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HR Record

CubbyCubby Posts: 2,096
Who do you think will break Aaron's record? My picks are:
1. Arod
2. Pujols
3. Cabrera
4. Dunn


BTW: Cubby=Cub Fan

Comments



  • << <i>Who do you think will break Aaron's record? My picks are:
    1. Arod
    2. Pujols
    3. Cabrera
    4. Dunn >>



    Bonds will do it upon his return, but to address your picks:

    1. Arod - Most likely to do it given his current HR total and age. However, he plays in Yankee Stadium, which is not kind to RH hitters
    2. Pujols - Good pick, but behind Arod right now.
    3. Cabrera - Very Young and too soon to tell.
    4. Dunn - Not at his pace. Too many strikeouts that need to be home runs.
    image

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  • AxtellAxtell Posts: 10,037 ✭✭
    Arod has the best chance...but I am not holding my breath (I remember people saying the same about Griffey Jr.)


  • KnucklesKnuckles Posts: 2,512 ✭✭✭
    Yeah, Arod for sure but if he gets a nagging injury and that comes back off and on forget it.
    image
  • CubbyCubby Posts: 2,096
    Bonds will do it upon his return - A couple of years ago I thought both Bonds and Sosa would break the record. Now...image


    BTW: Cubby=Cub Fan
  • KnucklesKnuckles Posts: 2,512 ✭✭✭
    I think Bonds is going to go down to 15-20HR's per the remaining seasons he's got left in him. No more steroids for him..
    image
  • Mac53Mac53 Posts: 805
    Here are some numbers which may, or may not, mean anything (they may, or may not be accurate as well--I hate math):

    Career:

    Player AB HR AB/HR

    Pujols 2571 172 14.9
    Arod 5785 398 14.5
    Dunn 1898 132 14.4

    Sosa 8161 579 14.1
    Bonds 9098 703 12.9

    Trends? 2002 to present (since 2001 were big number years for Sosa and Bonds):

    Player AB/HR
    Dunn 14.6
    Pujols 14.6
    Bonds 13.2
    Sosa 13.1
    Arod 12.9
    "Charlie, here comes the deuce. And when you speak of me, speak well."image
  • Dallas88Dallas88 Posts: 746
    Just my opinion, but none of them will do it.

    With age comes the burden of "extra-work" to maintain the ability to play well, at such a high-level of competition.

    With all the money and pampering these guys get, that burden seems quite unreasonable for them.ence

    Hence - Hank is safe for quite awhile.
  • AxtellAxtell Posts: 10,037 ✭✭


    << <i>
    With all the money and pampering these guys get, that burden seems quite unreasonable for them.ence

    Hence - Hank is safe for quite awhile. >>



    You don't think Arod has that drive now? Even with the countless money he has, and the MVP, he still hits the weight room at 6am.

    I think the number of 700 HR club members will double by 2020 though.
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