anyone see gold 2500 next yr
coinsscollect
Posts: 103
it would be a nice move
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Unfortunately, the news will be bad enough that even if you make money in gold, you probably won't have as great a time enjoying it as you would if everyone was doing ok.
I knew it would happen.
My guesstimate, barring another 9/11 or similar incident, is $1500-$1600 peak next year. $1300 seems to be a given for 2010.
I also believe we'll see gold (at least on paper) in the $600-$700 range within 2 years.
As far as $2500, again w/o a huge calamity that we hope doesn't happen, that will be a decade away.
"Interest rates, the price of money, are the most important market. And, perversely, they’re the market that’s most manipulated by the Fed." - Doug Casey
I also believe we'll see gold (at least on paper) in the $600-$700 range within 2 years.
What radical monetary improvements by world govts next year will improve confidence in fiat money to drive gold back and force investors to stockpile fiat?
As far as $2500, again w/o a huge calamity that we hope doesn't happen, that will be a decade away.
The first major blowout already occured in fall of 2008. Since then TRILLIONs in liquidity have been pumped into the system. Considering that our 5 biggest banks still hold $200+ TRILLION in notional amount of derivatives, if a mere <1% of those contracts go "bad" it would basically wipe out all bank liquid assets. That will be the 2nd huge calamity. As long as otc derivatives never get marked to market, and investors don't mind knowing those are permanently on balance sheets, then yes, calamity #2 can be put off for another 10 yrs. But $2500 gold is already coming just as the sole result of existing QE measures assuming things get no worse from today.
roadrunner
after it reaches 1300 we'll talk.
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I would much rather see it drop since that would mean that the government has gotten itself under control. Under the current gang in Washington, I can't see any scenario where gold would drop to the $600-$700 range.
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<< <i>I would hope not because that would mean things are really getting worse than they already are. Granted, the gold I've got tucked away would help ease the pain but I've got it strictly for insurance purposes against the government's spendthrift ways.
I would much rather see it drop since that would mean that the government has gotten itself under control. Under the current gang in Washington, I can't see any scenario where gold would drop to the $600-$700 range. >>
I don't think things have to get worse economically, it just takes the secular market to get it in it's head that gold is "the next thing."
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Tom Pilitowski
US Rare Coin Investments
800-624-1870
but $2500 will definitely be breached sometime in the near future.
"“Those who sacrifice liberty for security/safety deserve neither.“(Benjamin Franklin)
"I only golf on days that end in 'Y'" (DE59)