The Fed is "unconcerned" about inflation...
jmski52
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I am happy to report that CNBC just flashed this information across the screen - that the Fed is unconcerned about inflation.
I guess I could interpret that in two different ways:
1) The Fed is so totally out of it that they wouldn't see inflation unless they found that their own personal finances were destroyed.
2) The Fed knows exactly how much inflation they have created and they simply do not give a damn because well - let them eat cake. N'est pas?
I guess I could interpret that in two different ways:
1) The Fed is so totally out of it that they wouldn't see inflation unless they found that their own personal finances were destroyed.
2) The Fed knows exactly how much inflation they have created and they simply do not give a damn because well - let them eat cake. N'est pas?
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<< <i>I am happy to report that CNBC just flashed this information across the screen - that the Fed is unconcerned about inflation.
I guess I could interpret that in two different ways:
1) The Fed is so totally out of it that they wouldn't see inflation unless they found that their own personal finances were destroyed.
2) The Fed knows exactly how much inflation they have created and they simply do not give a damn because well - let them eat cake. N'est pas? >>
I will go with number 2 plus they need inflation but will not and cannot admit it.
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<< <i>I am happy to report that CNBC just flashed this information across the screen - that the Fed is unconcerned about inflation. >>
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Regarding option "2) The Fed knows exactly how much inflation they have created and they simply do not give a damn because well - let them eat cake. N'est pas?", our ability to project inflation is quite crude - the Fed should know that it is adding to inflationary pressures, but not much more.
Regarding Cladking's third option (3) The Fed knows inflation must be coming but are unconcerned and continuing the status quo. ), I tend to agree with this, but I think they are engaged in wishful thinking; certainly Bernanke does not want his legacy to be as the Fed Chairman who rekindled inflation; the problem (which I would slightly arrogantly add that Ben probaby does not fully appreciate) is that inflation has a "binary" aspect to it. If something happens to raise inflationary expectations and velocity of money, the situation can change from quite tame to quie ferocious rather quickly. The Fed may in fact be able to defuse inflation, but if they do there will have been an element of luck.
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The issue is can they control it?
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<< <i>The Fed wants a certain background level of inflation for the foreseeable future to deal with debts and entitlements. >>
Agreed.
<< <i>Why should they be concerned? In 1980 they fixed that problem with those pesky numbers. I've heard you calculate inflation with the old system and It'd be closer to 10 percent. Sounds like they've got it under control to me....... >>
Pretty much. By switching from home values to imputed rents in 1983, followed by geometric weighting, substitutional effects, quality factors, and reweightings in the 1990's, they
effectively defused the "volatile" CPI-U. Where it once measured the price level of a fixed basket of the same quality goods/serivices, now it measures a variable basket of goods with
varying quality. Rather than a cost of living index, it's now a cost of survival index, n'est ce pas? "Qu'ils mangent de la brioche."
The FED knows exactly what's going on with inflation. They just don't have a better option.
roadrunner
The fed is unconcerned about anything other than fattening themselves and their friends just like in any banana republic.
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Add to that, a big name politician was asked about rising gasoline prices. His response? He berated the questioner for the size of his vehicle and told the questioner to trade in for a more fuel efficient vehicle. As unbelievable as that question and response is, what is worse is that the AP wire folks scrubbed that Q&A from their wire report, it is as if it never happened.
<< <i>The Fed wants a certain background level of inflation for the foreseeable future to deal with debts and entitlements.
The issue is can they control it? >>
I think they want to raise this background inflation to the five or six percent level but the less
he public anticipates it the better. A lot of smart people think they can control it but I'm not so
sure they have such great control. Sure, they can pick any inflation rate they want but the dog
might get wagged to death if they try to massage this tail wrong.
<< <i>
<< <i>The Fed wants a certain background level of inflation for the foreseeable future to deal with debts and entitlements.
The issue is can they control it? >>
I think they want to raise this background inflation to the five or six percent level but the less
he public anticipates it the better. A lot of smart people think they can control it but I'm not so
sure they have such great control. Sure, they can pick any inflation rate they want but the dog
might get wagged to death if they try to massage this tail wrong. >>
I recall Jim Grant saying that the Fed has moved into the business of central planning, which was not its original mission.
A very dangerous situation.
I wonder how much inflation is in the cards to repay our debt?
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