IHC/FE registry - what's hot, what's not
Lakesammman
Posts: 17,401 ✭✭✭✭✭
Posted this in the general forum by mistake...here it is "reprinted" for the registry forum.
Comparing the pink sheets (PS) from Winter, Spring and Fall 2002 for photosealed MS65R coins, the following trends are noted (if I had the time, I would also compare other grades - but I don't!):
Registry effect - the plain 5 1865 got left out of registry both in the basic and variety sets. PS has fallen from $4500 to $3750. If you think PCGS will reconsider, now's a good time to buy. Another registry effect was inclusion of the 1894/94 in the variety set - price up to $12,500 from $9000.
The remaining price changes are primarily due to demand and/or population changes. All the common dates ("type price") have increased to $400 from $350, the 1887 up to $1250 from $1100, 1895 to $550 from $500, 1897 to $700 from $600 and a increase of $50 each for the dates 1898 to 1900. The S mints each increased, the '08 to 1700 (from $1500), the '09 to $3750 (from $3500).
The other losers were the years 1891 to 1894, each declining by $300 each....must be a sig. pop. shift?? Anyone know of original rolls coming on the market?? The pop. comparison from 2/2000 to now (PCGS 65R) shows a significant increase in the 65R population (1891 15%, 1892 30%, 1893 22%, 1894 7%).
A often overlooked area is the Type prices on the PS. A big jump occured for the MS66 1859 Indian, from $5500 to $8000. This jump occured based on actual sales, not theory. The MS67 price for CN IHC's jumped to $8000 from $6500, again based on actual sales (auction prices realized). Registry effect?? In the bronze series, type prices for MS65R from $350 to $400, MS66R to $1500 from $1200, 67R to $5000 from $4000.
The prices are out of 70 coins/varieties listed in the pink sheet. 47 prices are unchanged.
A final note. Price sheets reflect history. They don't tell what's happening currently, nor do they predict the future. A good example is the PS price for a 1858/7 MS64 of $20,000. They are currently being offered/selling well above that price, so don't expect to be able to buy at PS prices for "hot" coins. (By the way, the 1996 PS price was $8000!)
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Comparing the pink sheets (PS) from Winter, Spring and Fall 2002 for photosealed MS65R coins, the following trends are noted (if I had the time, I would also compare other grades - but I don't!):
Registry effect - the plain 5 1865 got left out of registry both in the basic and variety sets. PS has fallen from $4500 to $3750. If you think PCGS will reconsider, now's a good time to buy. Another registry effect was inclusion of the 1894/94 in the variety set - price up to $12,500 from $9000.
The remaining price changes are primarily due to demand and/or population changes. All the common dates ("type price") have increased to $400 from $350, the 1887 up to $1250 from $1100, 1895 to $550 from $500, 1897 to $700 from $600 and a increase of $50 each for the dates 1898 to 1900. The S mints each increased, the '08 to 1700 (from $1500), the '09 to $3750 (from $3500).
The other losers were the years 1891 to 1894, each declining by $300 each....must be a sig. pop. shift?? Anyone know of original rolls coming on the market?? The pop. comparison from 2/2000 to now (PCGS 65R) shows a significant increase in the 65R population (1891 15%, 1892 30%, 1893 22%, 1894 7%).
A often overlooked area is the Type prices on the PS. A big jump occured for the MS66 1859 Indian, from $5500 to $8000. This jump occured based on actual sales, not theory. The MS67 price for CN IHC's jumped to $8000 from $6500, again based on actual sales (auction prices realized). Registry effect?? In the bronze series, type prices for MS65R from $350 to $400, MS66R to $1500 from $1200, 67R to $5000 from $4000.
The prices are out of 70 coins/varieties listed in the pink sheet. 47 prices are unchanged.
A final note. Price sheets reflect history. They don't tell what's happening currently, nor do they predict the future. A good example is the PS price for a 1858/7 MS64 of $20,000. They are currently being offered/selling well above that price, so don't expect to be able to buy at PS prices for "hot" coins. (By the way, the 1996 PS price was $8000!)
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"My friends who see my collection sometimes ask what something costs. I tell them and they are in awe at my stupidity." (Baccaruda, 12/03).I find it hard to believe that he (Trump) rushed to some hotel to meet girls of loose morals, although ours are undoubtedly the best in the world. (Putin 1/17) Gone but not forgotten. IGWT, Speedy, Bear, BigE, HokieFore, John Burns, Russ, TahoeDale, Dahlonega, Astrorat, Stewart Blay, Oldhoopster, Broadstruck, Ricko, Big Moose.
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Comments
The 1872 is one of the coins I refer to as a "set stopper", the sort of coin that limits the number of top-notch sets that can ever be put together. Check it out before it's gone...
http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=1387911891&rd=1
Tim's market report was very interesting and a lot of work. I responded on the other forum where it was first posted. Valuable info that belongs there as much as here.
Here's a link to one, card is on the left, coin right.Link
As time went on, the other dealers started using my Pink Sheet (Pink Sheet link) to sell non-photo sealed coins, or as a reference to sell their coins against. I've even found that some dealers use it to buy coins out from under me, by saying "Look, Rick's bid is only this:... (75% of the listed price).. I'll pay you more." However, I pay stupid money for really nice coins. I recently paid $25K for a MS64 1858/7 PCGS where my retail price is only $20K. Sure, the darn thing didn't upgrade...yet. It's certainly nicer than the NGC MS65 being offered for $35K. Who knowns what an "all there" MS65 is worth! Maybe $100K is not out of sight for THE right coin.
The other reason for the photo seal is to help collectors learn how to grade consistently. Nowadays, you have to know whats overgraded, correctly graded, undergraded. By looking at coins in a typical dealers case you can't really tell. You need to look at many coins with a consistent grading criteria. Photo seals tend to be very consistently graded. Sure there are a few lower end ones, but they usually get colletcor demand at auction, and thats what counts.
ms66 pcgs coin it is a 66.9/67 coin and the photo is not great and the lighting is not good and the coin is lightly toned and superb
sincerely michael
Send it on out - looks great. How much?
Rick:
Thanks for the update on the PS program - also, if you have coins you want photosealed, Rick will do it for a nominal fee.