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Final Report on L.B. Show

BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
Well this morning(Saterday) a water pipe broke in the main hall. No one was allowed

in the hall. Dealers were finally allowed to set up at 11:30 AM and the public was let

in at about 12 noon. Perhaps 10% or more pf the dealers were not there, having flown out of town

early this morning. A significant number of the public attendees left in disgust with the long wait and the fact

that no one seemed to know when the show would open. The grading by PCGS seemed fairly tough. Its been

better and at times its been a bit worse. Except for some exceptions, most dealers seemed to hedge their

answers when asked how the show was for them. Answers ranged from fair to poor. As usual, the Forum members

attending the show had a good time looking, buying and meeting one another.
There once was a place called
Camelotimage

Comments

  • One of the worst shows we've had in a very long time. image I'm surprised for such a major show, I was very dissapointed with all three days I attended. I won't even bother tomorrow.
  • PlacidPlacid Posts: 11,299 ✭✭✭
    Did pcgs finish grading your coins Bear?
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    When I left the show I still had 5 coins locked in the grading room. I suppose that PCGS will mail me the coins

    to be received by wednesday. At that time, I shall give forth with the news. I can tell you that the 1700 dollars grading

    fee was made up for in total, with the one upgrade I received so far. At this point in time, I am at least breaking even.

    I feel strongly that the grading was overly strict, but I am only joined in that opinion by the majority of people

    who submitted coins at the show.
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • Word has it that pcgs had so many coins to grade that they were very tight.
    as tight as they have ever been, I guess they made a fortune in grading fees
    but I heard a lot of dealers were not happy with the very conservative grading.
    LOOKING FOR 1931-s merc that is nice for the grade and fb
  • StuartStuart Posts: 9,825 ✭✭✭✭✭
    CherryPickinCoin (Brian): I'd be interested if you'd please explain why the Long Beach Show was so disappointing to you. What were your objectives at the show? Buy/Sell or Both?

    Was it that the market is weakening, that there was a lack of quality material to buy, etc.?

    Thanks in advance for your input and reply.

    Stuart

    Collect 18th & 19th Century US Type Coins, Silver Dollars, $20 Gold Double Eagles and World Crowns & Talers with High Eye Appeal

    "Luck is what happens when Preparation meets Opportunity"
  • I think with the tight grading most dealers will sit on there new material
    and keep it off the market until they have a chance for regrade.
    LOOKING FOR 1931-s merc that is nice for the grade and fb
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Since no one asked me that question, I will attempt to answer it. We have had a years worth of big

    successful shows and an excessive number of major auctions. It is possible that there is a bit of fatigue

    in the buying public. Its my opinion that collectors and dealers are catching there breath and resting a bit

    before the next surge upward. There seems a strong rotation moving towards more classical coins from moderns.

    This is not unusual, as such rotations back and forth are a normal part of the market. Toned Morgan Dollars are

    getting rather scary. When you see bids of 4000 dollars for toned common 1881-s dollars, it seems to be getting

    kind of toppy. I think dollars have a bit more to go, but I would be concerned moving too heavily into this segment

    of the market at the current top. The move towards spectacularly toned Commemorative coins from 1892

    thru the early 50s seems to be gaining momentum and seems to have a long way to go. The desire for perfection

    that was developed in modern coinage is now reflecting back on classical type coins. Origonal, undipped coins

    are a decreasing commodity on the market and the prices should continue on an upward bias. One dealer sold

    several hundred thousand dollars to a client of type material. While I am not in that class, I spent well into 5 digits

    on type and commem halves(Toned) . I havnt paid for most of it mind you, but I have a couple of weeks to work it

    out.

    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • roadrunnerroadrunner Posts: 28,313 ✭✭✭✭✭
    ANA auction bills coming due couldn't have helped any.

    roadrunner
    Barbarous Relic No More, LSCC -GoldSeek--shadow stats--SafeHaven--321gold
  • marcmoishmarcmoish Posts: 6,680 ✭✭✭✭✭
    As usual I am happy to read PCGS was tight and the dealers were dissapointed. To me this is good news. This should be good news to all astute and serious collectors.....and I know the whole story.... yada yada yada - ..... just commenting image

    CherryPickinCoin I'd also like to hear why you've mentioned a number of threads with comments of dissapointed and so on....details details please! I have not heard that from too many others.

    Bear you deserve those upgrades - so I hope good news comes soon image




    Marc
  • StuartStuart Posts: 9,825 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Bear: Thanks for providing your insight on the state of the market.

    As a Morgan collector and lover I agree that they are getting "toppy" -- especially the specialty toned coins that sell for many price multiples of their mint state counterparts.

    Stuart

    Collect 18th & 19th Century US Type Coins, Silver Dollars, $20 Gold Double Eagles and World Crowns & Talers with High Eye Appeal

    "Luck is what happens when Preparation meets Opportunity"
  • I've had a table at nearly every Long Beach Coin Show since the Fall 1973 expo and this was a truly odd and somewhat disappointing show. A negative cloud seemed to settle over the show by mid-Thursday when PCGS submissions weren't forthcoming -- I submitted coins before 2:00 PM on Wednesday and finally got them back at 1:00 PM today (Saturday), which did me a heck of a lot of good. Many other dealers experienced the same thing. Moreover (as Bear alluded to), PCGS was absurdly tight in regard to grades and the "flood" certainly didn't help matters either so I packed it up at 4:00 PM and now I'm home. Thank goodness it's over...

    Mike
    DE FALCO NUMISMATIC CONSULTING
    Visit Our Website @ www.numisvision.com
    Specializing in DMPL Dollars, MONSTER toners and other Premium Quality U.S. Coins

    *** Visit Mike De Falco's NEW Coin Talk Blog! ***
  • orevilleoreville Posts: 12,148 ✭✭✭✭✭
    So would it be proper to say that the Long Beach show was all washed out this fall?
    A Collectors Universe poster since 1997!
  • dragondragon Posts: 4,548 ✭✭
    <<< I can tell you that the 1700 dollars grading fee was made up for in total, with the one upgrade I received so far. At this point in time, I am at least breaking even>>>

    WOW!!!!!!!! I can remember a time when you could have actually PURCHASED some nice coins for $1700.00 instead of giving it away to a grading service to see if they like your coins better this time around.


    dragon
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Dragon, I guess what I should have done was give you the money

    and just stayed home.image
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • StuartStuart Posts: 9,825 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Dragon: After reading your post (below) I began to think of the comparison of how similar the grading services are to the coin industry, as the brokerage companies are to equity & debt investing...

    They make money when the trading activity levels are high, and really are in a no lose situation...

    Stuart

    Collect 18th & 19th Century US Type Coins, Silver Dollars, $20 Gold Double Eagles and World Crowns & Talers with High Eye Appeal

    "Luck is what happens when Preparation meets Opportunity"
  • LakesammmanLakesammman Posts: 17,461 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I talked with one dealer (so it's not exactly a random sample) that sold a ton of coins and was worried how he was going to restock. He was selling full retail to other dealers.
    "My friends who see my collection sometimes ask what something costs. I tell them and they are in awe at my stupidity." (Baccaruda, 12/03).I find it hard to believe that he (Trump) rushed to some hotel to meet girls of loose morals, although ours are undoubtedly the best in the world. (Putin 1/17) Gone but not forgotten. IGWT, Speedy, Bear, BigE, HokieFore, John Burns, Russ, TahoeDale, Dahlonega, Astrorat, Stewart Blay, Oldhoopster, Broadstruck, Ricko, Big Moose, Cardinal.
  • MrEurekaMrEureka Posts: 24,419 ✭✭✭✭✭
    For all it's worth, I found it VERY easy to sell coins at the show. I sold about 2/3 of my show inventory, with the average coin somewhere north of a couple grand. On the other hand, I had a miserable buying show.
    Andy Lustig

    Doggedly collecting coins of the Central American Republic.

    Visit the Society of US Pattern Collectors at USPatterns.com.
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Thats the unusual twist to the show. A few dealers were doing landoffice bussiness all thru the

    show, while the majority probably were lucky to break even. I dont understand it and I really cant explain it.
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • BigMooseBigMoose Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭
    Bear, Good for you, not letting Dragon break your ba**s again! Are they your coins or his coins! I too like to send lots of coins in for regrades etc., mainly because I think several of them are undergraded and legitimately deserve to be in higher grade holders. Your take on the Long Beach Show was very welcome. If you ever get to a Show on the East Coast like Batimore or FUN please look me up as I would very much like to meet you. TomT.
    TomT-1794

    Check out some of my 1794 Large Cents on www.coingallery.org
  • RussRuss Posts: 48,514 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I sold about 2/3 of my show inventory >>



    I sold 100% of my inventory today. It doesn't mean I made any money. image

    Russ, NCNE
  • RYKRYK Posts: 35,800 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I was not present for the show, but I did follow the live auction for the coronet No Motto half eagles and eagles last night. The prices were generally pretty strong, and many of the more difficult and interesting dates sold for well over Trends prices.

    Robert
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Strong auctions weak show. Seems rather perplexing?
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • RYKRYK Posts: 35,800 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Bear,

    Perhaps buying coins at the bourse has become passe. I know that I rarely do.

    Robert
  • orevilleoreville Posts: 12,148 ✭✭✭✭✭
    An inventory squeeze?
    A Collectors Universe poster since 1997!
  • gemtone65gemtone65 Posts: 901 ✭✭✭
    I don't know what common date toned Morgan bear was referring to which brought bids of $4000. However, I can tell you that I submiited bids in excess of $5000 in total for 3 such coins, but wasn't even the high bidder on a single one in the pre-sale internet part of the auction.
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    I only purchase my coins from5 reliable dealers. They all know the coins I like,

    the necessary qualities I demand on my coins and the characteristics I will not accept.

    A show is a good chance for me to see these dealers inventory. A number of

    coins are not listed on their websites for various reasons and I enjoy the opportunity.

    I dont bid at auctions any more because it requires iron dicipline not to get caught in

    an adrenalin rush together with testosterone surge to establish who will dominate.

    When a dealer sends me a coin to review. I get several days to evaluate and think about

    the coin. Perhaps other people are more adept at snap decisions, but I prefere to take my time

    since its my money being spent. Also I am not in the coin bussiness, I am a pure collector.

    In addition at a show, I can get to chew the fat a bit with people and get a good feel for the market,

    trends and catch up on rumours and scuttlebut. Simply, the real thing is still fun for me.

    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • Thanks Bear for a great report on Long Beach. Mabe we will have a microphone and cameraman for you next year!! image
  • I had planned to attend the auction to bid on a few coins for my collection and for customers. Actually, there was only one that I wanted for my collection. Since the show didn't open for several hours, sitting through hundreds of auction lots wasn't so bad after all.

    I was expecting toned Morgans to be weak at the auction....afterall, they're usually sold by Heritage on Friday afternoon....not on Saturday morning. Quite a number of dealers had either left on Friday evening or were planning to pack to leave this morning.

    As it turned out, bidding was strong for toned Morgans. I quite bidding on the one I wanted at $1400, which is where it was hammered. I talked to the new owner later and he was prepared to go much higher. I may get to own it eventually. Many other toned Morgans sold for what I thought was strong money. If the market's going to top, I wish it would do so soon so I could add some new material to my inventory.

    GSA sales were brisk with dealers. I probably sold about 40 decent coins.....several 79-CC's included. GSA sales to the public were spotty. I did manage to buy a few GSA's that I thought were undergraded by NGC.

    But my best purchase was very late this afternoon. After the public began to leave the show, I started to make the rounds. Way back in the 'ancients' section I came across a couple of 85-CC GSA's but had to wait for the owner to return. When he finally did, I asked about them and a single GSA piece he had behind his table. He wanted $380 for the 85-CC's (one of which I bought immediately) but said that the other GSA piece he wanted to send to NGC. I asked if I could still take a look at the coin.

    He handed it to me saying he expected to get a 65PL designation. Well, when I looked at the coin, I almost peed in my pants. I felt it was a lock 66 DMPL with a good shot at 67DMPL. This coin is incredible. It took some fancy footwork on my part to talk him into giving me a price but he finally did. He wanted $600 for the coin. With the 85-CC at $380, that would come to $980 total.

    I gave him 10 C-notes and thanked him for his patience.

    GSAGUY
    image
  • onlyroosiesonlyroosies Posts: 3,320 ✭✭✭✭
    All in all I had a great show. As everyone else said PCGS was dog slow on getting coins back and very tight with the
    grading. I especially noticed that PCGS was extra tough on the white coins. I made nothing that was white. I did
    make 3 big coins (big for me) and all three were original and lightly toned. My top score was a 1949D MS68FB Roosie.
    POP 1. I submitted the coin on the $65 regrade tier and I wasn't even there to get the coin back.
    I submitted it on Wednesday around 2:00 and it came back today around noon. I had a friend pick it up and
    got the good news about noon today. image

    I liked the tight grading and I have no complaints.

    Onlyroosies
  • BearBear Posts: 18,953 ✭✭✭
    Listen GSAGUY, it was bad enough when we had to watch you walk

    around at the show with a bad hair piece all day. But we will absolutely

    put our collective feet down about peeing in ones pants. We had enough water on the floor

    this morning. Also I still want that certain 85-O Morgan.image
    There once was a place called
    Camelotimage
  • MorganluverMorganluver Posts: 517 ✭✭✭
    Wow Bryan,

    Great score on the GSA CCs!

    I hadn't read this thread before I just started one about what I thought were very strong prices realized in the sale for nice toned stuff. I really wanted that 02-O ICG66 because it was one of the first toned coins I bought off E-Bay a few years back for $180. It was in a green PCGS65 holder. Also, many of those beauties were coins that I was fortunate enough to own before this sale. Too bad I can only borrow them. image
  • MrLeeMrLee Posts: 1,848 ✭✭✭
    I too had a great time at Long Beach even if we couldn't get in until after noon. Thursday I found a 14-D (VG) Lincoln plus a beautiful GSA Morgan from GSAGUY.


    image
    image
    An 1882-CC with great toning and a slightly rotated die. Today while roaming the floor with Clw54, he spotted a 09-S (Fine) I needed. I just need to locate a 09-S VDB to finish off my Lincoln set.

    Plus it always a pleasure to meet and spend the day with the distinguished members, past & present, of this board.
  • clw54clw54 Posts: 3,815 ✭✭✭
    I didn't know you got a 1914-D, MrLee.
  • MrLeeMrLee Posts: 1,848 ✭✭✭


    << <i>I didn't know you got a 1914-D, MrLee. >>

    Sorry Claw. I thought I told you. I stayed late Thursday and continued roaming the floor. I found it at the "Indian Head Lady's" table and she made me a deal I couldn't turn down. image


  • << <i>The grading by PCGS seemed fairly tough >>



    The understatement of the year. They should have gave out vaseline with the coins. image

    morris <><
    "Repent, for the kindom of heaven is at hand."
    ** I would take a shack on the Rock over a castle in the sand !! **
    Don't take life so seriously...nobody gets out alive.

    ALL VALLEY COIN AND JEWELRY
    28480 B OLD TOWN FRONT ST
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