I'm not seeing the gold backwardation that Turk is talking about....unless I'm reading these prices wrong. All the prices in 2016 and later are higher than current spot.
I don't know enough to be able to read the tea leaves these guys read and come up with intelligent answers regarding anticipated future trends in the PM markets. However, here is another article regarding backwardation in the gold market and what that signals.
Mesquite, I've read Gene A. in the past. Another bull that got blown away in the commodity slump. His backwardation article is over 2 years old, meaningless today. It seems most of the time when these guys come out and scream backwardation....it's not even there. The LBMA has also stopped reporting the Gold Offered Foward Rates listed in that article.
seems most of the time when these guys come out and scream backwardation....it's not even there
I've taught you something roadrunner.
I don't think I've ever seen backwardation in a bear market or downtrend. Because that's not how backwardation works. Be very leary of folks who try to tell you otherwise.
<< <i>Here is the article by Bill Holter I was referring to in my last post. >>
There is no backwardation. His contention about backwardation not being possible shows his misunderstanding of the subject. The oil market went into backwardation in 2008 as did silver in 2011. It happens in the late stage of a bubble and usually lasts for about 1-2 months and results in prices rising 50-100%. It does not occur in downtrends.
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CME gold contract quotes
I don't know enough to be able to read the tea leaves these guys read and come up with intelligent answers regarding anticipated future trends in the PM markets. However, here is another article regarding backwardation in the gold market and what that signals.
Text
–John Adams, 1826
Jesse's latest update indicating some physical tightness in the PM markets.....lease rates up. Backwardation?
I've taught you something roadrunner.
I don't think I've ever seen backwardation in a bear market or downtrend. Because that's not how backwardation works. Be very leary of folks who try to tell you otherwise.
Knowledge is the enemy of fear
–John Adams, 1826
Ultra low or negative interest rates are probably a big factor in this phenomenon.
I knew it would happen.
–John Adams, 1826
<< <i>Here is the article by Bill Holter I was referring to in my last post. >>
There is no backwardation. His contention about backwardation not being possible shows his misunderstanding of the subject. The oil market went into backwardation in 2008 as did silver in 2011. It happens in the late stage of a bubble and usually lasts for about 1-2 months and results in prices rising 50-100%. It does not occur in downtrends.
Knowledge is the enemy of fear