I'd say of the "big three", being PCGS, NGC and ANACS, your odds of finding a slabbed counterfeit are less than 0.1% (a tenth of one percent). Though, if you were to break that down between US and foreign coinage, it's much easier to find a slabbed foreign counterfeit especially of Asian origin (i.e. "dragon" dollars). They grade mostly US coins, so that's to be expected, I suppose.
i have never personally handled a slab w/ a counterfeit coin in it. however, i have 2d-hand knowledge of several, ie. i personally know well-respected collectors who have owned such slabs. one of the most famous is a 1825 counterfeit bust half, attributed as davignon variety 1/A. pcgs slabbed it & it fooled several experts who thought it was a new overton variety. it was originally offered, i think for over $10,000, but it turned out to be a die-struck counterfeit.
considering a bogus coin made w/ circa 1860 technology fooled pcgs, you'd have to believe there are plenty of slabed counterfeits out there.
btw, anacs does an incredible job of detecting counterfeits. it's the only plastic service i use any more, just for that purpolse, & have been extremely impressed w/ their ability to filter out the bogus stuff.
Comments
Yes, It happens. With the top tier services, probably not enough to be worried about. Nobody is perfect.
considering a bogus coin made w/ circa 1860 technology fooled pcgs, you'd have to believe there are plenty of slabed counterfeits out there.
btw, anacs does an incredible job of detecting counterfeits. it's the only plastic service i use any more, just for that purpolse, & have been extremely impressed w/ their ability to filter out the bogus stuff.
K S