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A "Modern" Nightmare!

Stopped by my local coin shop today and was swapping stories with the proprietor. He told me a story about how the bids had been manipulated to run the prices up on recent proof and mint state sets before he purchased a large lot of material. Needless to say, he lost money.

He proceded to tell me that the same dealer then offered him large quantities of supposedly scarce modern material (he showed me the greysheet bid - it was really high!). He declined. Later that week he noticed the bids were raised again on the material. Why would bids go up if someone was looking to dump quantities????

Comments

  • wondercoinwondercoin Posts: 16,954 ✭✭✭✭✭
    TDN: Can you provide an example or two of any of these raised prices? I am being offered a sizeable mint set and proof set deal this week using "the sheet" as a reference point and at first glance I did not see any prices out of the ordinary. Did the store owner happen to mention any particular sets as his "proof"? Wondercoin
    Please visit my website at www.wondercoins.com and my ebay auctions under my user name www.wondercoin.com.
  • truthtellertruthteller Posts: 1,240 ✭✭
    This story has stuck in my mind for 15 years. When I heard it I knew the greysheet sometimes means nothing. In the early 1980's, 1973 proof silver Ikes were on a upward spiral. One dealer was making the market on them. They went from $60 to $275 in a matter of 3 months. The market maker was taking in huge quantities, but not selling them. He accumulated about $20,000 worth of 1973S Ikes. Another dealer walked into the store and needed $15,000 worth of the Ikes at greysheet for sale and speculation. The owner sold him all his inventory of 1973S Ikes. Within minutes after taking the check, the marketmaker stopped buying any 1973S, at ANY PRICE. Within a couple of days the market went from $275, back down to $80, and of course, the greysheet didn't reflect this. The funny thing is, the buyer got wind of this quickly and stopped payment on the check.image

    TRUTH
  • braddickbraddick Posts: 24,126 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I LOVE these stories!

    peacockcoins

  • shirohniichanshirohniichan Posts: 4,992 ✭✭✭
    Great story! I'm going to file that with the '73-S silver proof Ike I just bought from itsnotjustme. The "history" behind the has-been coins is always interesting and sometimes funny (at least for those of us who weren't involved with the coins in their heyday).
    image
    Obscurum per obscurius
  • TypetoneTypetone Posts: 1,621 ✭✭
    Tradedollarnut:

    Interesting story, but really not germane for the majority modern registry collectors on this Board. Most who collect moderns at the registry level are buying high grade certified material. I don't know any who would buy hundreds of proof sets at wholesale for the purpose of trying to make high grades (at least not more than onceimage. Trading in proof set thousand lots is a game for a small group of select dealers. Those guys are sharks and know how to take care of themselves.

    Yes, I know there are some modern collectors who are putting together runs of proof or mint sets. My Dad is one. But, they are buying one per year, and are looking to cherry pick high quality sets. They really don't care if a $10 set gets "manipulated" up to $15 or down to $6.

    Greg S.
  • Tradedollarnut:

    There may or may not be truth to this dealers particular story but there has always been a tremendous amount of manipulation in the coin market. If you control a market, and sometimes that means only 10-20% of supply at the moment, then you can control the BID by controlling the ASK. Placing multiple adds and calls to dealers and buying small amounts at inflated prices also play in the game. If other owners see the ask rise 100% they will suddenly raise prices to match and neither one will sell. The BID will then rise to secure the item because "it's going up." The herd effect takes hold and buyers buy into a rising, hyped market. In time the supply comes out and the prices rudely correct but in the mean the manipulators have dumped large quantities, the profits are skimmed and some get left holding.

    It takes a supply and a demand to manipulate a market so this is usually done best on "hot" items which is why they are more likely to "crash" than more obscure items. It is totally legal and it's part of the game. Having been around a while and avoiding hyped markets helps to keep from getting ripped.
  • shirohniichanshirohniichan Posts: 4,992 ✭✭✭
    If anyone has a hoard of 1875, 1875-CC, and 1876 20 cent pieces in PQ AU-58, please let me know. I'm willing to buy at today's inflated prices. image
    image
    Obscurum per obscurius
  • braddickbraddick Posts: 24,126 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Nope. Just a roll of AU50's.

    peacockcoins

  • Shiro:

    I can't believe you'd waste you're money on those. Heck, for those prices you could get a real coin , like a FS Jefferson, maybe even one from the 1990's!!!
  • braddickbraddick Posts: 24,126 ✭✭✭✭✭
    cc: Where's your smiley?

    peacockcoins

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