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Gold or Google?

Both have been on fire lately -- both are over $400. The question is, one year from today, which do you think will be worth more, one share of Google or one ounce of gold?
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  • It's time to short goog and time to buy au.
    image
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,571 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I sold the rest of my goog yesterday image just before that 18 dollar drop back to 403.

    I like GOLD image

    but we all know I ain't the saltiest cracker in the box

  • I think that psychologically, at least for the short term, investors in gold will liquidate forcing gold down to the $450-$475 range for a good year or so. Then like a bad George Romero movie will rise again from it's tomb as an unstoppable monster.

    Google will remain strong for a while; it is one very aggressive and innovative company.

    Just my stupid opinion
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I sold the rest of my goog yesterday image just before that 18 dollar drop back to 403. >>

    Good move. GOOG's up to $445 today.
  • ttownttown Posts: 4,472 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>I sold the rest of my goog yesterday image just before that 18 dollar drop back to 403. >>

    Good move. GOOG's up to $445 today. >>



    If he sold it to buy Gold it was a great move and he's far ahead of Google.image
  • Google shows us that the average stock "player" learned nothing from the .com crash. Still looking for a greater fool and hoping to get out right before the crash.
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Google shows us that the average stock "player" learned nothing from the .com crash. >>

    Is Google a typical 90s .com, or is it more like Microsoft circa 1986? I don't know the answer, but I'm willing to play the game for a little while in the chance of the latter.
  • RedneckHBRedneckHB Posts: 19,661 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I heard the funniest comment from a GOOG analyst today.

    He said GOOG is "on the verge of creating its own ecosystem."image

    I havent heard anything like that since late 1999.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭
    i wish to throw my two cents into the pot!

    google's main reason for existing, their search engine, is not as good as it
    used to be. There is much more competition, for example http://clusty.com.
    I could easily live and use the internet without even caring about google anymore.
    I could not say that two years ago when my choices were fewer.

    Can someone please name a way google makes money besides through advertising?
    Please do not mention their search appliance because most feel that is not enough
    revenue.

    I truly think there is too much money around, so much so, people are willing to
    speculate on something that appears to be a flash in the pan.

    Do no evil huh? right...
  • BECOKABECOKA Posts: 16,961 ✭✭✭
    I predict a $150 drop in Google in 1 year. They are way over priced. Short Google and Buy Gold. Gold will be at $625 in 1 year.
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I predict a $150 drop in Google in 1 year. >>

    That wouldn't bother me so much. I'd still be ahead.

    << <i>They are way over priced. Short Google and Buy Gold. Gold will be at $625 in 1 year. >>

    I'm guessing Google at $550 by December 31, 2006; and Gold at $475. Yes, I said "guess". I make no predictions; I have no real idea.
  • JRoccoJRocco Posts: 14,277 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Every day I try to buy Google, but every day something stops me-----that is shortly followed at 4 PM every day with me kicking myself....
    Some coins are just plain "Interesting"


  • << <i>Do no evil huh? right... >>



    Over time, I have come to really dislike Google. Years ago I was one of their bigger supporters.

    They've become a bit too full of themselves. I suspect they are due for a hard fall both financially and in terms of image.

    I believe it will be well deserved when it comes.
    "Lenin is certainly right. There is no subtler or more severe means of overturning the existing basis of society(destroy capitalism) than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and it does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose."
    John Marnard Keynes, The Economic Consequences of the Peace, 1920, page 235ff
  • TorinoCobra71TorinoCobra71 Posts: 8,060 ✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>I sold the rest of my goog yesterday image just before that 18 dollar drop back to 403. >>

    Good move. GOOG's up to $445 today. >>



    GOLD!

    SO, uh, Bob, you gonna jump on the bandwagon and buy some google stock?

    TorinoCobra71

    image
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭


    << <i>SO, uh, Bob, you gonna jump on the bandwagon and buy some google stock? >>

    Already in at sub-$300. Not selling anytime soon.
  • PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 46,814 ✭✭✭✭✭
    What's the P/E ratio of Google?

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
    "Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire

  • drwstr123drwstr123 Posts: 7,049 ✭✭✭✭✭
    And my 2 cents: Co-workers, who have lost shirts in eveery vogue boom, have been comming to me for info as to buying gold coins. IMO, this is a great time to unload your crap coins. People motivated by greed will gobble-gobble. Mike
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Over time, I have come to really dislike Google. Years ago I was one of their bigger supporters. >>

    That's just weird. You wanted them to become successful, but once they did, you didn't like them? What, exactly, were you expecting?

    I don't know about the whole "do no evil" stuff, but I do see them getting their talons into just about every aspect of computing. That's a big market, and it would not surprise me at all if Microsoft whithers and Google rages all through the next decade. Or not. It could go either way. I don't mind -- I'm diversified.


  • << <i>What's the P/E ratio of Google? >>



    blood temp

    98.6


    but, hey, todays investors don't look at those things anyway.
  • PerryHallPerryHall Posts: 46,814 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>

    << <i>What's the P/E ratio of Google? >>



    blood temp

    98.6


    but, hey, todays investors don't look at those things anyway. >>



    Sounds like a bargain to me! image

    Worry is the interest you pay on a debt you may not owe.
    "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value---zero."----Voltaire
    "Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said."----Voltaire

  • 291fifth291fifth Posts: 24,674 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Gold.

    I heard a stock analyst is saying $800 a share is possible for Google in the next year. My opinion of coin dealers is downright positive when compared with my opinion of stock analysts.
    All glory is fleeting.
  • 10 shares of ebay!!!!!!!!


  • << <i>

    << <i>Over time, I have come to really dislike Google. Years ago I was one of their bigger supporters. >>

    That's just weird. You wanted them to become successful, but once you did, you didn't like them? What, exactly, were you expecting?

    I don't know about the whole "do no evil" stuff, but I do see them getting their talons into just about every aspect of computing. That's a big market, and it would not surprise me at all if Microsoft whithers and Google rages all through the next decade. Or not. It could go either way. I don't mind -- I'm diversified. >>



    It seems to me that they have changed from their original creedo. Perhaps it was all a lie to begin with.

    Around the time they began releasing their own surreptitious spyware hiddden in G-mail and their toolbars while maintaining their pure intent, I began to see an ominous change.

    MS is who they are, they make no bones about it. Google seems to think they can get away with a facade of goodness while doing just the opposite behind the curtain. I find that contemptable. MS isn't going to "whither" and if Google keeps tugging on Superman's cape, they may find out that they should have remained content with a big slice of the pie instead of thinking they could take the main course as well. I know they are releasing their own operating system and are going to market cheap PCs with it through Wal-Mart. Going with junk PCs could quickly taint them. I still remember the E-machines.

    Bonding with Wal-Mart isn't going to score them any points from a PR standpoint either.

    JMO.
    "Lenin is certainly right. There is no subtler or more severe means of overturning the existing basis of society(destroy capitalism) than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and it does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose."
    John Marnard Keynes, The Economic Consequences of the Peace, 1920, page 235ff
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I know they are releasing their own operating system and are going to market cheap PCs with it through Wal-Mart. Going with junk PCs could quickly taint them. I still remember the E-machines.

    Bonding with Wal-Mart isn't going to score them any points from a PR standpoint either. >>

    The Wal-Mart/Google alliance story turned out to be not true. Both companies have denied any deals.
  • coinkatcoinkat Posts: 23,816 ✭✭✭✭✭
    look for a third option....image

    Experience the World through Numismatics...it's more than you can imagine.

  • topstuftopstuf Posts: 14,803 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Google. Just because MOST people have no idea of intrinsic worth of ANYTHING.

    And gold is a barbaric relic and if you don't believe it, just listen to Maria Bartiromo.

    image


  • << <i>

    << <i>I know they are releasing their own operating system and are going to market cheap PCs with it through Wal-Mart. Going with junk PCs could quickly taint them. I still remember the E-machines.

    Bonding with Wal-Mart isn't going to score them any points from a PR standpoint either. >>

    The Wal-Mart/Google alliance story turned out to be not true. Both companies have denied any deals. >>



    That's news to me, must be recent.

    Still, what about the OS and cheap PCs?

    Denials from both sides? Hmmm, I suppose time will tell.

    Still, there is no doubt about the hidden spyware. If more people knew about that, things might change. I suspect their image is going to suffer in the future.
    "Lenin is certainly right. There is no subtler or more severe means of overturning the existing basis of society(destroy capitalism) than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and it does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose."
    John Marnard Keynes, The Economic Consequences of the Peace, 1920, page 235ff
  • dizzyfoxxdizzyfoxx Posts: 9,823 ✭✭✭
    Here's a tip, try to buy coins LIKE THIS for bluesheet.image The turn-around would certainly be decent.image
    image...There's always time for coin collecting. image


  • << <i>Still, there is no doubt about the hidden spyware. If more people knew about that, things might change. I suspect their image is going to suffer in the future. >>



    Oh yes, it's really quite interesting when you look at how Google and Microsoft address privacy concerns. Microsoft has to be very careful where it treads -- any slip-up and they're accused of being evil or breaking their antitrust deal. Google takes many more liberties with privacy issues and people don't seem to mind because their enamored with Google.

    BTW, for those of you keeping track, check out this chart comparing the prices of Google to gold over the past 3 months. Google seems to be gaining ground on Gold since this poll started. In relative terms, it looks like GOOG has advanced farther than Gold, though Google still has a little ways to go before it passes Gold.
  • TwoSides2aCoinTwoSides2aCoin Posts: 44,571 ✭✭✭✭✭
    well, my first post about selling Goog was on the 30th of Nov 05. I sold 2 shares at 421 after having bought them at 338. They dropped to 403 that day. A couple days later I bought 4 shares at 407 and haven't let go of them.

    Around that same time frame, there was a thread where I sold some of my Goog to buy CLCT at 15.53... I bought 50 shares ... as it began sliding I began buying more til it bottomed out around 12. So now, I own 4 shares of Goog at 407, and 350 shares of CLCT at an avg cost of 13.07.

    I bought every commemorative unc gold and commemorative proof gold since 2002 that the mint has put out, plus several $5 Dollar Indians and a few Gold bullion coins along the way. It's all a game. Stupid or not, at least I have fun playing image

    ching ching .......ya win some and ya lose some !

    I am only "re-posting" in this thread as I see my first post was "COPIED" and commented on image (a month or so later ) by the way, I still like Gold ......... it looks better on my girlfriend.
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭
    Wow, GOOG up another 17 bucks today -- $468. Gold's raging too. The only place you don't want your money these days is cash.
  • joefrojoefro Posts: 1,872 ✭✭
    My two cents: Google will be around for a while. They have a lot more going then just their search engine (which no company can monopolize forever)

    ANYONE WHO HAS USED GOOGLE EARTH knows what I mean. If you havent go download the 20MB free version and see for yourself. They have compiled all of their sattelite images into an interactive world map. You can overlay any information you could possibly want from roads to schools, restaraunts (which can be further broken down into Pizza, Chinese, Mexican...etc.) even crime statistics.

    Google Earth is a very bold program that has almost infinite potential to grow. This program alone would be enough to carry a company for a while. Anyone wanting to compete would first have to buy all the rights to the sattelite images. Anyways, check it out for yourself. Google may have started as a search engine but they are much more than that now. I wouldnt be surprised it Google is around, going strong for some time to come..
    Lincoln Cent & Libertad Collector
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭
    Man, GOOG's gettin' hammered today! Might go sub-$400 before the day's out. OUCH!
  • RedneckHBRedneckHB Posts: 19,661 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Gold making a nice key reversal today also.

    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • JDelageJDelage Posts: 724 ✭✭


    << <i>Man, GOOG's gettin' hammered today! Might go sub-$400 before the day's out. OUCH! >>



    I just bought some today. IMHO, it's a totally irrational reaction to the Yahoo disappointment a few days ago. GOOG is announcing their results on Jan-31, and I believe they will have stolen some market share from YHOO. The fundamentals for online advertising are incredibly strong - the prices for advertisers are 10X to 20X lower than offline, and the advertising budgets are trailing consumer usage (i.e., advertisers spend disproportionally higher share of their ad $ offline than is warranted by the share of users' media time).

    I'm going to ride this roller coaster till February.
    "The greatest productive force is human selfishness."
    Robert A. Heinlein
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I'm going to ride this roller coaster till February. >>

    If you're only around until February, you should investigate the options market. There's 10x the money to be made there than in just the stock itself.
  • Dennis88Dennis88 Posts: 5,797 ✭✭✭
    Google is only starting right now. As of today, there aren't any cases that the internet/computer world will be collapsing this year. It will stay hot, and Google will invent more and more programs. I think they will even come up with their own operating system in the coming 5-10 years.

    Gold, is high, but can be higher. We saw that in the early 80's, and it might be happening again. But gold can as easily go down in the next year again. What will happen is hard to guess, there are many, many factors to count in when making a guess....

    So, I would buy 1 share of Google instead on share of Gold....

    Dennis
  • RedneckHBRedneckHB Posts: 19,661 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Jim Cramer just said GOOG is on a highway to 600. So it must be true. LOL

    GOOG may make one more attempt for a new high, then it will be dead money for the next 10 years.
    Excuses are tools of the ignorant

    Knowledge is the enemy of fear

  • 1jester1jester Posts: 8,637 ✭✭✭
    Dennis, you weren't even around in the early 80s...image

    But it's good you're interested in history and economics.

    imageimageimage
    .....GOD
    image

    "Ask, and it shall be given you; seek, and ye shall find; knock, and it shall be opened unto you." -Luke 11:9

    "Hear, O Israel: The LORD our God is one LORD: And thou shalt love the LORD thy God with all thine heart, and with all thy soul, and with all thy might." -Deut. 6:4-5

    "For the LORD is our judge, the LORD is our lawgiver, the LORD is our king; He will save us." -Isaiah 33:22
  • JDelageJDelage Posts: 724 ✭✭
    Wow, GOOG has fallen under $400 - ouch.
    "The greatest productive force is human selfishness."
    Robert A. Heinlein
  • Google is a pump and dump. Yahoo is the real winner long term. Buy Yahoo.
    Collecting cleaned, scratched, scraped, AT and ugly POS coins for over 2 years now!
  • JDelageJDelage Posts: 724 ✭✭


    << <i>Yahoo is the real winner long term. Buy Yahoo. >>


    You mean that as a stock or as a company (in the sense that it's possible for a very good company to have an overpriced stock which is a poor investment)?
    "The greatest productive force is human selfishness."
    Robert A. Heinlein
  • Gentlemen, Google is the Worlds largest spam engine. Its entire business model is based on collecting your personal data and selling it to who ever will buy it, be that a porn operator, or a large NYSE corporation. They use their 50,000 servers to play the role of BIG BROTHER in private business. Their servers and spyware continue to collect data on hundreds of millions of visitors each month without telling them what is being collected and who it is sold to. They know more about the private lives of their users than the IRS, and the Government is going to take them down.

    This new investigation from the Feds about porn users is just a start, As is usual in these types of Internet companies the insiders are selling billions of dollars in stock, and have been over the last 18 months. In the end Google will be trading below $100 and the public will yet again lose billions gambling in the stock market, buy some nice gold coins and leave this Google deal alone.
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,313 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Gold is certainly headed to over $1000 and probably over $1500 just to help balance the fiat economies of the world. As far as Google goes, who the heck knows.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • Yeah, Google is certainly headed the wrong direction if it wants to beat gold by the end of the year. BTW, I don't know if anyone else was watching the January options on Google yesterday (an options expiration day), but they were crazily priced given the remaining time value. I guess when a stock's moving 30+ points in a day, it's going to have pretty big impact on the options.
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭
    GOOG back up 21 points today. If you bought on Friday, congrats.
  • JDelageJDelage Posts: 724 ✭✭


    << <i>GOOG back up 21 points today. If you bought on Friday, congrats. >>



    I did. I'm up $650 so far. Not bad for a w-e's work... As you said, I should have bought options, but I'm not set up for that.

    The big swings are going to be in the first few days of Feb (GOOG releases their quart. numbers on Jan-31).
    "The greatest productive force is human selfishness."
    Robert A. Heinlein
  • fcfc Posts: 12,793 ✭✭✭
    ah speculation at its finest. making up for losses in the last
    tech bust eh?

    since when was investing meant to buy and sell within a week(s)?

    so, you have 100 shares of google. you get in an accident and
    cannot manage your stocks for a few months due to a coma.

    you wake up and find you have lost everything.

    give me gold thanks.
  • JDelageJDelage Posts: 724 ✭✭


    << <i>ah speculation at its finest. >>

    No, it's my money, and it's a reasonable % of my net worth. Gamble maybe, speculation no.



    << <i>making up for losses in the last tech bust eh? >>

    What I lost in the last tech bust was due to my deciding to hold on my stock grants instead of selling. That was a mistake (I was working for a dotcom - one of those that have survived, I might add).



    << <i>since when was investing meant to buy and sell within a week(s)? >>

    I haven't sold, but in any case, taking advantage of sharp moves by the market is, IMHO, a perfectly legit way to trade. It's the first time I do that, but the opportunity was compelling.



    << <i>so, you have 100 shares of google. you get in an accident and cannot manage your stocks for a few months due to a coma. you wake up and find you have lost everything. >>

    Or that the stock has gone up twofold, and that you doubled your investment. In any case - what's your point? In my investing strategy, the risk of my getting in an accident and spending a few months in the coma is pretty heavily discounted, as it should be for anyone (unless you have a specific medical condition).



    << <i>give me gold thanks. >>

    I have gold too, and index funds for that matter - I'm pretty well diversified (except no real estate for the moment). In fact, I just added to that a beautiful set of 1998 Britannia. I paid $50 over spot, so not a screaming deal for 1.85 ounce, but those are just too pretty.
    "The greatest productive force is human selfishness."
    Robert A. Heinlein
  • flaminioflaminio Posts: 5,664 ✭✭✭


    << <i>give me gold thanks. >>

    This is not an either/or situation. I have gold, and I have GOOG. It doesn't matter so much to me which one "wins" -- I'll win either way. I also have other stocks, some very boring mutual funds, a pile of cash in a money market account, and real estate with rental income. I'm not a rich man by any means, but I've saved and invested agressively for 25 years. I wouldn't bet my life savings on GOOG, but I have no problem picking up a little to play with.

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