Home PCGS Set Registry Forum

Why is trends so far off on actual selling prices?

There has been much talk about the prices of different series, some worth more, less, better, etc, but after following the Kennedy series for so long it is one of the most widely erratic series in terms of prices in MS 67 and what trends of "Coin World" list the series to be valued at.

The most expensive listed is the 1970 D in MS 67. This coin is a pop 2 at that level listed at 750.00. If you can find me one at that price let me know. The next closest is the 1965 at 350, the 1964 P and D are listed at 275.00 and 250.00. Who is writing this stuff? You cant find ANY of those coins at the prices listed in Trends many are 10xs the price of the listed price in Trends.

Too many coins to list them all by one example that jumps in my face is the 1989 P this coin is a pop 7,guess the Trends price for this one. Its listed at MS 67 for 90.00. I will give you triple for this one! How long will it take for Trends to get real with prices that are a little more in line. Mitch had this same year on e-bay for a BIN at 1250.00 a few weeks ago. Even if it didnt sell why is the trends so far off?

Mitch how about I give you 5xs the Trends price for that 89 P?

I guess they are waiting for the prices to fall....

imageimage

Comments

  • jcpingjcping Posts: 2,649 ✭✭✭

    Many years ago, there was a contest in Coin World about $1000 coin buying spree. At the time, 1972P MS65 Ike was listed as $2 and teletrade shows about $150 for a coin in the past 24 months. I filled out the competition form and picked 500 1972P Ike and I did not win the buying spree since trends did not update the 72P price until 10 years later. image
    an SLQ and Ike dollars lover
  • BigD5BigD5 Posts: 3,433
    Prices for modern, registry caliber coins are so volatile, I don't think ANY price guide could be accurate for more than a month. You can't even find prices on that stuff in the Greysheet. You have to know the series, and where it stands in the market at the current time.
    BigD5
    LSCC#1864

    Ebay Stuff
  • wondercoinwondercoin Posts: 16,972 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Matt: It is not just CW trends and it is not just ultra-modern coins. Consider these examples:

    1. CU Price Guide shows the 1953(s) Jefferson Nickel in MS66FS at $300. I will buy the coin sight-seen at $15,000 in PCGS-MS66FS. Oh, wait, I can't buy the coin - it doesn't exist in MS66FS it is so darn rare!! Hey, it doesn't even exist in MS65FS!! This price makes the $90 1989(p) price look "close" image

    2. Blue Sheet has shown the 1932(p) Quarter in PCGS-MS67 at around $1250 for a couple years now. Still a pop 1/0 coin and it wouldn't be fair to throw a price down here on what I would pay for this coin, because I presently own the coin (ex Benbow, ex Green, ex Registrycoin) in my quarter collection. Check out Blue Sheet prices on Wash Carvers and BTW's in MS67 - makes your 1989 Kennedy price of $90 look "close".

    3. Grey Sheet shows sets of Wash Carvers in MS66 at prices so low that single coins in the 3 piece set command multiples of the entire 3 piece set price.

    It's all about knowledge today, isn't it? image Wondercoin
    Please visit my website at www.wondercoins.com and my ebay auctions under my user name www.wondercoin.com.
  • Big d and wondercoin you both hit the nail on the head,

    becareful to those heading into areas that you are just learning about or know nothing do not relie on what you read, we still need to do our homework.image
  • dbldie55dbldie55 Posts: 7,731 ✭✭✭✭✭
    A price guide can "only" be accurate for something that is available in a large enough quantity to actually create data for. Very low pop coins trade for what the market will pay, and you cannot create a "guide" for that. Any price guide values for this type of material is just a guess.

    Comparing prices realized for a PCGS coin vs. trends is many times not very accurate. Especially when the same "grade" coin is available in a NGC holder. For many things, PCGS has created their own scale, and the rest of the world does not grade to it, or price off of it.
    Collector and Researcher of Liberty Head Nickels. ANA LM-6053
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,689 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Certainly the price guides have their work cut out for them trying
    to keep track of rapidly escalating coin prices. But most of them
    aren't even trying. Even trends which is "setting the standard" for
    the price guides doesn't up-date the prices for the few high grade
    coins that they actually list. The high grade Kennedies have been
    listed for more than a year now without up-dates. Until recently
    Krause listed an MS-65 1982-P quarter for $2.! This rare coin was
    recently raised to $3.50.!! Surely there's more to their reluctance
    to list more accurate prices than the mere difficulty of keeping up
    with markets!! These continuing unrealistic prices have been stifling
    the markets for some time now. What newbie will have the courage
    to pay $20.00 for a coin that trends at 50 cents?
    Tempus fugit.
  • braddickbraddick Posts: 24,145 ✭✭✭✭✭
    My favorite Kennedy trends shows the 71-P in MS67 at a price LESS than the 71-D. And BOTH coins can be purchased for less the $300.00. I'll take half a dozen!

    peacockcoins

  • Pat reading your post just made me laugh, at this point id just like to find one!image
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    In obtaining top grade low pop coins , using the price sheets may not be feasable, . As an example , I have the only 1952 Wash Quarter Graded by PCGS in PR 67-DC and a superbird at that. It will be sold at multiples of the listed Coin Universe price. As for PR Kennedy Half Dollars for my set, I pay whatever it takes to find the quality and ultimate grade I require. For the very top coins in almost any hot series, it is really not possible to follow a price sheet. Bear
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
Sign In or Register to comment.