To answer your question no there is not a single place that is right on all the time. You really have to look at the coin and the series for each one. Some it is the Heritage past auctions, some it is eBay past auctions. And some are just a WAG depending on who might want or not want it. PCGS price guide, and gray sheet are just a starting point. At least that is what I think.
The uncertainty and variability of prices is one of the hair-pulling things about numismatics. Price guides are estimates, and even two coins with the same grade by the same company can differ--toning will hike up a price, for instance. The rarer coins are even more subject to variability and opinion differences, because individual auctions will impact overall price estimates that much more. But, even coins with a population in the tens of thousands, prices vary from one guide to the next.
I find the PCGS guide, which tends to run a little high, a good predictor of retail prices--that is, if you can find a coin for sale at a shop, this is about what you should expect to pay. The Numismedia guide has two prices--"retail" and "wholesale," both of which tend to run a bit lower. The Numismedia "retail" tends to match what you can find if you shop around and compare prices online, or if you're at a coin show, where prices run a little lower. Their "wholesale" matches about what you should be able to get in trade. The caveat being that you only get that much if you can find a buyer. Some coins will elicit spontaneous bids even if you insist it can only be had by prying it from your cold, dead hands. Others might get enough rejected offers that you'll think they're my novel manuscript.
Improperly Cleaned, Our passion for numismatics is Genuine! Now featuring correct spelling.
Comments
At auction - Average of last two years hammer price +/- 300% depending on quality
To a specialist - Sky's the limit!!!
To an average collector - 10% back of PCGS sheet
Does that about cover it?
Empty Nest Collection
Matt’s Mattes
<< <i>At the dealer - Greysheet +/- 20% depending on quality
At auction - Average of last two years hammer price +/- 300% depending on quality
To a specialist - Sky's the limit!!!
To an average collector - 10% back of PCGS sheet
Does that about cover it? >>
Bottom line to above comment:
A coin's value is worth what a willing seller and a willing buyer agree to FOR THAT PARTICULAR COIN.
Steve
My Complete PROOF Lincoln Cent with Major Varieties(1909-2015)Set Registry
You really have to look at the coin and the series for each one.
Some it is the Heritage past auctions, some it is eBay past auctions. And some are just a WAG depending on who might want or not want it.
PCGS price guide, and gray sheet are just a starting point.
At least that is what I think.
I find the PCGS guide, which tends to run a little high, a good predictor of retail prices--that is, if you can find a coin for sale at a shop, this is about what you should expect to pay. The Numismedia guide has two prices--"retail" and "wholesale," both of which tend to run a bit lower. The Numismedia "retail" tends to match what you can find if you shop around and compare prices online, or if you're at a coin show, where prices run a little lower. Their "wholesale" matches about what you should be able to get in trade. The caveat being that you only get that much if you can find a buyer. Some coins will elicit spontaneous bids even if you insist it can only be had by prying it from your cold, dead hands. Others might get enough rejected offers that you'll think they're my novel manuscript.