh if it's Notre Dame that loses, SMU is in a cat fight with Cuse so that could be the spoiler
Either way it's nice not stressing about these games today, just a lil scratch ticket type bet
Perk those odds don’t even look right to me. 12 teams and it’s only +451with a boost? And isn’t Notre Dame about the only one that was a heavy favorite? Just seems like the odds should be longer…. a lot longer especially being college football where the upsets have been coming fast and furious. 🤔
My only bet for college is Northwestern moneyline. I have 3 NFL parlays one is a 9 team which I won the first 2 legs on MNF and TNF so I have 7 teams who can still screw me tomorrow.
They are all pretty big favorites
It's just a little how'd you do type bet, I don't even care if it wins or loses since it's just $20
I'll laugh if Notre Dame loses to Navy and I kind of hope they do lol
Has anyone noticed the amount of unranked teams at home beating or covering a ranked visiting team? Today #25 Wisconsin behind 30-0 to Iowa. Just noticed this the past 3 weeks.
Too bad I rarely bet college games.
SMU lost to Syracuse
Couldn't resist taking advantage of that 50% boost so put this in
And it's already destroyed because of Philo
I'm so annoyed at myself for even touching college today
Hitting everything today. Haven't lost a bet yet.
This ain't no fun, I can't complain about anything. LOL
Pushing my good luck today, and I know I shouldn't do this, but I've got an expiring boost I gotta use, and I can't see anything else. Still a very nice day even if Boise can't get there.
Boise over 470.5 total yards
Get a load of this box score. Basically at halftime, the posted prop was ahead of schedule to win handily, no problem. Then luck turns on a dime, as it always does. Sports betting - tough way to make a living.
Steve is at it again…. conceding a bet that turns out to be a winner. He said he had Boise over 470.5 total yards.
At halftime, I needed exactly 179 yards to hit the prop. Not a lock, but very doable. By that 7:10 mark left in the 4th quarter, I needed around 170 yards. Yes, in a quarter and a half of football, Boise only gained around 9 total yards.
When I posted that screenshot, Boise was on around their own 30 yard line. They had completely collapsed. The bet was lost. I wasn't happy about that, but it had been a very good day, so I turned off the channel. No sense watching it, the ESPN live game stats. Because even if Boise got their act together and scored a TD, I would have still needed around 100 yards to win the prop.
I figured by the time if Boise scored a TD, with the kickoff, etc, and the Texas possession, etc, let's say all went well. However a lot of time would run off the clock. Then Boise, would have gotten the ball back on say their 20 yard line. Even if they again got it together and scored another TD, that would have still only been 80 yards. So if all went well, I would still be 20 yards short of hitting the prop. Simply wasn't all going to happen, but it did.
Sure is nice being on the positive end on something like this, rather than the usual negative end. 😎
Looking forward to the NFL today to see if this good luck streak continues. Which I'm sure it won't. I'll be at the local soup kitchen by tonight, asking if I can please have some extra crackers. 🍲
Nothing really jumping out at me in this NFL card. I got a few "maybes" on my list. But right now it's probably going to be a no boost then no bet, kind of day. I'm more than happy to play coin flips, just as long as the boosts put the odds in my favor.
Haven't looked at any props yet. Perhaps something there?
Steve nice win on Boise St., it is crazy sometimes when it seems the bet has no chance to win and then a near miracle happens and you cash in. 🥳
i will be moderately stunned if Minnesota beats Detroit today
this game screams L burger #1 for the Vikes
i want them to win, but i do not think they will
gl with your bets boys
Goff 200+ yards