"Cash is king"-- for the coins that you've held during the bull market, are they essentia
In another thread about the doldrums of the markets, the panic on Wall Street, and the uncertainty of whether investment bankers will be able to rake in seven figure fees with ease anytime soon, a very prominent collector on these boards made the following statement: "Cash is king."
I thought this was interesting. This board member was speaking about converting rare coins into cash. However, I have never really thought of rare coins as being essentially equivalent to cash. Suppose that you have a collection of truly rare coins, and bought them at the bottom of the last bear market. Suppose further that you rode the bull market hard, and never parted with those coins. Other than numismatic value, do you consider these coins to be essentially equivalent to cash, which can be liquidated almost instantaneously, sort of like a stock? Or do you view them as not completely liquid, but not completely illiquid either? How comfortable would you be with liquidating a collection if you needed to convert it to cash?
I thought this was interesting. This board member was speaking about converting rare coins into cash. However, I have never really thought of rare coins as being essentially equivalent to cash. Suppose that you have a collection of truly rare coins, and bought them at the bottom of the last bear market. Suppose further that you rode the bull market hard, and never parted with those coins. Other than numismatic value, do you consider these coins to be essentially equivalent to cash, which can be liquidated almost instantaneously, sort of like a stock? Or do you view them as not completely liquid, but not completely illiquid either? How comfortable would you be with liquidating a collection if you needed to convert it to cash?
Always took candy from strangers
Didn't wanna get me no trade
Never want to be like papa
Working for the boss every night and day
--"Happy", by the Rolling Stones (1972)
Didn't wanna get me no trade
Never want to be like papa
Working for the boss every night and day
--"Happy", by the Rolling Stones (1972)
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Comments
Many high-quality, well-selected $10,000 coins can fetch $10,000 or more if you're willing to wait for the right buyer.
Many $10,000 coins can be sold almost immediately for cash, but likely for far less than $10,000.
But very few (any?) $10,000 coins can consistently be liquidated almost immediately for $10,000 cash.
<< <i>No, they aren't cash. Something worth $10,000 is only "equivalent to cash" if they can *very* quickly be converted into $10,000 cash.
Many high-quality, well-selected $10,000 coins can fetch $10,000 or more if you're willing to wait for the right buyer.
Many $10,000 coins can be sold almost immediately for cash, but likely for far less than $10,000.
But very few (any?) $10,000 coins can consistently be liquidated almost immediately for $10,000 cash. >>
For the 21,456th time, I agree with Ziggy. Cash is cash, coin is coin, but coin is not necessarily cash. That statement is based on my personal experience.
I'm not trying to be an alarmist, but if one needed liquidity and had some valuable coins that one could stand to part with, it would be wise to act before the market contracts. I can't imagine anyone thinking that the coin market will suffer no adverse effects whatsoever from the massive dislocation taking place in the financial markets.
Of course, I've been predicting a correction in coins for several years, and I've been wrong. So what do I know?
Best,
Sunnywood
Sunnywood's Rainbow-Toned Morgans (Retired)
Sunnywood's Barber Quarters (Retired)
Regardless of what the various price guides say, liquidity varies greatly from coin to coin and series to series.
Would you like to be trying to sell a large number of major TPG slabbed, but obviously dipped, AU Barber Half Dollars in this market? Would the market want them at anything close to what the price guides say?
What about scarce, but not rare, date coins? Is the current market paying any premium for them over what is paid for common dates? I don't know the answer, but if I were in the market for them right now I wouldn't pay any premium.
During the recession of 1982 the coin market became very illiquid (or perhaps it could be more accurately said that the coin market was liquid at a loss, often a big loss.) It could happen again.
In tough times, real cash is king.
<< <i>In another thread about the doldrums of the markets, the panic on Wall Street, and the uncertainty of whether investment bankers will be able to rake in seven figure fees with ease anytime soon, a very prominent collector on these boards made the following statement: "Cash is king."
I thought this was interesting. This board member was speaking about converting rare coins into cash. However, I have never really thought of rare coins as being essentially equivalent to cash. Suppose that you have a collection of truly rare coins, and bought them at the bottom of the last bear market. Suppose further that you rode the bull market hard, and never parted with those coins. Other than numismatic value, do you consider these coins to be essentially equivalent to cash, which can be liquidated almost instantaneously, sort of like a stock? Or do you view them as not completely liquid, but not completely illiquid either? How comfortable would you be with liquidating a collection if you needed to convert it to cash? >>
No, coins aren't cash. And worse, cash (particularly USD) is crap. Gold (bullion) is king, IMO.