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Ebay seems to be an indicator of PM futures

This is my first post on this board so I apologize if this has been covered before. I started accumulating a small silver and gold position 18 months ago. Everytime I buy a bullion on ebay it seems the premium I'm paying is higher than Monex. If physical gold and silver is constantly being snapped up at 10 - 30 % over spot for 10 oz silver and 1 oz gold, isn't that a pretty good indicator of true futures prices ?
Case in point, I just bought a 10 oz silver bar for $ 159.75 shipped. So I figure I paid 155/oz for the metal. Trust me, I passed on several auctions that passed 160/oz before pulling the trigger on this one. I understand a premium on coinage, but manufacturing cost must be much lower on bars. Am I wrong or is there a shortage of physical metal a big indicator of PM futures direction ? Thanks if anyone can enlighten me.

Edited to add ; I forgot ebay sellers fees may make up the difference ?
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Comments

  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭
    ebay is where the dumb money buys metals right now.
    save up your money and buy 100 oz bars at 1.19 over spot per
    ounce is at least a sane premium....

    better to save and buy 1000 oz bars...

    just my opinion.
  • Unfortunately, my PM budget for Silver bullion is only 150 per month so waiting a year and a half for to buy a 100 oz bar kind of defeats my purpose of easing into the PM market for physical metals. On the bright side, at least I have some disposable income in this crazy time. Thanks for the input though.
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  • carscars Posts: 1,904
    You actually got a decent deal if you purchased a name brand bar. You will never find PM's for spot price unless you run across someone who needs fast cash. You can get a decent deal if purchasing larger bars as stated. You also have to steer clear of the bars with collectible value.
    Its all relative
  • rgCoinGuyrgCoinGuy Posts: 7,478
    Keep your eyes on apmex and teletradedirect.com also. Different days of the week PM's will sell for different prices too on ebay, although a lot of sellers have figured this out.
    imageQuid pro quo. Yes or no?
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