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Toner Premiums remain strong (a Morgan primer via GC)

U1chicagoU1chicago Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭✭✭
edited February 24, 2025 7:52PM in U.S. Coin Forum

Any speculation of toner premiums going to zero are premature-at least from my vantage point (reference to recent thread where this was discussed).
This past Sunday featured some nice toned Morgans that I was following. While I was hoping for some "deals" in my favor, it was not destined to happen. In fact, several coins sold higher than their previous auction appearance. Some were only marginally higher and likely led to a small loss to the seller when considering fees. However, they still cost the new buyer more (and a significant premium over guide). Below I will cover six of the better coins that I was following.

1) We start with this 1881-S; it is a gem (65) with nice rainbow colors. The coverage isn't complete enough to consider it a monster but it is a strong coin. Bidders thought so too and took it to 1,800 (with the fee). This coin had sold a whopping four times previously in the 2017 to 2024 time period. The low point was a Legend 2019 sale at $852 and the high was $1,560 at Heritage in November 2024. The GC result was higher than all of those. It does not appear that a lack of "freshness" impacted the bidders.

Result vs Guide (using PCGS guide as of 2.24.25): 1,800 vs 185 (9.7x premium)

https://www.greatcollections.com/Coin/1754328/1881-S-Morgan-Silver-Dollar-PCGS-MS-65-Toned

2) Next up is a vivid 83-O in MS 64. Again we have nice bright colors but it falls short of monster toning. I think some people might question this one although I'm good with calling it market acceptable. It has sold before: $815.62 in 2017 and $2,306.25 in 2019 (both times at GC). The current 2,531.25 isn't a big increase over the 2019 result (down if we want to account for inflation) but still shows the strong premium has not gone away.

Result vs Guide (using PCGS guide as of 2.24.25): 2,531.25 vs 115 (22x premium)

https://www.greatcollections.com/Coin/1756288/1883-O-Morgan-Silver-Dollar-PCGS-MS-64-Toned

3) Our only confirmed drop compared to a previous sale, this 1884-O MS 66 brought 3,150 compared to 3,642.50 at Legend in 2022. It has a hint of textile and color across the entire obverse. This is also a higher grade with CAC approval. It wasn't my favorite among the options (can't quite say why besides it not drawing me in on first impression like some of the others did) but was still a solid coin.

Result vs Guide (using PCGS guide as of 2.24.25): 3,150 vs 450 (7x premium)

https://www.greatcollections.com/Coin/1756289/1884-O-Morgan-Silver-Dollar-PCGS-MS-66-CAC-Green-Toned

4) Just short of a gem, this vivid 64+ hammered at well over 4k! I know it used to be in an NGC 64 star slab and I believe it sold on Instagram a few years ago for below the current result (but cannot confirm for certain).

Result vs Guide (using PCGS guide as of 2.24.25): 4,443.75 vs 150 (29.6x premium)

https://www.greatcollections.com/Coin/1756292/1886-Morgan-Silver-Dollar-PCGS-MS-64-Toned

5) This textile toner might border on being a monster. The 63 grade did not scare bidders off and it went for 3,487.50. This beat out its previous GC result of 2,963.12 in 2021 (no TrueView photo back then though as the coin was reholdered in the interim).

Result vs Guide (using PCGS guide as of 2.24.25): 3,487.50 vs 90 (38.8x premium)

https://www.greatcollections.com/Coin/1756291/1885-O-Morgan-Silver-Dollar-PCGS-MS-63-Toned

6) Last but not least, is one more that I consider on the brink of being a monster toner (you can probably give it the designation). This 66+ has the right colors plus a cool triangle pattern. It sold for 7,368.75 compared to "only" 4,700 at Legend in 2020.

Result vs Guide (using PCGS guide as of 2.24.25): 7,368.75 vs 650 (11.3x premium)

https://www.greatcollections.com/Coin/1756290/1885-O-Morgan-Silver-Dollar-PCGS-MS-66-CAC-Green-Toned-Roadrunner-Collection

Comments

  • U1chicagoU1chicago Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @coastaljerseyguy said:
    Thanks for posting and taking the time & effort to gather all the data. Good to know folks still love these vivid Morgan toners. All look NT to me. Here's my 79S I got from an original roll from the 70's. Scratches on the plastic, not the coin. Glad I held on to it. Showed to a B&M years ago who wanted to buy for $400.

    Looks like a very nice one that you were right in keeping!

  • U1chicagoU1chicago Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Happy to see them @PhilArnold !

  • U1chicagoU1chicago Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 25, 2025 7:22PM

    @lermish said:
    Thank you for posting some attractive coins and very informative pricing info.

    I recently bought a small collection that had a couple of better than average toners and, thanks to previous your posts and some market research, was able to confidently give the owners a better than expected price while still having confidence that I will be able to exit the coins profitably.

    Lately it seems like the only way to get a decent deal is to find an old collection before it gets to auction or pick off one of those dealers that doesn’t care for toning but somehow happened to acquire one (probably paid under sheet to a person who didn’t know the market).

    Have you shared photos of these nice toners you were able to pick up?

  • Cougar1978Cougar1978 Posts: 8,512 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 25, 2025 7:47PM

    Dream on in picking up a toner rip from me.

    In pricing a toner (let’s say I picked up one in a deal) I would research what sellers online selling similar pieces for and improvise (bump up) my retail pricing accordingly. Perhaps analyzing the high, median, etc.

    Coins & Currency
  • lermishlermish Posts: 3,399 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @U1chicago said:

    @lermish said:
    Thank you for posting some attractive coins and very informative pricing info.

    I recently bought a small collection that had a couple of better than average toners and, thanks to previous your posts and some market research, was able to confidently give the owners a better than expected price while still having confidence that I will be able to exit the coins profitably.

    Lately it seems like the only way to get a decent deal is to find an old collection before it gets to auction or pick off one of those dealers that doesn’t care for toning but somehow happened to acquire one (probably paid under sheet to a person who didn’t know the market).

    Have you shared photos of these nice toners you were able to pick up?

    They are all at CACG currently, I'll share pics when they return. Two of them I may keep (CA commem and 1851 dime) so I got the CACG imaging. The other three (99-O $1, 23-P $1, 86 ASE) will all be sold so I didn't pony up the extra $5. If they don't sell on the BST or IG, I'm sure @PhilArnold will do some nice PhilViews at GC.

    They are not monsters or crazy iridescent colors like the ones above but nice and natural color. The Peace in particular, for a Peace, looks pretty darn nice.

    chopmarkedtradedollars.com

  • U1chicagoU1chicago Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @lermish said:

    @U1chicago said:

    @lermish said:
    Thank you for posting some attractive coins and very informative pricing info.

    I recently bought a small collection that had a couple of better than average toners and, thanks to previous your posts and some market research, was able to confidently give the owners a better than expected price while still having confidence that I will be able to exit the coins profitably.

    Lately it seems like the only way to get a decent deal is to find an old collection before it gets to auction or pick off one of those dealers that doesn’t care for toning but somehow happened to acquire one (probably paid under sheet to a person who didn’t know the market).

    Have you shared photos of these nice toners you were able to pick up?

    They are all at CACG currently, I'll share pics when they return. Two of them I may keep (CA commem and 1851 dime) so I got the CACG imaging. The other three (99-O $1, 23-P $1, 86 ASE) will all be sold so I didn't pony up the extra $5. If they don't sell on the BST or IG, I'm sure @PhilArnold will do some nice PhilViews at GC.

    They are not monsters or crazy iridescent colors like the ones above but nice and natural color. The Peace in particular, for a Peace, looks pretty darn nice.

    Sounds like a cool group! The only thing I'd mention is that CACG has in the past stated they will grade all toned ASEs as Artificial; is that still the case?

  • lermishlermish Posts: 3,399 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited February 25, 2025 9:48PM

    @U1chicago said:

    @lermish said:

    @U1chicago said:

    @lermish said:
    Thank you for posting some attractive coins and very informative pricing info.

    I recently bought a small collection that had a couple of better than average toners and, thanks to previous your posts and some market research, was able to confidently give the owners a better than expected price while still having confidence that I will be able to exit the coins profitably.

    Lately it seems like the only way to get a decent deal is to find an old collection before it gets to auction or pick off one of those dealers that doesn’t care for toning but somehow happened to acquire one (probably paid under sheet to a person who didn’t know the market).

    Have you shared photos of these nice toners you were able to pick up?

    They are all at CACG currently, I'll share pics when they return. Two of them I may keep (CA commem and 1851 dime) so I got the CACG imaging. The other three (99-O $1, 23-P $1, 86 ASE) will all be sold so I didn't pony up the extra $5. If they don't sell on the BST or IG, I'm sure @PhilArnold will do some nice PhilViews at GC.

    They are not monsters or crazy iridescent colors like the ones above but nice and natural color. The Peace in particular, for a Peace, looks pretty darn nice.

    Sounds like a cool group! The only thing I'd mention is that CACG has in the past stated they will grade all toned ASEs as Artificial; is that still the case?

    I wasn't aware of that. I guess I'll find out soon! (EDIT: It's lightly toned and 40 years old so maybe it'll get a pass?)

    chopmarkedtradedollars.com

  • ElmerFusterpuckElmerFusterpuck Posts: 4,757 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @Cougar1978 said:
    Dream on in picking up a toner rip from me.

    In pricing a toner (let’s say I picked up one in a deal) I would research what sellers online selling similar pieces for and improvise (bump up) my retail pricing accordingly. Perhaps analyzing the high, median, etc.

    You'd be the very last person I'd sell anything to, based on your posts here. In fact I'd try selling coins to my cat, before selling to you.

  • U1chicagoU1chicago Posts: 6,278 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @lermish said:

    @U1chicago said:

    @lermish said:

    @U1chicago said:

    @lermish said:
    Thank you for posting some attractive coins and very informative pricing info.

    I recently bought a small collection that had a couple of better than average toners and, thanks to previous your posts and some market research, was able to confidently give the owners a better than expected price while still having confidence that I will be able to exit the coins profitably.

    Lately it seems like the only way to get a decent deal is to find an old collection before it gets to auction or pick off one of those dealers that doesn’t care for toning but somehow happened to acquire one (probably paid under sheet to a person who didn’t know the market).

    Have you shared photos of these nice toners you were able to pick up?

    They are all at CACG currently, I'll share pics when they return. Two of them I may keep (CA commem and 1851 dime) so I got the CACG imaging. The other three (99-O $1, 23-P $1, 86 ASE) will all be sold so I didn't pony up the extra $5. If they don't sell on the BST or IG, I'm sure @PhilArnold will do some nice PhilViews at GC.

    They are not monsters or crazy iridescent colors like the ones above but nice and natural color. The Peace in particular, for a Peace, looks pretty darn nice.

    Sounds like a cool group! The only thing I'd mention is that CACG has in the past stated they will grade all toned ASEs as Artificial; is that still the case?

    I wasn't aware of that. I guess I'll find out soon! (EDIT: It's lightly toned and 40 years old so maybe it'll get a pass?)

    I recall a thread on the CACG forum where they made the announcement at some point last year. I’ve seen a few examples that were barely toned and got the AT-that’s being too extreme in my opinion. Hopefully your example gets the benefit.

  • TomBTomB Posts: 21,718 ✭✭✭✭✭

    @ElmerFusterpuck said:

    @Cougar1978 said:
    Dream on in picking up a toner rip from me.

    In pricing a toner (let’s say I picked up one in a deal) I would research what sellers online selling similar pieces for and improvise (bump up) my retail pricing accordingly. Perhaps analyzing the high, median, etc.

    You'd be the very last person I'd sell anything to, based on your posts here. In fact I'd try selling coins to my cat, before selling to you.

    Cougar, cat, whatever...they're both felines!

    Thomas Bush Numismatics & Numismatic Photography

    In honor of the memory of Cpl. Michael E. Thompson

    image
  • SeattleSlammerSeattleSlammer Posts: 10,038 ✭✭✭✭✭

    Thanks for the breakdown of results.

    Here’s a quite nice one on eBay now — yes, mostly just reverse color — but it looks like a legit rainbow sparkler — and it has the 65CAC thing going too — and it’s ‘only’ 1k — it seems like a lot more bang for the buck than the sole reverse toner non-CAC 63 that you spotlighted here from GC — all in all, about as good as you’ll find these days on eBay for the price and considering their hefty seller fees too …… I almost bought it myself…. still might if it keeps sitting around ….

  • Cougar1978Cougar1978 Posts: 8,512 ✭✭✭✭✭

    What would be your pricing matrix for toner premium?

    Coins & Currency
  • hummingbird_coinshummingbird_coins Posts: 1,244 ✭✭✭✭✭

    The "pricing matrix" in question:

    Young Numismatist • My Toned Coins
    Life is roadblocks. Don't let nothing stop you, 'cause we ain't stopping. - DJ Khaled

  • Morgan13Morgan13 Posts: 1,396 ✭✭✭✭✭

    I consider this to be a special toner. Its a pcgs 66 prooflike .One which I might have to sell because my boiler died and it cost us $15 to replace. I'm going to try to avoid selling if I can.


    Student of numismatics and collector of Morgan dollars
    Successful BST transactions with: Namvet Justindan Mattniss RWW olah_in_MA
    Dantheman984 Toyz4geo SurfinxHI greencopper RWW bigjpst bretsan MWallace logger7

  • Cougar1978Cougar1978 Posts: 8,512 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited March 1, 2025 3:43PM

    It takes some analysis to get a feel on toner pricing. Working on a spreadsheet matrix analysis project for my own info -various sellers / file name - the good, the bad, and the ugly. Use it as feel for pricing if acquire a toner.

    Coins & Currency
  • Rc5280Rc5280 Posts: 204 ✭✭✭

    @PhilArnold
    The coin below(same as my member pic)was taken sometime in Jan of 2024 at GC.
    Not sure if it was you who took the Great Photo, as you were transitioning at the time?
    But the Coin, and it's presentation screamed at me to "Take Me Home!"...
    So that's what I did...
    .

    .

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