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Detailed research on REAL baseball value based on PLAY BY PLAY data in MLB
Hoopster
Posts: 1,169
in Sports Talk
http://www.retrosheet.org/Research/RuaneT/valueadd_art.htm
That link is some of the research on the detailed play by play data, which takes into account all the things fans have dreamed of knowing for years, and here it is.
There are of course many minor details or variables that still are not accounted for, and the position weighting is not at all solved(and the author admits as much), but I can say FOR ABSOLUTE certainty that this method is far and away better and more accurate than any 'traditional' method of player evaluation.
Then there is one on RBI and expected RBI...
http://www.retrosheet.org/Research/RuaneT/rbipro_art.htm
If somebody knows how to make the links active, that would be great!
-Skin
P.S. This method still does not solve cross era evaluation to the degree that it needs to be!
That link is some of the research on the detailed play by play data, which takes into account all the things fans have dreamed of knowing for years, and here it is.
There are of course many minor details or variables that still are not accounted for, and the position weighting is not at all solved(and the author admits as much), but I can say FOR ABSOLUTE certainty that this method is far and away better and more accurate than any 'traditional' method of player evaluation.
Then there is one on RBI and expected RBI...
http://www.retrosheet.org/Research/RuaneT/rbipro_art.htm
If somebody knows how to make the links active, that would be great!
-Skin
P.S. This method still does not solve cross era evaluation to the degree that it needs to be!
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Link 2
Raw: Tony Gonzalez (low #'d cards, and especially 1/1's) and Steve Young.