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Projected NL Standings

markj111markj111 Posts: 2,921 ✭✭✭
in Sports Talk
From Baseball Prospectus:

East W-L RS RA AVG/ OBP/ SLG
Mets 92-70 825 721 .266/.341/.421
Phillies 87-75 828 769 .265/.339/.436
Braves 86-76 799 742 .272/.342/.420
Nationals 77-85 780 819 .259/.340/.416
Marlins 71-91 727 824 .254/.325/.417

Central W-L RS RA AVG/ OBP/ SLG
Cubs 95-67 861 726 .271/.347/.432
Brewers 84-78 785 754 .258/.331/.426
Cardinals 83-79 787 767 .258/.333/.428
Reds 79-83 762 775 .257/.325/.421
Astros 69-93 704 811 .261/.321/.403
Pirates 64-98 709 875 .257/.324/.405

West W-L RS RA AVG/ OBP/ SLG
Dodgers 92-70 819 714 .272/.342/.415
D'backs 88-74 815 741 .262/.335/.434
Giants 76-86 683 717 .263/.319/.397
Padres 72-90 679 753 .252/.323/.394
Rockies 71-91 842 951 .269/.345/.439

Comments

  • stevekstevek Posts: 29,039 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Yea, we know how "accurate" the prognosticators are. LOL
  • markj111markj111 Posts: 2,921 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Yea, we know how "accurate" the prognosticators are. LOL >>




    That's why they play the games.
  • stownstown Posts: 11,321 ✭✭✭
    Astros 69-93 704 811 .261/.321/.403

    I'll gladly put some diet cokes on the over.
    So basically my kid won't be able to go to college, but at least I'll have a set where the three most expensive cards are of a player I despise ~ CDsNuts
  • HoopsterHoopster Posts: 1,169
    One of the biggest obstacles with predicting a teams w/l record is the performance in situational hitting(men on base). That performance for a team can fluctuate widely just based on good/bad luck.

    Same for relievers stranding runners.

    Then there are the obvious obstacles such as injuries, or career years(or unexplained prolonged slumps).

    Just stating the obvious.
  • MorgothMorgoth Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭
    Whatever, Pirates will lose at least 100 games this thing is worthless.
    Currently completing the following registry sets: Cardinal HOF's, 1961 Pittsburgh Pirates Team, 1972 Pittsburgh Pirates Team, 1980 Pittsburgh Pirates Team, Bill Mazeroski Master & Basic Sets, Roberto Clemente Master & Basic Sets, Willie Stargell Master & Basic Sets and Terry Bradshaw Basic Set
  • otwcardsotwcards Posts: 5,291 ✭✭✭


    << <i>From Baseball Prospectus:

    East W-L
    Marlins 71-91


    West W-L
    Giants 76-86 >>



    Looking at this I would suspect the two teams above to look more like this:

    East W-L
    Marlins 83-79 (Young pitching keeps them near the top until late August)

    West W-L
    Giants 82-80 (Pitching and surprise seasons from Ishikawa and Sandoval keep them in the race until mid-September)
  • joestalinjoestalin Posts: 12,473 ✭✭
    Phillies have a better team than last year and they are projected to lose the NL East?

    LMFAO

    Sincerely,
    Cowboys super bowl champs in 2007 and 2008
  • grote15grote15 Posts: 29,696 ✭✭✭✭✭
    From Baseball Prospectus:

    East W-L RS RA AVG/ OBP/ SLG
    Mets 92-70 825 721 .266/.341/.421
    Phillies 87-75 828 769 .265/.339/.436
    Braves 86-76 799 742 .272/.342/.420
    Nationals 77-85 780 819 .259/.340/.416
    Marlins 71-91 727 824 .254/.325/.417

    Obviously Baseball Prospectus, a very highly respected and well-informed organization, has hit the nail on the head for this season. I don't think there's any question about that..


    Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
  • JackWESQJackWESQ Posts: 2,133 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Giants 82-80 (Pitching and surprise seasons from Ishikawa and Sandoval keep them in the race until mid-September) >>


    I agree. I doubt "my" Giants will win the NL West. But I think going .500 is very realistic.

    /s/ JackWESQ

    image
  • IchiroDeportedIchiroDeported Posts: 1,610 ✭
    phillies improved offensively, but Camel Toe is going to have a tough year.

    Marlins will do better than expected.

    Pirates will lose 200 games.
  • JackWESQJackWESQ Posts: 2,133 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Pirates will lose 200 games. >>


    You mean by the All-Star break correct? I just want to make sure. Thanks.

    /s/ JackWESQ
    image
  • stevekstevek Posts: 29,039 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i> From Baseball Prospectus:

    East W-L RS RA AVG/ OBP/ SLG
    Mets 92-70 825 721 .266/.341/.421
    Phillies 87-75 828 769 .265/.339/.436
    Braves 86-76 799 742 .272/.342/.420
    Nationals 77-85 780 819 .259/.340/.416
    Marlins 71-91 727 824 .254/.325/.417

    Obviously Baseball Prospectus, a very highly respected and well-informed organization, has hit the nail on the head for this season. I don't think there's any question about that.. >>



    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    You're right - Everyone from there got the NL East right last season - What a fine group of prognosticators.....

    .....oops.....


    April 5, 2008
    Preseason Predictions
    2008 Staff Picks, National League

    by Baseball Prospectus

    Today we reveal the Baseball Prospectus staff predictions for the division standings and the major player awards (MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year) in the National League, along with the staff picks in some fun miscellaneous categories.

    Each staff member's division standings predictions may be found later in the article. Here, we present a wisdom-of-the-crowds summary of the results. In each table you'll find the average rank of each team in their division, plus the results of our pre-season MVP, Cy Young, and Rookie of the Year voting.

    First-place votes are in parentheses.

    Standings:

    NL East

    Team Average
    New York Mets 1.2 (14)
    Atlanta Braves 2.2 (2)
    Philadelphia Phillies 2.6 (1)
    Washington Nationals 4.1
    Florida Marlins 4.9

    NL Central

    Team Average
    Chicago Cubs 1.5 (9)
    Milwaukee Brewers 1.5 (8)
    Cincinnati Reds 2.9
    St. Louis Cardinals 4.8
    Houston Astros 4.9
    Pittsburgh Pirates 5.2

    NL West

    Team Average
    Los Angeles Dodgers 1.6 (11)
    Arizona Diamondbacks 2.1 (5)
    Colorado Rockies 2.9 (1)
    San Diego Padres 3.6
    San Francisco Giants 4.9

    Individual Awards:

    For the MVP voting, we've slightly amended the traditional points system in place that's been used elsewhere, dropping fourth- and fifth-place votes to make it 10-7-5 for the MVP Award, and the regular 5-3-1 for the Cy Young and Rookie of the Year Awards (that's 5 points for a first-place vote, 3 for a second-place vote, etc).

    Next to each selection we've listed the total number of ballots followed by the total number of points, followed by the number of first-place votes in parentheses, if any were received.

    NL MVP

    1. David Wright, 3B, Mets. 13, 122 (11)
    2. Mark Teixeira, 1B, Braves. 5, 34 (1)
    3. Matt Holliday, LF, Rockies. 4, 31 (1)
    4. Prince Fielder, 1B, Brewers. 4, 29 (1)
    5. Albert Pujols, 1B, Cardinals. 4, 27 (1)
    6. Ryan Braun, LF, Brewers. 3, 24 (1)
    7. Chase Utley, 2B, Phillies. 3, 17
    8. Jose Reyes, SS, Mets. 2, 15 (1)
    9. Hanley Ramirez, SS, Marlins. 2, 12
    10. Johan Santana, LHP, Mets. 2, 10
    11. Aramis Ramirez, 3B, Cubs. 2, 10
    12. Ryan Howard, 1B, Phillies. 1, 7
    13. Russell Martin, C, Dodgers. 1, 7
    14. Brandon Webb, RHP, Diamondbacks. 1, 5
    15. Chris Young, CF, Diamondbacks. 1, 5
    16. Chipper Jones, 3B, Braves. 1, 7
    17. Takashi Saito, RP, Dodgers. 1, 5

    NL Cy Young

    1. Johan Santana, Mets. 17, 81 (15)
    2. Jake Peavy, Padres. 9, 24
    3. Brandon Webb, Diamondbacks. 9, 21 (1) 11
    4. John Smoltz, Braves. 1, 5 (1)
    5. Carlos Zambrano, Cubs. 3, 5
    6. Pedro Martinez, Mets. 1, 3
    7. Brad Penny, Dodgers. 1, 3
    8. Dan Haren, Diamondbacks. 2, 2
    9. Ben Sheets, Brewers. 2, 2
    10. Chad Billingsley, Dodgers. 1, 1
    11. Roy Oswalt, Astros. 1, 1
    12. Takashi Saito, Dodgers. 1, 1
    13. Cole Hamels, Phillies. 1, 1
    14. Aaron Harang, Reds. 1, 1

    NL RotY

    1. Kosuke Fdome, RF, Cubs. 13, 47 (5)
    2. Geovany Soto, C, Cubs. 8, 28 (4)
    3. Joey Votto, 1B, Reds. 5, 17 (2)
    4. Hiroki Kuroda, RHP, Dodgers. 4, 14 (2)
    5. Johnny Cueto, RHP, Reds. 4, 10 (1)
    6. Jay Bruce, CF, Reds. 5, 9 (1)
    7. Franklin Morales, LHP, Rockies. 2, 8 (1)
    8. Homer Bailey, RHP, Reds. 1, 5 (1)
    9. Chase Headley, 3B, Padres. 3, 3
    10. Manny Parra, RHP, Brewers. 1, 3
    11. Jair Jurrjens, RHP, Braves. 1, 3
    12. Colby Rasmus, CF, Cardinals. 1, 3
    13. J.R. Towles, C, Astros. 1, 1
    14. Andy LaRoche, 3B, Dodgers. 1, 1
    15. Cameron Maybin, CF, Marlins. 1, 1

    Individual Ballots:

    * Kevin Goldstein
    * Joe Sheehan
    * Dan Fox
    * Christina Kahrl
    * Marc Normandin
    * Jay Jaffe
    * John Perrotto
    * Nate Silver
    * Jim Baker
    * Ben Murphy
    * Brad Wochomurka
    * Derek Jacques
    * David Laurila
    * Bryan Smith
    * William Burke
    * Jason Paré
    * Caleb Peiffer

    Kevin Goldstein

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Brewers Dodgers
    Phillies* Cubs Rockies
    Braves Reds Padres
    Nationals Cardinals Diamondbacks
    Marlins Pirates Giants
    Astros

    NL MVP
    1. Albert Pujols
    2. Mark Teixeira
    3. Jose Reyes

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Brandon Webb
    3. Chad Billingsley

    NL RotY
    1. Kosuke Fdome
    2. Geovany Soto
    3. Joey Votto

    The First Manager to Get Fired: John Gibbons

    The Game to Watch: September 27--Behind three RBI from Evan Longoria, another strong outing from Scott Kazmir, and successful innings of relief from September call-ups David Price and Wade Davis, the Rays blow out the Tigers 9-1 for their 81st win of the year, clinching the first non-losing season in franchise history.

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Zach Duke

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Tony Pena Jr.

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Ryan Howard

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Howie Kendrick

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Huston Street

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Tim Beckham

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Nobody

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Zero

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: the Cardinals, in July

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Giants

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Mets

    Joe Sheehan

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Cubs Diamondbacks
    Braves* Brewers Dodgers
    Phillies Reds Rockies
    Nationals Astros Padres
    Marlins Cardinals Giants
    Pirates

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Johan Santana
    3. Brandon Webb

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Brandon Webb
    3. Roy Oswalt

    NL RotY
    1. Kosuke Fdome
    2. Joey Votto
    3. Chase Headley

    The First Manager to Get Fired: John McLaren

    The Game to Watch: September 21st, Tigers at Indians. It'll be the last head-to-head in great division matchup.

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Matt Cain

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Nate Schierholtz

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Ryan Howard

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Ichiro Suzuki

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Pat Burrell

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Yankees, July 17

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Zero

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Cardinals, May 20

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Angels, 85-89 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Rangers, 69-92 wins

    Dan Fox

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Cubs Dodgers
    Phillies* Brewers Diamondbacks
    Braves Reds Rockies
    Nationals Cardinals Padres
    Marlins Pirates Giants
    Astros

    NL MVP
    1. Jose Reyes
    2. Matt Holliday
    3. Albert Pujols

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Carlos Zambrano
    3. Dan Haren

    NL RotY
    1. Geovany Soto
    2. Hiroki Kuroda
    3. Andy LaRoche

    The First Manager to Get Fired: Cecil Cooper

    The Game to Watch: All-Star Game at Yankee Stadium

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Daniel Cabrera

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Jason Kendall

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Ryan Howard

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Tony Pena Jr.

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Jason Bay

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Tim Beckham

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Nobody

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): No additional suspensions as a result of the Mitchell Report, but the threat of those suspensions will be used as leverage to enhance the existing testing program.

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Cardinals, June 27th

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Cubs, 86-90 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Rays, 74-89 wins

    Christina Kahrl

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Braves Brewers Dodgers
    Mets Cubs* Diamondbacks
    Phillies Reds Rockies
    Nationals Cardinals Padres
    Marlins Astros Giants
    Pirates

    NL MVP
    1. Ryan Braun
    2. Chipper Jones
    3. Takashi Saito

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Jake Peavy
    3. Brandon Webb

    NL RotY
    1. Hiroki Kuroda
    2. Joey Votto
    3. Jay Bruce

    The First Manager to Get Fired: Cecil Cooper

    The Game to Watch: September 16th, Brewers at Cubs.

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Matt Cain

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Jason Kendall

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Ryan Howard

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Howie Kendrick

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Joe Nathan

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Tim Beckham

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Mets, May 31st

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Pirates, July

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Padres, 80-84 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Astros, 67-85 wins

    Marc Normandin

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Cubs Dodgers
    Phillies* Brewers Diamondbacks
    Braves Reds Rockies
    Nationals Pirates Padres
    Marlins Cardinals Giants
    Astros

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Prince Fielder
    3. Chase Utley

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Jake Peavy
    3. Brandon Webb

    NL RotY 1. Kosuke Fdome
    2. Geovany Soto
    3. Jay Bruce

    The First Manager to Get Fired: John Gibbons

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Matt Cain

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Nick Punto

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Jack Cust

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Ivan Rodriguez

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Adam Dunn

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Tim Beckham

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Mets, June

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Two

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Blue Jays, July

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Giants, 60-63 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Phillies, 83-91 wins

    Jay Jaffe

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Brewers Dodgers
    Braves Cubs* Rockies
    Phillies Reds Diamondbacks
    Nationals Cardinals Padres
    Marlins Astros Giants
    Pirates

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Ryan Braun
    3. Mark Teixeira

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Jake Peavy
    3. Chad Billingsley

    NL RotY
    1. Jay Bruce
    2. Kosuke Fdome
    3. Johnny Cueto

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Matt Cain

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Jose Lopez

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Adam Dunn

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Corey Patterson

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Rich Harden

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Orioles, July 1st

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Paul Lo Duca

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Blue Jays, July 31st

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Red Sox, 85-95 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Reds, 70-90 wins

    John Perrotto

    Standings


    AL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Cubs Rockies
    Braves* Brewers Dodgers
    Phillies Reds Padres
    Marlins Astros Giants
    Nationals Pirates Diamondbacks
    Cardinals

    NL MVP
    1. Matt Holliday
    2. David Wright
    3. Aramis Ramirez

    NL Cy Young
    1. John Smoltz
    2. Johan Santana
    3. Carlos Zambrano

    NL RotY
    1. Franklin Morales
    2. Kosuke Fdome
    3. Johnny Cueto

    The First Manager to Get Fired: John Gibbons

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Daniel Cabrera

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Cesar Izturis

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Adam Dunn

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Luis Hernandez

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Paul Konerko

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Tim Beckham

    Barry Bonds Signs With: San Diego, June 1st

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Zero

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Pirates, All-Star break

    Nate Silver

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Cubs Dodgers
    Braves* Brewers Diamondbacks
    Phillies Reds Rockies
    Nationals Astros Padres
    Marlins Pirates Giants
    Cardinals

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Russell Martin
    3. Ryan Zimmerman

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Pedro Martinez
    3. Takashi Saito

    NL RotY
    1. Geovany Soto
    2. Kosuke Fdome
    3. Jay Bruce

    The First Manager to Get Fired: John McLaren

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Matt Cain

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Cristian Guzman

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Ryan Howard

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Howie Kendrick

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Joe Nathan

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Pedro Alvarez

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Texas, Memorial Day

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Minnesota, when it realizes that Joe Nathan isn't a good investment of resources on a 90-loss club.

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Rangers (~65 win downside, 80-win upside)

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: A's (~92-win upside, 65-win downside)

    Jim Baker

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Cubs Diamondbacks
    Phillies Brewers* Dodgers
    Braves Reds Padres
    Nationals Astros Rockies
    Marlins Pirates Giants
    Cardinals

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Prince Fielder
    3. Chase Utley

    NL Cy Young
    1. Brandon Webb
    2. Johan Santana
    3. Jake Peavy

    NL RotY
    1. Joey Votto
    2. Kosuke Fdome
    3. Hiroki Kuroda

    The First Manager to Get Fired: Ron Washington

    The Game(s) to Watch: Wednesday, July 23rd--At 1:05 PM, the Twins will be at Yankee Stadium, and at 7:10 PM, the Phillies are at Shea Stadium. This is an excellent chance to see complete ballgames at both doomed New York ballparks on the same day.

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Tim Lincecum

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Tony Pena Jr.

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Ryan Howard

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Ivan Rodriguez

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Jim Thome

    Barry Bonds Signs With: White Sox, May 15th

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Zero

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Blue Jays, July 15th

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Yankees, 93-97 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Dodgers, 75-90 wins

    Ben Murphy

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Cubs Dodgers
    Phillies Brewers* Diamondbacks
    Braves Reds Rockies
    Nationals Cardinals Padres
    Marlins Astros Giants
    Pirates

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Chase Utley
    3. Hanley Ramirez

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Jake Peavy
    3. Brandon Webb

    NL RotY
    1. Geovany Soto
    2. Kosuke Fdome
    3. Jay Bruce

    The First Manager to Get Fired: John McLaren

    The Game to Watch: Monday, April 14th, Yankees at Rays-–Scott Kazmir makes his season debut against Joba Chamberlain after an early injury to the Yankees staff forces the youngster into the rotation. Both throw six shutout innings, Upton homers in the bottom of the seventh to force Joba from the game, and Kazmir finishes the win in a promising return from the elbow scare.

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Matt Morris, NL; Steve Trachsel, AL

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Cesar Izturis

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Ryan Howard

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Adam Everett

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Joe Blanton

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Pedro Alvarez

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Indians, June 2. The problem here is that it makes the most sense for teams like the Indians or Mariners to sign him, but they don’t seem willing to assume the risk and the off-field concerns. However, both could make huge upgrades at LF and DH, respectively, and at some point, the impact on the field has to trump all the other issues.

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Zero

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Padres, July 10th (NL); Blue Jays, June 10th (AL)

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Both the Blue Jays and Padres fit this question well, and both being smart enough to recognize that they’re in divisions with established powers (Blue Jays) or already-built young teams (Padres), both seem likely to be right around 78 to 82 wins, and will hopefully recognize it and choose to rebuild early enough to make trading season exciting.

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Mariners (AL)--They could win 88 again if they manage to get decent performances out of the bottom of the rotation (Silva, Washburn, Batista) and the offense is decent, which isn’t a stretch if they sign a real DH and get some power out of Sexson and Ibanez; of course, it’s probably more likely that only Bedard, Felix, and Putz are assets on the mound and only Beltre and Ichiro are useful at the plate, and in that case they'll struggle to win 76 games.

    Reds (NL)--With several blossoming youngsters in Votto, Bruce, Bailey, Cueto, and Volquez, the Reds could get moderately good performances from Keppinger and Valentin, or a breakout from Edwin Encarnacion or return to 2006 form for Corey Patterson, and let their stars like Dunn and Harang lead the way to a win total in the upper 80s; if the youngsters stay in the minors or aren’t ready for the big time yet, it would take special contributions from guys like Griffey and Arroyo to keep them above 77 wins.

    Brad Wochomurka

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Cubs Diamondbacks
    Braves Brewers Dodgers*
    Phillies Reds Rockies
    Nationals Astros Padres
    Marlins Cardinals Giants
    Pirates

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Matt Holliday
    3. Mark Teixeira

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Jake Peavy
    3. Carlos Zambrano

    NL RotY
    1. Geovany Soto
    2. Johnny Cueto
    3. Kosuke Fdome

    The First Manager to Get Fired: Charlie Manuel

    The Game to Watch: Yankees at Red Sox, September 26-–first game of the final series of the season–-who knows what could be on the line?

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Daniel Cabrera

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Juan Uribe

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Jack Cust

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Pedro Feliz

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Roy Oswalt

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Pedro Alvarez

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Reds, whenever Ken Griffey Jr. hits the DL

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Zero

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Astros, July

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Rangers, 10-win spread

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Phillies, 25-win spread

    Derek Jacques

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Phillies Brewers Diamondbacks
    Mets Cubs Dodgers*
    Braves Reds Rockies
    Marlins Pirates Padres
    Nationals Cardinals Giants
    Astros

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Ryan Howard
    3. Prince Fielder

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Jake Peavy
    3. Cole Hamels

    NL RotY
    1. Kosuke Fdome
    2. Colby Rasmus
    3. Cameron Maybin

    The First Manager to Get Fired: John Gibbons

    The Game to Watch: The first Mets/Yankees game that Johan Santana starts.

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Gil Meche

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Cesar Izturis

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Ryan Howard

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Jeff Francoeur

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Adam Dunn

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Angels, August 7th

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Six

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Giants, All-Star Break

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Orioles, 68-72 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Reds, 75-90 wins

    David Laurila

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Braves Brewers Dodgers
    Mets* Cubs Diamondbacks
    Phillies Reds Padres
    Nationals Pirates Rockies
    Marlins Cardinals Giants
    Astros

    NL MVP
    1. Prince Fielder
    2. Mark Teixeira
    3. David Wright

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Brandon Webb
    3. Aaron Harang

    NL RotY
    1. Kosuke Fdome
    2. Jair Jurrjens
    3. Geovany Soto

    The First Manager to Get Fired: Dave Trembley. Expectations aren’t high, but that doesn’t mean you don’t have to win games.

    The Game to Watch: Detroit at Cleveland, September 19th. The Indians and Tigers begin a three-game series neck-and-neck for the division lead, with the Angels (and maybe another team or two) also in the wild card race.

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Barry Zito. If you start a lot of games for a team with a poor offense, well...

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): I hate trying to predict things like this, but with a gun at my head I'd say Brad Ausmus, but only because he regularly gets votes here; I respect Ausmus as a player.

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Adam Dunn. He’ll also have a good OPS, but that’s not the question.

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Nomar Garciaparra

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Rich Harden

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Pedro Alvarez

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Sing Sing Giants. When? Does it really matter?

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Three

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Athletics, July

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Indians, five-game spread

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Mets, 15-game spread

    Bryan Smith

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Cubs Dodgers
    Braves* Brewers Rockies
    Phillies Reds Diamondbacks
    Nationals Cardinals Padres
    Marlins Astros Giants
    Pirates

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Matt Holliday
    3. Aramis Ramirez

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Brad Penny
    3. Dan Haren

    NL RotY
    1. Homer Bailey
    2. Franklin Morales
    3. Chase Headley

    The First Manager to Get Fired: John Gibbons

    The Game to Watch: University of Miami vs. University of Missouri; College World Series, June 27th

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Barry Zito

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Tony Pena Jr.

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Jack Cust

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Tony Pena Jr.

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Paul Konerko

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Aaron Crow

    Barry Bonds Signs With: San Diego, July 4th

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Orioles, June 15th

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Phillies, 86-89 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Rays, 72-85 wins

    William Burke

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Brewers Dodgers
    Braves* Reds Diamondbacks
    Phillies Cubs Padres
    Nationals Astros Rockies
    Marlins Cardinals Giants
    Pirates

    NL MVP
    1. Mark Teixeira
    2. Hanley Ramirez
    3. Albert Pujols

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Brandon Webb
    3. Ben Sheets

    NL RotY
    1. Joey Votto
    2. Manny Parra
    3. Chase Headley

    The First Manager to Get Fired: Ron Washington

    The Game to Watch: All of them (if you can).

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Noah Lowry

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Adam Everett

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Carlos Pena

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Bengie Molina

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Hank Blalock

    Barry Bonds Signs With: San Diego, June 4

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): One

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Giants, April 15th

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Padres, 78-82 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Rays, 69-85 wins

    Jason Paré

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Brewers Dodgers
    Braves Cubs* Diamondbacks
    Phillies Reds Rockies
    Nationals Astros Padres
    Marlins Cardinals Giants
    Pirates

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Albert Pujols
    3. Johan Santana

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Jake Peavy
    3. Brandon Webb

    NL RotY
    1. Johnny Cueto
    2. Kosuke Fdome
    3. J.R. Towles

    The First Manager to Get Fired: John Gibbons

    The Game to Watch: September 19th, Mets at Braves.

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Barry Zito

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Tony Pena Jr.

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Ryan Howard

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Ivan Rodriguez

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Joe Blanton

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Brian Matusz

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Padres, May

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Seven

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Reds, July

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Rangers, 70-78 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Phillies, 74-92 wins

    Caleb Peiffer

    Standings


    NL East NL Central NL West
    Mets Brewers Diamondbacks
    Braves Cubs* Dodgers
    Phillies Reds Padres
    Nationals Pirates Rockies
    Marlins Cardinals Giants
    Astros

    NL MVP
    1. David Wright
    2. Ryan Braun
    3. Chris B. Young

    NL Cy Young
    1. Johan Santana
    2. Jake Peavy
    3. Ben Sheets

    NL RotY
    1. Hiroki Kuroda
    2. Kosuke Fdome
    3. Geovany Soto

    The First Manager to Get Fired: John McLaren

    The Game to Watch: Cubs at Brewers, September 28

    Brian Kingman Award (pitcher most likely to lose 20): Wandy Rodriguez

    Cristian Guzman Award (for the position player most likely to put up the lowest VORP in regular playing time): Joe Crede

    Jose Hernandez Award (most strikeouts, batter): Jack Cust

    The 2008 DiSar Award Winner (most AB before first walk): Pablo Ozuna

    Best Player traded at the July deadline: Jason Bay

    First Player picked in the June amateur draft: Aaron Crow

    Barry Bonds Signs With: Oakland, June 4th

    Players named in the Mitchell Report who will be suspended (of 89): Zero

    The team that first decides to blast down to the foundations will be the: Astros, July

    The team with the smallest spread between its upside and downside potential: Orioles, 60-66 wins

    The team with the widest spread between its upside and downside potential: Rays, 75-90 wins
  • stevekstevek Posts: 29,039 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Baseball Prospectus 2008 predictions link:

    http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=7320
  • grote15grote15 Posts: 29,696 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Steve, this may come as a shock to you, but we are in 2009...but thanks for taking up about 45 feet with that last post...


    Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
  • HoopsterHoopster Posts: 1,169
    Grote, LOL....and people thought my posts were long!

    The Mets signed the dirt bag image and I was pulling for the Mets to knock off the Phillies so their obnoxious brain dead fans can stop talking nonsense. After all, you have fools promoting Ryan Howard as the best ever, and then dismissing Mike Schmidt because they 'feel' he never got hits when it counted. Yeah, i am going to trust their feeling, WRONG!


    I guess I can hope that Sheffield just hits a lot of doubles, never makes it to 500, and then gets hurt again and is gone for good.

    Met fans, here's hoping for Reyes hit .315 with 18 HR and 70 stolen bases...

  • grote15grote15 Posts: 29,696 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Met fans, here's hoping for Reyes hit .315 with 18 HR and 70 stolen bases...

    I'll drink to that! image

    I can't Sheffield either, but for the major league minimum I guess it was a deal that they felt they needed to make. I think personally that Manuel is not sold on Church being an everyday OF and this way he was a righty power hitter to back him up..

    I'm more concerned about the human hit machine aka Livan Hernandez pitching every fifth day...but then again I hear he knows how to win so maybe we'll be ok there, too...image


    Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
  • grote15grote15 Posts: 29,696 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Grote, LOL....and people thought my posts were long!

    LOL, that post just shows that SteveK knows how to utilize the copy and paste buttons, which is rather impressive for a Sillies fan, I must admit..


    Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
  • stevekstevek Posts: 29,039 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>Steve, this may come as a shock to you, but we are in 2009...but thanks for taking up about 45 feet with that last post... >>



    I never learned how to copy and paste - I hand typed all that in, 8 hours worth of work, and that's the sarcastic thanks I get? image

    I'm already looking forward to around the All Star break when the Mercenaries are gasping for air to stay alive in the division race. Ha!
  • joestalinjoestalin Posts: 12,473 ✭✭
    The real question Hoopster, is when will they erase Teddy Roosevelt's face on Rushmore and put Ryan Howard's?

    I guess the bone heads in my fantasy league think the Phillies are going to dominate too, I can't get a Philly from anyone! Even tried to trade #3 Reyes
    for #9 Howard and got rejeceted! I can't even trade Mets players to a Mets fan! At least he knows it will be Philly domination AGAIN
    this year!

    ..and what would be an off season for Hamels? 22-4??

    JS
  • grote15grote15 Posts: 29,696 ✭✭✭✭✭
    .and what would be an off season for Hamels? 22-4??

    Let's see him pitch 7 innings pain free first...bet there are a lot of fingers crossed in that Sillies dugout the first time he takes the mound...and btw when will that be, April 10, 20? I'm a little nervous if my ace is being pushed back in the rotation before the season even starts..without Cole, Sillies finish .500 at best, LOL!!


    Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
  • joestalinjoestalin Posts: 12,473 ✭✭
    Doesn't matter if the pen has holes, if you are up 8 runs going into the later innings!

    oh and Lidge STILL owns you all!

    JS
  • HoopsterHoopster Posts: 1,169
    Stalin, I actually liked the Mt. Rushmore comment...it was a bit humerous.

    I would love to join the fantasy league where someone has Ryan Howard valued above Reyes.

    Grote, LOL, that was one heckuva thread about Livan Hernandez before! I actually don't think he will hurt them too much. He will be the innings eater for them....and it seems he does know how to win because he recognized that a key ingredient to having a good W/L record is signing with a good team, LOL!

    Of course, if he is a 7-4 and the Mets choose not to go after a Jake Peavy because Livan "knows how to win," then that is another story, and it will be Francisco Liriano all over again, WHICH I HAVE TO ADD, THAT IF MINNESOTA HAD SOUND REASONING LAST YEAR, MINNESOTA WOULD HAVE BEEN IN THE PLAYOFFS...BUT NO, THEY KEPT A BETTER PITCHER OUT UNDER THE PREMISE THAT LIVAN 'KNEW HOW TO WIN'.
  • grote15grote15 Posts: 29,696 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Even tried to trade #3 Reyes
    for #9 Howard and got rejeceted!

    No offense to Sillies fans everywhere, but anyone who'd reject a straight up trade of Howard for Reyes is an absolute idiot...if this is a money league, get me in!! I could use the extra dough...then again, if Stalin is in the league, the winners probably don't get paid anyway, so nevermind...


    Collecting 1970s Topps baseball wax, rack and cello packs, as well as PCGS graded Half Cents, Large Cents, Two Cent pieces and Three Cent Silver pieces.
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