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how much would a PSA 10 52 topps mantle be worth if it went up for auction?

I am guessing more then the T206 wagner your thoughts?
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  • mikeschmidtmikeschmidt Posts: 5,756 ✭✭✭
    One of the owners of a PSA 10 Mantle has turned down offer(s) exceeding one million dollars.
    I am actively buying MIKE SCHMIDT gem mint baseball cards. Also looking for any 19th century cabinets of Philadephia Nationals. Please PM with additional details.
  • i bet if that card hit the auction block it would set a knew record for the most expensive baseball card in the hobby
  • DboneesqDboneesq Posts: 18,219 ✭✭


    << <i>i bet if that card hit the auction block it would set a knew record for the most expensive baseball card in the hobby >>


    I'm STILLnot going to sell it!!!
    STAY HEALTHY!

    Doug

    Liquidating my collection for the 3rd and final time. Time for others to enjoy what I have enjoyed over the last several decades. Money could be put to better use.
  • handymanhandyman Posts: 5,391 ✭✭✭✭✭
    820,002.44
  • No, it wouldn't garner more than a T206 Honus Wagner
  • TonyCTonyC Posts: 1,399 ✭✭✭
    Before I comment, can someone with a subscription post VCP data on high-grade 1952 Topps Mickey Mantle cards and whatever data VCP has on the 1909-11 T206 Honus Wagner?
    Collecting Tony Conigliaro
  • DboneesqDboneesq Posts: 18,219 ✭✭
    Highest dollar amount listed by VCP for a Mantle is a "PSA 9" as follows:
    12/14/06 Memory Lane $282,588.00

    And for a Wagner it's a "PSA 8":
    9/5/07 SCP $2,800,000.00 Private sale not in auction
    STAY HEALTHY!

    Doug

    Liquidating my collection for the 3rd and final time. Time for others to enjoy what I have enjoyed over the last several decades. Money could be put to better use.
  • Dpeck100Dpeck100 Posts: 10,912 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Some where north of 2 million.

  • TonyCTonyC Posts: 1,399 ✭✭✭
    There are a few issues at hand here, and I am going to break them down and say who wins:

    1. Rarity. Wagner clearly wins here; depending on who you ask, there are anywhere between 50 and 200 copies known to exist in ANY condition, and none have been on eBay in the past 15 days or are on there right now. On the other hand, even after taking into account that many cases of 1952 Topps High Numbers landed at the bottom of the ocean, over 30 Mantles either have been offered on eBay in the past 15 days or are listed right now. It is true that a Wagner is more likely to be consigned to an auction house rather than go on eBay, but without checking the listings for all of the auction houses right now, I think it is safe to assume that the Mantle is "widely" available, relatively speaking. Additionally, there is only one PSA 8 Wagner, but there is more than one PSA 10 Mantle. Win goes to Wagner on this round.

    2. Age. The Wagner card had to survive an extra 4+ decades to even EXIST today. Win goes to Wagner

    3. Player popularity. Admittedly, this is an oversimplification, but: Today, only handcore baseball fans and baseball card collectors know the name Honus Wagner, but the vast majority of Americans have heard of Mickey Mantle. The relative popularity of Mantle is important both when considering the pool of people who would want the card and the outlook of whoever buys the card (how many people will want it 50 years from now when I go to sell it again?). Win goes to Mantle

    4. Hobby stature. This is probably the stickiest and most important of the four points I am considering. Together, the Mantle and the Wagner have existed as the two holy grails of the hobby for the past 20-30 years since collecting really took off; this is not to say that other cards are not more rare, it is to say that the consensus of opinion in the hobby has been that these are THE two cards to have. Someone who would argue for the Mantle might say that this card is the key card from the first regular issue Topps baseball set, the Topps set that really began to make Topps what it is today, and that, coupled with Mantle's place in baseball history, make a PSA 10 of this card the more expensive.

    However, this is my argument for the Wagner: Wagner has always been the most expensive card in the hobby, beginning when Burdick established it as such in the ACC and through to the present day when the PSA 8's record sale price of $2.8 million. Wagner is the benchmark for the hobby, it always has been and it always will be, and thus I think that if a PSA 10 Mantle went up for auction, the bidders would ask themselves if the baseball card hobby benchmark--the T206 Wagner--should really be dethroned before they bid more than whatever the most recent sale price on the PSA 8 Wagner is. I think the answer would be "no," and thus I think Wagner wins the fourth and pivotal round.

    Match goes to Wagner.
    Collecting Tony Conigliaro
  • Dpeck100Dpeck100 Posts: 10,912 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I don't think much comparison to the Wagner will even take place.

    This is an ego card and a super rich individual will want to own it. Many saw Mantle play and he is their generations adored baseball legend.


    Hard assets in many cases are on fire and a hand full of mega wealthy people will see this is a great investment.


    It is a toss up between the two but a PSA 10 would easily command 2 million and perhaps much more.

  • otwcardsotwcards Posts: 5,291 ✭✭✭
    image
  • that PSA 9 that sold for over 280k is awful looking if you ask me way off centered and with major tilt. that card is way over graded and belongs in a 7 slab
  • WinPitcherWinPitcher Posts: 27,726 ✭✭✭
    I hear one of the 10's was a gift as well.


    The PSA 8 Wagner, well we all know about that card.


    Good for you.
  • RonBurgundyRonBurgundy Posts: 5,491 ✭✭✭
    If I owned this card in a 10 holder & was offered 7 figures, it'd be sold. In this economy I'd expect volatility in an auction - could be anywhere from $750K to $1.5 million. It would not fetch $2 million.

    IOW, Scott is correct. And props for the DrEvil reference.....
    Ron Burgundy

    Buying Vintage, all sports.
    Buying Woody Hayes, Les Horvath, Vic Janowicz, and Jesse Owens autographed items
  • The sale of a Mantle at 2 million would likely increase the value of the Wagner.....it'll never catch up. That Wagner PSA 8 is the baseball card to own for any wealthy individual interested in owning the best. It's only increased in value since breaking the 7 figure mark.
  • "1. Rarity. Wagner clearly wins here; depending on who you ask, there are anywhere between 50 and 200 copies known to exist in ANY condition, and none have been on eBay in the past 15 days or are on there right now. On the other hand, even after taking into account that many cases of 1952 Topps High Numbers landed at the bottom of the ocean, over 30 Mantles either have been offered on eBay in the past 15 days or are listed right now. It is true that a Wagner is more likely to be consigned to an auction house rather than go on eBay, but without checking the listings for all of the auction houses right now, I think it is safe to assume that the Mantle is "widely" available, relatively speaking. Additionally, there is only one PSA 8 Wagner, but there is more than one PSA 10 Mantle. Win goes to Wagner on this round."




    I disagree with this analysis. The OP specifically stated a PSA 10 Mantle, but did not specify what grade Wagner. The conditional rarity of the Mantle makes it a much more scarce card than all Wagners. There are 50-200 Wagners thought to exist in any grade, but there are probably not 200 PSA 10 Mantles in existence. The win (between a "run of the mill" Wagner and a gem mint 10 Mantle) clearly goes to Mantle here.

    Think of it like this......if you had unlimited funds, and wished to aquire 3 Wagners, and 3 gem mint PSA 10 Mantles as soon as possible, which would you be able to purchase faster?


  • SidePocketSidePocket Posts: 2,901 ✭✭✭
    Nice analysis by Tony C. Wish I could be a player for either card!

    "Molon Labe"

  • shagrotn77shagrotn77 Posts: 5,616 ✭✭✭✭
    Here's a link to the $280,000+ PSA 9 Mantle that sold through Memory Lane in 2006.

    Quarter Mil Mantle

    Side to side centering on the lower half of the card is indeed way off. Everything else looks killer. And hey, it looks to be full size too!
    "My father would womanize, he would drink. He would make outrageous claims like he invented the question mark. Sometimes he would accuse chestnuts of being lazy. The sort of general malaise that only the genius possess and the insane lament. Our childhood was typical. Summers in Rangoon, luge lessons. In the spring we'd make meat helmets. When we were insolent we were placed in a burlap bag and beaten with reeds - pretty standard really."
  • Dpeck100Dpeck100 Posts: 10,912 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Thanks for posting that link.


    That card is super clean. The corners are razor sharp. If that card was a common everyone would be fine with that getting a PSA 9.


    That is not a PSA 7 by any means.


  • Dpeck are you kidding that is a uggly 9 that card has a major tilt look at the left border that is nasty 9. maybe a nice 9OC. or straight 7.
  • Dpeck100Dpeck100 Posts: 10,912 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Nope not joking.


    That card has Gem Mint qualities. The borders are snow white, the card is super crisp, the corners are beyond razor sharp and the centering is in the range of 60/40.


    This is a card from 1952 in razor sharp condition. Sorry a PSA 7 with banged up corners and perfect centering is no where near as impressive in my book.


  • well i just hate cards with tilts like that. centering is everything on a card and rather have a centered 7 or 8 then that uggly tilted 9 . who ever paid 280k for that uggly tilted card is crazy
  • Dpeck100Dpeck100 Posts: 10,912 ✭✭✭✭✭
    No they are not.

    This card will sell for $500K easy. They made huge money on this buy.


  • sorry i totaly disagree that card is overgraded and has nasty eye appeal. when a card is tilted like that i am sorry it loses all eye appeal in my opinon


  • << <i>Dpeck are you kidding that is a uggly 9 that card has a major tilt look at the left border that is nasty 9. maybe a nice 9OC. or straight 7. >>



    If I owned that card and sent it to PSA to be graded and it came back a PSA 7, I would be pi$$ed!
    image

    My daughter was diagnosed with type 1 diabetes at the age of 2 (2003). My son was diagnosed with Type 1 when he was 17 on December 31, 2009. We were stunned that another child of ours had been diagnosed. Please, if you don't have a favorite charity, consider giving to the JDRF (Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation)

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  • that is a uggly 9 thats all i gotta say. 9's should not be tilted and if anybody ever pays 500k for that card is seriously stupid. now if it was better centered with no tilt then ok
  • just check the 9 mantle again and it sold for 32k less then it did years ago
  • jeffcbayjeffcbay Posts: 8,950 ✭✭✭✭
  • otwcardsotwcards Posts: 5,291 ✭✭✭


    << <i>anybody ever pays 500k for that card is seriously stupid. >>



    Aside from Snooky and the Kardashians, there aren't too many people that could drop $500 large on a card that I would call "stupid." They may not be wise for doing so, but you don't accumulate wealth and keep it by being "stupid." Now, if guys in the NBA or the NFL did it, I'd call them stupid because more than 60% are bankrupt within 4 years of being out of the sport and that leads us back to the accumulating wealth and KEEPING it point...
  • WinPitcherWinPitcher Posts: 27,726 ✭✭✭


    << <i>It's only increased in value since breaking the 7 figure mark >>




    I'm not sure about that, I recall it going down since Gretzky owned it.

    Maybe someone else can confirm this?


    Good for you.
  • Dpeck100Dpeck100 Posts: 10,912 ✭✭✭✭✭
    We are talking about cards that are the pinnacle of the hobby.


    What the vast majority are missing is that Mickey Mantle is a global icon and his collectibles are in global demand.


    Just recently Marilyn Monroe photos just sold for record prices. This is a global market and buyers like the Koreans for example love pop culture icons. Keep in mind this is US history.


    Mantle is the ultimate pop culture icon in my opinion in the last 60 years. There are a lot of buyers for a PSA 10 Rookie. I have said it a few times but remember this is one of the ultimate hard assets.


    The Mickey Mantle rookie card has been the most sought after baseball card for a number of years. The 2 million mark will get smashed if this hits auction.

  • Damn, that's a beauty.......someone post the PSA 8 Wagner and do a poll.
  • mlbfan2mlbfan2 Posts: 3,115 ✭✭✭
    T206 Honus Wagner, PSA NM-MT 8 $1,265,000 - 2000 Auction
    1952 Topps Mickey Mantle, PSA Gem Mint 10 $275,000 - 2001 Private sale

    So.......in 10 years, how did the Mantle go from being worth far less than the Wagner to being worth more?
    (according to some people's opinions in this thread, anyway)
  • ahhhhhh now that 10 looks like 3 million plus dollars to me that thing is perfect. not like that uggly crappy 9 from the john branca collection
  • that mantle would bring over 3 million.
  • we all know the wagner is trimmed. i would take the PSA 10 mantle for 3 million over a wagner 8 that is trimmed
  • thunderdanthunderdan Posts: 3,036 ✭✭✭


    << <i>not like that uggly crappy 9 from the john branca collection >>



    Don't be too tough on PSA grades on high-profile cards. You've got a PSA 10 Jordan RC currently listed on B/S/T that doesn't have the greatest centering. image
    image


  • my jordan has better then 55/45 centering L/R and is 50/50 t/b . that jordan could have gone either way 9 or 10 and who ever got it graded got lucky. but still a nice 10. that mantle 9 is bad very very bad
  • BoopottsBoopotts Posts: 6,784 ✭✭


    << <i>We are talking about cards that are the pinnacle of the hobby.


    What the vast majority are missing is that Mickey Mantle is a global icon and his collectibles are in global demand.


    Just recently Marilyn Monroe photos just sold for record prices. This is a global market and buyers like the Koreans for example love pop culture icons. Keep in mind this is US history.


    Mantle is the ultimate pop culture icon in my opinion in the last 60 years. There are a lot of buyers for a PSA 10 Rookie. I have said it a few times but remember this is one of the ultimate hard assets.


    The Mickey Mantle rookie card has been the most sought after baseball card for a number of years. The 2 million mark will get smashed if this hits auction. >>





    Bah- it's all Monopoly money. Think about the runaway inflation we've seen in the past year after the Fed ended QE2. Oh wait...
  • I think it'd be an easy $1-1.5 million or more. Why not?

    -The most expensive bat, from babe ruths first homerun, that sold for like $1.3 million.

    -The babe ruth baltimore rookie has sold for crazy money, $400 or $500 k.

    -Has the 51 bowman mantle psa 10 traded? Isn't that $750 k, or $1 million.

    Then you add, the 52 topps mystic, only 3 in the world, hot economy (looking for collectibles, a hard asset). I dont know....it seems like a combination that could produce $1-1.5 million. The second one might sell for less. But the first that comes up for auction, I don't know.

    Another factor, how often do they ever come up for sale? It could be a looooong time, or never.

    Compared to a wagner, which is usually at least every few years, in a grade of 1 or 2. You might have to wait 6 months to buy a wagner?

    You might have to wait 5, 10 years for a mantle? It could spell, $1.5, 1.7, $2 million. The fact that they've been put away for so long, means it could go very high.
  • if one dose hit the auction block it will break the wagner record for most expensive card in the hobby
  • Pop culture and American history....I would think Babe Ruth to be a more iconic figure than Mickey Mantle and I would imagine a few other players are either right there with him or will catch up. To stay on topic, I see that people are comparing a PSA 10 Mantle to a PSA 2 Wagner......I understand we're talking the best of the best. I'm sorry but I dont see a PSA 10 Mantle going for for more than THE PSA 8 Wagner. However, if one of the three PSA 10 Mantles went up for auction along with THE PSA 8 Wagner, I would wager my house that the Wagner would go for more money. The Gretzky/McNall Wagner is THE card to own in this hobby. It already has historical significance, provenance and is the most expensive card. If we're talking about world-wide deep pocket buyers, it'll come down to a numbers game.....you can own 1 of 3 PSA 10 Mantle cards or the 1 of 1 PSA 8 Wagner.
  • well that one of one wagner is trimmed.
  • jeffcbayjeffcbay Posts: 8,950 ✭✭✭✭
    I'm gonna disagree that the Mantle 10 would sell more than the Wagner 8, and here's why...

    There have been *22 Wagner cards graded by PSA... the highest grade being an 8 (the card in question), and the next highest grade is a 5 (one card), then the next is 3 (two cards).

    There have been *1,059 Mantle cards graded by PSA... the highest grade being a 10 (three lucky bastages), seven 9s, two 8.5s, thirty 8s, and so on.

    The Wagner is WAAAAAY more rare than the Mantle in that kind of condition. The Wagner is the "Holy Grail". Mantle wouldn't touch $2.8M. My opinion.

    *Number of total cards subject to crack-out curve.
  • StoogeStooge Posts: 4,668 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I have a question...

    If the Wagner PSA 8 sold at auction right now and sold for a new record price of lets say $4 Million or...
    The 1952 Mantle PSA 10 sold for the same amt. of about $3-$4 Million...

    What would these 2 record setting auctions do for the under graded cards that exist?

    Would we be looking at $800,000 for a Mantle in say a PSA 8 grade....$100,000 for a Mantle in a PSA 2? Or even a Wagner in a PSA 2 for $1,000,000?

    Just wondering as I'm still relatively new to cards.

    Paul.

    Later, Paul.


  • << <i>Mantle is the ultimate pop culture icon in my opinion in the last 60 years >>



    I have to disagree and say that Michael Jordan and Muhammed Ali are more well known outside of the sports world than Mantle. If we're simply describing "pop culture", Mantle has nothing on Elvis or Michael Jackson. image
  • maybe 30 years from now the PSA 10 jordans will be worth 100k
  • thunderdanthunderdan Posts: 3,036 ✭✭✭


    << <i>maybe 30 years from now the PSA 10 jordans will be worth 100k >>



    Sammy, come on, be serious. The Jordan PSA 10 has nowhere to go but down. There is still plenty of supply out there for more 10s.

    image




  • << <i>What would these 2 record setting auctions do for the under graded cards that exist? >>




    Great question, I would believe that any Wagner cards that come up for sale typically yield higher prices than their predecessors in equal grade.

    As for Mantle cards, there will be consistently more being graded as cards come up for sale from Baby Boomers that need more money or families that inherited them. I can't say the same for the T206 Wagner.
  • i disagree thunderdan!! the jordan will go up as people who were in like 10 years old in the 90's watching him play will want his rookie card. it will be the 52 mantle of the future.
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