Line On AFC/NFC Title Game
JackWESQ
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in Sports Talk
A site I go to has the Pats favored by 14.5 and the Packs by 7. I'm not a gambling person, but even if I were, I'd be afraid to touch those lines. My first thought was Pats by 14.5? No way. But then again, I could easily see them winning by 30+. As for the Packs, my emotions tell me to wager on the Giants because I don't like Favre, but the moment you throw emotions into a wager, you have already lost.
/s/ JackWESQ
/s/ JackWESQ
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Who would of thought that the NFC game was going to be the better game of the two?
JS
<< <i>A site I go to has the Pats favored by 14.5 and the Packs by 7. I'm not a gambling person, but even if I were, I'd be afraid to touch those lines. My first thought was Pats by 14.5? No way. But then again, I could easily see them winning by 30+. As for the Packs, my emotions tell me to wager on the Giants because I don't like Favre, but the moment you throw emotions into a wager, you have already lost.
/s/ JackWESQ >>
Well, basically with all games against the spread, it's a coin flip for the "handicappers". The books try to get equal betting action on the games...they don't always get equal action on each game, but in the long-run they always do when averaging out all the games.
It's clear to me that 14 1/2 line says the books are a bit afraid of getting overwhelmed with Patriots bets, especially from the whales. Wouldn't be surprised to see record action on the money line for the Patriots...I mean how are the Patriots going to lose that game?...would have to be a major breakdown by Brady with interceptions, etc., and I can't see it happening at this late stage in the season.
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<< <i>A site I go to has the Pats favored by 14.5 and the Packs by 7. I'm not a gambling person, but even if I were, I'd be afraid to touch those lines. My first thought was Pats by 14.5? No way. But then again, I could easily see them winning by 30+. As for the Packs, my emotions tell me to wager on the Giants because I don't like Favre, but the moment you throw emotions into a wager, you have already lost.
/s/ JackWESQ >>
Who doesn't like Brett Favre???
Anyone else think that matchup would probably be the highest watched Superbowl in History?
<< <i>You know the NFL is praying that the Superbowl is Green Bay vs New England. That would be huge for ratings. The legendary Gun Slinger Brett Favre vs. The Golden Boy Tom Brady. Also if it wasn't for the undefeated season, McCarthy would have been Coach of the Year.
Anyone else think that matchup would probably be the highest watched Superbowl in History? >>
It would be a very attractive matchup but probably not the highest rated in history, the reason being is that in this day and age
there are many more viewing options available via cable and satellite TV than there were decades ago.
Still, it would probably be the highest rated in the past 10 years or so
The two teams never met up during the season so there would be no previous history from this season unlike the Giants who already played them. And the Chargers and Packers already played.
Any other match up isn't as attractive except to fans of the teams in it. This matchup would be really attractive to all fans and even probably attract non nfl watchers.
Giants/Chargers
Packers/Chargers
Giants/Patriots
are all really not as attractive or interesting
Could Brett pull out another big victory and stop the perfect Patriots. If so who knows, he could be like Elway and retire on top. That is one reason people would tune in, cause in all reality it could be Favre's last game. There are a lot of people who just want to see the Patriots LOSE! On the other hand some people want to see perfection (mainly Patriot fans).
Both teams first have to get past some hungry road teams that have a lot to prove in the Giants and Chargers. Nothing is set in stone and we all know, but that would be one for the ages.
A Giants/Pats matchup would be pretty good, not as good as Packers/Pats but pretty good nonetheless.
The Giants are a major market team and you would have the "Manning" factor with people wondering if Eli can do with Peyton did
last year.
Tough call - it's got a shot. Green Bay is a popular NFL team with Favre as QB and of course the Packers history with Lombardi, etc., but Green Bay isn't a huge media market in general. A Giants - Patriots Super Bowl would probably have bigger ratings just because a New York team is playing.
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Based on the opening lines, here's the chances
of each of the 4 possible Super Bowl matchups actually happening :
NE vs GB - 66 %
NE vs NYG - 22 %
SD VS GB - 9 %
SD vs NYG - 3 %
Giants are a big market team, but definitely lack star power.
Brady, Moss, Favre, and Tomlinson are all legit superstars that even casual fans may tune in to see.
"How about a little fire Scarecrow ?"
<< <i>Based on the opening lines, here's the chances
of each of the 4 possible Super Bowl matchups actually happening :
NE vs GB - 66 %
NE vs NYG - 22 %
SD VS GB - 9 %
SD vs NYG - 3 %
Giants are a big market team, but definitely lack star power.
Brady, Moss, Favre, and Tomlinson are all legit superstars that even casual fans may tune in to see. >>
<<< Giants are a big market team, but definitely lack star power.
Brady, Moss, Favre, and Tomlinson are all legit superstars that even casual fans may tune in to see. >>>
That assessment I don't believe is accurate as far as ratings go and this particular situation. Technically you're correct, but again...it's the New York media market which influences other media markets worldwide. Besides, Favre has already won a Super Bowl...Eli trying to win one would be more interesting, especially to the general public and casual fan. During the media frenzy for two weeks, they'll make Eli into a "star" especially with the Peyton comparisons - and the media has plenty of other stuff to create public interest as well to achieve big ratings from a New York team.
I think overall, the media would much rather see a Giants win, but a Packers win of course wouldn't be bad. Definitely a win-win situation for the media as far as the NFC championship game is concerned.
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Giants already had their shot at New England and blew it at home.
Ryan Grant definitely helps make things look even better in any match up. It wouldn't be as interesting if it was like it was early on in the season with the lack of the running game. Now, if they can play some solid football and keep the mistakes to a minimum, they have a great shot at beating the Giants and the winner of the Pats/Chargers.
Here are the largest spreads
for Conferance Championship games over the last 10 years :
1999 season STL - 14.5 vs TB - STL won game, but didn't cover
1998 season MIN - 10.5 vs ATL - MIN lost game and didn't cover
2001 season STL - 10.5 vs PHIL - STL won game, but didn't cover
2001 season PIT - 10 vs NE - PIT lost game and didn't cover
1998 season DEN - 9 vs NYJ - DEN won game and covered
2002 season OAK - 8 vs TEN - OAK won game and covered
1999 season JAX - 7 vs TEN - JAX lost game and didn't cover
2000 season OAK - 6 vs BAL - OAK lost game and didn't cover
So, only 2 of the 8 favorites covered, and only 4 of them even won their game.
Good news for Giant and Charger fans. Well ... at least a ray of hope ...
"How about a little fire Scarecrow ?"
<< <i>Giants should study the 2 Bears vs Packers game films. >>
well unless the giants get a Briggs performance out of one of their lbs or the winds blow at around 35mph with gusts to 50, watching the tape wont help. bears defense has more speed at lb than the giants. either way the giants will be getting a heavy dose of grant. that is what the bears should have got in chicago. after all he did burn them for a 50+ TD run in the first. as long as the pack dont turn the ball over of have a few blocked punts and drop punt snaps they should be ok. i expect a tough game. all that i hope for as always is that the pack win by one.
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