When in the 80's did the hobby boom ?
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I remember in 1989 Upper Deck, Score, Pro Set, and a few other companies trying to capatilize on the boom of the 80's.
My question is, what year, or years did the boom take place. I'd guess 1987, but I'm sure there are other opinions.
My question is, what year, or years did the boom take place. I'd guess 1987, but I'm sure there are other opinions.
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<< <i>I remember in 1989 Upper Deck, Score, Pro Set, and a few other companies trying to capatilize on the boom of the 80's.
My question is, what year, or years did the boom take place. I'd guess 1987, but I'm sure there are other opinions. >>
my answer when asked this question is 1986.
my reasoning is ... take a look at Wax Box Pricing
1980 - $300ish
1981 - $100ish
1982 - $150ish
1983 - $140ish
1984 - $40ish
1985 - $70ish
1986 - $12ish
1987 - $08ish
1988 - $07ish
1989 - $07ish
BIG drop-off there.
of course like anything else, there are exception to this (1987 Leaf Baseball, 1989 UD Baseball) but for the most part, 1986 was when the forests really started to get slaughtered for card production.
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I would say 1987 because of McGwire, Bonds, and the rest of a huge Rookie Card Class....
1986 Topps Traded Set may have actually peaked the interest for all collectors to "boom" in 87 --- after that 1988 Jefferies were more anticipated because the boom had already started
So, it had to be between 86 and 87...
Topps White Out (silver) letters Alex Gordon
80 Topps Greg Pryor “No Name"
90 ProSet Dexter Manley error
90 Topps Jeff King Yellow back
1958 Topps Pancho Herrera (no“a”)
81 Topps Art Howe (black smear above hat)
91 D A. Hawkins BC-12 “Pitcher”
Doug
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<< <i>I would say 1988. I remember the three big companies coming out with their production runs in the beginning of the season. Half way through they said "OOPS", we made a hell of a lot more than we first stated. Thus one of the reasons I have cases of that crap in my basement. >>
1987 Topps, Fleer and Donruss were coming out of everyone's ears and still is. I think 87 is a more logical place to start when looking at actual overproduction that 88.
When did the card shows start to see a huge increase in attendance ?
IMF
Fleer and Donruss started pumping out the baseball cards in the early 80's, so they must have done their homework and
noticed many more collectors entering the market.
Someone posted a link about player cards not long ago that showed each players card from each year. I believe Dale Murphy was the example used. In 1985 he had about 10 random cards made. In 1986 that number jumped to over 40.
The 1985 Jim Hawkins show in Plymouth, MI was the first one I remember where dealers were aggressively buying every rookie card they could get of Don Mattingly, Doc Gooden, and Darryl Strawberry. I walked into that show with my binder filled with those rookies and walked out with $700.
It really started picking up by 1986. You can even tell in the prices. I think once people started seeing the value of their cards, it just made the hobby that more appealing.
I remember being 6 in 1986 and having topps cards in rubber bands and by the time 1989 rolled around (3rd grade), it felt like every kid had baseball cards. We would all bring them to school and trade and even teachers would give packs of Topps out sometimes as incentives/rewards I remember.
Football (and then hoops and hockey) didn't really take off until '88.
I bought over 500 sets off a truck for $3.75 each...
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<< <i>81.....donruss and fleer both produced crazy amounts of extra sets...
I bought over 500 sets off a truck for $3.75 each... >>
He asked when the "boom" began. Donruss and Fleer only jumped on board in 1981 because they were legally allowed to.
Mr. Mint appeared on national TV a couple of times and it all really pushed things forward. Topps got some buzz for its 40th anniversary too, in '91. You had the Griffey/Thomas interest, Beckett on the newsstand. Non-collectors buying for 'investment' because everything was growing in value throughout the decade.
No one outside the insiders talked about 'overproduction' until several years later when the stuff stopped selling, eBay revealed how easily available it was and the kids who collected during that 'boom' were long gone.
<< <i>I'd say that the hobby started gaining steam in '84 or '85 when Beckett and 'Baseball Cards' monthly magazines came out at the newstands. They made it easy for kids and former kids to easily place a monetary value on their stashes, taking card collecting from a niche thing to the mainstream. I noticed this was about the time card shops started really popping up. Then in '86 and '87, card shows started to get huge. I'd argue that things kept booming until '91 or so when the market was really saturated with higher price points. From what I saw, the beginning of the boom skewed a little older, with kids really fueling the explosion in '87 or so. >>
Yep, Beckett magazine changed everything. Throw in all the wanna be's like Tuff Stuff, all the Krause stuff, and suddenly everybody was buying cards and checking prices. They all dug dad and older brothers cards out from under the bed and thought they would be millionaires.
I'd timeline like this
78-79 - Beckett and Eckes come out with their big annual price guides.
81 - Fleer and Donruss do baseball cards
82-84 - Card Price update (remember them??), Beckett, et al monthly mags rule supreme.
85 -88 - Potentially millions of cards sold by Topps, Fleer, Donruss
88-89 - Score and Upper Deck make a better looking product and the floodgates really open.
So, I think it peaked around 87-88 and there was a slow decline into the late 90's, when Ebay and
the internet ruled supreme (and still do)
<< <i>
<< <i>I'd say that the hobby started gaining steam in '84 or '85 when Beckett and 'Baseball Cards' monthly magazines came out at the newstands. They made it easy for kids and former kids to easily place a monetary value on their stashes, taking card collecting from a niche thing to the mainstream. I noticed this was about the time card shops started really popping up. Then in '86 and '87, card shows started to get huge. I'd argue that things kept booming until '91 or so when the market was really saturated with higher price points. From what I saw, the beginning of the boom skewed a little older, with kids really fueling the explosion in '87 or so. >>
Yep, Beckett magazine changed everything. Throw in all the wanna be's like Tuff Stuff, all the Krause stuff, and suddenly everybody was buying cards and checking prices. They all dug dad and older brothers cards out from under the bed and thought they would be millionaires.
I'd timeline like this
78-79 - Beckett and Eckes come out with their big annual price guides.
81 - Fleer and Donruss do baseball cards
82-84 - Card Price update (remember them??), Beckett, et al monthly mags rule supreme.
85 -88 - Potentially millions of cards sold by Topps, Fleer, Donruss
88-89 - Score and Upper Deck make a better looking product and the floodgates really open.
So, I think it peaked around 87-88 and there was a slow decline into the late 90's, when Ebay and
the internet ruled supreme (and still do) >>
CCP-Current Card Prices was a hot pricing guide back then. I think you may be referring to that above between '82 and '84. For me, the craze was from late '84 to early '87. I think the Jefferies/Maas craze was in '88, though, so who knows...
<< <i>IMO 1986. >>
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In 1986 you had the break out years of Jose Canseco and Roger Clemens which added more fuel to the fire.
In 1987 you could find packs in every 7-11 in Florida and as soon as they would sell out more would get stocked.
In 1989 the hobby was changed for ever with the introduction of the 1989 Upper Deck and 1989 Hoops.
If I had to pick a year I would say 1985 because Topps started selling Garbage Pail Kids, WWF cards, and many other novelty sets which meant they were turning on the printing presses and trying to sell any type of card possible.
That was the beginning for me - also.
By 1990 - it was really heating up - and in the early 90s the industry was doing over a Billion in sales.
Then by the mid-90s - the overproduction and over-speculation started to wane along with factors like the strike of 1994 - things started to change and I believe by the 2000s - the industry was probably cranking at about 3 to 400 million - if memory serves - from an article I read somewhere.
I believe the boomers may have started to drop like flies by the late 90s - most likely never to return?
This is just my recollection and can be taken about as seriously as my guess at who will win the SB? I predict? NY.
edit: part of the boom was driven (motivated) - IMO - by people thinking they were going to get rich stockpiling cases of 1990 Donruss, e.g. and fund their retirement home in the Florida Keys?
By late spring of 1988, all the main sets were so overproduced that wax boxes/cases started to go down big.
In parallel, the vintage material was really under-valued (especially in high-end condition before professional grading) as collectors were drawn to the new stuff & parameters for grading weren't widespread yet...
An uptick hit in 1989 with Upper Deck that rode out until 1992 with premium products like Fleer Ultra, Stadium Club (hot when released) and then people got overwhelmed with so much stuff that it all nose dived in 1993 and I don't believe it's been as big since then....despite the lottery style inserts that has dominated the hobby in the last 15+ years.
Erik
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Hard to say when the peak was, but in my city it was most likely 1987.
For me, the best year was 1989, the year I got back into the hobby. I have a great love for 89 Upper Deck, Hoops and Score FB. That was a great hobby year, IMO!
Robert
-Production started going up (hence, 1986 topps boxes aren't worth as much as 80-85). The traded sets were pretty limited before that....like 82 Topps Traded or 84 Fleer update. But I think with 86....after that there was no going back.
-You had major rookies. Canseco. I think the 86 Donruss Canseco was the first modern card to book for $80-100. Maybe the first really mainstream card to book that high.
The 84 fleer update Gooden or 84 Donruss Mattingly were more limited.
-You had a good onslaught of major rookies after that....will clark, ruben sierra, joyner, all the way to glavine or griffey jr.
-The other sports started to pick up....football, basketball, hockey. In only 3-4 years, they'd get their own Beckett.
I think attendance at shows started going up in 86 or 87. It went up exponential for a few years after that....remember 90,000 at the Anaheim National in 91?
The novelty factor also opened up....like promo cards or error cards on purpose. I dont think promos would have been a big deal in 85 or 84. But by 90 they were more valuable than real cards.
I think 1990 hit the highest point with the Leaf issue.
Dave
<< <i>
In parallel, the vintage material was really under-valued (especially in high-end condition before professional grading) as collectors were drawn to the new stuff & parameters for grading weren't widespread yet... >>
I agree that high grade vintage cards were underpriced but I'd say the pricing structure on vintage was more compressed at the time. I sold lower grade star cards like '61 Topps Mantle and '56 Duke Snider in Gd to VG condition for prices that would be considered strong even in today's market. I sold the Mantle for $100 in 1987 and it was probably PSA 2 condition. I wish I had taken that money and invested it in vintage unopened or high grade vintage but I ended up using it to overpay for a NM 1967 Tommy John which was a card I really wanted badly.
The first one, which I would call the "collector boom" began in late 1985 to early 1986. As collectors were being enamored with owning a Mattingly RC, the prices of 1984's started going through the roof....this continued on through 1987 when McGwire hit the market, coupled with budding new stars like Dwight Gooden, Roger Clemens, Kirby Puckett and Eric Davis.
Then came the investor boom, of 1988, when card companies realized how much product they COULD sell and were doing so. Investors, who were buying hundreds of cases of product made the industry scream for more. This continued through the early 90's when both collector and investor couldnt get enough....89 UpperDeck started the premium card craze which both collector/investor loved. Bowman, Finest, Stadium Club all followed as I would guess half the cases were put into storage as an "investment". I can still remember 91 Stadium Club being hard to find and now you can get them everywhere.
<< <i>I can still remember 91 Stadium Club being hard to find and now you can get them everywhere >>
And it was $7 a pack.
<< <i>
<< <i>I can still remember 91 Stadium Club being hard to find and now you can get them everywhere >>
And it was $7 a pack. >>
chump change,
try $100 a pack for the great 2001 UD Ultimate Collection.