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What areas concern you the most for the future of the coin industry?

As one looks over the overall coin industry, what areas concern you the most for the future health of the coin industry.

Here are two for me:

1 - The standards on reserve pricing - TeleTrade compared to ebay

2 - The potential conflict of interest between dealers and grading services.

What are your opinions?

Todd
Todd Abbey
800.954.0270

Comments

  • theboz11theboz11 Posts: 6,576 ✭✭✭
    I see a positive move that will inrcease the hobby of collecting the most in the next 20 years, it will be the move to a cashless society that only uses plastic to pay. Coins will be very collectable then.
  • My biggest concerns:

    1. People collecting state quarters that then buy something they see on T.V. When they realize how badly they've been had...I'm worried it made have a long-lasting negative impact on the hobby. I can already see the articles in the newspapers from non-collecting columnists about how people have been had.

    2. The registry game for modern coins. Just about all prices in this hobby run in large cycles. Many of these collectors are newbies...what will be the reaction when these coins cycle down? Will we lose a lot of newbies that might have moved on to other areas of the hobby? This is not a criticism of modern collecting....I said all series run in cycles.
    Go well.
  • Hopefully no major rises in costs for grading for us small submitters.

    A continuing influx of new collectors to the hobby.

    Coin prices staying steady and not falling out like the stock market.

    Pennies make dollars, and dollars make slabs!

    ....inflation must be kicking in again this dollar says spend by Dec. 31 2004!

    Erik
  • nwcsnwcs Posts: 13,386 ✭✭✭
    1. Doctoring of coins
    2. Counterfeits
    3. Collusion

    Of course, none of those are new.
  • krankykranky Posts: 8,709 ✭✭✭
    What concerns me is the lack of interest in developing young collectors. When you could get interesting coins out of circulation, it was much easier. The State Quarters program is certainly providing some momentum, and as a hobby we need to capitalize on that.

    Unfortunately, a lot of new collectors will have only Ebay as a source, and they will get badly burned and not only leave the hobby, but bad-mouth it to everyone. Educational material is easy to find once you are better connected (ANA member, establishing a relationship with a trusted dealer, seminars at coin shows). Yet there are many people who don't even know such opportunities exist, and they are buying raw crap or coins in third-tier slabs until the moment of truth when they find out how much money they have flushed down the toilet.

    Grading services, you should be doing a better job in working to reach those people. They are the ones who will become the next generation of your customers. You should be making educational videos and selling them on ebay for a buck plus shipping and giving copies to the big ebay dealers to include with the first order from a customer for a coin that costs $100 or more.

    I don't understand your comment about Teletrade/ebay reverse pricing.

    New collectors, please educate yourself before spending money on coins; there are people who believe that using numismatic knowledge to rip the naïve is what this hobby is all about.

  • Kranky - here is the link to the post:

    Reserve Prices for Auction Houses

    Todd
    Todd Abbey
    800.954.0270
  • Kranky - I do think your idea about education is good. I am going to research the idea of providing a DVD or Video Tape to educate the collector.

    Todd
    Todd Abbey
    800.954.0270
  • theboz11theboz11 Posts: 6,576 ✭✭✭
    Education is a great tool and it should be provided by local coin clubs more. As past president of the Virginia Beach coin club I encouraged and promoted to the younger members with special auctions and a variety of educational lectures from other club members. Our youth interest increased as did the number of younger members
  • NumisEdNumisEd Posts: 1,336
    what areas concern you the most for the future health of the coin industry

    The fact that too many people will call this thing of ours (la cose nostra) a "coin industry" instead of what it really is: a "coin hobby".
  • pmh1nicpmh1nic Posts: 3,354 ✭✭✭✭✭
    1. Unrealistic expectations generated by the hyping of coins as prudent investments. Hold off on telling me about the exceptional collections that realized a profit when sold. Collecting is a hobby, a very interesting and enjoyable hobby, but a hobby none the less. There is a relatively small and fragile base that supports the hobby and industry. Couple that with the subjective, unscientific and fluctuating standards of grading which can have a dramatic affect on pricing overselling expectations regarding coins as an investment vehicle is setting up a strawman in my opinion.

    2. Maintaining a set of ethical standards and holding dealers/collectors accountable when those standards aren't followed. The six part thread related to an incident of whizzing and how it should be handled illustrated to me that there is work to be done in this area.
    The longer I live the more convincing proofs I see of this truth, that God governs in the affairs of men. And if a sparrow cannot fall to the ground without His notice is it possible for an empire to rise without His aid? Benjamin Franklin
  • maddogalemaddogale Posts: 859 ✭✭
    I agree with Kranky on this point; education is vital to "renew" the current level of "hobby" collectors. By that I mean the average person who is not a dealer, and is not the high level buyer as many on this board are. I am not knocking the "high rollers" in fact, I am not in the position to make many big time shows, so the high profile coins I see from the members here are wonderful to see, and I appreciate your posting their pics!! image As in any hobby, the mid to lower level collectors are the backbone and that group is vital to keep the interest (and prices) stable as I see it. But education is needed to maintain those levels, and one needs to get the interest sparked at a young age. Tapes and "demonstrations" of coins and types of collecting available for the novice collector are fine, but something I believe is being missed here is a basic "show-and-tell" at the grade school level. How easy to have a nice sampling of old coins, from average circs, to MS & Proof handy for the kids to see firsthand. Then possibly hand out some wheat ears, or merc dimes to the kids as an "incentive" to seed the interest. Granted, many seeds will die without sprouting, but that is nature, but there will be some which will "sprout" and that will serve to bring in the new generation of collectors. Another thought to this would be a video of the minting process (Discovery had an excellent show on this) along with some samples of what happens when the Mint "screws up" i.e., doubled dies, RPMs, even machine doubling or die cracks. Though not collectable, these "goofs" in quality control would be an easy way for kids to get "hooked" on collecting, as much of this type can be found in pocket change. Simple explanations of values of coins, mint mark rarities, varieties, etc, gives the new collector a guide for "hunting" which can be another incentive to collect. The state quarter program has been a boost to the hobby, but in some cases, the game has been "skewed" a bit by some of the pricing of these "con artists" of TV. Education would serve to bend that "skewing" back to a more normal level for the novice collector. Just my opinion of course, but I have seen other interests and hobbies go through some tough times until they made an effort to seek out the newbies and " show them the ropes". Unfortunately there are those out there that wish to make a noose of those ropes and the novices will pay the price and will spread the word against our "hobby of kings" as it was once known.
    "I won't be wronged, I won't be insulted, I won't be laid a hand on; I don't do these things to other people, I require the same from them."
  • JulianJulian Posts: 3,370 ✭✭✭
    The real financial health of the numismatic hobby rests solely on one factor. That is:

    PARTICIPANTS,

    whether they be
    casual collectors that grow into dedicated numismatists,
    both wholesale & retail dealers,
    hoarders,
    investors & speculators,
    telemarketers & TV sales (not my favorites, unless they are ethical),
    organizations (ANA, ANS, PNG, etc.),
    museums.

    Long may they grow!!
    PNG member, numismatic dealer since 1965. Operates a retail store, also has exhibited at over 1000 shows.
    I firmly believe in numismatics as the world's greatest hobby, but recognize that this is a luxury and without collectors, we can all spend/melt our collections/inventories.

    eBaystore
  • RegistryCoinRegistryCoin Posts: 5,117 ✭✭✭✭
    Since the "industry" has little laws governing trade, there should be areas of concerns ranging from little "rip offs" to complete antitrust issues.
    Unethical behavior from some of those "in power" is rampant.
    A hobbiest will not be rewarded unless he/she has no concern for these matters.
    Dealer/investors will/should see plainly, these discrepancies.
    Next question: What can be done?
    With those "in power" enjoying the little attention from government agencies, being those who can affect change, there probably will be little positive changes.
  • TrimeTrime Posts: 1,863 ✭✭✭
    Meaningful standards for integrity.
    Unrealistic expectations of value.
    Inflated prices for common coins that can not be sustained.
    Lack of education of collectors in the foundations of Numismatics.
    Trime
  • bozboz Posts: 1,405
    The refusal to educate oneself causes one to be "burned" in all aspects of life, not just coin collecting. One reaps what is sown. You can't protect the world, do best you can to take care of #1, and yor loved ones. Anything else is a bonus. It is admirable to want to protect the newbs but they have to do something to protect themselves. Protecting ones self in anything requires EDUCATION, not jumping in blind.
    The great use of life is to spend it on something that will outlast it--James Truslow Adams
  • ANACONDAANACONDA Posts: 4,692
    I think the coin industry will do as well as it always has so long as prices rise moderately over time.

    When prices rise rapidly, they have a tendancy to fall rapidly.

    When prices fall rapidly, eveyone gets upset and starts pointing fingers.

    We don't need government intervention, we don't need more internal protections or anything else. A little more pro consumer stance from eBay would be nice for everyone, i think.

    People who are hell bent on getting into coins before they know what they are doing are bound to take a bath. It's the same with art, cars, jewellry, real estate, marriage and many other things.

    Also, there seems to be dues that simply have to be paid....some people, though, never learning their lesson and paying the same dues, year after year.

    adrian
  • 1. Whither goest the grading services ?? ANACS, PCGS, NGC...all have been around now for well over ten years. In the macro view, I think they've done a great service in providing a level of confidence in confirming authenticity and identifying problem pieces. What does the future hold ?? Will we ever feel comfortable, or will we ever be able to actually see a problem free rarity again without it being slabbed ?? Are we going to continue to see a preponderence of slabbed SAEs, state quarters, etc ?? Will the services all be in vogue 10, 15, 20 years from now...or will we all be taking hammers to our slabs because the market wants raw or not (fill in the service) graded coins ??

    2. What will be the next "money sucking" craze ?? We had the BU rolls of years gone by....now it looks like toned coins are the craze.

    3. When will the registries become meaningless ??

    4. If you do all the reading and educating you should do before buying your first coin, you'd probably never get to the point where you can buy one. In this hobby, it seems, no matter how careful or well read you are...at some time you're gonna get burned to some degree...and that's too bad in a pastime which is so focused on a monetary result.
  • krankykranky Posts: 8,709 ✭✭✭
    Boz and Anaconda mentioned education, but in the sense that the collector should know to protect him/herself.

    I disagree. I think new collectors don't have any idea at all that they need to educate themselves. That's why we need to educate them! image Anaconda cited art, cars, jewelry, real estate as examples, and I think most people who are into those areas know already that there are potential pitfalls. They are more widely known and there is more discussion in the mainstream about them. I never bought any real estate, yet I have heard "location, location, location". I never bought any art, but I know that there are fakes and reproductions just from watching Antiques Roadshow. Fake diamonds are sold on every home shopping channel and they don't hide it, they tell you how much you are saving over a real one!

    So you have a new collector who sees some huckster on a shopping channel pushing a slabbed common date Morgan at 3x the going rate. "Gee, it IS a beautiful coin! Big, silver, historical. And professionally graded, too! Grade is important, according to the guy on TV. That makes sense, better quality is worth more. $100 doesn't sound like a lot of money for that." Now the new collector goes to ebay and finds Brand X slabs for a fraction of the price of the TV huckster. What a bargain! He's saving a ton of money! After all, they are professionally graded, since they are in plastic holders like the TV guy's.

    Now you tell me how that new collector is supposed to know all slabbed coins aren't alike. He never heard of collecting coins before he saw the TV huckster. He sees that he can get the same coins a lot cheaper on ebay (at least that's what he thinks). Unlike art, cars, jewelry and real estate, the average guy has no clue that there's a reason to be concerned. The TV guy told him that the coins are professionally graded so he feels at ease.

    He doesn't understand grade rarity, difference in slabbing service standards, or that coins aren't readily resellable at the price you paid. He's had no exposure to the hobby at all. He has no idea that there are coin shows or coin clubs. Those are the people we should be trying to educate.

    New collectors, please educate yourself before spending money on coins; there are people who believe that using numismatic knowledge to rip the naïve is what this hobby is all about.

  • That was a great response to the question of education. I am on the other side of the line. I have just started collecting. I am not sure what I should be buying or even looking for in a coin. Grading is so confusing that it will take me years to figure it out. The only dealers that I have found so far in my area are at flea markets and they rarely show alot of intelligence. Ebay right now is my only real outlet. I would love to get a video or have a dealer near by that would show me the ropes but for now, I do not even know where to find someone like that.


  • Yep, on TV the coin vault is the WORST - they are so scary, although it is fun to watch for 2 minutes at a time.

    What if someone could offer actual value on TV?
  • krankykranky Posts: 8,709 ✭✭✭
    Wolfwing76, welcome to the board. Please turn on your Private Messages and send me one. I'll try to get you going in the right direction.

    New collectors, please educate yourself before spending money on coins; there are people who believe that using numismatic knowledge to rip the naïve is what this hobby is all about.

  • I am new to this too. How do I do that?
  • cladkingcladking Posts: 28,732 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Welcome aboard Wolfwing76. Don't be intimidated by grading. Coins wear from the
    top down. If the highest points on the coin are gray or have a different texture then
    the coin is circulated. You can spot these high points on any coin by just tipping it un-
    til you see them. Most of grading is just experience so you'll need to look at a lot of them
    to get a good feel for it. In unc coins you mainly are looking for a nice full strike, absence
    of scratches, and full luster. Surfaces on these coins can be deceptive from unusual stor-
    age conditions or intent by those who would try to enhance their value. This can eliminate
    much of the value of an unc coin, so you'll just need to learn what the surfaces are supposed
    to look like. They vary much more by metallic composition than anything else so this isn't so
    daunting a task as it may seem now. Circ coins are graded primarily on the amount of detail
    remaining. If you do buy slabs, stick with reputable grading companies.

    Don't be afraid to ask questions. Keep it simple till you feel a little more comfortable and be
    sure to sell a coin once in a while so you know what your REAL costs are.
    tempus fugit extra philosophiam.
  • Thanks for the help. That was more advise in 30 seconds than I have gotten in the past 3 months. Reading these forums seems to have alot of info in them as well.
  • dpooledpoole Posts: 5,940 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Wolfwing:

    Click "profile" at the very top of the page, in that line under "Navigation," next to "customize. Scroll down when the page comes up, and click on the circle that "enable"s personal messages.

    And I second the welcome!

    I'd like the ANA to set and highlight a meaningful code of ethics like other organizations do, and have dealers (and perhaps others) apply for an "ANA Seal of Approval" based on their compliance with that Code, which they could/would prominently display.

    The application process would require references and some type of structured application review by the ANA, and a hearing mechanism by which they would consider complaints and withdraw the "Seal."

    This is a common practice, and is done precisely to give the consumer confidence in the product/merchant.
  • RonyahskiRonyahski Posts: 3,119 ✭✭✭✭✭
    On one hand, the the ability of the grading services to maintain consistency in grading, integrity, and suppressing doctored, counterfeit and altered coins in order to maintain stability and confidence in the marketplace. The current market has grown to rely on them.

    On the other hand, the over reliance of collectors on those same grading services. Collectors must still learn how to grade and appreciate coins for what they are, regardless of their slab. Love the coins, forget the holders.

    The industry would turn on its head without the grading services, back to the old days of collecting the coins. Maybe that would not be so terrible, but I'm afraid too many of the current collectors have forgotten what it is like or never knew in the first place.
    Some refer to overgraded slabs as Coffins. I like to think of them as Happy Coins.
  • Ok. I think I got the personal message on. Sounds like a good idea to regulate the "industry". I started collecting because I think US coins are very interesting and I enjoy looking at them. I never intend to make a profit but at the same time, I do not like to get screwed no matter what I am doing.

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