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Gold has "Very Little Intrinsic Value" says senior analyst

Part of an interview with Joe Magyer from The Motley Fool....


<<< Magyer also doesn't see gold as a hot prospect.

"I kind of think about gold the same way I think about stamps or art, or baseball cards. It has very little intrinsic value to it – it's basically just a really shiny, malleable metal – unlike say oil, which has a lot of industrial purpose," Magyer said.

"Sure, gold has some (value), but the reality is, most of the value in there is just driven by speculation and fear, unlike oil, natural gas, et cetera, that people actually buy and use for industrial application." >>>

Comments

  • secondrepublicsecondrepublic Posts: 2,619 ✭✭✭
    My first problem with Magyer is that he doesn't seem to understand what the word "intrinsic" means. If gold is just a shiny metal with no real purpose, as he claims, then actually all of its value is intrinsic.

    My other problem is his suggestion that art, stamps, etc. also have no real value. Is he really arguing that? Holding aside the artistic aspect, many, many artworks have sold in the tens of millions of dollars range. Clearly, they have a great deal of value to a lot of people.

    Believe it or not, things can actually have value regardless of whether they can be melted down and used in industrial applications.
    "Men who had never shown any ability to make or increase fortunes for themselves abounded in brilliant plans for creating and increasing wealth for the country at large." Fiat Money Inflation in France, Andrew Dickson White (1912)
  • bluelobsterbluelobster Posts: 1,220 ✭✭✭
    Of course most on here will claim heresyimage , but I have to agree, thats why I would much rather own strategic natural resource related investments, as a hedge against any future inflation, rather than gold.

    By most historical objective measures, Gold is overvalued vs most commodities now, including strategic metals like platinum and silver.
  • mhammermanmhammerman Posts: 3,769 ✭✭✭
    Interesting...is the amount of reserves a nation has in baseball cards or stamps ever calculated or traded between nations to settle commerce? Motley fool, indeed.
  • RedTigerRedTiger Posts: 5,608
    Sounds like another shortsighted American who hasn't read much world history. Sigh.
  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭
    well one does have to admit the reason gold has value is all in our
    heads like many other items. Rare art is a good example.

    it is not a necessity like food, clean water, energy to heat your home
    during winter, etc... which is in demand and has value for totally different reasons then gold.

    Also things that had value once upon a time have fallen out of favor
    and become worthless more or less. It just appears gold has the
    most longevity in this case.

    It is all rather hard to discuss rationally due to the human emotions
    involved with it.
  • dac076dac076 Posts: 817


    << <i>My first problem with Magyer is that he doesn't seem to understand what the word "intrinsic" means. If gold is just a shiny metal with no real purpose, as he claims, then actually all of its value is intrinsic.

    My other problem is his suggestion that art, stamps, etc. also have no real value. Is he really arguing that? Holding aside the artistic aspect, many, many artworks have sold in the tens of millions of dollars range. Clearly, they have a great deal of value to a lot of people.

    Believe it or not, things can actually have value regardless of whether they can be melted down and used in industrial applications. >>




    I think he used the word correctly based on his view. Stamps or baseball cards are just worthless paper which itself has no intrinsic value. The value is ascribed by buyers due to rarity, condition etc. So it's the desirability of gold that gives it value, rather than the utility.
  • fishcookerfishcooker Posts: 3,446 ✭✭
    "Industrial application" is the bar by which things are determined to have real value? Magic 8 ball says "No."
  • secondrepublicsecondrepublic Posts: 2,619 ✭✭✭


    << <i> I think he used the word correctly based on his view. >>



    Let me get this straight. Magyer says oil has "intrinsic" value because it's used for industrial applications. That doesn't make any sense. Imagine we had a new green energy source could replace all need for oil starting in 2010. Oil's price would collapse to zero. That suggests oil doesn't have any "intrinsic" value. No one values it for its own sake. Oil's value is entirely extrinsic -- it's value is driven by how much it is used and needed an an input in other industrial processes.

    Gold is completely different. With limited exceptions, it is not used as an input in any industrial processes. It's value is mostly derived simply from that fact that it exists and that humans find it appealing and want to own it and look at it and wear it, in many shapes and forms. Similar to art or rare stamps. That, to me, is the definition of "intrinsic value." It's value is "innate." It has a value that independent of what it is used for and independent of any industrial process.
    "Men who had never shown any ability to make or increase fortunes for themselves abounded in brilliant plans for creating and increasing wealth for the country at large." Fiat Money Inflation in France, Andrew Dickson White (1912)
  • CaptHenwayCaptHenway Posts: 32,231 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>My first problem with Magyer is that he doesn't seem to understand what the word "intrinsic" means. If gold is just a shiny metal with no real purpose, as he claims, then actually all of its value is intrinsic.

    My other problem is his suggestion that art, stamps, etc. also have no real value. Is he really arguing that? Holding aside the artistic aspect, many, many artworks have sold in the tens of millions of dollars range. Clearly, they have a great deal of value to a lot of people.

    Believe it or not, things can actually have value regardless of whether they can be melted down and used in industrial applications. >>




    What you said........
    Numismatist. 50 year member ANA. Winner of four ANA Heath Literary Awards; three Wayte and Olga Raymond Literary Awards; Numismatist of the Year Award 2009, and Lifetime Achievement Award 2020. Winner numerous NLG Literary Awards.
  • yeah, it is a luxury item. you don't need to eat high-end sushi when you can live on hotdogs either.

    he is thinking with his recession cap on.
  • Good ole Econ 101, and the Diamond/Water paradox ..
    Eric
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I think it's a little more than coincidental that ever since the world got the idea of playing heavily with paper currencies in the last several hundred years, that a desire to own "things" or stash away art, collectibles, rare coins, stocks, commodities, etc. has flourished. Since the world essentially went to full fledged fiat in the 20th century, the trend has experienced exponential growth, hence the increased demand over the past several decades for tangible assets.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 22,899 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I was wondrin' how well it would work to use quart jars full of crude oil as a medium of exchange.image
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • OnlyGoldIsMoneyOnlyGoldIsMoney Posts: 3,366 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Commodities as a source of value come and go - whether it be Myrrh and Frankincense when the emperors ruled from Rome or exotic spices from the East Indies in the age of sail. I will stick with gold - little else has been on a 2,600 year winning streak.

    edited for spelling


  • << <i>Good ole Econ 101, and the Diamond/Water paradox .. >>



    HUH??? :-)
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,303 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Commodities as a source of value come and go - whether it be Myrrh and Frankincense when the emperors ruled from Rome or exotic spices from the East Indies in the age of sail. I will stick with gold - little else has been on a 2,600 year winning streak.

    They also come and go every 15-25 years in commodity boom cycles as equities falter. This has been the case ever since unbacked paper money first came to be. It has only gotten worse since gold was officially tossed out so bankers could run their schemes unchecked. One could say gold is one of the few things with lasting intrinsic value. Don't count on the lead or seawater to gold conversion machine any time in the near future.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • OverdateOverdate Posts: 7,017 ✭✭✭✭✭
    >>I was wondrin' how well it would work to use quart jars full of crude oil as a medium of exchange.<<

    It would never work, crude can't be burnished and there's no place to put a "W" mintmark! image

    My Adolph A. Weinman signature :)

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