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Reggie Bush 1/10 favorite to win the heishman

RANDYMOSS84RANDYMOSS84 Posts: 1,980
in Sports Talk
LMFAO risk 5 to win .50

Matty is 16/1
Vince young 16/10

Comments

  • GoBravesGoGoBravesGo Posts: 607 ✭
    do those odds change if UCLA holds Bush to about 20 total yards and then break his leg? image
  • RANDYMOSS84RANDYMOSS84 Posts: 1,980


    << <i>do those odds change if UCLA holds Bush to about 20 total yards and then break his leg? image >>




    Prob. 1/10 odds are terrible LMFAO. I might just throw 5 bucks on matty
  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,997 ✭✭✭✭✭
    <<< Prob. 1/10 odds are terrible LMFAO >>>

    You obviously have no clue as to how bookies work. The real odds on a bet like this probably should be 1/1,000. But the books aren't going to allow any "real money" to be won on something like this. There most probably is a maximum bet allowed such as $1,000 so a bettor could only win a maximum of $100. They "give a little money away" to throw a bone to their regular bettors and/or to suck some new bettors in to opening up an account with them. If a new bettor opens an account with $1,000 and wins an easy $100, the chances are very good that a percentage of those newbies are going to bet some more and these newbies will windup losing much more than that $100. Overall the bookies always win.
  • RANDYMOSS84RANDYMOSS84 Posts: 1,980
    I DON'T BET WITH A BOOKIE THANKS. PLUS THESE ARE ODDS I GOT OFF OF ESPN IN A ARTICLE
  • iamthegreatcornholioiamthegreatcornholio Posts: 3,366
    I dunno Steve, there's a saying that goes something like never bet a lot to win a little. I'm not advocating taking huge underdogs either, but take a look at the football game tonight. I believe the Fresno State ML was -3600 tonight, and that lost miserably. Nothing is a lock although I'd be very suprised if Bush doesn't win it.
  • stevekstevek Posts: 28,997 ✭✭✭✭✭
    <<< I dunno Steve, there's a saying that goes something like never bet a lot to win a little. I'm not advocating taking huge underdogs either, but take a look at the football game tonight. I believe the Fresno State ML was -3600 tonight, and that lost miserably. Nothing is a lock although I'd be very suprised if Bush doesn't win it. >>>

    Brian I agree with you as far as sporting events whereby the outcome is basically always uncertain. But this is a "voting" event whereby to some degree and sometimes to an exact degree the outcome can be certain. I'm not going to say that bookies give money away because of course they don't, and if they do for sure there is an ulterior motive involved. I just think this looks like one one those times for the reasons mentioned in my last post.

    Maybe I'm incorrect about this as far as the bookies go and maybe as RANDYMOSS84 posted that the "odds" by the books, taking their vig into account, is calculated at one to ten. So that would mean the "real odds" according to the books calculations is about one to eight. Just seems to me that Bush "can't lose" this vote, and that some books might be just using this as a promotion. I have read articles where bookies admit to doing this - this seems like one of those times. Really not much different than "giving out" say a 10% bonus on a $1,000 deposit.


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