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What are your numismatic predictions for 2006? (a contest!!)
mercurydimeguy
Posts: 4,625 ✭✭✭✭
Make them here before midnight Dec 31, 2005, and I'll make note to bring this thread up this time next year.
All the people that make at least 1 accurate prediction by midnight Dec 31, 2005, will be put in to a drawing to win one coin of my choosing with a PCGS price guide value of at least $100. The winner will be announced January 1, 2007.
You have 9+ days to make your predictions here, and you can make as many as you would like. Remember, you just need to get one right to be considered for the drawing.
And one basic ground rule -- no duh! state the obvious predictions like the U.S. Mint will put out new state quarters.
Let's have some fun
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How about this instead: faced with the rising cost of copper, the U.S. Mint will float the idea of pulling all pre-1982 cents from circulation, as was done with silver coinage in the 1960s.
Sean Reynolds
"Keep in mind that most of what passes as numismatic information is no more than tested opinion at best, and marketing blather at worst. However, I try to choose my words carefully, since I know that you guys are always watching." - Joe O'Connor
Knowledge is the enemy of fear
Here are my guesses (I mean predictions):
A federal court will determine that the 1933 Double Eagles may be legally owned by private individuals.
A recently-found or put-away roll of gem 1901-S quarters will not be announced.
eBay will make changes in the coin categories and rules that some forum members actually will like!
Speaking of eBay, the "Savannah Scammer" will be NARU'd again.
A fifth specimen of the 1833 LM-5/V-10 Capped Bust Half Dime will be found.
ANACS will supplant NGC as the #2 TPG in terms of reputation for accurate grading is concerned.
A 1964 Peace Dollar will be slabbed by a TPG.
The 1916-D Mercury Dime will double in price (Greysheet) for at least one of the published grades.
Heritage's market share will increase at the expense of SGBH.
The updated Cherrypicker's Guide will have another short delay despite recent promises, but will actually be published, sold, and loved.
Questions about Ikes? Go to The IKE GROUP WEB SITE
<< <i>...drawing to win one coin of my choosing with a PCGS price guide value of at least $100. >>
The pcgs price guide (and all others) will still be horribly inaccurate.
Semper ubi sub ubi
The market for very high-end coins will remain solid but will not see the growth evident in the past few years.
The market for mid-range coins will be soft due to economic pressures on the middle class.
The market for low-end coins will remain quite active. Many of the collectors of these coins are retirees with good pensions who are unaffected by other economic news.
Michael will continute to preach the value of pre-1933 numismatic gold.
Laura will continue to speak out against wannabes.
Gold will top $525 in 2006.
The DOW will not close above 11,500 by EOY 2006.
ANACS with be the top grading service passing Ngc and Pcgs
Gold will hit $800.00
All coins the us mint is sell on there site will sell out
my guesses
Gold below $450 again will be many years away.
Silver at $12.
Gem type coins will awaken and move up 20-30% this year (bust, barber, seated). The sheets will reflect this.
Generic gold will continue to gain. MS65 Saints will reach $1700+ .
$1, $2-1/2, and $5 Liberty gold in MS64-65 will close the gap on $10/$20's.
The housing market, on average across the country will cease to rise. The northeast will see a continuing correction.
Money supply will continue to increase at 10% or greater for the year.
Many moderns will weaken.
Classic Commems will be promoted heavily.
TDN will improve his seated dollar set.
Roadrunner will not lose any coin bets in 2006.
The next ice age will begin.
roadrunner
<< <i> fifth specimen of the 1833 LM-5/V-10 Capped Bust Half Dime will be found. >>
Ah but by who is the real question...
I'll agree that anacs will overtake ngc but not pcgs.
The older anacs holdered coins will command a discount to the newest holdered ones.
People will say pcgs is grading too tough (or tougher than the past) and show a lot of modern stuff to prove it. hehe
Gold will spike very close to the old high of $850, but close around 600-650 for the year.
Silver Will go above $10 for a long period of time.
DOW will not correct nor advance more than 15% of the current value.
The Dollar will be higher against the Euro.
Coins will continue the bull market thay are in.
The nay-sayers will poo poo coins, gold, silver and any other bullish investment at every opportunity.
Thats Ok since they want to invest themselves on any pullback.
Oil and gas will revisit and then make new highs. Probably in summer. Then fallback slightly.
my 2 cents
Gold & silver will see strong gains (but a little up and down along the way)
An announcement will be made that the Lincoln Cent will actually be changed in 2009 to Mrs. Lincoln's head on the obverse.
All Roosevelt Dimes will be recalled and replaced with the Mercury dimes now dated 1946 to present.
This PCGS forum will become world renound and contain 150 million members and end up telling the Mint what to do.
The 1913 Liverty Head Nickels will be put back into circulation.
The Red Book's 2007, 60th Edition will be 7 thousand pages long and contain: every error coin possible, every known counterfeit coin, adds from every coin dealer, adds from the Mint and all coins with a BC after the date.
Gold will exceed $800 an ounce.....
Rare coins will start to receive some media attention which means a correction will come sometime after that occurs....
Ohio will decide they did pretty well in coins and will start to buy coins again....
I will own a 1927-d Saint.....
$20 Saint Gaudens Registry Set
Moderns will tank...
Classic coins will increase in value by 15%...
Key dates will continue to be strong with increases in the 10-15% range...
Gold will level out at about $530...
There will be another investor scandal similar to what happened in Ohio in 2005...
The stock market will go up substantiallly... 15%+... which will shift big $'s into the market and away from coins.
Tom
<< <i>David Hall will sell PCGS.
Tom >>
.......
Laura will use the term "wannabe" in 72 threads.
Silver will trade over $10 an ounce.
Copper will top $2.
Gold will dip below $425 at some point.
Bison 2 Roll Mint Wrapped Sets will rise to $40 a set
Ocean View 2 Roll Mint sets will be even higher.
Gold will be over $600 by April
2. About a week and a half after (1) I will bash the I-Will-Never-Need-Another-Trade Dollar out of its plastic with a hammer and plop it in the Dansco where it belongs. I will enjoy it very much.
<< <i>Homerunhall will cash in all of his stock options.... bow out of PCGS.... and move to a secluded island(which he buys) in the Pacific Ocean & never be heard from again.
I hope he clarifys the PCGS guaranty of authenticity beore he flees!
US Mint will release pictures of the 2009 Lincoln redesign
rosie lovers everywhere will unite with outrage about redesign rumors about the Reagan Dime!
I will still be chasing High End Lincolns before the new mass collectors join in.
President, Racine Numismatic Society 2013-2014; Variety Resource Dimes; See 6/8/12 CDN for my article on Winged Liberty Dimes; Ebay
I've been seeing that lately
Coin's for sale/trade.
Tom Pilitowski
US Rare Coin Investments
800-624-1870
Dipped out coins will continue to be
- The Franklin Commems will sell out, but it will take a while.
- Many new collectors will jump on board thanks to some really nice 2006 state quarter designs.
- The .999 Gold Bison coin will be approved (if it hasn't been already). I think it is intended to be produced in 2007. I think it will be a huge success when it is.
- "Old Holder" will be added to eBay titles everywhere for ANACS coins.
- I will add another type coin or two to my 7070, but it will not be completed
- I will find a 1909S VDB and a 1914D cent in the return of a Coin Star Machine (more of a wish than a prediction)
- PCGS will release year end "Last Strike™" 2006 Silver Eagles in a colorful made for TV holder
- The U.S. Mint will announce a new American Media commemorative coin series, beginning with a coin honoring "This is Spinal Tap"
- Coast to Coast, Mount Vernon, and Paul Sims will offer Terrific Premium Quality BU coins at less than wholesale prices!
- The BEP and Mint will reach an agreement to help improve golden dollar circulation by replacing "In God We Trust" on $1 Bills with "I suck. Use a Coin Instead"
- When Waffle Coins run out, the "exclusive" seller will place quarters on railroad tracks and stay in business marketing certified Pancake Coins.
- The U.S. Mint will provide excellent customer service as usual
collections: Maryland related coins & exonumia, 7070 Type set, and Video Arcade Tokens.
The Low Budget Y2K Registry Set
- Gold will hit $950 an ounce by September 2006.
- The discovery of the Lost Dutchman’s gold mine will be announced, it was found in 2004 but kept secret to allow the National Park Service time to prepare the mines designation as a National Park. This discovery will ignite a huge interest in gold and gold coins in the general public, spiking gold to a record price.
- The 1933 Augustus Saint-Gaudens $20 will sell be sold for over $10,000,000, the coin will be bought by Bill Gates and reside with his Leonardo Da Vinci Codex the worlds most valuable book ($30,000,000).
- A coin will be sold on eBay for over $1,000,000, where upon eBay will think they are a high end auction site and raise their listing and FVFs higher than ever before, sending the eBay share price over $100, a three for one stock split will be announced.
-eBay will also announce the purchase of Teletrade and Heritage, the sale will not go through because of monopoly issues. Teletrade and Heritage will then announce a merger the new company will be called Telerage.
-Bin Lauden will finally be caught/killed - sending the DOW over the 11,500 and signaling the end of gold’s upward trend, but there will not be a crash, gold will stay in the $650 to $750 range, oil prices will plummet.
Michael
deceased collectors, for the next of kin.
Camelot
Another record year for coin auctions (the total sells of major auction houses).
PCGS will have a new holder that rim can be viewed.
100 grading points debat will be heated up but none of the top 3 grading services will adapt it in 2006.
Gold will hit $600 some time next year but cannot stay over $600 at the Dec 31, 2006.
PCGS3000 will be over $70,000 and stay there at the year end.
Dealers are still complaining "no fresh material to buy"
More Wannabes show up in the major coin shows
Ken Potter will buy them all up and make millions.
icg will be incorporated into anx
gold will be close to 700
more awareness/numismatic scholarship will come to light about the roman finish 1909 matte proof lincoln cent
generic ms65 saints will be close to $2000.00 pcgs/ngc
better date three dollar gold will be highly desired
civil war era/pre civil war proof gold will be in great DEMAND
any civil war era dated coins biz and proof strike will be in great demand
a marketing campaign for selling the former abn co. printing plates will create interest in 19th century coins and their history as such
there will be new scholarship in the historical and significant
massachusetts colonial coppers struck in boston
colonials in general will be MUCH more in demand for their beauty history and collectibility
other proof and ms biz strike colored coinage be it gold, silver, copper, copper nickel etc.
pre 1915 will have a renaissance in demand the likes we have ever seen
carson city coinage will be hotly contested
Mike
W.C. Fields
<< <i>All 1933 Saints will be declared legal to own. >>
And us "Widget owners" will be laughing our heads off.
Platinum proofs have all-time low mintage after prices rise another 10%.
US coins will continue to be minted from metal.
There will be no square coins minted in the US.
A small banana republic smoewhere in the southern hemisphere will mint small, square, plastic coins.
Next years coins will carry the date "2006" for most of the year.
There will be no circulating gold or silver US coins minted.
Check out my current listings: https://ebay.com/sch/khunt/m.html?_ipg=200&_sop=12&_rdc=1
<< <i>An Alchemist will finally find a way to produce Gold and Silver from Lead making the gold prices plumit down to about $10 an ounce and Silver will be used to make baseball cards. >>
an Alchemist will die a fiery death.............or maybe
CLCT will trade below $10 and above $20.
ANACS will take a 15% market share by yearend.
At least one major coin-laden shipwreck will be discovered.
Mercurydimeguy will turn his hobby into a business.
Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.
Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
The Senate will hold a grading contest for its members and Las Vegas will take bets on the outcome. The event will be televised on Pay-for-View and will be so popular that the contests will be held monthly. Senators who fare poorly in the contest will lose their bid for re-election.
The House will be unable to hold a grading contest as the members will be unable to agree on the rules governing the contest.
<< <i>PCGS will begin to grade and slab deceased collectors, for the next of kin. >>
This service will be called PKS