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Clever Way for PCGS to Make $ AND Do The Right Thing

OK - Heres my plan, see. Based on the issue with PCGS' penchant for very optimistic grading of colonials and early copper (as per my question to David Hall linked here) I think PCGS needs to rethink the approach with these coins or face irrelevance.

My Q, Hall's A

I say go out and hire some bad asss guys from the EAC or the C4 and have them grade all the colonials and early copper starting this afternoon as per traditional standards and using the net system typically employed by these 'experts'. The coins would be slabbed in a new type of PCGS holder, possibly with some kind of C4 or EAC endorsement or notation.

The older more liberally graded PCGS coins could stay in their old holders, though the market would quickly start recognizing the old grades for what they are and translating them into the new ones (this already happens to some extent as knowledgeable people in the fields basically ignore the PCGS grade). I believe PCGS would see a lot of the old coins come back in for a second time (or 3rd or 4th) to be reslabbed in the new holders - so this could be good for PCGS as well. Plus I think you'd see an increase in new submissions from people who heretofore thought the PCGS grading of early copper was simply lousy.

I'm not in the business of finding new ways for PCGS to make money, but I'd rather see them grade these coins accurately as I think 3rd party grading is a good thing for the hobby.

I think the company that does this first - either NGC or PCGS - owns this market.


Singapore

Comments

  • tradedollarnuttradedollarnut Posts: 20,162 ✭✭✭✭✭
    Or....they could just consistently grade to their current standards and let the market take care of the value to grade aspect. Hmmmm.
  • DHeathDHeath Posts: 8,472 ✭✭✭
    Singapore,

    The way I read DHall's answer, he disagreed with your assesment, and felt he needed to change nothing. PCGS is an 800LB gorilla when it comes to influencing grading standards. My guess is that TDN had it just right. The market will adjust pricing.
    Developing theory is what we are meant to do as academic researchers
    and it sets us apart from practitioners and consultants. Gregor
  • Gentlemen -

    I agree that Hall was defending PCGS standards as the correct standards, and I agree to some extent that the market adjusts for PCGS' liberal grades.

    I was looking at this as opportunity for PCGS. One need only check the relatively small number of early copper / colonial coins in any grade in the pop reports to see that only a miniscule percentage of collectors and dealers are submitting their coins to PCGS.

    Why is that?

    David Hall and PCGS can adopt any grading standards they want, but if 2% of the coins get submitted to them then the 800 lb Gorilla may want to rethink the strategy.

    If I'm running CU or PCGS, and I'm a public company, and I need to grow my revenue every year, I think I'd try to figure out what areas of the market are 'undersubmitting' and why.


    Just a thought.
    Singapore
  • tradedollarnuttradedollarnut Posts: 20,162 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I think the majority of specialists in this area don't want their coins slabbed, so changes aren't going to increase submissions much anyway.

    With regard to tight or loose, in the long run I think it's irrelevant. The only thing that really matters is the quality of the coin compared to the standards in effect upon the date of sale. Since grading standards change ALL THE TIME, reacting to the change is not feasible unless you are preparing to sell your coins.
  • gmarguligmarguli Posts: 2,225 ✭✭
    I say go out and hire some bad asss guys from the EAC or the C4 and have them grade all the colonials and early copper starting this afternoon as per traditional standards and using the net system typically employed by these 'experts'.

    Are they bad asses or dumb asses? Does anyone go by their standards except them? More people seem to mock them rather than respect them. EAC grading is a joke.
  • braddickbraddick Posts: 24,197 ✭✭✭✭✭
    I agree with TDN- The vast majority of Colonial collectors probably don't want their coins holdered. I recall when PCGS first announced they were going to enter the Colonial market there was an instant backlash of protest from not only the collector, but the Dealers in this material too.

    There is so much positive to be said for Colonials, that unlike other series, GRADE plays a secondary role to.

    peacockcoins

  • SpoolySpooly Posts: 2,108 ✭✭✭
    EAC grading standards are a joke. Have to pass on the EAC sub-sect grading and stick to ANA standards. EAC is facing "irrelevance".
    Si vis pacem, para bellum

    In God We Trust.... all others pay in Gold and Silver!


  • << <i>Are they bad asses or dumb asses? Does anyone go by their standards except them? More people seem to mock them rather than respect them. EAC grading is a joke. >>



    Did you see the photo of the PCGS AU55 NY Excelsior I posted in the 'Most Overgraded' thread?
    Singapore
  • tradedollarnuttradedollarnut Posts: 20,162 ✭✭✭✭✭
    A little known fact is that Ephraim Brasher practiced his punches with an icepick before creating his EB punch. He had to get that stroke down just right. Even so, when he graduated to gold, he could only hit the darn eagle once! image
  • NumisEdNumisEd Posts: 1,336
    EAC grading standards are a joke

    Tell ya what, a newbie is less likely to get hurt by EAC grading standards than PCGS grading standards. Take a look at singapore's thread on the NY piece.

    Another thing about EAC (and BHNC) standards.....they grade by known characteristics of each specific variety and not commercial aspects. It seems to me that the grading services apply Silver Eagle DCAM grading standards to early copper. Then again, I look at singapore's thread on the NY coin and just scratch my head. What does this HUGE swing in grading consistency tell you? Free ALL coins from their slabs. It will be like burning bras back in the 1960's!
  • gmarguligmarguli Posts: 2,225 ✭✭
    Tell ya what, a newbie is less likely to get hurt by EAC grading standards than PCGS grading standards.

    100% incorrect. PCGS/NGC stand behind their grade with $$$. What does EAC member stand behind his grade with?

    When you buy an EAC XF40 coin, you have no idea of the amount of wear. It could be an XF40 or an MS65 by market standards. When you buy a PCGS XF40, you have a good idea that the coin has wear around the XF40 grade.

    Typical EAC:

    Coin #1 (PCGS MS60). The EAC member tries to act like a bad ass and show the world how tough he is. It's now a VF coin.

    Coin #2 (PCGS AU50). The EAC member tries to act like a bad ass and show the world how tough he is. It's now a VF coin.

    Coin #3 (PCGS XF40). The EAC member tries to act like a bad ass and show the world how tough he is. It's now a VF coin.

    Coin #4 (PCGS VF20). The EAC member tries to act like a bad ass and show the world how tough he is. It's now a VF coin.

    You contact the EAC member to purchase a VF coin. What are you going to get?

  • NumisEdNumisEd Posts: 1,336
    Greg, keep in mind that we are talking in general terms here; typical EAC grades and the average PCGS opinion. That being said, EAC people are more likely (and capable) of identifying possible problems with early copper, such as tooling and retoning. That's why they are called the Early American Coppers. They specialize in one thing. PCGS slabs just about any type of coin, I think. I don't mean any disrespect to PCGS, because as I have stated before, they are talented numismatists. They just try to cover too many fields. I would trust the grade of my copper coins to an EAC guy over PCGS any day, because the EAC guy specializes in early copper. That may be all he knows. Regarding the guarantee, you are contradicting yourself just a bit. EAC is very conservative, so are you saying that if I buy a VF large cent from an EAC dealer, I have a shot at getting it into a PCGS MS-60 holder? That's what your post indicates.

    Here's another thing to consider: when I buy a coin from an EAC dealer, I take the coin home, put it in my holder, and it's whatever grade I think it is........not someone else's opinion. When you buy a slab, someone else's opinion is permanently sealed in a big, honkin', hard to handle piece of crappy plastic. Yuck!
  • gmarguligmarguli Posts: 2,225 ✭✭
    EAC is very conservative, so are you saying that if I buy a VF large cent from an EAC dealer, I have a shot at getting it into a PCGS MS-60 holder? That's what your post indicates.

    Possibly. Of course that would be an extreme example. However, in my 4 examples, the EAC guy is going to sell the coin for the market (PCGS) grade the coin is. So he is selling 4 "VF" coins for 4 different prices. So basically, if you can't grade you are at his mercy to be telling you the truth.


    when I buy a coin from an EAC dealer, I take the coin home, put it in my holder, and it's whatever grade I think it is........not someone else's opinion. When you buy a slab, someone else's opinion is permanently sealed in a big, honkin', hard to handle piece of crappy plastic. Yuck!

    Or, when I buy a coin from an EAC dealer, I take the coin home, put it in my holder, and it's whatever grade I think it is.... but when I go to sell it, the EAC dealer might regrade it 10 points lower and I am screwed out of thousands of dollars. He may also see new problems with the coin, such as cleanings, marks, etc that he "missed" when he sold it to me. When you buy a slab, someone else's opinion is permanently sealed in a big, honkin', hard to handle piece of crappy plastic, so you know that you can sell the coin at that grade sight-unseen to milions of collectors. Easy!
  • NumisEdNumisEd Posts: 1,336
    ....anyone who grades a coin at a lower grade when trying to buy it back from you should be ashamed....EAC or not. No we are just talking about the PERSON behind the table. I am not saying that all EAC guys are honest. Just like some ANA members. I doubt that most ANA people even read the bylaws. Greg, you are correct, EAC guys are sometimes overly conservative. What it boils down to is that a new collector should not spend big money on ANY coin...slabbed OR raw, until they know what they are doing. What if a wealthy, new collector purchased that AU-55 PCGS certified NY copper? They would be screwed.....hard. That's example shows the flaw in your logic about slabs. In all fairness, though, I would counsel any new collectors to only buy uncirculated coins in PCGS holders until they learned how to grade.
  • What if a wealthy, new collector purchased that AU-55 PCGS certified NY copper? They would be screwed.....hard.

    Hmm... call me cynical, but somehow I'm not sure a wealthy, new collector throwing a bunch of money around without knowing what they are doing would fare any better buying raw coins from their friendly neighborhood coin stealer. I mean, dealer. image
  • NumisEdNumisEd Posts: 1,336
    Geez, supercoin, you got me again. Another valid point! If you didn't collect pocket change (SBAs and Ikes), you would be my idol.
  • Thanks! And if you didn't... um... no, probably not.

    By the way, that's not an Ike in my pocket. But thanks for noticing, I guess. image
  • Cam40Cam40 Posts: 8,146
    lol. freudian slip.
    g1 their friendly neighborhood coin stealer. I mean, dealer.

  • Huh? I meant it was some other slabbed coin. Geez. image
  • I'll preface my comments by saying that I wouldn't buy any coins from anybody unless I was well educated about the coins and knew generally how to grade them. The realities of the market, however, suggest that your own opinion, while nice, ain't going to mean much when it comes time to sell your coins.

    I'm a big fan of PCGS and 3rd party grading because it partially eliminates the inherent dealer position of 'when I'm selling you a coin its an AU, when I'm buying that same coin from you its a VF' by setting a defined, accepted (most of the time) standard recognized by both buyer and seller.

    Any EAC or other coin not in a holder is subject to whatever description it gets by whoever is selling it. I don't like those odds. Generally, EAC standards are very conservative as we've said, but theres too much risk there for me that as soon as I buy the coin it depreciates much like a new car being driven off the dealer's lot.

    What kills me, and what I was attempting to illustrate in the NY Excelsior Most Overgraded post, was that PCGS has taken what should be a good thing and screwed it up but good such that it is more damaging to the hobby than helpful.

    Thats a shame, but it is fixable going forward.





    Singapore

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