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We're drowning in gold!

I found this on another site.
It makes you wonder.

Most people reading this forum are not aware that there is no shortage of gold, in fact there is so much still underground and about to be mined that it may seriously affect the value of our holdings. I'll give you a small sample taken from the news headlines in just the last week:
Yamana Gold will produce more than 200,000 ounces of gold per year from Gualcamayo mine for at least a 10-year period.
Romania's Rosia Montana mine, where Gabriel Resources, the Canadian mining company, is about to dig for a huge gold deposit estimated at 14.6 million ounces, worth almost $10 billion.
Olympic Dam, the huge Australian deposit that contains 40% of the world's known supplies of uranium plus a decent helping of gold and other metals. Olympic Dam, thinks BHP, could be producing for the next 100 years.
The newly assessed Mt. Milligan copper-gold deposit northwest of Prince George contains at least 5.5 million oz of gold.
Kirkland Goldfields gold mine in the enormous Kirana Break deposit, claim a current indicated resource of approximately 50,000 tonnes of contained gold.
The new Pebble Mine (26.5 million ounces of gold to be mined)
The massive Oyu Tolgoi copper-and-gold deposit. Oyu Tolgoi is considered to be the largest untapped copper and gold mine in the world. 2005 estimates put the annual yields from the mine at 450,000 tons of copper and 330,000 ounces of gold to be extracted beginning in 2010.
New mines at -- Little Squaw, Hannukainen, Kirazli, Loulo, Galore Creek mine, and many more!

Oh dear!

Seriously, people, now may be the time to sell.
__________________

Comments

  • The silence is deafening. This is the stuff of nightmares for the gold bugs here.
    Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

    Apropos of the coin posse/aka caca: "The longer he spoke of his honor, the tighter I held to my purse."

    image
  • calleochocalleocho Posts: 1,569 ✭✭
    it comes the kitco forums ....you should read the rest of post.
    "Women should be obscene and not heard. "
    Groucho Marx
  • The dollar's death spiral with no long term solution for controlling it's decline is fueling the metals rally. Might be a good idea to hedge your gold investments with platinum. All the platinum ever mined through history would fit in a room the size of a average living room.
    Never teach a pig to sing. You'll waste your time and annoy the pig image

    image
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,702 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I'm glad I'm a silver bug. image

    Seriously though the amount of cash in the world dwarfs the amount of gold and
    every indication seems to be the gulf will grow. There is always the matter of the
    huge central bank stockpiles but so long as many people see this as money they
    won't be a major problem either.

    Gold's fundamentals are not significantly changed even if they are far worse than
    silver's.
    Tempus fugit.
  • Yes, but there is always heavy jewelry, industrial, and economic demand for gold. If there wasn't, they wouldn't be trying to pull it out of the ground as fast as they are.

    Having said that, I think it would be prudent to sell gold at these levels and buy back in when the market softens. Additionally Platinum and Silver will be better long term metals as they both have heavy industrial demand and there is not nearly as much above ground as there is gold these days.
  • notwilightnotwilight Posts: 12,864 ✭✭✭
    What is average daily trading volume in NY in ounces? Worldwide? I can't interpret the impact of this without those numbers. If we're talking one day's volume then what we have here is propoganda from the shorts.
  • you are kidding, arent you?? or just trying to get people to sell gold so that you can jump on the bandwagon - IMO, the price of gold is here to stay - will it go down - probably, but not for long - the bull is in full swing and getting stronger - for those who have missed out on the train, I hope the metal does go down so that you can get in on some - based on what's happening in the world economy, the only direction is North.
    currently putting together a EF/AU/BU 18th & 19th Century Type Set; and CC Morgan Set

    just completed 3d tour to Iraq and retired after 28+ years in the US Army
  • I welcome the drop in the price of gold. Then I can buy more gold coins for the money.

    I just like collecting gold coins.


  • << <i>We're drowning in gold! >>



    Count "We who are drowning in GOLD" as well allocated.

    FloridaBill

  • BHP Billiton is going to announce a major increase in reserves. Sobering news for those long gold, like me.

    Guardian Unlimited article
    >>
    BHP Billiton will tomorrow announce that it estimates the reserves of gold at its Australian Olympic Dam mine are more than 50% bigger than previously thought, raising speculation that it is sitting on the largest gold mine in the world
    ...
    >>
  • ARCOARCO Posts: 4,422 ✭✭✭✭✭
    If I remember reading correctly, the gold supply increases by about 2-3% a year averaged out over time .Gold supply link. Gold as money is great to maintain value, but lousy at providing liquidity in growing, expanding economies. The total dollar value of the amount of gold extant is but a tiny fraction of the total amount of fiat currencies and the countries of the world's total supply of money. If money were to be backed by gold, then gold is vastly underpriced if it were to be a reserve for that worldwide money supply.

    Maybe if half the worldwide population died out, gold might turn out to be a relatively available commodity.

    another aspect not considered in the mining of Gold is the eventual resource scarcity we will be seeing in the next decade or two as our oil supplies worldwide go into permant decline (peak oil). The mining and smelting of gold is going to get progressively more expensive.
  • LakesammmanLakesammman Posts: 17,438 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Don't know jack about gold but I do know that from my Alaska days, when the price is down, the mines get mothballed. When prices are up, they re-open.

    There's a lot of gold yet to be mined.
    "My friends who see my collection sometimes ask what something costs. I tell them and they are in awe at my stupidity." (Baccaruda, 12/03).I find it hard to believe that he (Trump) rushed to some hotel to meet girls of loose morals, although ours are undoubtedly the best in the world. (Putin 1/17) Gone but not forgotten. IGWT, Speedy, Bear, BigE, HokieFore, John Burns, Russ, TahoeDale, Dahlonega, Astrorat, Stewart Blay, Oldhoopster, Broadstruck, Ricko, Big Moose, Cardinal.
  • orevilleoreville Posts: 12,117 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Sure there is indeed a lot of gold left in the ground.

    However, the cost of retrieving new gold is rapidly closing in on $600 US per oz creating a very strong floor under current prices of gold.

    Keep in mind that if oil prices stay above $70 a barrel then cost of extracting gold will continue to rise sharply.

    Cost of extracting and transporting gold is very high in energy costs.

    A Collectors Universe poster since 1997!
  • Have we got someone being squeezed on a short play perhaps? The rest of the Gold market doesn't know this inside information? Conspiracy concocted by MONEX? Those bat fastards. image
  • jmski52jmski52 Posts: 23,089 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Of course, little 8 oz. bags of crude oil might be more valuable and fungible in the long run, but gold has stood the test of time. Silver is a better speculation, but gold is instantly recognizable and tradeable as money any where in the world. It's really not that gold is scarce and valuable - it's the REASON that gold is scarce and valuable that is important:

    Our U.S. paper dollars are being devalued more every day, by our buddies in Congress and their private banking friends. They are *not* our friends. They are protecting their own fortunes by pilfering our retirement savings via inflation. It's not even insidious anymore. It's blatant.

    Exhibit I: Weimar Germany 100,000,000 Mark Note. They were printing money so fast that they stopped wasting ink on the backsides. This one was printed in 1923.

    imageimage

    I rest my case.
    Q: Are You Printing Money? Bernanke: Not Literally

    I knew it would happen.
  • For those that care, I sold my GLD trading position this morning because of the BHP news of increased reserves. Still long GDX hedged and that is getting hit today.

  • This thread is lame. The title should be "We're drowning in fiat!"
  • The stock bugs always say we could never go back to a gold backed currency system because there is not enough gold in the world to back all the paper money. If that is the case, all this extra gold underground could be used to put us back on the gold standard. The stock bugs/gold haters will never say that however.
  • aficionadoaficionado Posts: 2,309 ✭✭✭

    Gold is an awesome conductor of electricity and it doesn't corrode. They are using more than ever in Industry.

    Did you see that show where a company is crushing old computers by the thousands just to get the minuscule amount of gold that’s in them? If they are doing that to get the gold, I think demand is still pretty high.





  • "I think demand is still pretty high."

    Well sure it is. Now we know that supply is pretty danged high too. Gold bugs better hope the suppliers restrain themselves and keep the price high so the gold bugs can sleep at night. Probably not soundly, though, knowing their little house of cards depends on forces out of their control. Or predictive abilities. Or wishful thinking.
    Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

    Apropos of the coin posse/aka caca: "The longer he spoke of his honor, the tighter I held to my purse."

    image
  • mhammermanmhammerman Posts: 3,769 ✭✭✭
    Drown me some more, baby!
  • Wow. An extra $10 billion in gold, which has to be extracted from the ground at great expense in fossil fuels, heavy equipment, manpower and time. Meanwhile our government borrows $2.4 billion of new money every single day, created out of thin air with no effort at all. Yep, gold prices are going to crash.

    Stock bugs must sleep soundly at night knowing the companies they are invested in are so honestly and well managed. No company ever lied about earnings, or dumped their personal shares while talking up the stock(see Angelo Mozillo of Countrywide). Stock bugs have complete control of their fantasy paper investments.
  • I am a regular on the Kitco boards. This post was made 3 months ago by one of the anti-gold trolls over there. It was bumped the other day and since the post, gold is up... LOL..
  • LALASD4LALASD4 Posts: 3,602 ✭✭✭
    Sure there is a lot of gold, it is everywhere, it is even in seawater , but most mines are not economical, that is why a lot of mines shut down when the price of gold went down earlier in the decade.

    That is why you read the annual reports of the mining companies to see which one will benefit the most when the price of gold goes up.

    So your title is correct if one goes swimming in the ocean and drowns.image
    Coin Collector, Chicken Owner, Licensed Tax Preparer & Insurance Broker/Agent.
    San Diego, CA


    image
  • It's not news that there's a ton of gold out there, with much more still in the ground. But with the industrial uses, I don't see the price coming down much ever again. It may fluctuate a little, but I think gold is here to stay, even at these ~$750/oz levels.
    image
    To support LordM's European Trip, click here!
  • morgansforevermorgansforever Posts: 8,465 ✭✭✭✭✭
    The problem is who or what do you believe? 50% say it will tank, 50% say the sky is the limit. No one knows for certain where gold will be in

    3 years, 10 years, 20 years. What if oil drops to $45 a barrel, more people are concerned with the environment, and are driving more fuel

    efficient cars. Who knows in 20 years, cars could be powered by hydrogen fuel cells. Imagine 10's of millions of vehicles not consuming a

    drop of oil or fuel.

    I feel the internal combustion engine will be a thing of the past. Oil has brought us this far, time for a change. No environment no human

    race. Not even the most informed economists really know they speculate with data.

    Less oil consumed, less to mine it?



    World coins FSHO Hundreds of successful BST transactions U.S. coins FSHO
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,313 ✭✭✭✭✭
    For the past several years gold use has outpaced production ..... hence a deficit. This "new" news smacks of gold cartel influence.
    Next thing you know Barrick will be taking Yamana over (lol). Considering it takes 5-10 yrs (closer to 10) to bring new mines or even
    old mines back into production, don't count on gold prices crashing on this news. You can compare this to the supposed zillions of
    barrells of oil sitting under the Gulf of Mexico 5 miles deep (ie we'll believe it when we see it, and it's feasible to extract it).

    The G15 nations are pumping out paper money at 10-50% per year, and you think 2-3% gold increase per year is a loser?

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • GATGAT Posts: 3,146
    If this is such a problem why don't they open the gold window and re institute the convertibility of the Dollar? I will tell you why, the New Deal was a sham where you borrowed your way to prosperity and repay it through inflation. We are in the latter days of this sham and the only way out is hyper inflation and to start all over as we have seen in Europe and So America in the past. If you want to retain any wealth hold on to your precious metals and nothing they can tax.
    USAF vet 1951-59
  • BaleyBaley Posts: 22,663 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Wait till the plan comes to fruition: Sending a rocket out to the asteroid belt to tow back a big dense chunk of rich ore. You'll think, "drowning in gold"

    Liberty: Parent of Science & Industry



  • << <i>Wait till the plan comes to fruition: Sending a rocket out to the asteroid belt to tow back a big dense chunk of rich ore. You'll think, "drowning in gold" >>



    That idea may not work out so well as asteroids are composed of three materials: mostly (92.8 percent) silicates (stone); metals (5.7 percent) iron and nickel; and the rest as a mix of the those materials and carbon-rich substances. Asteroids located closer to Mars and Earth that exhibit the same spectra are composed of rocky minerals ("stone") mixed with iron.

    Heavier elements are found nearer to the sun. Now maybe there may be a batch on Mars, but so far there is no evidence of that either. At least not through spectrum analysis.

    I think, at least for our lifetimes, we'll have to settle for what's here on the home planet. image
    "Lenin is certainly right. There is no subtler or more severe means of overturning the existing basis of society(destroy capitalism) than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and it does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose."
    John Marnard Keynes, The Economic Consequences of the Peace, 1920, page 235ff
  • The quickly increasing demand from India and China will absorb any extra production.


  • << <i>The quickly increasing demand from India and China will absorb any extra production. >>



    It already has and don't leave Russia out of that equation.
    "Lenin is certainly right. There is no subtler or more severe means of overturning the existing basis of society(destroy capitalism) than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and it does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose."
    John Marnard Keynes, The Economic Consequences of the Peace, 1920, page 235ff
  • I remember in 1979 there was a "report" that the Russians found a way to create gold... and it was economical when gold was priced above $1,000 an ounce...

    I'm waiting for that "report" to surface again.

    until then, I believe the following...

    there is plenty of gold in the universe, but supply does not keep up with demand, and the price will rise as long as the dollar falls.

    cheers, Alan Mendelson
    BestDealsTVshow.com
  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭
    Oh another anti-gold thread. We've heard this since gold $260, I even went so far as betting $500 dollar Gold Vs $500 google and we know how that turned out, although I never even got an email from Lloyd to let him off the hook on the betimage

    How would fiat money stack up to gold?

    Gold in antiquity was relatively easy to obtain geologically; however, 75% of all gold ever produced has been extracted since 1910.[6] It has been estimated that all the gold in the world that has ever been refined would form a single cube 20 m (66 ft) on a side (equivalent to 8000 m³).[6]

    Gold facts


    That's not a whole lot it's just heavy and has been used to base money since ancient times. And contray to what you've been told is used as a basis for monetary standards even today.

    Gold forms the basis for a monetary standard used by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). The ISO currency code of gold bullion is XAU. Modern industrial uses include dentistry and electronics, where gold has traditionally found use because of its good resistance to oxidative corrosion.


    Just like oil the easy stuff is gone and now you have to spend real money to find it, process it, ship it, and store it.
  • DeepCoinDeepCoin Posts: 2,781 ✭✭✭
    I am NOT a gold basher, but where do some people get ideas such as posted. The IMF does NOT use a gold standard. Check their web site and you will be able to see how they view the complexities of interational currency valuations. Gold is a nice hedge and store of value, but the world long ago gave up the gold standard for it currencies.

    Personally, I think holding some gold right now is a good thing. However, I like platinum better. Just MHO.
    Retired United States Mint guy, now working on an Everyman Type Set.


  • << <i> What if oil drops to $45 a barrel, more people are concerned with the environment, and are driving more fuel

    efficient cars. Who knows in 20 years, cars could be powered by hydrogen fuel cells. Imagine 10's of millions of vehicles not consuming a

    drop of oil or fuel.

    I feel the internal combustion engine will be a thing of the past. Oil has brought us this far, time for a change. No environment no human

    race. Not even the most informed economists really know they speculate with data.

    Less oil consumed, less to mine it? >>



    HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!
    Peopler driving more fuel efficient cars? Yeah right. Everywhere I look people drive full size V8 pickups and XL sized SUVs. This is in Michigan and our economy is in the toilet. We also have the highest gas prices in the nation here. The last thing people will give up is their big gas guzzler.

    Fuel cells? Are you serious? Good luck with that too. The environmentalists who keep chanting for electric cars and alternative fuel vehicles haven't even passed 8th grade math. Any engineer will tell you there isn't anything that even comes close to the internal combustion engine in terms of convenience. If you think people are going to drive tiny crapboxes with no A/C, crash protection or performance that cost more than conventional vehicles you are crazy or seriously misinformed.
  • ebaytraderebaytrader Posts: 3,312 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Drown me some more, baby! >>




    image What a way to go!


  • << <i>Wait till the plan comes to fruition: Sending a rocket out to the asteroid belt to tow back a big dense chunk of rich ore. You'll think, "drowning in gold" >>



    Step away from the star trek DVD's. This is totally beyond our current technology and when it is technically feasible it will be so incredibly expensive to do this the gold recovered will have cost $1 million per ounce.
  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭
    Newmont warns on cost. Keep in mind it takes a lot of gold and dirt to make a 24k coin. Most nuggets are low grade ore.


    Cost concerns
  • LALASD4LALASD4 Posts: 3,602 ✭✭✭
    I still pretty good margins.image
    Coin Collector, Chicken Owner, Licensed Tax Preparer & Insurance Broker/Agent.
    San Diego, CA


    image
  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I still pretty good margins.image >>



    Not really most mining companies have already sold a lot of gold to be mined in the future to raise capitol to mine it.
  • RYKRYK Posts: 35,799 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I thought the OP was going to reference the scene at Gringott's in Harry Potter 7 (The Deathly Hallows)--sorry if I ruined it for anyone. image
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,313 ✭✭✭✭✭
    While the "world" has given up on gold..........the movers and shakers, many govt's, and of course the Central Banks, still have lots of
    reason to use it. You can claim it was demonetized on 1971 but reality today shows a different story.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold

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