Very tough card today. All the lines look correct to me.
I like the Seahawks a tiny bit, but maybe not enough to play.
The Packers seem like a ML lock but the line clearly illustrates that. So I'll play that for a small percentage win, and maybe look for some interesting props.
if you did this, i missed it. but i haven't caught you commenting on the Penn St situation. as i said in the college football thread, i can't recall a more precipitous fall from grace for a team that was sniffing the top of the rankings.
i thought the school might be in "fire now, worry about the buyout later" mode, but the guy still has a job this morning.
clearly he cannot motivate those kids, and clearly they have quit on him. there's just no other way to describe back-to-back losses to UCLA & Northwestern when you were a combined 50-point favorite.
I got the right call on picking losers yesterday, Silly me thinking Oklahoma would show up for their biggest game of the year
Arch Manning finally decided to play good football since I bet against him
Too many stupid losing bets to post, lost about $350 yesterday and Oklahoma was the highlight
I legitimately might not bet college again this season
i was prepared to do the exact same, but i've been running so bad lately that i held off
i've touched on this before and i remember darin giving me hell for it, but sudden (and massive) shifts in line movement can often times give you an indicator of what's about to happen. when it became clear that OU's starting QB was going to play, that game went from a pick'em to Texas -2.5. i could not make any sense of that. i definitely would have hopped on OU with Mateer on the field instead of his backup.
turns out, the kid played like he had just had hand surgery, which he did just 3 weeks ago. he was atrocious, and it's as if the whole betting world knew that was going to be the case before it happened. sure enough, Texas wins by 17 points.
I got the right call on picking losers yesterday, Silly me thinking Oklahoma would show up for their biggest game of the year
Arch Manning finally decided to play good football since I bet against him
Too many stupid losing bets to post, lost about $350 yesterday and Oklahoma was the highlight
I legitimately might not bet college again this season
i was prepared to do the exact same, but i've been running so bad lately that i held off
i've touched on this before and i remember darin giving me hell for it, but sudden (and massive) shifts in line movement can often times give you an indicator of what's about to happen. when it became clear that OU's starting QB was going to play, that game went from a pick'em to Texas -2.5. i could not make any sense of that. i definitely would have hopped on OU with Mateer on the field instead of his backup.
turns out, the kid played like he had just had hand surgery, which he did just 3 weeks ago. he was atrocious, and it's as if the whole betting world knew that was going to be the case before it happened. sure enough, Texas wins by 17 points.
i'm taking today off as well
That's part of the reason I bet OK was Mateer was back, I didn't look at it until 15 minutes before the game started and saw OK was +110 ML so jumped on it but again I had no idea how awful he was going to be obviously but really I had no idea how competent Arch Manning would be.
Bottom line I lost and it pissed me off since I believed in Arch week 1 and lost and yesterday I didn't believe in him and lost again.
if you did this, i missed it. but i haven't caught you commenting on the Penn St situation. as i said in the college football thread, i can't recall a more precipitous fall from grace for a team that was sniffing the top of the rankings.
i thought the school might be in "fire now, worry about the buyout later" mode, but the guy still has a job this morning.
clearly he cannot motivate those kids, and clearly they have quit on him. there's just no other way to describe back-to-back losses to UCLA & Northwestern when you were a combined 50-point favorite.
I haven't looked at the college football thread recently.
I've never liked James Franklin for a number of reasons, and I'd almost take a random college coach's name drawn out of a hat over him.
As far as his contract, Penn State alumni have plenty of money. For example one of my fraternity brothers, who served on the Penn State board for a few years, recently donated five million dollars to the Penn State school of business. The school gets other large donations as well. In other words, just pay this loser coach his money and get rid of him for crying out loud. Penn State is a great school, with a beautiful campus, and of course a fantastic football tradition. There will be no problem finding and hiring a top coach out there.
Made 4 Parlays this week,all Pro games. Knocked out Thursday with first one. Maybe if I don't list them here won't jinx myself. Will check in, as usual, win or lose. Good luck to all with
anyone's plays today.
BTW 2 of my 3 baseball playoff bets tanked. Only one left is Toronto to win World Series.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
Also some 2 and 3 way parlays, revolving around Packers ML, along with anytime touchdown with Romeo Doubs. Matthew Golden, and Josh Jacobs in various combinations.
Needed 1 TD in Pittsburgh game to cover over. Cleveland could not score 1 TD in 3 hours. Same with Ravens needed TD in 3 hours by Ravens to cover spread by 1/2 point. 2 games total of 4 FG's. Well these are the Pros.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
if you did this, i missed it. but i haven't caught you commenting on the Penn St situation. as i said in the college football thread, i can't recall a more precipitous fall from grace for a team that was sniffing the top of the rankings.
i thought the school might be in "fire now, worry about the buyout later" mode, but the guy still has a job this morning.
clearly he cannot motivate those kids, and clearly they have quit on him. there's just no other way to describe back-to-back losses to UCLA & Northwestern when you were a combined 50-point favorite.
I haven't looked at the college football thread recently.
I've never liked James Franklin for a number of reasons, and I'd almost take a random college coach's name drawn out of a hat over him.
As far as his contract, Penn State alumni have plenty of money. For example one of my fraternity brothers, who served on the Penn State board for a few years, recently donated five million dollars to the Penn State school of business. The school gets other large donations as well. In other words, just pay this loser coach his money and get rid of him for crying out loud. Penn State is a great school, with a beautiful campus, and of course a fantastic football tradition. There will be no problem finding and hiring a top coach out there.
I saw the news about Franklin later after posting this.
Good grief - the buyout is 49 million dollars? The dope board member in charge of negotiating this contract is no longer serving. That really is obscene to sign a guy like this for that kind of guaranteed money when he basically accomplished nothing.
I truly sympathize with you. There is losing, then there is losing losing. It boggles the mind how many different ways you can get your nose rubbed in it.
Like last weeks KC game. Had it won until Lawrence falls down, gets up, runs for the winning TD.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
I truly sympathize with you. There is losing, then there is losing losing. It boggles the mind how many different ways you can get your nose rubbed in it.
Like last weeks KC game. Had it won until Lawrence falls down, gets up, runs for the winning TD
My father has been a gambler his whole life as was his father and grandfather and one consistent thing he has always said to me is "You deserve what you get when you gamble"
When I was younger I just couldn't rationalize losing in the most creative and painful ways, and don't get me wrong I still get pissed like throw an empty beer can or Gatorade bottle across my man town and the customary yelling WTF and what not but that's the extent of it, I'm well aware of the brutal ways lady luck and the gods of gambling can torment you and it's boiled down to it with me is sometimes you win but most of the time you lose, it's just not designed to be easy or make sense.
Sports betting is just on a different level of brutality, you got a bunch of mostly kids, coaches and referees that will come up with the most unpredictable ways to utterly screw you.
It's like fighting and taking a beating, you can either stomach it and fight again or you can just realize it isn't for you and never do it again, sports betting and gambling is the same thing.
@BLUEJAYWAY said:
I truly sympathize with you. There is losing, then there is losing losing. It boggles the mind how many different ways you can get your nose rubbed in it.
Like last weeks KC game. Had it won until Lawrence falls down, gets up, runs for the winning TD
My father has been a gambler his whole life as was his father and grandfather and one consistent thing he has always said to me is "You deserve what you get when you gamble"
When I was younger I just couldn't rationalize losing in the most creative and painful ways, and don't get me wrong I still get pissed like throw an empty beer can or Gatorade bottle across my man town and the customary yelling WTF and what not but that's the extent of it, I'm well aware of the brutal ways lady luck and the gods of gambling can torment you and it's boiled down to it with me is sometimes you win but most of the time you lose, it's just not designed to be easy or make sense.
Sports betting is just on a different level of brutality, you got a bunch of mostly kids, coaches and referees that will come up with the most unpredictable ways to utterly screw you.
It's like fighting and taking a beating, you can either stomach it and fight again or you can just realize it isn't for you and never do it again, sports betting and gambling is the same thing.
May have told this story before. A local book was so upset during a game on TV he was watching set him off. He hurled a full 6 pack of beer squarely at the screen. Touchdown, but missed the extra point.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
Hit my last parlay, of 4 total, with the under in the Bills game. A small 25% profit. Not much, but a lift. Just enough to grease the wheels of temptation into next week's action.
Successful transactions:Tookybandit. "Everyone is equal, some are more equal than others".
I am against gambling as much as I always was for the past over 20 years. I was never in favor of a nanny state, but for me it's best to lay off gambling. Which means that in the long run, it is impossible to make money at games I consider to be gambling. Chit such as craps, roulette, blackjack, etc, the typical casino losing BS, I have no desire whatsoever to ever do that again. Before these computers, I also believed back then that making money sports betting was simply not possible for a good number of reasons, which I'm not going to get into here.
That being said, and I may have mentioned this before, I was never against risk. No dissertations, but to me there is a big difference between risk and gambling. I'm looking at the computer sports betting as a possible risk, and I hate to say it, so far I've been right.
I know I've mentioned this before that my "test" starting last football season and ended after the start of the NBA playoffs, went pretty well. My paper bankroll was up close to 100%. I did make some dumb mistakes in the NBA playoffs which depleted the bankroll somewhat, and so I decided to stop doing it until football season began again.
It's gotten off to another good start with the new football season. I'm up around 20% but here's the kicker. I'd be up a lot more but I sort of got in a bad habit with the prop bets and parlays. Dam those things are fun, however I'm losing badly on them. So I've decided to basically for the most part, maybe with a few exceptions, eliminate the props and parlays, and just stick to the ML and spread wagers.
Here's the frightening part which it just dawned on me around a week ago. I dunno why, but it just hit me that my bankroll would be up some more, if not much more, if it was live and then it would have included revenue from profit boosts, no sweat bets, and other assorted goodies that the online books offer.
So I'm thinking that if it continues to show success, it would be silly not to go live and make some real money doing it, right? If somebody could please talk me out of it, I'd appreciate it. Thank you. 😉
So I'm thinking that if it continues to show success, it would be silly not to go live and make some real money doing it, right? If somebody could please talk me out of it, I'd appreciate it. Thank you. 😉
i say do it. toss in some 💰 equivalent to a night out on the town with your woman and see if you can make some magic happen. if it doesn't, then play the pretend game -- you paid for a nice dinner and entertainment.
just be prepared to dodge bullets and fully realize the moment you think the NFL is starting to make sense, it will quickly remind you that it doesn't. the first two weeks of the NFL season were ripe for making money if you latched onto the favorites, because they were winning at a very high clip. i was doing quite well myself. but i knew it was only a matter of time before that ended, and i said as much. it got really spooky because i knew the unpredictability was imminent. sure enough, incidents like the Packers upchucking a two-score lead in the 4th to the Browns started happening and if you didn't dodge that type of bullet, you chipped in and helped pay the sportsbook's light bill. i took a hollow point to the cranium on that game.
here's another fine example: the Atlanta Falcons. last night they beat the Bills. the week before that they beat the Commanders. two weeks before that they beat the Vikings. wait, you skipped a week, galaxy. what about the game in between Minny & Wash? oh, sorry. that was the game against the Carolina Panthers. you know, the game the Falcons lost by 30, didn't score a single point, and didn't get inside Carolina's 30-yard line A SINGLE TIME THE ENTIRE GAME.
deposit some loot, put on a bulletproof vest, make sure you have a tall bottle of scotch within arm's length, and join us 😎
It's stupid stuff like that Miami game that makes it easier to absorb a $1000 phantom flag like what happened with me with that flag Diggs got on Sunday
It's amazing how used to it you can get, like you can't make it up, people who don't bet sports cannot even begin to wrap their heads around it
Comments
Very tough card today. All the lines look correct to me.
I like the Seahawks a tiny bit, but maybe not enough to play.
The Packers seem like a ML lock but the line clearly illustrates that. So I'll play that for a small percentage win, and maybe look for some interesting props.
Good luck on the Packers dude. Can't. Be. Trusted.
@stevek
if you did this, i missed it. but i haven't caught you commenting on the Penn St situation. as i said in the college football thread, i can't recall a more precipitous fall from grace for a team that was sniffing the top of the rankings.
i thought the school might be in "fire now, worry about the buyout later" mode, but the guy still has a job this morning.
clearly he cannot motivate those kids, and clearly they have quit on him. there's just no other way to describe back-to-back losses to UCLA & Northwestern when you were a combined 50-point favorite.
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
I got the right call on picking losers yesterday, Silly me thinking Oklahoma would show up for their biggest game of the year
Arch Manning finally decided to play good football since I bet against him
Too many stupid losing bets to post, lost about $350 yesterday and Oklahoma was the highlight
I legitimately might not bet college again this season
i was prepared to do the exact same, but i've been running so bad lately that i held off
i've touched on this before and i remember darin giving me hell for it, but sudden (and massive) shifts in line movement can often times give you an indicator of what's about to happen. when it became clear that OU's starting QB was going to play, that game went from a pick'em to Texas -2.5. i could not make any sense of that. i definitely would have hopped on OU with Mateer on the field instead of his backup.
turns out, the kid played like he had just had hand surgery, which he did just 3 weeks ago. he was atrocious, and it's as if the whole betting world knew that was going to be the case before it happened. sure enough, Texas wins by 17 points.
i'm taking today off as well
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
That's part of the reason I bet OK was Mateer was back, I didn't look at it until 15 minutes before the game started and saw OK was +110 ML so jumped on it but again I had no idea how awful he was going to be obviously but really I had no idea how competent Arch Manning would be.
Bottom line I lost and it pissed me off since I believed in Arch week 1 and lost and yesterday I didn't believe in him and lost again.
College is fricken brutal
I haven't looked at the college football thread recently.
I've never liked James Franklin for a number of reasons, and I'd almost take a random college coach's name drawn out of a hat over him.
As far as his contract, Penn State alumni have plenty of money. For example one of my fraternity brothers, who served on the Penn State board for a few years, recently donated five million dollars to the Penn State school of business. The school gets other large donations as well. In other words, just pay this loser coach his money and get rid of him for crying out loud. Penn State is a great school, with a beautiful campus, and of course a fantastic football tradition. There will be no problem finding and hiring a top coach out there.
Made 4 Parlays this week,all Pro games. Knocked out Thursday with first one. Maybe if I don't list them here won't jinx myself. Will check in, as usual, win or lose. Good luck to all with
anyone's plays today.
BTW 2 of my 3 baseball playoff bets tanked. Only one left is Toronto to win World Series.
Packers ML
Also some 2 and 3 way parlays, revolving around Packers ML, along with anytime touchdown with Romeo Doubs. Matthew Golden, and Josh Jacobs in various combinations.
Needed 1 TD in Pittsburgh game to cover over. Cleveland could not score 1 TD in 3 hours. Same with Ravens needed TD in 3 hours by Ravens to cover spread by 1/2 point. 2 games total of 4 FG's. Well these are the Pros.
Down to 1 parlay live.
Got back some money, had Stefon Diggs had 15 more receiving yards I would have hit for $600, so down about $240 for the entire weekend
Got a lengthy dart parlay going for Chiefs and Detroit, the meat of it is Detroit ML and Gibbs anytime TD scorer....
Need under, 49.5, in Bills game Monday to salvage a par.
I fear a Cinderella team for the W.S. Brewers or Mariners.
I haven't kept exact track of it, but it sure seems like in these MLB playoffs, that home favorites have lost a lot of the games.
Now the question is will this trend continue or will it reverse course anytime soon?
Well I bet Toronto to win it all 3 months ago. So we know they are done. ⚰️🪦
I saw the news about Franklin later after posting this.
Good grief - the buyout is 49 million dollars? The dope board member in charge of negotiating this contract is no longer serving. That really is obscene to sign a guy like this for that kind of guaranteed money when he basically accomplished nothing.
In any event, good riddance!
These buyouts are completely ridiculous, it gives the ok to be horrible at your job and get fired and still get massive lucrative money.
So I'm still processing losing out on a thousand dollars because Diggs couldn't get 15 yards more receiving and that happened because of a flag
https://www.reddit.com/r/nfl/comments/1o4yh1a/highlight_diggs_called_for_offensive_pass/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=mweb3x&utm_name=mweb3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button
I'm honestly laughing about it, it's so ridiculous it's surreal
One flag cost me a $1000
Is so cute just look at it
@perkdog
i just puked, then broke something on your behalf
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
That is a sick penalty. I mean all Diggs was trying to do was keep the defender from banging into him.
I truly sympathize with you. There is losing, then there is losing losing. It boggles the mind how many different ways you can get your nose rubbed in it.
Like last weeks KC game. Had it won until Lawrence falls down, gets up, runs for the winning TD.
My father has been a gambler his whole life as was his father and grandfather and one consistent thing he has always said to me is "You deserve what you get when you gamble"
When I was younger I just couldn't rationalize losing in the most creative and painful ways, and don't get me wrong I still get pissed like throw an empty beer can or Gatorade bottle across my man town and the customary yelling WTF and what not but that's the extent of it, I'm well aware of the brutal ways lady luck and the gods of gambling can torment you and it's boiled down to it with me is sometimes you win but most of the time you lose, it's just not designed to be easy or make sense.
Sports betting is just on a different level of brutality, you got a bunch of mostly kids, coaches and referees that will come up with the most unpredictable ways to utterly screw you.
It's like fighting and taking a beating, you can either stomach it and fight again or you can just realize it isn't for you and never do it again, sports betting and gambling is the same thing.
Liberty ML in the 7:00 game on Tuesday.
Once again, another MLB playoff home favorite loses the game.
Dog bettors are cleaning up this MLB playoff season.
Yet another Super Bowl current odds favorite about to bite the dust in a few minutes, to a seemingly weaker team.
Sure is a lot of crazy chit going on out there.
Live bet Penix to. get 250 yards and literally got 250.yards, sneaked that one through!
Super Bowl winner is a wide open choice with the Eagles,Bills,Lions losses. Even KC has some weakness. Place your bets, it anyone's call, for now.
Now with my WS bet,Jays, seemingly out of it will root for the Brewers or Mariners to win it all.
May have told this story before. A local book was so upset during a game on TV he was watching set him off. He hurled a full 6 pack of beer squarely at the screen. Touchdown, but missed the extra point.
Hit my last parlay, of 4 total, with the under in the Bills game. A small 25% profit. Not much, but a lift. Just enough to grease the wheels of temptation into next week's action.
I am against gambling as much as I always was for the past over 20 years. I was never in favor of a nanny state, but for me it's best to lay off gambling. Which means that in the long run, it is impossible to make money at games I consider to be gambling. Chit such as craps, roulette, blackjack, etc, the typical casino losing BS, I have no desire whatsoever to ever do that again. Before these computers, I also believed back then that making money sports betting was simply not possible for a good number of reasons, which I'm not going to get into here.
That being said, and I may have mentioned this before, I was never against risk. No dissertations, but to me there is a big difference between risk and gambling. I'm looking at the computer sports betting as a possible risk, and I hate to say it, so far I've been right.
I know I've mentioned this before that my "test" starting last football season and ended after the start of the NBA playoffs, went pretty well. My paper bankroll was up close to 100%. I did make some dumb mistakes in the NBA playoffs which depleted the bankroll somewhat, and so I decided to stop doing it until football season began again.
It's gotten off to another good start with the new football season. I'm up around 20% but here's the kicker. I'd be up a lot more but I sort of got in a bad habit with the prop bets and parlays. Dam those things are fun, however I'm losing badly on them. So I've decided to basically for the most part, maybe with a few exceptions, eliminate the props and parlays, and just stick to the ML and spread wagers.
Here's the frightening part which it just dawned on me around a week ago. I dunno why, but it just hit me that my bankroll would be up some more, if not much more, if it was live and then it would have included revenue from profit boosts, no sweat bets, and other assorted goodies that the online books offer.
So I'm thinking that if it continues to show success, it would be silly not to go live and make some real money doing it, right? If somebody could please talk me out of it, I'd appreciate it. Thank you. 😉
I don't see how anyone could argue with that logic.
A wise man once said to me, "The only people that will tell you that you can't win at gambling are the people that can't win at gambling".
No truer words have ever been spoken.
i say do it. toss in some 💰 equivalent to a night out on the town with your woman and see if you can make some magic happen. if it doesn't, then play the pretend game -- you paid for a nice dinner and entertainment.
just be prepared to dodge bullets and fully realize the moment you think the NFL is starting to make sense, it will quickly remind you that it doesn't. the first two weeks of the NFL season were ripe for making money if you latched onto the favorites, because they were winning at a very high clip. i was doing quite well myself. but i knew it was only a matter of time before that ended, and i said as much. it got really spooky because i knew the unpredictability was imminent. sure enough, incidents like the Packers upchucking a two-score lead in the 4th to the Browns started happening and if you didn't dodge that type of bullet, you chipped in and helped pay the sportsbook's light bill. i took a hollow point to the cranium on that game.
here's another fine example: the Atlanta Falcons. last night they beat the Bills. the week before that they beat the Commanders. two weeks before that they beat the Vikings. wait, you skipped a week, galaxy. what about the game in between Minny & Wash? oh, sorry. that was the game against the Carolina Panthers. you know, the game the Falcons lost by 30, didn't score a single point, and didn't get inside Carolina's 30-yard line A SINGLE TIME THE ENTIRE GAME.
deposit some loot, put on a bulletproof vest, make sure you have a tall bottle of scotch within arm's length, and join us 😎
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
i rarely, and i mean rarely, watch anything other than a game on espn. but SVP's bad beats segment is always must-see.
imagine, just imagine, unloading on East Texas A&M (+7.5) and this happening to you
https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1FF1AmNE6E/
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
Insanity
I still say this game is one of the worst bad beats ever, this was a "Filler" game for a parlay that I had all but won if Miami won.
I had Miami Money Line
Cost me an $800 win
@perkdog
that game still gives me nightmares and i didn't have a single cent on it
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
It was a Numbing experience 😂
It's stupid stuff like that Miami game that makes it easier to absorb a $1000 phantom flag like what happened with me with that flag Diggs got on Sunday
It's amazing how used to it you can get, like you can't make it up, people who don't bet sports cannot even begin to wrap their heads around it
That is sick beyond comprehension.
Almost hard to believe.