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Jefferson Nickel 25,000 mintage; Kennedy Half 106,000 mintage

I know that the pricing of the coin market is not always very logical. However, I have stumbled onto a pricing issue that puzzles me. If I told you that there appears to be a Jefferson Nickel with a mintage of 25,000 that sells for about $200 in a TPG slabbed 69 holder and also a Kennedy half with a mintage of slightly over 100,000 that sells for a similar amount in a TPG slabbed 69 holder, would you believe me?

In 1994 as part of the 250th Anniversary Set and in 1997 as part of the Botanic Garden Set, the US Mint issued Jefferson nickels with a special matte finish. (PCGS #'s 4230 and 4140.) In 1998 the US Mint issued a Kennedy Half Dollar (PCGS #6775) with a special matte/satin finish.

The mintage seems hard to pin down for each of these three coins, and I have not found what I would consider any official confirmation of the mintage for each of these three coins, so do your own diligence. I welcome any information you might have that would provide official confirmation of what the exact mintages of each of these three coins were. That said, I have seen mintage figures mentioned from various sources. A coin value book in the library listed the mintage for the 1998-S Kennedy as 106,000. A seemly reliable internet site listed the mintage for the 1994-P Jefferson as 167,703 and for the 1997-P Jefferson 25,000.

I have not done extensive price research for these three issues, however, PCGS in their price guide lists the 1994-P Jefferson in SP-69 at $140 and Teletrade shows four sales of PS-69's with full steps in the last six months, all under $100.

The 1997-P Jefferson is listed in the PCGS price guide at $150 and $200 respectively. I recent Ebay sale for a NGC SP-69 went for $208.03.

The 1998-S Kennedy lists in PCGS's price guide at $330 for a SP-69 and $800 for a SP-70. A recent Ebay sale for a SP-69 in an NGC holder went for $199.95.

The pricing for these issues has me puzzled. Once possibility is that the mintage figures I have found are wrong and the mintage is larger than I believe. However, if the mintage figures are correct, or even close, I wonder about why coins with very low relative mintages, sell for so little. Also, I understand that these issues have not appreciated much in recent years?

Is there a disproportionately low demand for these three issues? One possible explanation I thought of is that the "matte" finish is not exactly Mint State, nor is it Proof. Perhaps, a large portion of the Jefferson and Kennedy collectors who collect either MS or PF, do not consider the matte SP finishes part of either the MS or PF sets? Or, is there another explanation. Help me see the light. If I have the facts wrong or have made an insurrect assumption, or if you think you know the answer please post.

Thanks, Planchet



Comments

  • ManorcourtmanManorcourtman Posts: 8,176 ✭✭✭✭✭
    These coins may have low mintages but they also have a near 100% survivability rate in ultra high grade condition. Couple that with low demand and you have your answer.
  • In the Jefferson series both 94 and 97 I have never "not" made a 69 FS on any coins, so no 68's but never made a 70 either.
  • OverdateOverdate Posts: 7,157 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The 1998-S silver matte Kennedy actually has a mintage of around 62,000. It was paired with a commemorative Robert Kennedy uncirculated silver dollar, and the two-coin set was on sale for a limited time (I think about 6 weeks). There were an additional ~44,000 Robert Kennedy uncirculated silver dollars sold as single coins, making the total for that coin about 106K.

    The 1997-P matte Jefferson is not too out of line, pricewise, with the early proof Jeffersons (1938-1942), which have mintages of 12K to 29K and often sell for under $125 each slabbed. This includes the 1942-P Type 2 silver issue, which has a mintage of less than 28K and is a one-year type coin in proof.

    My Adolph A. Weinman signature :)

  • ProofCollectionProofCollection Posts: 6,898 ✭✭✭✭✭
    NGC coins do not command NEAR the premium that PCGS coins do, especially for those moderns.
  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 35,749 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I would think the mint has the official figures somewhere.

    perhaps a written request to the mint, followed up with an e-mail, may get you a response with the figures.

    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • MsMorrisineMsMorrisine Posts: 35,749 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>A seemly reliable internet site listed the mintage for the 1994-P Jefferson as 167,703 and for the 1997-P Jefferson 25,000. >>




    BTW, the 2006 Red book lists the above figures, and lists no figure for the Silver Matte Finish Kennedy
    Current maintainer of Stone's Master List of Favorite Websites // My BST transactions
  • DRUNNERDRUNNER Posts: 3,897 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Manorcourtman said it all in just one line, with absolute accuracy.

    I have enjoyed Jeffs for years, done a Dansco, all the proofs, and then had it evaluated by several decent Jeff guys in order to build and rebuild the best set I could. Guess what? No one cares. Great history, several metals, large mintmarks, toning, easily collected, and no one cares a bit. If I tried to sell my set, I'd get (maybe) 20% back of Graysheet bid. Bottom line . . . no demand.

    Kennedys . . . I was fortunate and got to spend a week picking through a full roll set to cherry the best coin of each date and mint. Bought each right and then got the 1998 Kennedy SP as a gift. Still . . . no one could care less. They are fun to look at, but there is no demand.

    That is your answer. If there are only 5 coins in a mintage, but just 3 guys want them, they are going to sell for about $8.00.

    Drunner

  • 19Lyds19Lyds Posts: 26,492 ✭✭✭✭


    << <i>These coins may have low mintages but they also have a near 100% survivability rate in ultra high grade condition. Couple that with low demand and you have your answer. >>



    I believe this answer to be exactly correct!

    As for the NGC/PCGS reference, Moderns in NGC slabs bring significantly smaller premium's over their PCGS counterparts simply because NGC has the appearance of being a bit "loose" in the grading arena for Modern Issues.
    I decided to change calling the bathroom the John and renamed it the Jim. I feel so much better saying I went to the Jim this morning.



    The name is LEE!
  • BaronVonBaughBaronVonBaugh Posts: 1,837 ✭✭✭✭
    I have three of the 1998 SMS Kennedy half. One in original packaging and two in PCGS 70 holders.
  • illini420illini420 Posts: 11,466 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Many collectors don't view these coins as necessary for their "complete" sets... Now if companies like Whitman and Dansco put a hole for these coins in their albums, the prices would go way up on these as the demand would go way up. I think they are cool coins though.
  • Type2Type2 Posts: 13,985 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I like the Nickel and have some of bouth. but I wont my 2009-D's.


    Hoard the keys.
  • fivecentsfivecents Posts: 11,207 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The 1998 matte silver kennedy half (set) had no limted mintage. It did have a short deadline of time you could order these. If memory serves me it was a month or a month and a half time frame to order. Whatever number of coins that were ordered during this time period is what the mintage numbers ended up being.
    It really helped keep the mintage numbers down when at the same time around January or Febuary Warren Buffet bought almost 10% of the worlds silver. This caused silver to rise to $7 an ounce, which took alot of attention away from the matte half set (JFK/RFK set). Otherwise the mintage could have been much higher.

    One of the problems with this coin is Dansco won't put a hole for it the their Kennedy half albums.
  • sinin1sinin1 Posts: 7,500
    The nickels come in a couple sets that you can pick up cheaply on eBay (less than your slabbed prices mentioned)

    and come well protected in mint packaging
    the 1993 Jefferson coin and currency set has a 2 dollar bill and 1993 Jefferson as well as the 1994-P matte nickel
    and these can be picked up for $45 frequently


    start yourself a hoard of these and corner the raw market

    the 1997 botanical is not seen as often on eBay and go in the $160-$180 range


  • << <i> The 1997-P matte Jefferson is not too out of line, price wise, with the early proof Jeffersons (1938-1942), which have mintages of 12K to 29K and often sell for under $125 each slabbed. This includes the 1942-P Type 2 silver issue, which has a mintage of less than 28K and is a one-year type coin in proof. >>



    Overdate and others, Thanks for the education. I do not collect Jefferson Nickels, or Kennedy Halves, however after reading Overdate's post about the 1942-P Type 2 Proof Silver Nickel and the rest of your posts, I guess the only explanation for the low prices on the 1994-P Matte Jefferson, 1997-P Matte Jefferson and 1998-S Matte/Satin Kennedy is the lack of demand, and high rate of preservation. I guess what I noticed is what an economist might call the result of "an efficient marketplace". -Planchet
  • shorecollshorecoll Posts: 5,447 ✭✭✭✭✭
    sinin is correct, if you want to change it, buy them all then start posting about how scarce they are.image
    ANA-LM, NBS, EAC
  • notwilightnotwilight Posts: 12,864 ✭✭✭
    Supply and demand. When you look at mintage you have a long way to go to get to the bottom line in pricing--supply and demand. --Jerry

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