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Just in case you missed it. CME did it again last night

piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
I can't say the word on this board that I'd like to call them.
i hate the CME



This is what a dealer just emailed me talking about what's going on. I think it's the way to look at it in a nutshell.

jp morgan is paying them to raise the margins so they can cover there shorts, all corrupt for sure.... a nice correction is always healthy for the market... look 1 month ago today, silver was $38.45 so its still higher than 1 month ago, just went up way to fast in 30 days,

To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.

Comments

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  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    This was old news and already accounted for in yesterday's trading. There will probably be a dozen(s) or more hikes to come, eventually causing silver
    to trade for all cash and no leverage. A lot of people probably got wiped out on some of these massive silver drops. Many had too much leverage.
    But certainly JPMorgue probably suggested to the CME that a few rate hikes right now would really help them out of a jam.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • InYHWHWeTrustInYHWHWeTrust Posts: 1,448 ✭✭✭
    ZSL up double digits 3 days in a row, 40%+ increase since the first of the week. Somebody did OK, all in on red (or black), but it weren't me image

    Somebody besides cohodk buy some please, to stop the avalanche!
    Do your best to avoid circular arguments, as it will help you reason better, because better reasoning is often a result of avoiding circular arguments.
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    This was old news

    Were was this posted on this Forum??? Seems like it would've been a topic of discussion. This is the 3rd time you've said it was old news when I didn't see it talked about on this Precious Metals Forum...not that I read every single post either, it just seems someone would've created a topic about it as i have. Maybe old news...to you?
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • goldbuffalogoldbuffalo Posts: 635 ✭✭✭
    Yes, that is old news

    Here is the NEW news:

    04 May 2011, 05:50 p.m.
    By Kitco News
    http://www.kitco.com/


    (Kitco News) -CME Group is hiking silver margins again, with a late-Wednesday notice the fourth such announcement in the last two weeks.

    CME Group, which operates the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, announced margin increases that will become effective at the end of business on Thursday, with yet another increase to go into effect after the close of business next Monday.

    As of the end of business on Thursday, the “initial” margin to open new speculative positions in the main 5,000-ounce silver-futures contract will rise to $18,900 from $16,200, according to a notice released by the exchange. The “maintenance” margin for exiting speculative positions, as well as both initial and maintenance margins for hedger positions, will rise to $14,000 from $12,000.

    Then as of the close of business on Monday, the initial speculative margin will rise further to $21,600. The speculative maintenance margin, as well as margins for hedgers, will increase to $16,000.

    Margins are also rising for Comex MiNY silver futures and E-mini silver futures.

    The notice from CME Group, which operates the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, said the change is a part of the “normal review of market volatility to ensure adequate collateral coverage.” The market has been volatile lately, with the most-active July futures contract surging sharply to $49.84 an ounce last week but subsequently pulling back as far as $38.94 and posting a decline of 7.5% on Wednesday.

    The complete notice from CME Group can be seen at this link:

    http://www.cmegroup.com/tools-information/lookups/advisories/clearing/files/Chadv11-159.pdf


  • CaptHenwayCaptHenway Posts: 32,117 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Holy krap! They are bound and determined to kill silver!!!!
    Sheesh!
    Numismatist. 50 year member ANA. Winner of four ANA Heath Literary Awards; three Wayte and Olga Raymond Literary Awards; Numismatist of the Year Award 2009, and Lifetime Achievement Award 2020. Winner numerous NLG Literary Awards.
  • CaptHenwayCaptHenway Posts: 32,117 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>This was old news

    Were was this posted on this Forum??? Seems like it would've been a topic of discussion. This is the 3rd time you've said it was old news when I didn't see it talked about on this Precious Metals Forum...not that I read every single post either, it just seems someone would've created a topic about it as i have. Maybe old news...to you? >>



    The third margin increase was mentioned in this thread:

    linky
    Numismatist. 50 year member ANA. Winner of four ANA Heath Literary Awards; three Wayte and Olga Raymond Literary Awards; Numismatist of the Year Award 2009, and Lifetime Achievement Award 2020. Winner numerous NLG Literary Awards.
  • akuracy503akuracy503 Posts: 1,923 ✭✭✭
    Today is the announcement of a 4th margin increase effective at end of business day Thursday then another one on Monday the 9th.

    CU Ancient Members badge member.

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  • akuracy503akuracy503 Posts: 1,923 ✭✭✭
    I've been out AGQ and in ZSL for 2 days now, recovered and thensome, will be very interesting how Thursday and Friday play out with the ECB conference and the 4th margin increase.



    << <i>ZSL up double digits 3 days in a row, 40%+ increase since the first of the week. Somebody did OK, all in on red (or black), but it weren't me image

    Somebody besides cohodk buy some please, to stop the avalanche! >>

    CU Ancient Members badge member.

    Collection: https://flickr.com/photos/185200668@N06/albums

  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    Today is the announcement of a 4th margin increase effective at end of business day Thursday then another one on Monday the 9th.

    Can anyone give a justified reason they are doing this?
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • Frankly, there's NO EXCUSE - in this day & age - for ALL margins to be a stated percentage of the contract's nominal value.

    If that were the system there'd never be a need to adjust notional margin values.

    So, e.g. if silver were 5% initial MARGIN & 3% maintainance MARGIN (e.g.), then if a COMEX silver contract was priced at 40, the initial margin (on the then $200,000 value - i.e. on the 5,000 ounces) would be $10,000 & the maintainace would be $6,000. Similarly, if silver was at 50, the initial (on the then $250,000 value) would be $12,500 & the maintainace would be $7,500. There would be no instant jump on the way up but a gradual daily adjustment.

    There's no reason for these "shocks" to the system by upping things in a "non-smooth" manner & thus (IMHO) cause uneeded disruption to the markets.

    The percentage based system I propose would be more transparent (from a risk management standpoint) and continually adjust based on the contracts value. This is why (again IMHO) a FIXED dollar value of margin for a specific underlying is a system whose time has come (for much needed revamping).

    Just fyi for those that may not know this - for all practical purposes, THIS IS EXACTLY THE SYSTEM ALREADY IN PLACE FOR FUTURES OPTIONS.
  • CaptHenwayCaptHenway Posts: 32,117 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The conspiracy theorists think that JP Morgan is influencing the CFTC to pile drive silver down to protect their huge short positions.

    They may be right. I don't know.

    TD
    Numismatist. 50 year member ANA. Winner of four ANA Heath Literary Awards; three Wayte and Olga Raymond Literary Awards; Numismatist of the Year Award 2009, and Lifetime Achievement Award 2020. Winner numerous NLG Literary Awards.
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    The conspiracy theorists think that JP Morgan is influencing the CFTC to pile drive silver down to protect their huge short positions

    BINGO!
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • EagleEyeEagleEye Posts: 7,677 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Short-term, the raising of the margins may cause a bit of a slowdown in the price run-up, but I think the market will be healthier if there is not a huge percentage margin available. The CME Group is likely preventing a bigger drop in the future by raising margins now. Taking away the punch-bowl just as the party gets started, as Greenspan used to say.

    Rick Snow, Eagle Eye Rare Coins, Inc.Check out my new web site:
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭
    It's a bailout of the too big too fail silver shorters

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • MoneyLAMoneyLA Posts: 1,825
    for those who subscribe to the conspiracy theory:

    if XXX is so powerful that they can drive silver down, why wouldnt they use their power to drive silver up and profit that way? what motivates them to take the "down side" action?
  • giorgio11giorgio11 Posts: 3,905 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I can't say the word on this board that I'd like to call them.
    i hate the CME



    This is what a dealer just emailed me talking about what's going on. I think it's the way to look at it in a nutshell.

    jp morgan is paying them to raise the margins so they can cover there shorts, all corrupt for sure.... a nice correction is always healthy for the market... look 1 month ago today, silver was $38.45 so its still higher than 1 month ago, just went up way to fast in 30 days, >>



    This was so ... yesterday. Today silver (7:47 a.m.) is at $37.57.
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  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,824 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I hope that all the traders got out and saved their cash in order to buy physical.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>for those who subscribe to the conspiracy theory:

    if XXX is so powerful that they can drive silver down, why wouldnt they use their power to drive silver up and profit that way? what motivates them to take the "down side" action? >>



    They no doubt benefited on the price rise up as well. There's just no way to know exactly. Since they are essentially doing the bidding of the Treasury and FED, no doubt there are
    a number of hidden perks that go along with doing that work (ie socialized losses to name just one).

    Will be interesting to see how much physical gets freed up by this 30% price drop. So far, about 30% of the "paper" silver has been shaken loose.
    Cohodk said there was a 25-30% correction coming. But who would have expected it to take < 100 hrs?

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    if XXX is so powerful that they can drive silver down, why wouldnt they use their power to drive silver up and profit that way? what motivates them to take the "down side" action?
    Simple, because JP Morgan can't cover their Put positions and they are paying the CME under the table to cover their arse, literally. It needs to come down so JP can bring their bottom line back in line.

    What is being allowed to happen is worse than the "flash crash" when the Dow dropped 1000 in like 10 minutes from awhile back. That was a breakdown in the system and one could call it a "mistake", but this is orchestrated...downright criminal in my mind.
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>I hope that all the traders got out and saved their cash in order to buy physical. >>


    Not when I can double down with ZSL. image

    It burned me the last two tries. Maybe three's a charm. image So far up 48K for the day. Sure don't need a reversal at this point.

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • CaptHenwayCaptHenway Posts: 32,117 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Grab yer ankles........
    Numismatist. 50 year member ANA. Winner of four ANA Heath Literary Awards; three Wayte and Olga Raymond Literary Awards; Numismatist of the Year Award 2009, and Lifetime Achievement Award 2020. Winner numerous NLG Literary Awards.
  • pf70collectorpf70collector Posts: 6,641 ✭✭✭
    They(CME) can get away with it because the general public has poor views on Silver/PMs. So no big uproar. J6P is not involved at all with silver purchases.He probably can't afford them. More concerned living paycheck to paycheck. PM Bulls are evil in the eyes of the Feds, so blatant corruption is allowed. Looks bad for the dollar when gold and silver are trading up at these high levels.
  • 7over87over8 Posts: 4,733 ✭✭✭
    i think we hit bottom boys
    Asia turning up.
  • derrybderryb Posts: 36,793 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>i think we hit bottom boys
    Asia turning up. >>


    I'll believe it when that kitco green line crosses that red line. That's my que.



    << <i>Grab yer ankles........ >>


    Didn't let go from the last two ZSL attempts. image

    "Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey

  • PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 46,112 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>i think we hit bottom boys
    Asia turning up. >>



    Is this the dead cat bounce?image

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
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  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    This CME "thing" does not bother me in the least. Trading commodities and especially thin (normally thin) ones such as silver you learn to accept these "things". Trading commodities is a lot like Fight Club. Know that going in................MJ
    Walker Proof Digital Album
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  • MJ

    What's the first rule of 'Fight Club'?

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  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    There is no Fight Club
    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,824 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I agree with you, MJ. At some point, the equilibrium will be reached and the bias will swing the other way when they stop raising the margin requirements.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • JustacommemanJustacommeman Posts: 22,847 ✭✭✭✭✭
    There has to be actual funds set aside by the CME to balance these margined trades as a safeguard. Increasing the margin requirements is actually a by product of market conditions. It's just math and being prudent on CME's part but conspiracy theories are much more interesting to be sure. It is certaintly newsworthy and eyebrow raising. However, if you have been around commodities long enough you come to expect it. MJ
    Walker Proof Digital Album
    Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
  • piecesofmepiecesofme Posts: 6,669 ✭✭✭
    Well it appears that you can't keep a good Metal down. You can throw fraud, manipulation and a whole host of under the table tactics at it, but you can't keep it down. the people still want it and the smart ones are cautiously buying now.
    Does anyone think the Bull run is gaining another full head of steam only to surpass recent highs? I am very cautiously optomistic. I guess we'll see.
    To forgive is to free a prisoner, and to discover that prisoner was you.
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