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CU Earnings Report Released

MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,412 ✭✭✭✭✭
This earnings report is unbelievable!

Can anyone here explain how these guys are managing to lose so much money in the greatest coin market since 1980?

Or am I missing something? Is it just some sort accounting game?
Andy Lustig

Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
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Comments

  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭
    they don't deal in coins. they deal in plastic.

    K S
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,412 ✭✭✭✭✭
    they don't deal in coins. they deal in plastic.

    Dork - Have it your way, but the market for plastic is also red hot.
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • amazing

    maybe I need to come in and show them how to run a tight ship and turn a profit. They must be bleeding money from the auction side of the CU business. At 90,000 submissions a month for grading at let's say $15 each average would put 16.2 million a year in revenue into the coffers. What can the overhead be? 8-10 million?

    I would like to see the profit and loss statement just for PCGS.
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Andy, its not how much you lose, its the turnover rate that counts?

    As for the overhead, bulbs for the graders lamps aint free you know.image
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭
    you said "lose so much money in the greatest coin market since 1980". it's not the greatest coin market since 1980, it's the greatest plastic market since 1980.

    & in those terms, i agree that your question is poignant.

    K S
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,412 ✭✭✭✭✭
    it's not the greatest coin market since 1980, it's the greatest plastic market since 1980.

    Karl - In the moderns market, plastic is hotter than coins. In the colonials market, coins are hotter than plastic. But overall, the markets for coins and plastic are BOTH "hot". But that's not what this thread is about, so let's leave this game alone for now, OK?
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • braddickbraddick Posts: 24,776 ✭✭✭✭✭
    CU recently sold off its Currency Auction division. Possibly this move will help?

    peacockcoins

  • selling the currency might HELP but will not fix the problem. no way the currency part could have lost all that money.
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,412 ✭✭✭✭✭
    CU recently sold off its Currency Auction division. Possibly this move will help?

    I doubt it. Still, I'd really like to see a P/L breakdown for the various divisions. I'm most curious to see the statement for DHRC, since that's where I expect CU's upper management (i.e., HRH) might have the strongest bias against cutbacks.
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • Andy, Dont even respond to that idiot!
    You can fool man but you can't fool God! He knows why you do what you do!
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    WSM, to which of us idiots in particular , were you refering?image
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Karl - In the moderns market, plastic is hotter than coins. In the colonials market, coins are hotter than plastic. But overall, the markets for coins and plastic are BOTH "hot". But that's not what this thread is about, so let's leave this game alone for now, OK? >>

    huh??? image my point is not "coins" vs. "plastic", but rather, just drawing a simple logical conclusion.

    mr-eureka, think for a second about what your saying. there's 2 possibilities here:

    1. plastic mkt is HOT, yet mysteriously, c-u, which derives almost 100% from plastic does poorly.

    do you really think this's possible??? totally defies all logic.

    OR the alternative,

    2. plastic mkt is NOT HOT, but it's a bunch of overblown hype, & that's why c-u, which derives almost 100% from plastic does poorly.

    seems to me, #2 is the more reasonable & there's just a lot of hype in the mkt.

    then again, "hype" is just "hot air", so may be plastic really is hot, if it's heated up by hot air.

    K S
  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭
    hey joy-of-moderns, pcgs is the best. only buy pcgs, because they're the best. they're the best, because they're coins sell the best. that's why you buy only pcgs.

    happy now?

    K S
  • dork

    CU is a bunch of companies and not just PCGS. Could it be that the other divisions are doing badly?

  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭
    jbsteven, what do those other co's do / deal in? image

    K S

  • Coins
    Professional Coin Grading Service
    Bowers and Merena Galleries
    David Hall Rare Coins

    Sports
    Professional Sports Authenticator
    PSA/DNA Authentication Services
    Superior Sports

    Stamps
    Professional Stamp Experts

    Autographs
    PSA/DNA Authentication Services
    Odyssey Autographs & Memorabilia

    Music
    Good Rockin' Tonight

    image

    image
  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭
    louis, that's exactly right. & what does everything (of significance) on that list have in common?

    plastic.

    K S
  • braddickbraddick Posts: 24,776 ✭✭✭✭✭


    << <i>louis, that's exactly right. & what does everything (of significance) on that list have in common?

    plastic.

    K S >>

    I thought records were made out of vinyl?

    peacockcoins

  • nwcsnwcs Posts: 13,386 ✭✭✭
    And we know what effects polyVINYLchloride has on coins... image

    Seriously, I'd like to know what strategy CU has for returning to sustained profitability.
  • BarryBarry Posts: 10,100 ✭✭✭
    There will be a conference call/webcast tomorrow from the CEO.

    Maybe PCGS should be sold and taken private.
  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭
    how much stock do y'all own in c-u? just curious

    (of course, wallstreetman owns thousands of share because they're the best. & you buy only the best. right joy-of-moderns?)

    K S
  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Maybe PCGS should be sold and taken private. >>

    to who, the png?

    K S
  • Wolf359Wolf359 Posts: 7,663 ✭✭✭
    Loss breakdown:

    (a) accounts receivable and inventory reserves and write-downs totaling $538,000,
    (b) an increase in selling, general and administrative expense associated with relocation expenses of $315,000 relating to the move of the Bowers & Merena Division from Wolfeboro, NH to Mandeville, LA and
    (c) a $1,477,000 non-cash goodwill impairment charge recorded as an operating expense in that quarter, that had the effect of writing-off the Company's remaining goodwill.

    So..they moved and wrote off goodwill (goodwill is a premium associated with your reputation among other things).

    The only real concern I see above is (a) ---> write-off of stiffs who didn't pay and clearly a correction of inventory values. Surprising in a good market.

    Please note this is a 5 minute synopsis of a PR, not a professional evaluation.
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Generally when a company is taken private, it is by the principle officers, perhaps

    bank rolled by a financial institution or a silent financial partner.
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • "I'd really like to see a P/L breakdown for the various divisions"

    Is that not in some SEC report somewhere?

    The co. may have lost money, but what are all the salaries? It's easy to make your co. lose money at the end of the year so you don't have to pay the gov. any taxes - just bonus out salaries near the end of the year. Big Q though is wall street's position on the appropriateness of those salaries. It has been discussed before, but the total market cap for CLCT is only about $22M. I'm surprised all the critics of how they do things have not yet organized a hostile takeover so they can run it the way they want. In case anyone is interested, their stock is selling BELOW liquidation value.
  • nwcsnwcs Posts: 13,386 ✭✭✭
    I do not own any shares in CU, but I believe that the coin hobby is better off if both NGC and PCGS are strong players.
  • nwcsnwcs Posts: 13,386 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I'm surprised all the critics of how they do things have not yet organized a hostile takeover so they can run it the way they want. >>

    TDN offered $10 mil in the forum last year for PCGS only, if memory serves...
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,412 ✭✭✭✭✭
    TDN offered $10 mil in the forum last year for PCGS only, if memory serves...

    If auctioned, I'll bet that PCGS alone would sell in excess of $25 million. (I can think of at least a half dozen serious buyers in that range.)

    BTW, I do own a fair amount of CU stock. If the market hammers the stock due to the recent loss, I'll buy more.
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭


    << <i>the coin hobby is better off if both NGC and PCGS are strong players. >>

    i believe ngc & pcgs have small impact on the coin hobby, though i think their impact on the coin BUSINESS is huge. but i also believe the business would benefit if only 1 slabing co. existed.

    why do you think there's benefit to having multiple plastic co's? it's not like there's any checks & balances going on!

    K S
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭
    There is no Henny Penny here. Sorry about the bad pun. The company had a pretax loss of $3,267,000. They wrote off $10,439,000 in goodwill, which is the difference between book value and the actual value. The company deteremined that all of its goodwill was impaired so they wrote it all off. Going forward there is no more goodwill to write off.

    Here are some interesting facts: grading and authentification fees increased by 11%, grading and authentification fees represent 39% of total revenues for fiscal year 2003, coin grading submissions increased 24% and sportscard 10%.

    I would say that going forward they are in good shape and should return to black numbers. Goodwill is gone and if they maintain the same margins the company should do well. This is just a quickie analysis but I don't see anything in their financial reports that is alarming.
  • ScarsdaleCoinScarsdaleCoin Posts: 5,325 ✭✭✭✭✭
    wonderful report....not only do they make a mint....they manage to figure a way not to pay taxes....at this rate the government will step in to provide them with funds to help them.....image
    Jon Lerner - Scarsdale Coin - www.CoinHelp.com
  • look at their new ceo michael r. haynes..same guy that pretty much helped drive tagz into the toilet too..bad bad track record
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭
    Well I doubt if anyone would accuse me of drinking PCGS koolaid, but give Haynes a chance. He has hardly been there long enough to make judgements about his leadership. As I stated previously I don't see anything alarming going forward. The first thing you learn about financial reports as a lender is that they are just a jumping off point to ask questions and probe deeper. It looks to me like they have taken their medicine and the patient is alive and will be doing well into the immediate future.
  • nwcsnwcs Posts: 13,386 ✭✭✭
    Would someone explain the concept of goodwill to those of us who do not fully understand it? Thanks. image
  • wasn't there a reverse stocl split a while ago?

    how has the stock performed?
    "I want to die peacefully in my sleep like my Grandfather did, as opposed to screaming in terror like his passengers."
  • nwcsnwcs Posts: 13,386 ✭✭✭
    Yes, about a year ago there was a 1 for 2 reverse split, I believe.
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭
    I can give you a bankers view of goodwill. If you purchase a company, the stock i.e. the balance sheet will reflect a value for assets. Many of the "hard" assets will be depreciated over time and therefore show more or less value then you could resell them for. The difference in what you paid for the company and value of the assets is Goodwill. For example if you paid $100 for all of the company's stock and the assets were valued on the balance sheet at $80, then you purchased $20 in goodwill. In the past you had to writed down a certain percentage of this goodwill every year.

    Accounting rules changed and now you have to do a test to see if any of it is impaired, simple this means will revenue streams justify the goodwill. CU decided to write off the goodwill under the new standards.

    You at it this way, would you be willing to pay more to get the Coke name or RC Cola name. Obviously the Coke name, so it has some intagible value or goodwill. Also companies tend to sell at a multiple of earnings or cash flow and not at the depreciated asset value. The difference is accounted for in the purchase as goodwill.

    Hope this helps and I am sure the accounts will correct me or add to this.
  • nwcsnwcs Posts: 13,386 ✭✭✭
    Ahh, that makes sense. Thanks!
  • LAWMANLAWMAN Posts: 1,274 ✭✭
    Big things to look for: how much debt? what was the earnings forecast? did they have any one-time, non-recurring write-offs?
    DSW
  • wowsier

    another enron perhaps?

    its spookey now a days to wonder like "whats my 401k in and just how much is really there"


    scarey
    image

    Go BIG or GO HOME. ©Bill
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭


    << <i>Big things to look for: how much debt? what was the earnings forecast? did they have any one-time, non-recurring write-offs? >>



    No debt, bank debt i.e. and yes several non-reoccuring charges.
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,412 ✭✭✭✭✭
    wonderful report....not only do they make a mint....they manage to figure a way not to pay taxes

    Looking at the last year, I'd have to agree. But looking only at the last quarter, it's not so wonderful. Their losses greatly exceeded their write-offs for goodwill and bad debts.

    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • tradedollarnuttradedollarnut Posts: 20,198 ✭✭✭✭✭
    A hostile takeover is not possible because of the amount of stock owned by insiders. Overall, the company's balance sheet is as solid as a rock and most of the losses were paper losses. But I still don't see dividends in the immediate future and thus would hesitate to own too much without the posibility of control.

    Ok, ok - $15M! image
  • IrishMikeIrishMike Posts: 7,737 ✭✭✭


    << <i>wonderful report....not only do they make a mint....they manage to figure a way not to pay taxes

    Looking at the last year, I'd have to agree. But looking only at the last quarter, it's not so wonderful. Their losses greatly exceeded their write-offs for goodwill and bad debts. >>




    Andy, if you are going to report those kinds of losses for the year, you write everything off in the 4th quarter that you can and more. image It's called making yourself look like heros going forward.

    TDN, they do indeed have a powerful balance sheet.
  • They played accounting games in the past and are trying to fix it now


    Goodwill is "blue sky" - sometime in the past they must have included it as income to make their books look good.


    Even though "coins" market is good, their retail operations lost money -> whether that is sports card values dropped and whatever else they deal in - makes it interesting and points out how tight the collectible retail market is.


    It cost them to move Bowers and Marena - will they ever recoup that loss?





    They have diversified to the point of losing focus on their "core" business



    They lost half a million in auctions ??
  • Wasn't CU in the black when Roger Johnson stepped down as CEO last year? If I remember right, CU was bleeding when he came on board and he turned the company back to profitability but since February (Haynes' start) the company is bleeding again. R. Johnson's leadership was the main reason I bought a bunch of CU's stock. Would much rather sell it high to make a profit than to sell a bunch of it short banking on a drop


  • << <i>most of the losses were paper losses. >>



    That might be an easy outlook to have if you are an outsider looking in or for someone contemplating buying the stock today. However, if someone purchased the stock at IPO, then those "paper losses" (goodwill) represent a price of $10,439,000 that was paid in excess of actual value. Might be easy enough to write off $10,439,000 when you pulled millions out at IPO, have sold millions of dollars in stock since the IPO and are being paid $450,000/year. However, if you are an original stockholder, then that writedown comes right out of the value of your stock!!

    So, those people that trusted the leaders of CLCT and paid $25 per share at IPO, have been royally T-boned. Someone buying a 1000 shs. at IPO for $25,000, today has stock worth a big ol' $3,650. Even worse, someone paying $40,000 for a 1000 shs. in the first quarter of 2000, today has stock worth only $3,650.

    Check out the stock's value over time:

    CLCT chart


    image
  • dorkkarldorkkarl Posts: 12,691 ✭✭✭
    the performance of their stock price mirrors that of many technology co's, meaning they're no better or worse than a lot of co's. however, like you said, that still indicates a pretty danged poor investment over the part few years. yikes!

    blue-chips for me, baby!

    K S
  • tradedollarnuttradedollarnut Posts: 20,198 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Goodwill is "blue sky" - sometime in the past they must have included it as income to make their books look good

    Not true at all. The goodwill was the amount in excess of asset value paid for their acquisitions - it was never shown as income at any time.
  • How embarrissing!!

    These write-offs are real money. When you write off 1.5M in bad debts that is a real loss. Who's to say it won't happen next year or the next. What happens when the market turns down? Now is not the time to reorganize, they should be raking it in. It's not like this is a start-up. They've been around. One of the industry leaders. It should be running on all cylinders. If they can't get it right by now. When will they? They are bleeding, badly. The only thing saving them is the lack of debt.

    Cash Down $450,000.00
    Acct Rec. Down $2.5M
    Advances Down $1.8M (future auction consignments)
    etc, etc...

    They can do all the paper tricks (Good Will) they want but what it comes down to is POSITIVE CASH FLOW. From what I see there doesn't appear to be any??

    If this were my company, Heads Would Roll!!!
    Please visit my website prehistoricamerica.com www.visitiowa.org/pinecreekcabins

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