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PCGS Grading Challenge at FUN

messydeskmessydesk Posts: 20,309 ✭✭✭✭✭
36 people took part in PCGS's grading challenge at FUN. They had a single box of 20 coins, and one person at a time could take up to 20 minutes to do an in-hand GTG. No coins were problem coins, no coins were fakes, and a few could be plus-graded. The subject coins were almost all uncirculated or AU. There was (if memory serves me well) a $5 Indian, a $5 Liberty, two $10 Indians, two $20 Libs, two $20 Saints, one Indian cent, I think a Lincoln cent, a buffalo nickel, a proof Barber dime, a Roosevelt dime, a Standing Liberty quarter, a Washington quarter, 3 or 4 Morgan dollars, maybe a Peace dollar, and I guess I'm forgetting a couple. All coins were uncirculated or AU except for the Standing Liberty quarter, which was a 1926 F15. Collectors of circulated seated and earlier stuff would have been displeased, as would have been those that spent a lot of time reviewing hair-splitting 19th century grade transitions in their hotel room late Friday night. The inclusion of that quarter I'm assuming came with HRH saying, "this will be the one the most people screw up because nobody that plays has probably graded any low-grade circulated type 3 SLQs since they were 12," or something like that. I laughed a little when I saw that coin, then proceeded to miss the grade, as likely predicted.

I went through the box in less than 10 minutes (the actual time was probably logged on my scoresheet). I didn't want to spend lots of time on any given coin. The winner got 8 out of 20 matches and the lowest deviations from the actual grades among the three players that got 8 right. I managed to get 3 matches, and had I remembered to call the proof Barber dime a cameo, I'd have had 4. I picked 3 or 4 coins to assign a + grade to, but I picked the wrong ones. I graded an AU61 gold coin as 58 instead of 61 (or vice versa). I think the one I missed by the most (2 full steps) was the circ. SLQ, which I called VG10 instead of F15. I missed the Indian cent by the color. I think the others were off by 1 grade in either direction or by just the +. We weren't allowed to keep the score sheets after looking at the results, but I guess they'll be sent later, hopefully with a list of the coins that were in the box.

The exercise was fun, and a better way to try and win an MS65 $20 Saint than just a drawing. What I'd like to know, however, is how PCGS's graders would do in this challenge. Would they consistently get all 20 matches? Would misses be by no more than 1/2 grade? Would they be consistent from one week to the next? Yeah, these are probably officially some "don't go there" questions, but one cannot help but wonder. Considering that I probably don't look at anywhere near as many coins or look at them as often as many of the participants, I guess I really can't be that disappointed with my results.

BJ Searls asked if they should do this again in the future, and those of us that were gathered all thought they should. (DUH! We all wanted another shot at a cool prize!) Thanks for the opportunity!

Comments

  • kimber45ACPkimber45ACP Posts: 2,399 ✭✭✭
    Nice report. Did you ever think "wow, this is not going to be as easy as I thought"?
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  • HighReliefHighRelief Posts: 3,720 ✭✭✭✭✭
    As I remember TDN won the last big grading contest PCGS held.

    Getting 8 out of 20 correct for the winner really is not to impressive. As one can see grading coins can be very subjective.
  • messydeskmessydesk Posts: 20,309 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Did you ever think "wow, this is not going to be as easy as I thought"? >>


    I was never thinking "wow, this is not going to be easy," as I approached it being more curious about my grading eye than anything else. After finishing and not seeing stuff like VF bust coinage, big copper, a 3 cent silver, and an AU53 2 cent piece, I was relieved that it was apparently easier than I was anticipating. But then again, apparently it wasn't.
  • MacCrimmonMacCrimmon Posts: 7,058 ✭✭✭
    I'm surprised that someone didn't get at least 10/11 out of 20. However, adding a few dirty, crusty circs and those (+) grades does add considerably more to the difficulty, IMO.

    Even if the entire 20 coin lot were all uncs. with (+) grades sprinkled in, it would add tremendously to the statistical "pain".
  • DennisHDennisH Posts: 14,011 ✭✭✭✭✭
    John:

    Have the correct answers been posted anywhere? I kept a copy of my guesses so I could see how I did.
    When in doubt, don't.
  • KoveKove Posts: 2,038 ✭✭✭✭
    PCGS should do another World Series of Grading, for a broader-based fun competition for both dealers and collectors. This FUN competition sounds interesting, although I'm surprised at the winning scores.
  • SeattleSlammerSeattleSlammer Posts: 10,055 ✭✭✭✭✭
    8 out of 20? That's lame. Could I do better? Likely not. But 40% wins it?
  • jdimmickjdimmick Posts: 9,781 ✭✭✭✭✭
    When they did this back in 05/06 I took part in the collector division, i placed second both times. The 05 final I did fair, but not quite as good as the prelim round. Based on your list I beleive the 05/06 contest had much harder coins and several more factors that negate points off such as color, strike, genuine , grading supurlatives such as FB FH, etc. I was not able to compete in the 06 final at the Sacramento show as I had to work a real job back then, but would have enjoyed trying it again. I was not able to make FUN this year, becuase i closed the store for two weeks at X-mas and hated to stay closed another several days and miss business.

    jim
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,313 ✭✭✭✭✭
    .... What I'd like to know, however, is how PCGS's graders would do in this challenge. Would they consistently get all 20 matches? Would misses be by no more than 1/2 grade? Would they be consistent from one week to the next? Yeah, these are probably officially some "don't go there" questions, but one cannot help but wonder....

    I think you got it right with the "don't go there." While it would be interesting so see how currently employed graders would do, it's not something that would ever happen.
    Imagine JA having to decide the assignment of a sticker while the grading insert is covered. image
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • robkoolrobkool Posts: 5,934 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'm sure I would do extremely well in their grading challenge... Too bad it's not here in So. Cal. image
  • WTCGWTCG Posts: 8,940 ✭✭✭
    Darn, I totally forgot about that. I would've enjoyed taking that challenge.
    Follow me on Twitter @wtcgroup
    Authorized dealer for PCGS, PCGS Currency, NGC, NCS, PMG, CAC. Member of the PNG, ANA. Member dealer of CoinPlex and CCE/FACTS as "CH5"
  • " What I'd like to know, however, is how PCGS's graders would do in this challenge. Would they consistently get all 20 matches? Would misses be by no more than 1/2 grade? Would they be consistent from one week to the next?" Nio they would not.
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  • messydeskmessydesk Posts: 20,309 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Have the correct answers been posted anywhere? I kept a copy of my guesses so I could see how I did. >>


    No, but supposedly they'll send them to the participants. The only ones I could identify from the scored form I filled out were the Indian cent (64RD) and the proof Barber dime (PR64CAM).


    << <i>Darn, I totally forgot about that. I would've enjoyed taking that challenge. >>


    Dealers weren't eligible. You had to be a collector club member.
  • So did anyone here win?
    Or do we know yet?

    Sounds like a great contest.
  • MidLifeCrisisMidLifeCrisis Posts: 10,550 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Just be glad there were no colonials to grade!

    I think the contest was a great idea and I hope PCGS continues to hold similar contests in the future.

    Congrats to the winner (even at 8/20)!

    image
  • SwampboySwampboy Posts: 13,111 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Only 30?

    Wake up people!

    This sounds like a ton of fun, pardon the pun. image

    "Inspiration exists, but it has to find you working" Pablo Picasso

  • coinkid855coinkid855 Posts: 5,012 ✭✭✭
    I participated. I was quite disapointed with my results. I got 5/20. But most of my misses were only by one point or were even right except for lack or an added plus. For example, my first two grades were 64 and 65, while the actual grades were 64+ and 65+, causing me to miss both. There were also two coins which i thought appeared to have turned in their holder. A proof barber dime and an Indian Cent. It was still fun though!




    -Paul


  • << <i>Just be glad there were no colonials to grade!

    I think the contest was a great idea and I hope PCGS continues to hold similar contests in the future.

    Congrats to the winner (even at 8/20)!

    image >>



    But who were/was the winners?
  • messydeskmessydesk Posts: 20,309 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I think the winner's name was something like Craig Abramson or Albertson?
  • morgandollar1878morgandollar1878 Posts: 4,006 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I wish I could have gone the show just for this contest. I'm not sure that I would have done very well but it would have been neat to try anyway. One of these days I wil be able to go to one of the large shows like this.
    Instagram: nomad_numismatics
  • AngryTurtleAngryTurtle Posts: 1,588 ✭✭✭
    I did it and thought it was great fun and learning experience. I hope PCGS does it again! I was told that participants will be mailed their answer sheets, so you will know how you did.
  • Sounds like a tough challenge with 8 out of 20 for the winner. Plus grades and designations such as PL and DMPL can make the task that much harder. It may be a case of a good number of liner coins. If most were consensus coins where all three pro graders agreed, it does demonstrate how wide gap might be. A three tier or four tier scoring system might be more appropriate. Example might be correct, plus or designation, one point off, more than one point off. Complicated yes, but would communicate a lot more information than 8/20. The winning score might well be 8 correct, 10 off by a plus or PL designation, 2 off by one point, and 0 off by more than a point. That kind of score would be impressive to me.

    The results might also illustrate why many quality oriented folks may be fooling themselves. How many times have we all read "I don't need anyone to tell me if a coin is nice for the grade" (sticker talk and/or plus grades and/or stars)? I wonder how those self-righteous folks would have done in the grading challenge. If 8/20 is the winner, how many collectors can realistically determine quality within a single grade? All of the entrants are collector club members. Almost all are likely experienced collectors with significant grading expertise. Imagine how badly a group of newbies (less than five years in the hobby) might do in the same kind of contest. How many relative new collectors spout off about how they are interested in quality for the grade? How can a person spot quality for the grade, when they might only be getting the grade number right (if the label were covered), lets be generous, and say 50% of the time?

  • Is 8/20 really 'that bad' for a subjective test? I bet a PCGS grader would miss a few...

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