A wild US Open. All players battled the weather and a really tough course. Spaun outlasted all with a Tiger like finish with a no doubter 65 foot putt to close it out. I really enjoyed this course with all its challenges and quirks. Spaun had the win of a lifetime. For my plays Scottie missed top 5 by 1. Aberg missed the cut. Bhatia,Pendrift, no good. But Bezuidehout bailed me out. $32.50 for my top 20 play. All bets were for $5, so a $7.50 profit.
On to the Open in July.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
it was an incredible open. there should be a picture of JJ Spaun next to 'intestinal fortitude' in the dictionary. the guy was getting royally screwed in terms of breaks on his way to bogeying 5 of his first 6 holes. dude was left for dead and i read where he had a 1.4% chance of winning the tournament at that point. then he sucked everyone up.
but the best part might have been the way his day started. he was at a CVS at 3 am getting meds for his daughter who had been throwing up in the middle of the night. then on very little sleep he pulled off the aforementioned, culminated by a 64-foot dunk shot on 18. on Father's Day, no less. you just can't make this stuff up.
i won 1 of 3 bets, so i ate a benjamin. but it didn't matter because the most important wager -- stevek's wager -- was a winner, winner, chicken parmesan dinner, courtesy of Mr. Scheffler
want to say a word about the March of Dimes. a commendable charity, to be sure, but they have been doing something regularly that i do not like. ever since i made that donation they have been inundating my inbox with requests for more money. to describe it as grovelling and borderline begging/pleading would not be a misrepresentation. it has left an unpleasant taste in my mouth. it is not a good look for them.
edit: no, i do not regret the donation i made. i just think their approach leaves a lot to be desired.
@galaxy27 said:
want to say a word about the March of Dimes. a commendable charity, to be sure, but they have been doing something regularly that i do not like. ever since i made that donation they have been inundating my inbox with requests for more money. to describe it as grovelling and borderline begging/pleading would not be a misrepresentation. it has left an unpleasant taste in my mouth. it is not a good look for them.
edit: no, i do not regret the donation i made. i just think their approach leaves a lot to be desired.
I completely agree with ya. They really shouldn't be doing that. Sadly, that's the way of the world today for the most part with almost everything transacted online.
Pasted below is from one of their emails. Scroll down to the bottom of it, and click Unsubscribe, and these emails will go away. But they really shouldn't make ya have to do that in the first place.
@galaxy27 said:
want to say a word about the March of Dimes. a commendable charity, to be sure, but they have been doing something regularly that i do not like. ever since i made that donation they have been inundating my inbox with requests for more money. to describe it as grovelling and borderline begging/pleading would not be a misrepresentation. it has left an unpleasant taste in my mouth. it is not a good look for them.
edit: no, i do not regret the donation i made. i just think their approach leaves a lot to be desired.
The exact reasons I stopped being a member of the NRA, they brought cyber stalking to a whole different level
Travelers golf bets. As is is my usual custom i follow up the previous week losing picks with giving them another shot. Scottie win,Aberg for top 5 and 20,and Bhatia and Pendrift for top 20.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
I swear as soon as the game ended, I thought you may have hit something good. However I did have it a little bit wrong. I figured when the Pacers were up by around 30, you'd be rooting for OKC to cut into that lead. But I see you also had a 21+ so you would have still hit on a 40-1 if the Pacers had won by 30.
@stevek said:
I swear as soon as the game ended, I thought you may have hit something good. However I did have it a little bit wrong. I figured when the Pacers were up by around 30, you'd be rooting for OKC to cut into that lead. But I see you also had a 21+ so you would have still hit on a 40-1 if the Pacers had won by 30.
π
Yep I had to cover a few legs to be safe, spend money to potentially make money type of thing
@stevek said:
I swear as soon as the game ended, I thought you may have hit something good. However I did have it a little bit wrong. I figured when the Pacers were up by around 30, you'd be rooting for OKC to cut into that lead. But I see you also had a 21+ so you would have still hit on a 40-1 if the Pacers had won by 30.
π
Yep I had to cover a few legs to be safe, spend money to potentially make money type of thing
Good thing ya did. If you had placed the entire c-note on the 21+, and thus missed out on the other 40-1, your computer might be in orbit right now with the satellites. LOL
@stevek said:
I swear as soon as the game ended, I thought you may have hit something good. However I did have it a little bit wrong. I figured when the Pacers were up by around 30, you'd be rooting for OKC to cut into that lead. But I see you also had a 21+ so you would have still hit on a 40-1 if the Pacers had won by 30.
π
Yep I had to cover a few legs to be safe, spend money to potentially make money type of thing
Good thing ya did. If you had placed the entire c-note on the 21+, and thus missed out on the other 40-1, your computer might be in orbit right now with the satellites. LOL
I mean considering that would have been a bet but with only with a 3 point window to hit the green I would have nobody to blame but myself for being so stupid, I'm very well capable of doing stupid stuff but not THAT STUPID πππ
last night i made another ill-advised bet while drinking some pops. i didn't even realize G6 was going down until I whipped out my phone and saw Indy up by 22 at half. i hopped on the ML and held my breath. luckily for me there wasn't a sweat.....i don't think OKC got within 18
not including it in my ugly P/L figure because i didn't post ahead of time (it was a very impromptu move)
@galaxy27 said:
last night i made another ill-advised bet while drinking some pops. i didn't even realize G6 was going down until I whipped out my phone and saw Indy up by 22 at half. i hopped on the ML and held my breath. luckily for me there wasn't a sweat.....i don't think OKC got within 18
not including it in my ugly P/L figure because i didn't post ahead of time (it was a very impromptu move)
>
Without question, there are opportunities in live betting that the computer does not factor in. That being said, it amazes me how well their computer does factor in various changing situations in live betting.
My guess is the books are willing to give a bettor an edge in some spots, because they know most bettors overall are not going to be disciplined, and will lose back the winning money with other bets where the bookie of course has the edge.
That being said, considering the inconsistency of OKC during these playoffs, Perkdog's winning bet in my opinion was a solid bet with the odds in his favor. A well deserved nice hit.
About game 7. OKC at -8.5 seems way too low considering OKC is the much better team, 7th game at home for the championship, coming off a bad loss, etc.
OKC ML seems like a license to print money, perhaps even the spread, but considering the inconsistency of OKC, I'm not making any call.
Don't know if anyone else saw this, but I checked out DK with 57 seconds left in the game, and the money line was Pacers -100000
Not sure if this meant a one cent return on a hundred dollar bet, or a one dollar return? I think it's one cent? May have been 10 cents? Whatever it was, it seemed like a free money gift to the bettors. Plus I'm guessing the bet amount goes into factoring bonuses such as profit boosts, no sweat bets , etc.
@stevek said:
Don't know if anyone else saw this, but I checked out DK with 57 seconds left in the game, and the money line was Pacers -100000
Not sure if this meant a one cent return on a hundred dollar bet, or a one dollar return? I think it's one cent? May have been 10 cents? Whatever it was, it seemed like a free money gift to the bettors. Plus I'm guessing the bet amount goes into factoring bonuses such as profit boosts, no sweat bets , etc.
A lot of times even though there is a crazy number like that they would probably freeze it before you could hit the bet button
Even if you could snap 5 million to win 500 at that point it was probably mathematically impossible to lose so the computer would probably not accept the bet, I've tried with much smaller money for fun to see how little it would pay and it closes immediately upon typing a number in
I wish I could say it was real, the picture is awesome but it's not really a kid at Fenway, apparently it's a kid from some soccer game in Europe or something but it's a doctored picture
I don't care though because in my mind it's real. and represents the best of Bostons sports fans lol.
this has been a baffling Finals for me. as a result, i'm conflicted over tonight's game. i've thought all season long that the Thunder are the best team in the league, and that they'd polish off the Pacers in 5 or -- at worst -- 6. yet here we are. there's just something about this Indy team. they've shown all postseason long that they're never dead. remember the meme i posted about late, almost insurmountable comebacks in NBA playoffs history? and how the Pacers in this year's playoffs had 3 of the 4? again, there's just something about them.
what my gut says is that it's going to be hotly contested and therefore relatively close. there's even a part of me that thinks that the Pacers can pull off the improbable because they are very resilient and have the appearance of a team of destiny. but then half an hour later a little voice tells me that OKC -- as inexplicable as they've been at times -- are back home where they are very formidable. the Paycom Center is going to be raucous. and road teams rarely win G7s in the NBA Finals.
if perk didn't have a sizable chunk riding on Indy to win, i'd be pulling for OKC because i like them. but dude if 9 hundy is on the line for one of my homies, i've gotta try to will the Pacers to a W. i may take them & the points myself, i haven't decided. my mind is being pulled in different directions incessantly.
We need some Big Time Payouts happening...π΅π²π΅π²π΅
600 which will be my next move to buy; that 600 came out after Superbowl XV Raiders & Eagles...
6072 that's my everyday board; that one came after Superbowl XXXI Packers & Patriots... Head's Up on that 6072 board; That's a Miggle/Tudor board, not a Pure Tudor board...
I hit for $900 if Indiana wins, I was hoping most of the money was on OKC so Vegas can manipulate an Indiana win
Kinda kidding but kinda not about Vegas manipulating the game πππ
I hear ya, but I think there's validity in your humor.
There's different schools of thought in a situation such as this. Do ya bet into the money or against the money? Or not bet at all? There's so many possible variations on this depending on the circumstances. Perhaps most would say it doesn't matter, just handicap the game straight, and look for value. If no value can be found, then pass on the game.
Frankly, it would be naive, in my opinion, to think that a line moving like this doesn't mean anything, especially in this era of internet wagering. The key is trying to figure out why it's moving? Is it simple herd mentality, or perhaps one or two OKC key players are not feeling up to par for whatever reason, and that info leaks to close family and friends of the team, and they plow it on betting websites.
@galaxy27 said:
this has been a baffling Finals for me. as a result, i'm conflicted over tonight's game. i've thought all season long that the Thunder are the best team in the league, and that they'd polish off the Pacers in 5 or -- at worst -- 6. yet here we are. there's just something about this Indy team. they've shown all postseason long that they're never dead. remember the meme i posted about late, almost insurmountable comebacks in NBA playoffs history? and how the Pacers in this year's playoffs had 3 of the 4? again, there's just something about them.
what my gut says is that it's going to be hotly contested and therefore relatively close. there's even a part of me that thinks that the Pacers can pull off the improbable because they are very resilient and have the appearance of a team of destiny. but then half an hour later a little voice tells me that OKC -- as inexplicable as they've been at times -- are back home where they are very formidable. the Paycom Center is going to be raucous. and road teams rarely win G7s in the NBA Finals.
if perk didn't have a sizable chunk riding on Indy to win, i'd be pulling for OKC because i like them. but dude if 9 hundy is on the line for one of my homies, i've gotta try to will the Pacers to a W. i may take them & the points myself, i haven't decided. my mind is being pulled in different directions incessantly.
Thanks Brother i need all the help
I can get and positive energy from a one of my bros helps!!
I cannot believe we are e e having this conversation honestly!!
@galaxy27 said:
the moment Haliburton got hurt the Pacers were dead and so was anyone with money on them
i stopped watching
so disgustingly sick
I got home late and I see a text from one of my buddies in a big group text chain we got going on and I see a text that read "Hally can rehab with Tatum"
I saw that text and didn't even turn the game on, I had a $900 win riding on that game and didn't watch a single second of it cuz I knew.
I woke up at like 1am to go to the bathroom and did a quick score check, didn't even give it a second thought and went back to bed.
And for the record I didnt hedge or do a single bet on the game last night, no matter how I cut it I couldn't see a reasonable way of hedging $500 to win $40 so just let it ride as it was
Going 7 was better than I thought but oh well
Sorry you lost your bet, that is absolutely a disgusting way to lose.
If Hally didnt destroy his Achilles there is no way you don't cover that bet, sorry that sucks bro
I've seen this before when a key player gets hurt in the regular season. The team gets an adrenaline rush, steps up, and sometimes ends up winning the game. Mainly because the other team still plays at their same adrenaline level.
The problem here was it's the 7th game, championship game. Both teams were already at the highest adrenaline level they could be, couldn't get any higher. So when Haliburton went down, and with the Pacers already a dog in the wagering, sadly Galaxy was right, the Pacers were dead.
Comments
There was a glitch on my betting section and it didn't record a few of my $20 bets that lost so we can take away about $40 from this as well
A wild US Open. All players battled the weather and a really tough course. Spaun outlasted all with a Tiger like finish with a no doubter 65 foot putt to close it out. I really enjoyed this course with all its challenges and quirks. Spaun had the win of a lifetime. For my plays Scottie missed top 5 by 1. Aberg missed the cut. Bhatia,Pendrift, no good. But Bezuidehout bailed me out. $32.50 for my top 20 play. All bets were for $5, so a $7.50 profit.
On to the Open in July.
Positive vibes go out to galaxy and Steve for the M.O.D contribution. A worthy cause.
it was an incredible open. there should be a picture of JJ Spaun next to 'intestinal fortitude' in the dictionary. the guy was getting royally screwed in terms of breaks on his way to bogeying 5 of his first 6 holes. dude was left for dead and i read where he had a 1.4% chance of winning the tournament at that point. then he sucked everyone up.
but the best part might have been the way his day started. he was at a CVS at 3 am getting meds for his daughter who had been throwing up in the middle of the night. then on very little sleep he pulled off the aforementioned, culminated by a 64-foot dunk shot on 18. on Father's Day, no less. you just can't make this stuff up.
i won 1 of 3 bets, so i ate a benjamin. but it didn't matter because the most important wager -- stevek's wager -- was a winner, winner, chicken parmesan dinner, courtesy of Mr. Scheffler
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
-3966.69
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
last night a little voice said to me, "buy 3/4 of a bucket and shove the line to 10.5"
if that Pacer had made that meaningless free throw at the end of the game, that voice would have looked like a genius
instead, i want to kill it for not telling me to buy 1 1/4 buckets
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I missed out on a $600 payday by 1 Bucket by Indiana π
so gross bro
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
You're hitting these particular prop bets at an amazing rate.
Even more amazing is some you missed with monster odds, one was 60-1, you came so enticingly close to hitting those.
While I had to sweat out a prop bet on Scottie at -500 for a couple days before he finally came through. LOL
want to say a word about the March of Dimes. a commendable charity, to be sure, but they have been doing something regularly that i do not like. ever since i made that donation they have been inundating my inbox with requests for more money. to describe it as grovelling and borderline begging/pleading would not be a misrepresentation. it has left an unpleasant taste in my mouth. it is not a good look for them.
edit: no, i do not regret the donation i made. i just think their approach leaves a lot to be desired.
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I completely agree with ya. They really shouldn't be doing that. Sadly, that's the way of the world today for the most part with almost everything transacted online.
Pasted below is from one of their emails. Scroll down to the bottom of it, and click Unsubscribe, and these emails will go away. But they really shouldn't make ya have to do that in the first place.
March of Dimes
1550 Crystal Dr., Ste. 1300
Arlington, VA 22202
Β© 2025 March of Dimes, a not-for-profit, section 501c(3)
All Rights Reserved
Terms Privacy & Notices
Manage Your Preferences or Unsubscribe
The exact reasons I stopped being a member of the NRA, they brought cyber stalking to a whole different level
this week's β³οΈ wager
-4042.19
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Travelers golf bets. As is is my usual custom i follow up the previous week losing picks with giving them another shot. Scottie win,Aberg for top 5 and 20,and Bhatia and Pendrift for top 20.
Go Pacers.
Great score on your top bet.
BOOM!
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I swear as soon as the game ended, I thought you may have hit something good. However I did have it a little bit wrong. I figured when the Pacers were up by around 30, you'd be rooting for OKC to cut into that lead. But I see you also had a 21+ so you would have still hit on a 40-1 if the Pacers had won by 30.
π
OKC opened up -8.5
I figured the line would be -12 at the least, maybe a bit more.
Logic says OKC wins this game easy. But of course applying logic to an NBA game can be maddening.
Yep I had to cover a few legs to be safe, spend money to potentially make money type of thing
Good thing ya did. If you had placed the entire c-note on the 21+, and thus missed out on the other 40-1, your computer might be in orbit right now with the satellites. LOL
I mean considering that would have been a bet but with only with a 3 point window to hit the green I would have nobody to blame but myself for being so stupid, I'm very well capable of doing stupid stuff but not THAT STUPID πππ
last night i made another ill-advised bet while drinking some pops. i didn't even realize G6 was going down until I whipped out my phone and saw Indy up by 22 at half. i hopped on the ML and held my breath. luckily for me there wasn't a sweat.....i don't think OKC got within 18
not including it in my ugly P/L figure because i didn't post ahead of time (it was a very impromptu move)
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
>
Without question, there are opportunities in live betting that the computer does not factor in. That being said, it amazes me how well their computer does factor in various changing situations in live betting.
My guess is the books are willing to give a bettor an edge in some spots, because they know most bettors overall are not going to be disciplined, and will lose back the winning money with other bets where the bookie of course has the edge.
That being said, considering the inconsistency of OKC during these playoffs, Perkdog's winning bet in my opinion was a solid bet with the odds in his favor. A well deserved nice hit.
About game 7. OKC at -8.5 seems way too low considering OKC is the much better team, 7th game at home for the championship, coming off a bad loss, etc.
OKC ML seems like a license to print money, perhaps even the spread, but considering the inconsistency of OKC, I'm not making any call.
Good luck to you guys however ya play it.
Don't know if anyone else saw this, but I checked out DK with 57 seconds left in the game, and the money line was Pacers -100000
Not sure if this meant a one cent return on a hundred dollar bet, or a one dollar return? I think it's one cent? May have been 10 cents? Whatever it was, it seemed like a free money gift to the bettors. Plus I'm guessing the bet amount goes into factoring bonuses such as profit boosts, no sweat bets , etc.
A lot of times even though there is a crazy number like that they would probably freeze it before you could hit the bet button
Even if you could snap 5 million to win 500 at that point it was probably mathematically impossible to lose so the computer would probably not accept the bet, I've tried with much smaller money for fun to see how little it would pay and it closes immediately upon typing a number in
The OKC line now at -7.5
Hard to believe. I thought it would be at -10 or more right now.
I think i may quit trying to make a living handicapping sports, and go back to stocking shelves at Walmart.
It's a lot more fun posting winners π
Can't quit that easy
Meh
hey ya perkdog...
I gotta ask: Who's that little dude avatar that you have on your Picks Card at the Top Right Corner ???
70% of Power β‘ π‘...
You're All Juiced Up 4 The Bubble...π¬
Um...No Spoilers on UCLA & Nebraska...
ππΊπ₯€π
And the π« Ο 3.14 was Awesome...ππ
Cool...Cool...Cool...
Later my brother....
https://letsgosox.blogspot.com/2006/06/middle-finger-kid-exposed.html?m=1
I wish I could say it was real, the picture is awesome but it's not really a kid at Fenway, apparently it's a kid from some soccer game in Europe or something but it's a doctored picture
I don't care though because in my mind it's real. and represents the best of Bostons sports fans lol.
Phillies came thru for ya with one run in the 5th. π
Yep.I was a huge Philly fan last night!!
OKC now at -7
Is Bill Gates betting on the Pacers?
What the yell is going on?
I'm looking at Draftkings and so far here is where their action stands...
Which is not good for my taste,
I hit for $900 if Indiana wins, I was hoping most of the money was on OKC so Vegas can manipulate an Indiana win
Kinda kidding but kinda not about Vegas manipulating the game πππ
this has been a baffling Finals for me. as a result, i'm conflicted over tonight's game. i've thought all season long that the Thunder are the best team in the league, and that they'd polish off the Pacers in 5 or -- at worst -- 6. yet here we are. there's just something about this Indy team. they've shown all postseason long that they're never dead. remember the meme i posted about late, almost insurmountable comebacks in NBA playoffs history? and how the Pacers in this year's playoffs had 3 of the 4? again, there's just something about them.
what my gut says is that it's going to be hotly contested and therefore relatively close. there's even a part of me that thinks that the Pacers can pull off the improbable because they are very resilient and have the appearance of a team of destiny. but then half an hour later a little voice tells me that OKC -- as inexplicable as they've been at times -- are back home where they are very formidable. the Paycom Center is going to be raucous. and road teams rarely win G7s in the NBA Finals.
if perk didn't have a sizable chunk riding on Indy to win, i'd be pulling for OKC because i like them. but dude if 9 hundy is on the line for one of my homies, i've gotta try to will the Pacers to a W. i may take them & the points myself, i haven't decided. my mind is being pulled in different directions incessantly.
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
We need some Big Time Payouts happening...π΅π²π΅π²π΅
600 which will be my next move to buy; that 600 came out after Superbowl XV Raiders & Eagles...
6072 that's my everyday board; that one came after Superbowl XXXI Packers & Patriots... Head's Up on that 6072 board; That's a Miggle/Tudor board, not a Pure Tudor board...
610 1970 Jets & Browns...
620 1970/71 Browns & Giants...
ππ
Wow, I never knew a website would present that info. Thai is so cool.
Thanks!
I hear ya, but I think there's validity in your humor.
There's different schools of thought in a situation such as this. Do ya bet into the money or against the money? Or not bet at all? There's so many possible variations on this depending on the circumstances. Perhaps most would say it doesn't matter, just handicap the game straight, and look for value. If no value can be found, then pass on the game.
Frankly, it would be naive, in my opinion, to think that a line moving like this doesn't mean anything, especially in this era of internet wagering. The key is trying to figure out why it's moving? Is it simple herd mentality, or perhaps one or two OKC key players are not feeling up to par for whatever reason, and that info leaks to close family and friends of the team, and they plow it on betting websites.
Thanks Brother i need all the help
I can get and positive energy from a one of my bros helps!!
I cannot believe we are e e having this conversation honestly!!
Game 7???? Whaaaaaat!!!!
After OKC won game 5, the odds for OKC to win the series were -1800
I'd sure hate to be sitting on that bet right now with those low odds, even though of course it's not lost yet.
I saw one website has the odds OKC -6.5
i'm riding with the Pacers tonight as well. bumped it to +10. tried this once before and got burned by half a point.
-4162.19
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
the moment Haliburton got hurt the Pacers were dead and so was anyone with money on them
i stopped watching
so disgustingly sick
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I got home late and I see a text from one of my buddies in a big group text chain we got going on and I see a text that read "Hally can rehab with Tatum"
I saw that text and didn't even turn the game on, I had a $900 win riding on that game and didn't watch a single second of it cuz I knew.
I woke up at like 1am to go to the bathroom and did a quick score check, didn't even give it a second thought and went back to bed.
And for the record I didnt hedge or do a single bet on the game last night, no matter how I cut it I couldn't see a reasonable way of hedging $500 to win $40 so just let it ride as it was
Going 7 was better than I thought but oh well
Sorry you lost your bet, that is absolutely a disgusting way to lose.
If Hally didnt destroy his Achilles there is no way you don't cover that bet, sorry that sucks bro
I've seen this before when a key player gets hurt in the regular season. The team gets an adrenaline rush, steps up, and sometimes ends up winning the game. Mainly because the other team still plays at their same adrenaline level.
The problem here was it's the 7th game, championship game. Both teams were already at the highest adrenaline level they could be, couldn't get any higher. So when Haliburton went down, and with the Pacers already a dog in the wagering, sadly Galaxy was right, the Pacers were dead.