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Sprott says fear of bank deposits is the new PM catalyst

derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭
And I agree with him.

Eric Sprott

"Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

Comments

  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,822 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I must admit to being a bit wary of keeping money in bank deposits. I really don't like the government's ability to have access to my personal data. And I don't like the bank's complicity in the matter either.

    Thanks for the reminder!
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.


  • << <i>And I agree with him.

    Eric Sprott >>



    And I was all prepared to be happy with $360.00 Silver, Now I've got to hang on till $1,200.00.

    Maybe I'll just bail out at the 16/1 point and let every one sweat out the 10/1 point.
    NumbersUsa, FairUs, Alipac, CapsWeb, and TeamAmericaPac
  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,822 ✭✭✭✭✭
    If silver makes it to $1,200 - I would be able to buy a couple of my very own Chicago politicians.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • pf70collectorpf70collector Posts: 6,641 ✭✭✭
    So if silver were at $1200 would this destroy any premiums on coins. Say a bust half is worth about $1200 today at $40 silver. With silver at $1200 what would that bust be worth? Would the premium be destroyed.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>So if silver were at $1200 would this destroy any premiums on coins. Say a bust half is worth about $1200 today at $40 silver. With silver at $1200 what would that bust be worth? Would the premium be destroyed. >>


    I'll have Steven Hawkins whip us up a formula. image

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • 57loaded57loaded Posts: 4,967 ✭✭✭
    IF silver reaches $1200 we will have a lot more to worry about than premiums on coins.
  • guitarwesguitarwes Posts: 9,266 ✭✭✭


    << <i>IF silver reaches $1200 we will have a lot more to worry about than premiums on coins. >>




    yep, alot more.

    @ Elite CNC Routing & Woodworks on Facebook. Check out my work.
    Too many positive BST transactions with too many members to list.
  • mrearlygoldmrearlygold Posts: 17,858 ✭✭✭


    << <i>If silver makes it to $1,200 - I would be able to buy a couple of my very own Chicago politicians. >>




    Why think cold when at $1200 we could buy Boca Raton image
  • BarndogBarndog Posts: 20,490 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I wish he had gone more in depth with his discussion of bank deposits and why people fear them. Any other writers out there in PM land have more learned discussion on the topic?
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I wish he had gone more in depth with his discussion of bank deposits and why people fear them. Any other writers out there in PM land have more learned discussion on the topic? >>



    Informed depositors fear the future of their money sitting in the banks. The banks have legally loaned out deposits at a rate $33 to every $1 deposited (leverage), are surviving on bailout money while they payout incredible management bonuses, and have been allowed to present a completely false picture of their soundness with federally authorized radical changes in acceptable accounting standards. If and when one major bank starts to crumble (I believe it will be BoA) there will be a mad dash to all of them to get deposits out. It is believed that if depositors showed up all at once for only 5% of their money, the banks would have to lock their doors (bank holiday). Once a bank locks its doors, the rest will have to follow suit and probably remain locked for a while.

    FDIC insurance is nothing more than a Public Relations commercial to make you feel your money is safe. FDIC is not physically able to cover more than 5% of all deposits. The whole banking charade is based on the expectation that not a whole lot of people will want to withdraw their money at any given time. One very bad day by one major bank will change that in an instant. A run on the banks will ruin them all within a few hours. A very limited amount of people would actually get their money.

    When you deposit money into your bank account you have actually agreed to lend it to them. Federal Banking laws allow them to loan it right back out at many, many times its value. Based on recent bank performance in the area of loans and irresponsible spending (bonuses) do you begin to see the potential problem? Sprott is saying PMs are a logical, safe alternative and that more and more people are realizing it and this will result in higher demand and higher prices. Of course, the members here already knew this.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • TheRegulatorTheRegulator Posts: 1,217 ✭✭✭
    Nice synopsis, derry. Thanks.
    The Tree of Liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants. -Thomas Jefferson
  • MilesWaitsMilesWaits Posts: 5,349 ✭✭✭✭✭
    You are the man derryb!

    Thanks for the the very brief and concise summary of why I hold, cherish, and idolize (entirely worship and hold dear) my PM's!

    Ok, some hyperbole is acceptable and expected and absolute..........

    Miles
    Now riding the swell in PM's and surf.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭
    With Sprott's analysis we now have at least two forces fighting the climb in PM prices: The banking industry who want to protect their deposits and the remainder of Wall Street who want to protect their equities markets. Washington serves them both and as has been demonstrated has the means to TEMPORARILY hammer PM prices via manipulation. As the flight to PMs grows so will the anti-gold/PM machine. Do not be surprised to see not only renewed effort on their part but NEW effort as well. CME margin requirement increases were their latest weapon and I am sure it has not yet run out of ammo. When it does there will be surprisingly new ways to try to protect Wall Street. I have no doubt that they spend many resources researching new weaponry.

    Remember, most in power are convinced that massive failure of technically already failed banks will mean the end. It will be the end for them but I believe it will be the begining for the rest of us. I see smaller, local credit unions filling much of the void they leave.

    They also believe that success of the economy is measured by the Dow and the S&P500 so all effort continues to be made to keep the markets propped up. When that effort is no longer successful PMs will eventually see their true value. Whether they will attempt to drive them underground at some point remains to be seen.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,822 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Remember, most in power are convinced that massive bank failure will mean the end. It will be the end for them

    Very true. If you want a reminder, or a glimpse into the psyche of these bankers when they are under pressure, just bring up a You-Tube video of Hank Paulson asking Congress for $800 Billion in bailout money with a 1-page document, right when Lehman failed.

    He really reminded me of Daddy Warbucks in the Little Orphan Annie comic strip, and the similarities don't end with just his appearance.

    The Lehman crisis brought international overnight Libor funds up over 4%, which basically says that the bankers weren't willing to trust each other, period. They had to have OUR money to grease their own skids before they could trust each other for a line of credit once again.

    I still can't wrap my head around how WE the People got in the middle of THEIR problem. I keep wondering how ingrained this tendency to let bankers control the rulemakers is going to be.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 33,019 ✭✭✭✭✭
    one phrase: TBTF

    and if they are TBTF, they are TBT be Trusted.


    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • mhammermanmhammerman Posts: 3,769 ✭✭✭
    And for act two , after the bank holiday, it would seem that would be an excellent opportunity to realign the currency. Maybe it is a good time for a revaluation or a chance to issue new money...you know, emergency powers and all that. It is interesting but when you search the net for "usd currency revaluation" or "usd reissue" you don't get much so it is not only not on the radar, it's not even on the net. This is a topic that is interesting because there are a number of large nations that are both vocal and anxious to get the USD out of the game and we can be sure they aren't just sittin' and wishin', they are workin' on it; so radar or not, it's out there...hummmm, maybe if I could read Chinese I could get some hits on my search.

    Got CASH?

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,102 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>And for act two , after the bank holiday, it would seem that would be an excellent opportunity to realign the currency. Maybe it is a good time for a revaluation or a chance to issue new money...you know, emergency powers and all that. It is interesting but when you search the net for "usd currency revaluation" or "usd reissue" you don't get much so it is not only not on the radar, it's not even on the net. This is a topic that is interesting because there are a number of large nations that are both vocal and anxious to get the USD out of the game and we can be sure they aren't just sittin' and wishin', they are workin' on it; so radar or not, it's out there...hummmm, maybe if I could read Chinese I could get some hits on my search.

    Got CASH? >>




    China will have a MASSIVE civil war if the USA and Europe fail. Where is China gonna get food to feed its people?



    The FDIC is not going to default on its obligations.




    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>The FDIC is not going to default on its obligations. >>


    Not until it runs out of money. The FDIC is a funded by premiums that banks are required to pay to basically insure themselves. On Aug 5, 2011 the FDIC reported a balance of 45.5 Billion dollars in the fund. Total bank deposits is a very hard number to pin down, but it is estimated well into the trillions. With only 45.5 billion available to insure trillions in banking accounts, the FDIC would easly run out of money in even a small banking crisis.

    If you think the "bailout purse string holders" will provide a bailout that is paid directly to the taxpayer (as would be required in this case), you ain't been paying attention for the last three years.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>China will have a MASSIVE civil war if the USA and Europe fail. Where is China gonna get food to feed its people? >>


    From within. China produces more food per capita than does the US.



    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 33,019 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I believe China has begun importing soybeans.


    and they import sugar



    but I disagree that food production in the affected areas would be so affected that severe supply shortages would occur.


    some entities with money would recognize the almost sure sales of plantings and fund them.

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • 57loaded57loaded Posts: 4,967 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>I wish he had gone more in depth with his discussion of bank deposits and why people fear them. Any other writers out there in PM land have more learned discussion on the topic? >>



    Informed depositors fear the future of their money sitting in the banks. The banks have legally loaned out deposits at a rate $33 to every $1 deposited (leverage), are surviving on bailout money while they payout incredible management bonuses, and have been allowed to present a completely false picture of their soundness with federally authorized radical changes in acceptable accounting standards. If and when one major bank starts to crumble (I believe it will be BoA) there will be a mad dash to all of them to get deposits out. It is believed that if depositors showed up all at once for only 5% of their money, the banks would have to lock their doors (bank holiday). Once a bank locks its doors, the rest will have to follow suit and probably remain locked for a while.

    FDIC insurance is nothing more than a Public Relations commercial to make you feel your money is safe. FDIC is not physically able to cover more than 5% of all deposits. The whole banking charade is based on the expectation that not a whole lot of people will want to withdraw their money at any given time. One very bad day by one major bank will change that in an instant. A run on the banks will ruin them all within a few hours. A very limited amount of people would actually get their money.

    When you deposit money into your bank account you have actually agreed to lend it to them. Federal Banking laws allow them to loan it right back out at many, many times its value. Based on recent bank performance in the area of loans and irresponsible spending (bonuses) do you begin to see the potential problem? Sprott is saying PMs are a logical, safe alternative and that more and more people are realizing it and this will result in higher demand and higher prices. Of course, the members here already knew this. >>




    another sign may be an abrupt moving away from direct (electronic) deposits for those that can, although i think this will be a cascading effect as well as abandoning electronic banking.
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,102 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>The FDIC is not going to default on its obligations. >>


    Not until it runs out of money. The FDIC is a funded by premiums that banks are required to pay to basically insure themselves. On Aug 5, 2011 the FDIC reported a balance of 45.5 Billion dollars in the fund. Total bank deposits is a very hard number to pin down, but it is estimated well into the trillions. With only 45.5 billion available to insure trillions in banking accounts, the FDIC would easly run out of money in even a small banking crisis.

    If you think the "bailout purse string holders" will provide a bailout that is paid directly to the taxpayer (as would be required in this case), you ain't been paying attention for the last three years. >>





    The FDIC has an unlimited line of credit. Unemployment and other programs are taxpayer bailouts paid directly to the taxpayer.

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 33,019 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>

    << <i>The FDIC is not going to default on its obligations. >>


    Not until it runs out of money. The FDIC is a funded by premiums that banks are required to pay to basically insure themselves. On Aug 5, 2011 the FDIC reported a balance of 45.5 Billion dollars in the fund. Total bank deposits is a very hard number to pin down, but it is estimated well into the trillions. With only 45.5 billion available to insure trillions in banking accounts, the FDIC would easly run out of money in even a small banking crisis.

    If you think the "bailout purse string holders" will provide a bailout that is paid directly to the taxpayer (as would be required in this case), you ain't been paying attention for the last three years. >>





    The FDIC has an unlimited line of credit. Unemployment and other programs are taxpayer bailouts paid directly to the taxpayer. >>



    True to a point.

    the Federal Governement will "back up" the FDIC.

    Unfortunately, the Fed. Gov't is also broke.

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,102 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>China will have a MASSIVE civil war if the USA and Europe fail. Where is China gonna get food to feed its people? >>


    From within. China produces more food per capita than does the US. >>






    The USA is the #1 producer of corn, soybeans, chicken, beef. #2 in pork. #3 in wheat and fish.



    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • cohodkcohodk Posts: 19,102 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>

    << <i>

    << <i>The FDIC is not going to default on its obligations. >>


    Not until it runs out of money. The FDIC is a funded by premiums that banks are required to pay to basically insure themselves. On Aug 5, 2011 the FDIC reported a balance of 45.5 Billion dollars in the fund. Total bank deposits is a very hard number to pin down, but it is estimated well into the trillions. With only 45.5 billion available to insure trillions in banking accounts, the FDIC would easly run out of money in even a small banking crisis.

    If you think the "bailout purse string holders" will provide a bailout that is paid directly to the taxpayer (as would be required in this case), you ain't been paying attention for the last three years. >>





    The FDIC has an unlimited line of credit. Unemployment and other programs are taxpayer bailouts paid directly to the taxpayer. >>



    True to a point.

    the Federal Governement will "back up" the FDIC.

    Unfortunately, the Fed. Gov't is also broke. >>



    The G aint broke, but I know what you mean. I guess Europe is "more broke"?

    Actually i believe the banks lost all our money in 2008. All the FED printing has just gone into replenishing your savings and checking accounts. The current value of PMs reflects this. Nothing new.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>The FDIC has an unlimited line of credit. Unemployment and other programs are taxpayer bailouts paid directly to the taxpayer. >>


    Unemployment and other programs are funded programs. When the FDIC exhausts its very small funded account on the first 1% of depositors in a massive banking failure, it will have to turn to congress, as did the TBTF banks, for a bailout. There is a difference between a bailout and funded handouts - funded handouts give away money already on hand. Guess where bailout funds come from?

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • goldengolden Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭✭✭
    What part of'' the Federal Government is broke ''do you not understand?
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>What part of'' the Federal Government is broke ''do you not understand? >>


    Technically he is very much correct - they will never go broke as long as they control the creation of money with no effective controls to keep them in check.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

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