A little baseball tip for the legal gambling person
Goldenage
Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭✭✭
10 out of the 12 teams that scored first last night went on to win their games.
Do your own due diligence. Follow the MLB box scores over a week or month to gather your own data.
See if you feel comfortable with the results and the odds.
The teams I bet on last night after they scored first did very well for me.
Remember, the odds are always with the house. It's our job to find out which is the safest way to beat the odds.
Betting is strategical and using the odds to our own advantage.
It's safer to wait until after the first or second inning in baseball to place your bet. By then you most likely have a team who scored first, but more importantly you can observe which pitcher has his good stuff and which pitcher does not.
It doesn't always work out in your favor, but it does increase your odds dramatically than placing the bet before the game.
Good luck.
Comments
Goldenage..........
You will always end up losing. Gambling is an addiction and the house always win. The bookie loves to take
your money. The odds are always with him. There is no such thing as a professional gambler.
Sincerely,
Stevek
😂👍👍
In my experience, it's always best to bet on teams that are going to win the game.
I tell it like it is. You can take it or leave it.
Leaving it, will prove very costly to you in the long run. That's a fact.
If bookies would allow betting after the games are complete, I'm in there. LOL
When I'm enjoying that big fat juicy steak tonight on last nights bet on the Mets over the Phillies, I will raise
my draft beer in the air in a zoom toast to you. Mets pitcher was sharp, and the Mets scored early, so it was a no brainer.
I'll thank draft kings for the easy money too !!!
Betting single games in baseball is a big crapshoot. And the vig eats your profits regardless. Then one or two losses against the heavy odds in a single game kills ya.
There is a reason why Las Vegas is full of gigantic modern marvel hotels.
Betting single games makes watching a game fun...but expecting to make money in the long run ...good luck.
You are better off doing futures bets for individuals...those are easier to predict, and can find more under the radar plays, injuries aside....just don't even put anything on Stanton or Judge, lol.
Good for you. I'm glad you won.
BTW - Pasted: DraftKings revenue was $644 million in 2020
So it seems like other gamblers aren't as fortunate as you are.
That's why I bought 175 shares of DKNG at 35/share for my 14 year old son. So that when he turns
17 he will be driving a nice car on all the people who donated to DKNG.
Investing in good solid stocks is a smart way to work your money.
The market always has its ups and downs, but historically has continued to rise upward in the long run.
DKNG and PENN were monster covid stock plays. Wish I would have grabbed some when we were looking at them at ~11 and ~5.
Sadly one of the reasons I was so big on buying DKNG's for my son is because I am aware of what a sickness gambling
can be for so many. Pornography (if you think that's bad) and gambling (if you think that's bad) along with drugs and alcohol have been vises for ages. Some people feel making money off of DKNG's is immoral because of what they do, but I am not in that camp.
I feel real bad for people who have addictions. I feel that people who profit off of other people's weaknesses are not the salt of the earth. But no one can change the world. We can only approach the world in the way that it presents itself.
Not everybody loses and I am a very controlled blackjack/craps player. I don't mess with bookies. I do however spend a bit of time in casinos, and over the years I'm sure I'm ahead of the game. Those gigantic modern marvels are created mostly from those who play slot machines. I dabble occasionally, only to spend time with the wife, who also plays blackjack. Gambling is not an addiction, I find it to be not only entertaining, but most of the time a positive event. The weekend scenery is often times STUNNING. I love the ambience, comps and free show tix.
The odds of any game in a casino are indeed with the casino (yes, I know you were talking bookies, but it kinda morphed into gambling in general), thus my response. And YES there is such a thing as a professional gambler, I know several who make 6 figures year after year...I am not one of them, I can't imagine driving from casino to casino to make a living, but they do. I do lose on occasion, but not so often as to discourage me. I generally go with a friend or two, and they are well versed in the rules of the game and never make stupid bets. I happen to know a friend who is going to Vegas Saturday. He counts cards, plays an excellent game, and his trip hotel (close to Wynn), is comping him for the weekend.
The key is to KNOW THE GAME, the rule is to take not a dime more than you can afford to lose. I will tell you that I generally take $1k to $2.k. I play at a $25 table and have a good time. IF I lose or double my bankroll, I grab my key fob and head to the Acura.
Some examples: I could post more, but you get the idea.
It's the exploitation in gambling that bothers me the most.
It first starting really hissing me off around twenty years ago when there where ads, real ads, from some poker websites encouraging kids to quit college and become professional poker players. I'm stating their ads practically verbatim.
That type of openly blatant exploitation has subsided for the most part. However the subliminal messages at many gambling websites are still there. Sadly, a lot of good folks get sucked into it.
Great job. I've read that casino odds are really stacked against you. Sometimes the house has a 65 percent advantage on you. I never go to casinos to bet. I only bet on sporting events.
I only gamble when I believe the odds are in my favor. I like to study this stuff to see how I can have an advantage.
It doesn't mean I'm going to become a millionaire gambling. It only means that I look for a way to increase my odds
and then put in some leisure bets when I feel like it.
Usually with baseball you can tell by the first or second inning if the pitcher is on. Then you place your bet and you
usually come out ahead. I feel it's the safest bet in the sporting world. So I wanted to share it.
Dammit.....I miss casinos/sportsbooks SOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Bad
I won't go back until I don't have to wear a mask everywhere
The worst bet in a casino, and not all casinos offer this, is Keno. I've never played Keno, and i'm forgetting the exact specs on this bet, but the gist of this bet is you have to pick around 15 to 20 numbers all accurately to win the jackpot prize which at the time i looked at it was a 50,000-1 payoff.
Well the actual odds are in the millions, making this bet one of the worst sucker bets in gambling. At the time i read about it, in the entire history of Las Vegas, nobody had even hit it yet for the $50,000-1 payoff.
I've often thought about putting a few bucks on a game, but I just can't stand the thought of losing money. I'm the biggest cheapskate tightwad you'll ever know. I can't even stand to spend money on fancy food. You should see my idea of a romantic candle lit dinner.
Some see gambling as "impossible".
I see gambling as "i'm possible"
Play within your means, and use the odds to your advantage. It takes a little bit of studying and luck, but
it can be enjoyed if you do it as a side hobby.
I will definitely remember that if I ever do decide to place a bet.
I switched my "gambling bug" around twenty years ago to buying large lots of cards and coins, breaking them up, and reselling them. Keeping some of it that i like for my personal collection. With the game plan of both making a profit while adding to my collection at the same time. But I consider that risk, not gambling. I'm very careful with my lot selections.
I've had some losers, but they weren't too bad. However i've had many more nice winners. To me it's a similar thrill of gambling, opening that box, and checking the contents. Even though a pic or multiple pics were shown, ya never know if there are some high grade winners in there. Sometimes when buying a large lot, the seller throws in a bunch of additional items for free that's even better than the original lot pictured. I guess they just decide when putting in the shipping box to get rid of all of it at once.
So that's my gambling thrill, even though i don't consider it gambling.
Buying cards over the last 10-20 years has been a great investment. Much better than gambling.
Gambling should be for fun, but the odds of making money is more in cards than it is in gambling.
Both are fun because they both involve sports.
Now I won't hesitate to buy a card I want, that's my vice, card buying. The money I piss away on cards is criminal. I search ebay from the minute I wake up till the minute I go to bed. I keep a check on the latest listings all day long, and as a matter of fact, I'm heading to the Bay right now, I haven't checked it in 10 minutes.
It's only a vice if you're using gorilla glue to paste the cards into an album.
States don't help the gambling addiction problem. With the glut of casinos,lotteries, horse racing subsidies, etc. Our leaders lack inventive ways to balances budgets and take the easy way out by appealing to human vices. Then they wonder why there are these problems as a result of these temptations. They offer such minuscule funding for the problem addict, to help cure the problem they assist in creating.
I hope you're still finding time to get your Sports Talk duties done.
<<< Buying cards over the last 10-20 years has been a great investment. >>>
Certainly has. I'm not sure anyone 10-20 years ago envisioned the current boom in the card market.
Of course nobody envisioned either, that a one cent card of Mickey Mantle back in 1952 would one day sell for millions of dollars.
Anything a person does with their money that brings joy is good use of the money. What is life without some joy?
Vegas is a blast. Betting on games is blast. In the long term the majority lose, but if you enjoyed yourself and didn't do any harm...then so be it.
I love going to the movie theatre. There is no return in that investment other than the experience, but I enjoy it.
Point understood and it's a salient point.
That being said, nobody ever lost their house, car, bank account, or went into marker debt at the movie theatre. That is unless they ate a heckuva lot of popcorn.
I'm confused. Are there really people who will take bets on baseball games in the third inning? If so, what kind of odds can you possibly get?
Yes. All sports. Odds change constantly. Betting Apps make it easy.
I was watching the Penguins vs Devils on Sunday and during the broadcast in the late second period with the score 2-1 Penguins they flashed on the screen the odds you could get at that moment in time. I believe Eddie Olczyk made a paid sponsor shout out as well. FanDuel? It might have been -380 and +450 or something like that
m
Fellas, leave the tight pants to the ladies. If I can count the coins in your pockets you better use them to call a tailor. Stay thirsty my friends......
Yes, I will always find the time for my sports talk buddies. I must confess, I am very upset with ebay right now because lately they have been listing boxes of basketball cards mixed in with the boxing card section and it's taking forever to find what I'm looking for. They just started doing this, and it's very annoying. If this continues, I will have no choice but to file a complaint. I haven't been this upset since the moving company lost my copies of the off broadway play I wrote titled "La Cocina". I'm not through that moving company!
Mark from his reply is on top of this more than i am. However i do know about horse racing, particularly in Europe where they allow betting during the race. I'm not kidding...during the race.
I'm not fully up to speed on this, but this is how i think it works. It's not a traditional parimutuel thing run by the track whereby they take say a 17% cut of the win pool. But it's like a betting market set by the "punters" themselves. A gambler quickly offering a prop bet and then another gambler if quickly accepting it, then it's an official bet. The track holds the money and pays the winner, and takes a certain cut from the winner...I think it's around 5 or 10 percent, but i'm not sure.
I stated this awhile back that i think the future of American sports stadiums is there will be little betting machines placed beside most seats whereby during the game, there will be literally hundreds if not more, various types of bets offered. Including wagers on balls, strikes, walks, hits, etc. The only limitation on the number of betting propositions offered during the game will be the team owner's imagination.
Sports stadiums will become like opium dens of gambling.
i believe this is a major reason why the value of sports teams has skyrocketed. Once all this new gambling legislation is in place, owning a sports team will be a license to print money, with addicted gamblers fueling the paper,
Would you rather the states get the revenue or organized crime ? The states have bridges to repair, roads to repair, parks, teacher pensions, and a whole lot of other things to pay for.
People are always going to find a way to gamble. The only question becomes who will benefit from it.
Draftkings is my source. It's the best, not only because I own the stock, but because it's so easy to bet from your phone.
For baseball for example, every game has pre game odds. Those odds change every inning as the game goes on.
But once it gets to the 7th inning they may take betting off the board if a team is leading 6-1.
If you ever have nothing to do, or a few hours to kill during the day, try placing some small bets on Russian table tennis on draftkings. It is very exciting to bet and follow on your phone. Having said this, I haven't done it in a long time because I am busy doing other things, but it is fun.
I got a copy of Marty McFlys book. Unfortunately it only went up to 2015. I’m no longer the luckiest man alive.
"I spent 50% of my money on alcohol, women, and gambling. The other half I wasted.
Oh my goodness, I haven't made a sports bet in well over twenty years, but i just gotta have me some action on that Russian table tennis.
We used to joke when the horse racing track was closing for the night, and we were still craving action, that we'd bet on chicken racing from Hong Kong if they offered it.
The games are so close and it's back and forth. It happens so fast. Games last about 10 minutes. The odds change throughout the match, reaching 5000 to 1 towards the end. Lots of fun for small time betting.
i've been playing off the same $100 on DK for almost two years. i watch practically every PGA tournament there is, so i piddle around entering nanoscopic contests just to add a little spice. last week -- because it was the Masters -- i decided to "splurge." taking this guy behind the woodshed and bludgeoning him was probably the worst thing that could have happened, because now i want to ratchet it up every week. but i'm not gonna. back to $5 this week for the RBC Heritage.
you'll never be able to outrun a bad diet
So when a player is down 0-10, that may be the time to plunk $5 down on him to win a new car. 😉