And to think, just yesterday my Dad commented how much better investment his Silver Eagles I advised him to buy were.. He sold the 10 for $2,500. Had he waited until this week, he could have sold the 10 for $3,000 (open box) and with the stock drop, the statement would be even more true!
It's kinda scary that the bottom really dropped out in the past hour or so...I suspect some hedge fund's program drooped an automatic sell signal into the middle of an already jumpy picture.
What happens when there are two big kids on the block and one of them owes the other a bunch of money. Then one day the one kid wants to be paid but the second kid won't pay. What do they do? They fight.
Just last night I had a long conversation with my father about the poor state of the economy, the still falling real estate market, and my expectation that very soon the big players will be pulling the rug out from underneath all of the small time "investors" in the stock market.
Strangely enough this may be just the tonic that the dollar needed , China will now have to speed up their economy and the only way that they can do that is if they "play Nice" with the USA, So the dollar may have a reprieve
<< <i>So what happens when China suddenly calls in all this debt of ours they own? >>
China doing that would be akin to the actions of a suicide bomber. Yes, you'd take out your targets but you'd go down with it. China's not stupid; they know this all too well and they're rational enough to resist mutually assured economic destruction. Better to hold most of the debt and use it as leverage. Tanking the U.S. economy by massive liquidation of U.S. debt takes them right down with us. Plus, it's not in their best interests to severely weaken the dollar and make Chinese goods much more expensive to U.S. consumers.
So what happens when China suddenly calls in all this debt of ours they own?
Fortunately, these are not demand notes. They're T-Bills. China can sell them to the highest bidder, but they can't force the US Treasury to redeem them before maturity.
Andy Lustig
Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.
Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
<< <i>So what happens when China suddenly calls in all this debt of ours they own? >>
No problem, we just crank up the presses, load the ships with "worthless" paper money and send it over. I say we issue a new denomination, the billion dollar bill. Print a few hundred and send them over. They produce no interest so they would have to spend them.
We should do that whenever they come due. They weren't supposed to hoard it, they were supposed to recipricate by buying US goods but they decided to play us for suckers. Now they got the worthless notes, who's really the fool here?
Nothing has changed. The market is still trapped in a narrow trading range. Silver is still struggling with resistance because a huge amount of silver was bought and sold at this level from 1980 to about '84. There are a lot of margin calls for a lot of traders who are stretched very thin so we could go all the way to the bottom of the trading range. Gold is in lock step with the overall economy for now but should resume its rise when oil bottoms out.
<< <i>So what happens when China suddenly calls in all this debt of ours they own?
Fortunately, these are not demand notes. They're T-Bills. China can sell them to the highest bidder, but they can't force the US Treasury to redeem them before maturity. >>
But T-Bills mature in less than one year. That’s not very long until redemption. matteproof
<< <i>Just last night I had a long conversation with my father about the poor state of the economy, the still falling real estate market, and my expectation that very soon the big players will be pulling the rug out from underneath all of the small time "investors" in the stock market. >>
Maybe BusinessWeek is just very out of touch, but I'm reading about higher-than-expected fourth quarter economic growth, shrinking inventories, declining unemployment, steady inflation, and a stengthening in the housing market. Go figure.
I heard they were making a French version of Medal of Honor. I wonder how many hotkeys it'll have for "surrender."
Wake me up if it does it again before I retire in 15 years.
"My friends who see my collection sometimes ask what something costs. I tell them and they are in awe at my stupidity." (Baccaruda, 12/03).I find it hard to believe that he (Trump) rushed to some hotel to meet girls of loose morals, although ours are undoubtedly the best in the world. (Putin 1/17) Gone but not forgotten. IGWT, Speedy, Bear, BigE, HokieFore, John Burns, Russ, TahoeDale, Dahlonega, Astrorat, Stewart Blay, Oldhoopster, Broadstruck, Ricko, Big Moose, Cardinal.
Might I point out that the Dow was at roughly 11,000 a year ago.
My time horizon is 20 to 30 years out. Just buy good stocks that shell out quarterly dividends and forget about them. Even if the market drops in half (not that I think it will drop anywhere near that low) you're still getting the dividend and can wait it out.
<< <i>Perhaps 20 to 30 years horizon shouldn't make one forgetful, but careful. A loss today compounds for the next 30 years just as a gain does. >>
You're right, of course, but unless you have a good working crystal ball (I don't), you run the twin risks of falling to the twin emotional mistakes of investing, fear and greed, which killed many a market-timer by buying high (greed) and selling low (fear).
<< <i>It's kinda scary that the bottom really dropped out in the past hour or so... >>
The bottom hasn't fallen out. A 500 point drop today is nothing compared to the 500 point drop back in October 1987.
Russ, NCNE >>
Thanks for putting it in perspective, Russ. I was just thinking the same thing. It amazes me how the "sky is falling" syndrome jumps into people's minds on a minor correction here.
I'm the Proud recipient of a genuine "you suck" award dated 1/24/05. I was accepted into the "Circle of Trust" on 3/9/09.
Comments
Anyone feel like buying in the face of this?
...personally, both of my (major) brokerage accounts are frozen at the moment. Can't even get in to check prices, nevermind to sell or buy.
Just glad I'm not too far out on a (financial) limb at the moment.
<< <i>It's kinda scary that the bottom really dropped out in the past hour or so... >>
The bottom hasn't fallen out. A 500 point drop today is nothing compared to the 500 point drop back in October 1987.
Russ, NCNE
San Diego, CA
Camelot
Now the plats are cancelled (?) and I am stuck with all this cash. yuk!
Proud recipient of two "You Suck" awards
<< <i>Ok...Not strictly coin related that the market is coming apart in the past hour, and gold is also down almost $20/ounce. >>
I see gold down just about $2.60 I dont see it down $20
<< <i>my portfolio did not lose a penny.
your portfolio doesnt consist of stocks and bonds if you didnt lose a cent, probably all coins right!
Steve
AL
I give away money. I collect money.
I don’t love money . I do love the Lord God.
<< <i>It used to be that if Wall street sneezed the world caught a cold , Now it appears that if China sneezes the world catches cold. >>
Heat is faster than cold. You can't catch heat, but you can catch a cold.
An authorized PCGS dealer, and a contributor to the Red Book.
<< <i>
<< <i>Ok...Not strictly coin related that the market is coming apart in the past hour, and gold is also down almost $20/ounce. >>
I see gold down just about $2.60 I dont see it down $20 >>
Ok now I see what you are talking about gold is down over $21 in after market trading it closed at $684 today though.
It's really very ironic.
PCGS, ANACS, & NGC Certified Coins on My Website.
<< <i>So what happens when China suddenly calls in all this debt of ours they own? >>
And do what with it?
The rates we pay is some of the highest in the world.
Not to mention it is still viewed as safe haven.
I give away money. I collect money.
I don’t love money . I do love the Lord God.
<< <i>So what happens when China suddenly calls in all this debt of ours they own? >>
China doing that would be akin to the actions of a suicide bomber. Yes, you'd take out your targets but you'd go down with it. China's not stupid; they know this all too well and they're rational enough to resist mutually assured economic destruction. Better to hold most of the debt and use it as leverage. Tanking the U.S. economy by massive liquidation of U.S. debt takes them right down with us. Plus, it's not in their best interests to severely weaken the dollar and make Chinese goods much more expensive to U.S. consumers.
Fortunately, these are not demand notes. They're T-Bills. China can sell them to the highest bidder, but they can't force the US Treasury to redeem them before maturity.
Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.
Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
<< <i>So what happens when China suddenly calls in all this debt of ours they own? >>
No problem, we just crank up the presses, load the ships with "worthless" paper money and send it over. I say we issue a new denomination, the billion dollar bill. Print a few hundred and send them over. They produce no interest so they would have to spend them.
We should do that whenever they come due. They weren't supposed to hoard it, they were supposed to recipricate by buying US goods but they decided to play us for suckers. Now they got the worthless notes, who's really the fool here?
<< <i>
<< <i>my portfolio did not lose a penny.
your portfolio doesnt consist of stocks and bonds if you didnt lose a cent, probably all coins right! >>
I don't consider my coins as part of my portfolio. My portfolio is all stocks.
struggling with resistance because a huge amount of silver was bought and sold at this
level from 1980 to about '84. There are a lot of margin calls for a lot of traders who are
stretched very thin so we could go all the way to the bottom of the trading range. Gold
is in lock step with the overall economy for now but should resume its rise when oil bottoms
out.
DOOGY
You hit the nail right on the head.
It was the market drops in Asia. (China lost 10%)
<< <i>So what happens when China suddenly calls in all this debt of ours they own?
Fortunately, these are not demand notes. They're T-Bills. China can sell them to the highest bidder, but they can't force the US Treasury to redeem them before maturity. >>
But T-Bills mature in less than one year. That’s not very long until redemption. matteproof
<< <i>So what happens when China suddenly calls in all this debt of ours they own? >>
Same return policy as their eBay salesmen.
I would second the comments pointing out that both China and the US have a profound mutual interest in stability.
<< <i>
<< <i>It's kinda scary that the bottom really dropped out in the past hour or so... >>
The bottom hasn't fallen out. A 500 point drop today is nothing compared to the 500 point drop back in October 1987.
Russ, NCNE >>
Right, 22% back then versus 3.3% today.
Ren
<< <i>Computational glitch in trading systems at Dow Jones. >>
Dont believe what you hear on TV.
The NYSE superdot system did go down but not until about 3:55. It has gone down many times in the past and has not led to 3% down days.
Knowledge is the enemy of fear
<< <i>Just last night I had a long conversation with my father about the poor state of the economy, the still falling real estate market, and my expectation that very soon the big players will be pulling the rug out from underneath all of the small time "investors" in the stock market. >>
Maybe BusinessWeek is just very out of touch, but I'm reading about higher-than-expected fourth quarter economic growth, shrinking inventories, declining unemployment, steady inflation, and a stengthening in the housing market. Go figure.
My 1866 Philly Mint Set
Wake me up if it does it again before I retire in 15 years.
Others lick their chops and buy at rock bottom prices.
Some things never change.
Those who hear warning bells sell off, while others hear a dinner bell and begin feasting.
Got coins ?
``https://ebay.us/m/KxolR5
<< <i>So what happens when China suddenly calls in all this debt of ours they own? >>
They won't because they know they can't collect on it as it doesn't exist.
Far as what someone said about the rates that we pay are highest in the world all I can say is
Coin's for sale/trade.
Tom Pilitowski
US Rare Coin Investments
800-624-1870
My time horizon is 20 to 30 years out. Just buy good stocks that shell out quarterly dividends and forget about them. Even if the market drops in half (not that I think it will drop anywhere near that low) you're still getting the dividend and can wait it out.
U.S. Type Set
Perhaps 20 to 30 years horizon shouldn't make one forgetful, but careful. A loss today compounds for the next 30 years just as a gain does.
<< <i>Perhaps 20 to 30 years horizon shouldn't make one forgetful, but careful. A loss today compounds for the next 30 years just as a gain does. >>
You're right, of course, but unless you have a good working crystal ball (I don't), you run the twin risks of falling to the twin emotional mistakes of investing, fear and greed, which killed many a market-timer by buying high (greed) and selling low (fear).
<< <i>
<< <i>It's kinda scary that the bottom really dropped out in the past hour or so... >>
The bottom hasn't fallen out. A 500 point drop today is nothing compared to the 500 point drop back in October 1987.
Russ, NCNE >>
Thanks for putting it in perspective, Russ. I was just thinking the same thing. It amazes me how the "sky is falling" syndrome jumps into people's minds on a minor correction here.
Box of 20