Playing with statistics

tjkillian

I want to play around with some statistics and estimating coin survival rates. I need 20+ coins that are most likely to be in a PCGS/NGC/ANACS slab such as an 1856 Flying Eagle Cent or a 1796 No Stars quarter eagle. I don't want such coins as a 1877 Indian as there are too many that are not slabbed. Which coins would you feel MUCH MORE comfortable buying in a slab than raw. It is easy to tell gunuine 1909-S-VDBs from fake ones, so those would not count either.

Tom

nwcs

Not all of the fake S-VDBs are easy to spot. But I would also include...

1893s morgan
1895 proof morgan
pan pacific gold commems

kranky

1916-D Merc.

ARCO

1896-S, 1901-S and 1913-S Barber quarters are excellent sources, especially the 01-S and the 13-S as they are heavily counterfeited and no fool in his right mind would buy one raw.

Tyler

paigowjohnny

89-CC Morgan

Placid

Any date proof $10 gold.
1841-1907 maybe the 1900. 120 were struck.
pcgs has graded 33 of them ngc 45.

dorkkarl

any gold incuse indian. i have an excellent ref. set of countefeits ..... & STILL don't trust myself on those.

K S

KAJ1

The 1914-d Lincoln.

Kevin

tjkillian

Good suggestions, but I'm looking for coins where a significant amount would be slabbed. There has to be zillions (or close to it) 1914-D Lincolns that are not slabbed. Now how many, as a percentage of mintage, are there 1804 Silver Dollars that are slabbed? The current POP reports on line report six having been slabbed. Now 1895 Morgan dollars report 374 dollars out of a total mintage of 880. That does not include NGC/ANACS. I would like to guess that there are as many raw 1895 Morgan dollars as there or crack outs. This would indicate that there are more than 50% of the total mintage still remaining. Now, the 1802 Half Dime only reports 7 in all grades out of a total of over 3000. A very low survival rate. I suspect that ANACS has quite of few of those that can not make it in to PCGS/NGC slabs.

Tom

flaminio

I wouldn't buy raw gold (too many counterfeits) or raw classic commems (too much cleaning and other mistreatment).