The disappearing MS66 '55-D Washingtons.
quattrocoins
Posts: 1,881
I noticed that the on-line pops. (be it in the registry sets or the on-line report) now shows only 75 of these with none graded MS67. I just recieved the Jan. 2003 in the mail, and it lists 79 in MS66(I even seem to remember 80 on-line not too long ago). Curious, I checked a few other keys in this grade to find that most other pops. rose a bit in the same time span. Even the '39-S & '40-D gained 3 each in MS66. The '55-D was the only one that I saw that went down in population. Were these buy-backs by PCGS(MS65s pop went up only 2)? Were they crack-outs, lookin' for that extra 1/2 point (ie: NGC MS67s - I don't have NGC's #s)? Why would neither of the above reasons affect the other keys? Can any Washington guys-in-the-know wade in here with some thoughts?
At this rate, Im glad that I already have a nice one in my set!
Some key compares in MS66:
'42-S - 136 to 137, +1
'41-S - 129 to 131, +2
'40-D - 163 to 166, +3
'39-S - 145 to 148, +3
'53-D - 98 to 99, +1
'54-D - 102 to 104, +2
'55-D - 79 to 75, -4
I'm watchin' the '61-Ds also, which were unchanged @ 92.
Don
MS66 '55-D Washingtons, and
At this rate, Im glad that I already have a nice one in my set!
Some key compares in MS66:
'42-S - 136 to 137, +1
'41-S - 129 to 131, +2
'40-D - 163 to 166, +3
'39-S - 145 to 148, +3
'53-D - 98 to 99, +1
'54-D - 102 to 104, +2
'55-D - 79 to 75, -4
I'm watchin' the '61-Ds also, which were unchanged @ 92.
Don
MS66 '55-D Washingtons, and
FULL Heads RULE!
0
Comments
A collector who visited me at the show had (2) MS66 1955(d) quarters he was selling. He mentioned to me that he sold one at $700 to another collector at the show, which shows (to me) the overall strength of the Wash quarter market. Wondercoin
I'm not really a Washington quarter guy (expert) by any stretch of the imagination but I did make a PCGS MS66 1955-D Washington quarter in December when I submitted a group of original double mint sets.
Best Regards,
Mike
Visit Our Website @ www.numisvision.com
Specializing in DMPL Dollars, MONSTER toners and other Premium Quality U.S. Coins
*** Visit Mike De Falco's NEW Coin Talk Blog! ***
Mitch, your's seems to have deferred any others, as your best guess probably hit the proverbial nail. The '55-D is the only one of the group (besides the '61-D) with none graded MS67.
That first one would be a "grandslam" in this market!
So, that puts the '61-D & '62-D in the same position - low MS66 pops. and no MS67s. Do you think that any of these later day keys'('53,4&5-Ds, '61&2-Ds) pops. will ever catch up with some of those earlier ones('39-S & '40-D)? Also, ones like the '42(105), '45(133), & '46(123)-Ps. Can any of these so called "common-dates" pops. catch up as well, given the unknown #s that were melted back in '79-'80?
The '61&'62-Ds have been @ 92 & 101, respectively, for a while w/no MS67s in site! One would think that mint sets and rolls are being searched as I type! Lots of time, there!!! LOL
Mike, your addition only makes the #s more perplexing.
Again, Thanks for the replies.
Regards,
Don
Good observation about Washington Pops. An increase in some of the dates you are referring to are most likely the result of the crackout game. The 39-S and 40-D pop reports are probably very inflated to begin with because of crack outs. You know how hard it is to find a 39S and the 40D in MS66. The 40D comes up a little more than the 39S which sold for stupid money in the Heritage Fun Auction. $1,800 for that coin is probably a record. AND I was told by a washington expert that NO WAY the coin will upgrade. Guess my 39S MS66 just went up in value again.
Some of the dates you mention are condition rarities. Their dates and mintmarks are commonly found in circulated condition. I believe some of the dates you mention (61D / 62D) are not submitted as much and therefore the pops are low. For example, the current online pop report reads total coins graded for the 39S and 40D are 842 and 991 respectively. Whereas the 61D and 62D are 397 and 456 respectively.
If the prices for the 61D and 62D increase significantly then I would assume raw examples (probably from mint sets) would then be submitted more regularly. The 39S and 40D are very hard to make in MS67, which is obvious. But the POPS are not true enough to go by for these dates. There are many crackouts trying to get that MS67 that account for the higher pops. I am sure that there are far fewer MS66's than what you see in the report. Just check the Registry sets and see how many people are missing the 39S and you could see my point clearer.
As for the 55D, most people know that the original mintage was something like 3.8M but that these coins dimished in supply because of the Silver melts in the 60's. The 55-D is harder to find than most other 40's dates. The pop probably dropped for the reason Mitch gave.
I think the 52D, 53D and 54D are sleepers and after the Washington market expands more (and it should) you will see these coins harder to find at today's prices.
WWQ
Thanks for your reply and input.
I agree with you that the pops. for the earlier keys are inflated due to the crack-outs, lookin' for that elusive MS67. However, I would have to think that some of the later dates are in the same position. Don't you think that '55-Ds and '61&'62-Ds are being cracked out for the same reason? Wouldn't the first MS67 in any of these dates bring as much as an MS67 '39-s or '40-D? I have to believe that they are being hunted as much as the earlier ones. Look at the total pops for the '56, '57, & '58-Ps(they all went up significantly in the same time period). Why would so many be submitted when they are so common?
In the same time period, the total pop for the '61-d went up by eight - (3) 64s and (5) 65s. The total pop for the '62-D remained unchanged, and the total pop for the '55-D went down 2. I don't think that these pops are remaining so low for lack of persuit.
My Blast white '55-D, '61-D, & '62-D are lookin' better every day!
Don
You may have paid a little too much for the '55-D by yesterdays prices, but it's lookin' like a bargain more and more each day!
As for that '42-P, I think you made out like a bandit! Sounds like you did quite well, considering the lack of quality material available.
Don
Yes, I set the record price for a 1939(s) in PCGS-MS66 and I'll post the new serial number of the PCGS-MS67 coin, if, and when it upgrades. When it does, it will likely be the nicest "color" 39(s) in a PCGS-MS67 holder and the $1800 price tag will look like pocket change. Hey - at least that is the plan
Wondercoin
Washman: You also bought the coin from one of the nicest Wash quarter collectors in the hobby today, Howard Houston Wondercoin
Kscope
I know exactly how you feel. At least you were able to make a few 65s.
When I first joined the club, I used the free gradings to slab four from a choice blast white roll I had. I expected 1 or 2 MS 66s. I got 3 MS64s and a MS63!
After looking at many others, I cracked out my best MS64(STILL thought it should '6) along with a MS65 that I thought had a chance of upgrading, and sent them in with some other dates. They both came back MS64!
Now a friend just told me of a dealer with another "PQ" 65. He recently had, what he thought was, a 67 in a 66 holder. So, he cracked it out and re-submitted it. It came back a '5!!!
So don't feel bad. You're not the only one who doesn't have what they seem to want for that grade!
At the rate they're disappearin', the pop could be below 70 by summer! LOL
Mitch:
I had[b/] a bid on that coin. I had no thought of it being an upgrade candidate so, consequently, bid no where near enough. It must look awesome in person. Good luck with quite the roll of the dice!
Mitch's new prize:
for more drool!
Don
I know a guy that claims to have 10 certs for the 1955-d in ms66. I don't know if he will send them in or not. I also talked to another crackout guy in New York that claims he has probably 3000 certs from some very rare low pop dates (not just washington quarters) that he may send in one day. I asked both why they would not want to send them in to make the low pop coins worth more money and they said that they know what the pops are because they have the old certs. I don't get the logic of this since if the pops were lower the coins they crack out and upgrade or that come back the same grade would be worth more money in some cases if the pops were lower. The only reason I could see to do this is if you want to buy rare dates with inflated pops at a lower price and then when you have purchased several coins you send in the old certs to lower the pop and then hopefully raise the price of the coin. IF you know the pop on a coin is lower you may have an advantage but only if the pop is corrected before you sell the coin. The buyers of coins are not going to pay an inflated price just because someone says that the pop is lower, because when he goes to sell the coin if the pop is not corrected the coin is not going to get the price that the coin deserves.
Once again thanks for the info.
Don: Thanks for posting the pic- it does show again the darkness of the typical Heritage scan, as the color on the coin is far more pretty than the scan suggests (if, and when, I get it in a PCGS-MS67 holder, I post a scan of the coin which I think more closely resembles the coin). By the way, there is nothing wrong with a company understating the beauty of coins in scans - that is much better than improperly enhancing them IMHO
Don, as you state - buying possible "upgrade" coins generally always involves a "roll of the dice". After all, three professional (presumably world class) PCGS graders, graded this particular coin MS66 one time around. But, as many here would likely agree with, a "specialist" in any field of numismatics, whether it be Wash quarters or fractional gold, probably has as good a skill grading that particular specialized series, if not better, as any random combination of (3) graders at a major grading company who see every coin, from "soup to nuts" all day long. Now "specialist" is, of course, undefined, as who knows what that term really means in this context. But, IMHO, the bottom line is, if you spend enough time studying a particular series of coins, you should be able to match or exceed the grading skills of the average professional grader working for a grading company who grades everything during the course of his/her day. Just my opinion on the subject and no offense intended to the grading companies' graders Wondercoin
I am sure, since you are there a lot that you will find a way to get it to a 67. If anyone can do it.. you can. I am interested to see a scan before it goes for upgrade. Unless, its in already.
I wish you all the best. That will be a major coin if it makes.
WWQ
The coin was sent to PCGS already for grading - raw, of course. The MS66 holder means nothing in this. It's "MS67 or bust"
And, by the way - I do believe my chances to get this coin in an MS67 holder are as good as anyones. If the coin fails to make it this month, I will try the coin many more times, as the coin is an MS67 IMHO - and not just a "squeeker", but a solid MS67 which anyone would be proud to own in their 1939(s) slot. I will try it at major shows, special events, premium service at PCGS, economy service at PCGS and any other way I come up with BECAUSE THE COIN IS AN MS67 COIN. What I have going for me here is simply a great coin and one I will not give up on for a long time Wondercoin
The "specialist" is unimportant. It was said to me before the auction. But what counts is that you think it will grade MS67. You were the one who mentioned it anyway.
But I think your plan is a good one. It's nice to know you are passionate about something you bought. And for good reason. If that coin does make, it would be great. And a spectacular find.
WWQ
Wondercoin
a PCGS MS66 recently traded hands at the FUN Show for $700
Word seems to have gotten around.
Don
MS66 '55-D Washingtons and
Heck, the sale of the 1955(d) quarter in PCGS-MS66 was the talk of the FUN show. Wondercoin
WWQ
P.S. I dont agree that the coin on eBay should be listed as "lightly toned". I dont like that coin, although it will get some play because its hard to find. People seem to sacrifice eye appeal, the rarer the coin gets. Don.. I am sure your white one looks ten times better and probably worth the premium you'll get one day!!
Wondercoin.. do you have an entry in the Registry?
Jim
That's a really nice 1955-D Washington 25C and it sure is a rip compared to what it would cost you today. Moreover, it's a whole lot prettier than the one I made recently. Very cool coin...I like it a lot!
Mike
Visit Our Website @ www.numisvision.com
Specializing in DMPL Dollars, MONSTER toners and other Premium Quality U.S. Coins
*** Visit Mike De Falco's NEW Coin Talk Blog! ***
If I had it my way, stupidity would be painful!
I'd take that one over a boring blast white one anyday.
It looks "PQ" in your pics., and it is in an older green holder. Perhaps a candidate for the 1st "67"?
Again, super coin, and great invoice to boot!
Don
Sweetly toned '55-Ds and
Leo
The more qualities observed in a coin, the more desirable that coin becomes!
My Jefferson Nickel Collection
If I had it my way, stupidity would be painful!
Don nice seeing you at San Jose
WANTED a 1943 (11-O-I) AU or better also looking to complete my 1939 Washington double dies I only need (DDO-010) (10-O-II) have the other 14 known
ZAPS COINS
Bob
WWQ: I just got the grading report that the coin upgraded to PCGS-MS67 on the first try. Wondercoin
WWQ: I'll just place the coin in my collection for now. Wondercoin.
I wasnt asking if it was for sale. I was asking what you thought the coin was now worth. Do you have a registered set?
WWQ
Over the past couple years, I have assisted a couple collectors in particular with building outstanding MS Wash silver quarters collections (including current (and ALL-TIME) Registered #1). Into these collections have gone many pop 1 and lower pop coins which I have handled. I hope to place addition wonderful coins in the months and years ahead.
I also still have many, many wonderful silver Wash quarters remaining, however I have no plans to register a set of them at this time. A few of my personal favorite PCGS Wash quarters I currently own are my: (1) 1932(p) in MS67 (pop 1) (ex Benbow, Green, Registrycoin); (2) 1935(s) in MS67 (this was the technically nicest blast white MS67 in the incredible Richard Green collection and I believe his personal favorite coin in the set - which makes it sort of special to me). Check out R. Green's current MS Kennedy collection to get a flavor for the type of collections he builds); (3) 1935(d) in blast white MS67 (ex: White, Registrycoin) - I have never seen another BLAST WHITE MS67; (4) 1936(d) in MS67 (this was probably John Benbow's favorite coin, which he tried to upgrade to MS68 on an occasion of two - BLAST WHITE, again, which makes it sort of special to me); (5) 1937(s) - blast white MS67. I have all (3) blast white MS67's ever graded by PCGS - one from Registrycoin's set (ex White), one from Benbow and one from the Green collection. OK, well 5 of my special coins got me all the way up to 1937! You get the idea - I sort of like silver Wash quarters, especially the specially colorful ones which "kick in" around 1943 Wondercoin.
Link
Ryan: Anytime!! You always said when you "strike it rich" you may just buy the entire collection. I have always taken that seriously
How's school treating you?
Wondercoin
PS: Ryan - you are just like me - even though we both love wonderfully toned Wash quarters, we can appreciate the true beauty and rarity of a fresh, original blast white early date jewel as well (you haven't once asked to visit your favorite toned coin from the set - the 1944(p)!